Visceral abdominal fat accumulation predicts the conversion of metabolically healthy obese subjects to an unhealthy phenotype.

BACKGROUND: A proportion of obese subjects appear metabolically healthy (MHO) but little is known about the natural history of MHO and factors predicting its future conversion to metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO). OBJECTIVES: The aim was to determine prospectively the frequency of conversion of MHO to MUO and the clinical variables that independently predicted this conversion, with a particular focus on the role of body composition. METHODS: We identified 85 Japanese Americans with MHO (56 men, 29 women), aged 34-73 years (mean age 49.8 years) who were followed at 2.5, 5 and 10 years after enrollment with measurements of metabolic characteristics, lifestyle and abdominal and thigh fat areas measured by computed tomography. Obesity was defined using the Asian body mass index criterion of ⩾25 kg m(-2). Metabolically healthy was defined as the presence of ⩽2 of 5 metabolic syndrome components proposed by the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III, while metabolically unhealthy was defined as ⩾3 components. RESULTS: Over 10 years of follow-up, 55 MHO individuals (64.7%) converted to MUO. Statistically significant univariate predictors of conversion included dyslipidemia, greater insulin resistance and greater visceral abdominal (VAT) and subcutaneous abdominal fat area (SAT). In multivariate analysis, VAT (odds ratio per 1-s.d. increment (95% confidence interval) 2.04 (1.11-3.72), P=0.021), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (0.24 (0.11-0.53), P<0.001), fasting plasma insulin (2.45 (1.07-5.62), P=0.034) and female sex (5.37 (1.14-25.27), P=0.033) were significantly associated with future conversion to MUO. However, SAT was not an independent predictor for future conversion to MUO. CONCLUSIONS: In this population, MHO was a transient state, with nearly two-thirds developing MUO over 10 years, with higher conversion to MUO independently associated with VAT, female sex, higher fasting insulin level and lower baseline HDL cholesterol level.

Arm length is associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Japanese-Americans.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of the study was to examine the association of type 2 diabetes mellitus with arm length as a marker for early life environment and development. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional analysis of 658 second- and third-generation Japanese-Americans (349 men and 309 women). Different arm length (total, upper and forearm length) and leg length (total and lower leg length) measurements were performed. Type 2 diabetes was defined by the use of hypoglycaemic medication, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥ 7 mmol/l or glucose at 2 h ≥ 11.1 mmol/l during an OGTT. Persons meeting the criteria for impaired glucose tolerance were excluded from these analyses (FPG <7 mmol/l and 2 h glucose during an OGGT <11.1 but ≥ 7.8 mmol/l). Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate associations between prevalence of diabetes and limb length while adjusting for possible confounders. RESULTS: A total of 145 individuals had diabetes. On univariate analysis, arm and leg length were not associated with diabetes. After adjustment for age, sex, computed tomography-measured intra-abdominal fat area, height, weight, smoking status and family history of diabetes, total arm length and upper arm length were inversely related to diabetes (OR for a 1 SD increase 0.49, 95% CI 0.29, 0.84 for total arm length, and OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.36, 0.87 for upper arm length). Forearm length, height and leg length were not associated with diabetes after adjustment for confounding variables. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our findings of associations between arm lengths and prevalence of type 2 diabetes supports a role for factors that determine bone growth or their correlates in the development of this condition.

Subcutaneous thigh fat area is unrelated to risk of type 2 diabetes in a prospective study of Japanese Americans.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Cross-sectional research has reported a negative association between subcutaneous thigh fat (STF) and type 2 diabetes prevalence but no prospective research on this association exists using direct measurements of STF obtained from imaging studies while adjusting for other fat depots. We studied the independent associations of intra-abdominal fat (IAF), subcutaneous abdominal fat (SAF) and STF with future risk of diabetes. METHODS: We prospectively followed 489 non-diabetic Japanese Americans (BMI 25.0-29.9 kg/m(2) 32.7%, ≥30.0 kg/m(2) 5.4%) over 10 years for the development of diabetes defined by use of hypoglycaemic medication or a fasting plasma glucose ≥7.0 mmol/l or 2 h ≥11.1 mmol/l during an OGTT. STF, SAF and IAF area were measured by computed tomography scan and mid-thigh circumference (TC) by tape measure at baseline. RESULTS: Over 10 years, 103 people developed diabetes. STF area was not independently associated with the odds of developing diabetes in a univariate or multiple logistic regression model (OR for a 1 SD increase 0.8 [95% CI 0.5, 1.2]) adjusted for age, sex, BMI, IAF and SAF. