Modeling the Impact of Biomarker-Guided Versus ASCVD Risk-Guided Drug Treatment in US Adults With Stage 1 Hypertension: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999 to 2004.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend antihypertensive medication for adults with both stage 1 hypertension (systolic blood pressure, 130-139 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure, 80-89 mm Hg) and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk ≥10%. Cardiac biomarkers could facilitate a more targeted approach to the treatment of stage 1 hypertension. METHODS: We studied 1999 to 2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey participants aged ≥20 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension without heart failure or ASCVD. hs-cTnI (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I) and hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) were measured in stored serum. We used the Pooled Cohort Equations to predict 10-year ASCVD risk. All participants had linked mortality follow-up through December 31, 2019. RESULTS: Overall, 17.5% of US adults (32.2 million) had untreated stage 1 hypertension. Among these 32.2 million persons, 15.7% had ASCVD risk ≥10%, 5.6% had elevated hs-cTnI, 4.7% had elevated hs-cTnT, and 9.5% had elevated NT-proBNP. Among adults aged 65 to 79 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension, 80.5% had ASCVD risk ≥10%, 13.0% had elevated hs-cTnI, 15.2% had elevated hs-cTnT, and 29.4% had elevated NT-proBNP. Less than half of the adults aged ≥80 years with untreated stage 1 hypertension had elevated biomarkers. The cardiovascular disease mortality rates among all adults with untreated stage 1 hypertension and with either ASCVD risk ≥10%, elevated hs-cTnI, elevated hs-cTnT, or elevated NT-proBNP were 7.51, 7.74, 8.75, and 5.87 per 1000 person-years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac biomarkers may be more selective for informing risk-based treatment decisions in stage 1 hypertension, particularly among adults aged ≥65 years.

Mobile health technologies to improve walking distance in people with intermittent claudication.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is the obstruction or narrowing of the large arteries of the lower limbs, which can result in impaired oxygen supply to the muscle and other tissues during exercise, or even at rest in more severe cases. PAD is classified into five categories (Fontaine classification). It may be asymptomatic or various levels of claudication pain may be present; at a later stage, there may be ulceration or gangrene of the limb, with amputation occasionally being required. About 20% of people with PAD suffer from intermittent claudication (IC), which is muscular discomfort in the lower extremities induced by exertion and relieved by rest within 10 minutes; IC causes restriction of movement in daily life. Treatment for people with IC involves addressing lifestyle risk factors. Exercise is an important part of treatment, but supervised exercise programmes for individuals with IC have low engagement levels and high attrition rates. The use of mobile technologies has been suggested as a new way to engage people with IC in walking exercise interventions. The novelty of the intervention, low cost for the user, automation, and ease of access are some of the advantages mobile health (mhealth) technologies provide that give them the potential to be effective in boosting physical activity in adults. OBJECTIVES: To assess the benefits and harms of mobile health (mhealth) technologies to improve walking distance in people with intermittent claudication. SEARCH METHODS: The Cochrane Vascular Information Specialist conducted systematic searches of the Cochrane Vascular Specialised Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL, and also searched the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (WHO ICTRP) and ClinicalTrials.gov. The most recent searches were carried out on 19 December 2022. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in people aged 18 years or over with symptomatic PAD and a clinical diagnosis of IC. We included RCTs comparing mhealth interventions to improve walking distance versus usual care (no intervention or non-exercise advice), exercise advice, or supervised exercise programmes. We excluded people with chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (Fontaine III and IV). DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We used standard Cochrane methods. Our primary outcomes were change in absolute walking distance from baseline, change in claudication distance from baseline, amputation-free survival, revascularisation-free survival. Our secondary outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events, major adverse limb events, above-ankle amputation, quality of life, and adverse events. We used GRADE to assess the certainty of the evidence. MAIN RESULTS: We included four RCTs involving a total of 614 participants with a clinical diagnosis of IC. The duration of intervention of the four included RCTs ranged from 3 to 12 months. Participants were randomised to either mhealth or control (usual care or supervised exercise programme). All four studies had an unclear or high risk of bias in one or several domains. The most prevalent risk of bias was in the area of performance bias, which was rated high risk as it is not possible to blind participants and personnel in this type of trial. Based on GRADE criteria, we downgraded the certainty of the evidence to low, due to concerns about risk of bias, imprecision, and clinical inconsistency. Comparing mhealth with usual care, there was no clear evidence of an effect on absolute walking distance (mean difference 9.99 metres, 95% confidence interval (CI) -27.96 to 47.93; 2 studies, 503 participants; low-certainty evidence). None of the included studies reported on change in claudication walking distance, amputation-free survival, or revascularisation-free survival. Only one study reported on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and found no clear difference between groups (risk ratio 1.37, 95% CI 0.07 to 28.17; 1 study, 305 participants; low-certainty evidence). None of the included studies reported on major adverse limb events (MALE) or above-ankle amputations. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Mobile health technologies can be used to provide lifestyle interventions for people with chronic conditions, such as IC. We identified a limited number of studies that met our inclusion criteria. We found no clear difference between mhealth and usual care in improving absolute walking distance in people with IC; however, we judged the evidence to be low certainty. Larger, well-designed RCTs are needed to provide adequate statistical power to reliably evaluate the effects of mhealth technologies on walking distance in people with IC.

Long-term aspirin adherence following myocardial infarction and risk of cardiovascular events.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Aspirin is considered mandatory after myocardial infarction (MI). However, its long-term efficacy has been questioned. This study investigated the effectiveness of long-term aspirin after MI. METHODS: Patients ≥ 40 years with MI from 2004-2017 who were adherent to aspirin one year after MI were included from Danish nationwide registries. At 2, 4, 6, and 8 years after MI, continued adherence to aspirin was evaluated. Absolute and relative risks of MI, stroke, or death at 2 years from each timepoint were calculated using multivariable logistic regression analysis with average treatment effect modeling standardized for age, sex, and comorbidities. Subgroup analyses were stratified by sex and age > and ≤ 65 years. RESULTS: Among 40 114 individuals included, the risk of the composite endpoint was significantly higher for nonadherent patients at all timepoints. The absolute risk was highest at 2-4 years after MI for both adherent (8.34%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.05-8.64%) and nonadherent patients (10.72%, 95% CI: 9.78-11.66%). The relative risk associated with nonadherence decreased from 4 years after index-MI and onwards: 1.41 (95% CI: 1.27-1.55) at 4-6 years and 1.21 (95% CI: 1.06-1.36) at 8-10 years (Ptrend = 0.056). Aspirin nonadherence in women and individuals > 65 years was not associated with increased risk. Pinteraction at each of the timepoints: Age-<0.001, <0.001, 0.002, 0.51; Sex - 0.25, 0.02, 0.02, 0.82. CONCLUSION: Nonadherence to long-term aspirin was associated with increased risk of MI, stroke, or death, but not in women or individuals > 65 years. The risk decreased from 4 years after MI with near statistical significance.

Four high sensitivity troponin assays and mortality in US adults with cardiovascular disease: The national health and nutrition examination survey, 1999-2004.

Objective: High sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) may be useful to monitor residual risk in secondary prevention. Our objective was to study the correlations and comparative associations with mortality of four hs-cTn assays in US adults with known cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods: We studied 1,211 adults with a history of CVD who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004. Using stored samples, we measured hs-cTnT (Roche) and three hs-cTnI assays (Abbott, Siemens, and Ortho). Outcomes were all-cause and CVD mortality, with follow-up through December 31, 2019. Results: Mean age was 64 years, 48 % were female, and 80 % identified as non-Hispanic White. Pearson's correlation coefficients between hs-cTn assays ranged from 0.67 to 0.85. There were 848 deaths (365 from CVD). Among adults with a history of prior non-fatal CVD, each hs-cTn assay (log-transformed, per 1-SD) was independently associated with CVD death (HRs ranging from 1.55 to 2.16 per 1-SD, all p-values <0.05) and with all-cause death (HRs ranging from 1.31 to 1.62 per 1-SD, all p-values <0.05). Associations of hs-cTnT and all-cause and CVD death remained significant after adjusting for hs-cTnI (and vice versa). Associations between hs-cTnI and CVD death remained significant after mutually adjusting for other individual hs-cTnI assays: e.g., HR 2.21 (95 % CI 1.60, 3.05) for Ortho (hs-cTnI) after adjustment for Siemens (hs-cTnI) and HR 1.81 (95 % CI 1.35, 2.43) for Ortho (hs-cTnI) after adjustment for Abbott (hs-cTnI). Conclusion: In US adults with a history of CVD, we found modest correlations between 4 hs-cTn assays. All assays were associated with all-cause and CVD mortality. The hs-cTnT assay was associated with mortality independent of the hs-cTnI assays. Hs-cTnI assays also appeared to be independent of each other. Thus, hs-cTn assays may provide distinct information for residual risk in secondary prevention adults.

Epidemiology and Prognostic Implications of Coronary Artery Calcium in Asymptomatic Individuals With Prediabetes: A Multicohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology and prognostic value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in individuals with prediabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We pooled participants free of clinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) from four prospective cohorts: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, Framingham Heart Study, and Jackson Heart Study. Two definitions were used for prediabetes: inclusive (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] ≥100 to <126 mg/dL and hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c] ≥5.7% to <6.5%, if available, and no glucose-lowering medications) and restrictive (FPG ≥110 to <126 mg/dL and HbA1c ≥5.7% to <6.5%, if available, among participants not taking glucose-lowering medications). RESULTS: The study included 13,376 participants (mean age 58 years; 54% women; 57% White; 27% Black). The proportions with CAC ≥100 were 17%, 22%, and 37% in those with euglycemia, prediabetes, and diabetes, respectively. Over a median (25th-75th percentile) follow-up time of 14.6 (interquartile range 7.8-16.4) years, individuals with prediabetes and CAC ≥100 had a higher unadjusted 10-year incidence of ASCVD (13.4%) than the overall group of those with diabetes (10.6%). In adjusted analyses, using the inclusive definition of prediabetes, compared with euglycemia, the hazard ratios (HRs) for ASCVD were 0.79 (95% CI 0.62, 1.01) for prediabetes and CAC 0, 0.70 (0.54, 0.89) for prediabetes and CAC 1-99, 1.54 (1.27, 1.88) for prediabetes and CAC ≥100, and 1.64 (1.39, 1.93) for diabetes. Using the restrictive definition, the HR for ASCVD was 1.63 (1.29, 2.06) for prediabetes and CAC ≥100. CONCLUSIONS: CAC ≥100 is frequent among individuals with prediabetes and identifies a high ASCVD risk subgroup in which the adjusted ASCVD risk is similar to that in individuals with diabetes.

Behaviour change techniques and intervention characteristics in digital cardiac rehabilitation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

Evidence suggests that digitally delivered cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is likely to be an effective alternative to centre-based CR. However, there is limited understanding of the behaviour change techniques (BCTs) and intervention characteristics included in digital CR programmes. This systematic review aimed to identify the BCTs and intervention characteristics that have been used in digital CR programmes, and to study those associated with effective programmes. Twenty-five randomised controlled trials were included in the review. Digital CR was associated with significant improvements in daily steps, light physical activity, medication adherence, functional capacity, and low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol when compared to usual care, and produced effects on these outcomes comparable to centre-based CR. The evidence for improved quality of life was mixed. Interventions that were effective at improving behavioural outcomes frequently employed BCTs relating to feedback and monitoring, goals and planning, natural consequences, and social support. Completeness of reporting on the TIDieR checklist across studies ranged from 42% to 92%, with intervention material descriptions being the most poorly reported item. Digital CR appears effective at improving outcomes for patients with cardiovascular disease. The integration of certain BCTs and intervention characteristics may lead to more effective interventions, however better intervention reporting is required.

Exploring patient experiences of participating in digital cardiac rehabilitation: A qualitative study.

OBJECTIVE: Digital cardiac rehabilitation (CR) has emerged as a promising alternative to in-person CR. Understanding patients' experiences and perceptions can provide valuable insights into what makes these programmes successful and identify opportunities for improvement. This study aimed to explore patients' experiences of digital CR and to understand the factors that make these programmes successful. DESIGN: A qualitative approach was taken. METHODS: From March to August 2022, we conducted semi-structured interviews with patients who were referred to one of two digital CR programmes offered on the island of Ireland. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed verbatim and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. A public and patient involvement panel guided the recruitment strategy and assisted with data analysis. RESULTS: Eleven patients, predominantly male (82%) and with a mean age of 64 (range 50-75), participated in the study. Five themes were developed: (1) Empowered patients; (2) Controlling the recovery; (3) At home but not alone; (4) The world at your (digital) doorstep and; (5) Challenges of interacting online. Participants reported that digital CR equipped them with the necessary tools and support to modify their lifestyle and effectively manage their recovery. However, the opportunities for social interaction were limited and communicating online was not always straightforward. CONCLUSIONS: Participants reported that digital CR guided them towards recovery and improved their sense of empowerment and control. However, the limited opportunities for social interaction may represent a challenge for patients seeking social support.

A cost-analysis of managing secondary and apparent treatment-resistant hypertension in a specialist multidisciplinary hypertension clinic.

OBJECTIVES: A knowledge gap exists around the costs and budget impact of specialist hypertension clinics. This study reports on the cost of providing care in a multidisciplinary hypertension clinic staffed by nephrologist, endocrinologist and cardiologist, which manages patients with suspected secondary hypertension and/or apparent treatment-resistant hypertension. The aim of this study is to provide the evidence required to inform policy and planning care pathways for this patient group. METHODS: A cost analysis from a healthcare provider perspective using micro-costing techniques was conducted to estimate the direct implementation costs of existing standard practice for the care pathway of patients attending the multidisciplinary hypertension clinic. Sixty-five patients originally recruited for a study of medication adherence in hypertension were included in the sample. RESULTS: The total care-pathway cost per patient, taking into account clinic visits, clinical reviews, investigations and MDT discussion, was estimated to be €3277, on average. For the patient subgroups, the average cost was €5644 for patients diagnosed with primary aldosteronism and €1446 for patients diagnosed with essential hypertension. CONCLUSION: There is significant cost associated with providing specialized hypertension care for patients with apparent treatment-resistant hypertension. Given the high rates of nonadherence in this population, it is likely that some of this cost could be avoided with better detection and management of medication adherence in this challenging population. Future studies should consider the cost-effectiveness of this or similar models of care by exploring the benefit to patients and the wider healthcare context of providing care of this type.

Salt restriction for treatment of hypertension - current state and future directions.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Given the adverse effects of excess dietary sodium chloride (also known as table salt) on blood pressure (BP) and cardiovascular disease (CVD), restriction of dietary sodium is recommended by numerous guidelines. The strictest of these recommend no more than 1.5 g/day of dietary sodium among hypertensive persons. However, average dietary sodium intake in the population is closer to 5 g/day and there is debate about whether too much sodium restriction may be associated with increased CVD risk. Herein, we aim to provide a balanced update on this topic. RECENT FINDINGS: In 2021, the Salt Substitute and Stroke Study (SSaSS) demonstrated a significant reduction in BP, CVD, and death among Chinese adults randomized to a low sodium salt-substitute supplemented with potassium. This trial largely puts to rest any remaining debate about the benefits of dietary sodium restriction among persons with excess baseline intake (dietary sodium intake fell from approximately 5 down to 4 g/day in the active arm of SSaSS). However, whether achieving and maintaining a dietary sodium of less than1.5 g/day is feasible in real-world settings and whether this low an intake is harmful remain open questions. SUMMARY: Aiming for sodium intakes of 2--3 g/day in the general population and as low as 2 g/day in persons with hypertension or CVD seems most reasonable, but there is some uncertainty around lower targets.

Performance of wearable watch-type home blood pressure measurement devices in a real-world clinical sample.

BACKGROUND: Independent testing of home blood pressure (BP) measurement (HBPM) devices is often lacking, particularly among older and multi-morbid patients. METHODS: We studied the Bpro G2 (using tonometry), Omron HeartGuide (using occlusive oscillometric technology), and Heartisans (using photoplethysmography) wrist watch HBPM devices against a gold standard brachial sphygmomanometer. To test device performance, we used the ISO81060-2 protocol (though this protocol cannot formally validate cuffless devices). We also used linear mixed models to compare adjusted longitudinal BP measurements between devices. Finally, as a surrogate for usability, we recorded instances of device failure where no BP measurement was returned. RESULTS: We enrolled 128 participants (median [Q1-Q3] age 53 [40-65] years, 51% male, 46% on antihypertensive drugs), of whom 100 were suitable for the primary analysis. All three devices had mean BP values within 5 mmHg of sphygmomanometry. However, due to insufficient reliability (e.g., wider than accepted standard deviations of mean BP), none of the three devices passed all criteria required by the ISO81060-2 protocol. In adjusted longitudinal analyses, the Omron device also systematically underestimated systolic and diastolic BP (- 8.46 mmHg; 95% CI 6.07, 10.86; p < 0.001; and - 2.53 mmHg; 95% CI - 4.03, - 1.03; p = 0.001; respectively). Nevertheless, compared to the Omron device, BPro and Heartisans devices had increased odds of failure (BPro: odds ratio [OR] 5.24; p < 0.0001; Heartisans: OR 5.61; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: While we could not formally validate the cuffless devices, our results show that wearable technologies will require improvements to offer reliable BP assessment. This study also highlights the need for validation protocols specifically designed for cuffless BP measurement technologies.

Selected highlights in the updated treatment of hypertension.

Hypertension remains the leading international risk factor for cardiovascular disease and premature death but, despite effective treatments, hypertension remains significantly underdiagnosed and undertreated. In the present review paper, we provide a selected update on recent developments of interest in the management of hypertension. We focus on summarizing four topics that we believe are worth highlighting to a clinical audience: (1) the evidence and strong motivation for new lower systolic BP treatment targets; (2) new studies reporting on the efficacy of renal denervation in the management of hypertension; (3) interesting new data to inform the great salt debate; and (4), perhaps most importantly, pioneering new work highlighting the huge potential of multi-disciplinary care in the management of hypertension.

Estimating the prevalence of COVID-19 cases through the analysis of SARS-CoV-2 RNA copies derived from wastewater samples from North Dakota.

The SARS-CoV-2 virus was first detected in December 2019, which prompted many researchers to investigate how the virus spreads. SARS-CoV-2 is mainly transmitted through respiratory droplets. Symptoms of the SARS-CoV-2 virus appear after an incubation period. Moreover, the asymptomatic infected individuals unknowingly spread the virus. Detecting infected people requires daily tests and contact tracing, which are expensive. The early detection of infectious diseases, including COVID-19, can be achieved with wastewater-based epidemiology, which is timely and cost-effective. In this study, we collected wastewater samples from wastewater treatment plants in several cities in North Dakota and then extracted viral RNA copies. We used log-RNA copies in the model to predict the number of infected cases using Quantile Regression (QR) and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) Regression. The model's performance was evaluated by comparing the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The QR model performs well in cities where the population is >10000. In addition, the model predictions were compared with the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model which is the golden standard model for infectious diseases.

Insulin Resistance and N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Among Healthy Adults.

Importance: It is unclear to what extent insulin resistance is associated with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in the general population after accounting for body composition. Objective: To characterize the association of insulin resistance with NT-proBNP independently of measures of body composition in US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a cross-sectional design, data on participants aged 20 years or older were obtained from the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with measures of NT-pro-BNP, body mass index (BMI), and dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA)-derived measures of body composition (fat and lean masses). Linear and logistic regression was used to characterize the associations of measures of body mass and composition (BMI, waist circumference, fat mass, and lean mass) with NT-proBNP, adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Linear regression was used to characterize the associations of homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance [HOMA-IR] and NT-proBNP after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and body composition measures. The quantitative insulin sensitivity check index [QUICKI], triglyceride-glucose index [TyG index], insulin to glucose ratio [IGR], fasting insulin, and homeostasis model assessment of ß-cell function (HOMA-ß) were also examined. Data for this study were analyzed from August 10, 2022, to June 30, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Adjusted changes in NT-proBNP by insulin resistance levels. Results: A total of 4038 adults without diabetes or cardiovascular disease were included (mean [SD] age, 44 years; 51.2% female; and 74.3% White). In sex-specific analyses, insulin resistance measures were inversely associated with NT-pro-BNP. After adjustment including cardiovascular risk factors, BMI, waist circumference, and DEXA-derived fat mass and lean mass, the percent change in NT-proBNP associated with an SD increase in HOMA-IR was -16.84% (95% CI, -21.23% to -12.21%) in women and -19.04% (95% CI, -24.14 to -13.59) in men. Similar associations were observed for other indices of insulin resistance, including QUICKI (women: 17.27; 95% CI, 10.92-23.99 vs men: 22.17; 95% CI, 15.27 to 29.48), TyG index women: -11.47; 95% CI, -16.12 to -6.57 vs men: -15.81; 95% CI, -20.40 to -10.95), IGR women: -15.15; 95% CI, -19.35 to -10.74 vs men: -16.61; 95% CI, -21.63 to -11.26), and fasting insulin (women: -16.32; 95% CI, -20.63 to -11.78 vs men: -18.22; 95% CI, -23.30 to -12.79), as well as HOMA-ß (women: -10.71; 95% CI, -14.71 to -6.52 vs men: -11.72; 95% CI, -16.35 to -6.85). Conclusions and Relevance: In a national sample of US adults, insulin resistance was inversely associated with NT-proBNP, even after rigorously accounting for multiple measures of fat mass and lean mass. These results suggest that the mechanisms linking NT-proBNP to insulin resistance are partially independent of excess adiposity and may be associated with hyperinsulinemia.

Personalized lifetime prediction of survival and treatment benefit in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: The LIFE-HF model.

AIMS: Although trials have proven the group-level effectiveness of various therapies for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), important differences in absolute effectiveness exist between individuals. We developed and validated the LIFEtime-perspective for Heart Failure (LIFE-HF) model for the prediction of individual (lifetime) risk and treatment benefit in patients with HFrEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cox proportional hazards functions with age as the time scale were developed in the PARADIGM-HF and ATMOSPHERE trials (n = 15 415). Outcomes were cardiovascular death, heart failure (HF) hospitalization or cardiovascular death, and non-cardiovascular mortality. Predictors were age, sex, New York Heart Association class, prior HF hospitalization, diabetes mellitus, extracardiac vascular disease, systolic blood pressure, left ventricular ejection fraction, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and glomerular filtration rate. The functions were combined in life-tables to predict individual overall and HF hospitalization-free survival. External validation was performed in the SwedeHF registry, ASIAN-HF registry, and DAPA-HF trial (n = 51 286). Calibration of 2- to 10-year risk was adequate, and c-statistics were 0.65-0.74. An interactive tool was developed combining the model with hazard ratios from trials to allow estimation of an individual's (lifetime) risk and treatment benefit in clinical practice. Applying the tool to the development cohort, combined treatment with a mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, and angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor was estimated to afford a median of 2.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 1.7-3.7) and 3.7 (IQR 2.4-5.5) additional years of overall and HF hospitalization-free survival, respectively. CONCLUSION: The LIFE-HF model enables estimation of lifelong overall and HF hospitalization-free survival, and (lifetime) treatment benefit for individual patients with HFrEF. It could serve as a tool to improve the management of HFrEF by facilitating personalized medicine and shared decision-making.

Racial and ethnic differences in circulating N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in US adults.

Background: The presence and interpretation of racial and ethnic differences in circulating N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a diagnostic biomarker for heart failure, are controversial. Objective: To examine racial and ethnic differences in NT-proBNP levels among the general US adult population. Methods: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of data from the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We included 4717 non-Hispanic White, 1675 non-Hispanic Black, and 2148 Mexican American adults aged 20 years or older without a history of cardiovascular disease. We examined the associations of race and ethnicity with NT-proBNP using linear and logistic regression models in the overall population and in a younger, 'healthy' subsample. Results: The mean age was 45 years. Median NT-proBNP levels were significantly lower among Black (29.3 pg/mL) and Mexican American adults (28.3.4 pg/mL) compared to White adults (49.1pg/mL, P-values<0.001). After adjusting for sociodemographic factors and cardiovascular risk factors, NT-proBNP was 34.4% lower (95%CI -39.2 to -29.3%) in Black adults and 22.8% lower (95%CI -29.4 to -15.5) in Mexican American adults compared to White adults. Our findings were consistent in a young, healthy subsample, suggesting non-cardiometabolic determinants of these differences. Conclusions: NT-proBNP levels are significantly lower among Black and Mexican American adults compared with White adults, independent of cardiometabolic risk. Although race/ethnicity is a poor proxy for genetic differences, our findings may have clinical implications for the management of HF. However, studies in diverse populations are needed to characterize the biological basis of NT-proBNP variation.

Associations between diet quality and NT-proBNP in U.S. adults, NHANES 1999-2004.

Objective: N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a marker of cardiac wall stress and is a predictor of cardiovascular disease. Higher diet quality is associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease. The association between diet quality and subclinical cardiovascular disease assessed by NT-proBNP is uncharacterized. We investigated the associations between diet quality, using Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015), and NT-proBNP from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004. Methods: We included 9,782 adults from NHANES 1999-2004 without self-reported cardiovascular disease. The HEI-2015 ranges from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating better diet quality. The HEI-2015 was categorized into sex-specific quintiles. Regression models were used to quantify associations between the overall HEI-2015 score and its 13 components with log-transformed NT-proBNP. The beta coefficients were converted to percent differences. Results: Among 9,782 participants, mean age was 45 years, 48% were men, and 72% were non-Hispanic White adults. After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and medical history, those in the highest vs. lowest HEI-2015 quintile had an 8.5% (95% CI: -14.6% to -2.0%) lower NT-proBNP level. There was a dose-response association between HEI-2015 and NT-proBNP (P value for trend = 0.01). Each 1-unit higher in sodium and added sugars score indicating lower intake was associated with lower NT-proBNP by 7.7% (95% CI: -12.8% to -2.2%) and 6.5% (95% CI: -12.0% to -0.7%), respectively. Conclusion: Higher diet quality, especially lower intakes of sodium and added sugars, was associated with lower serum levels of NT-proBNP.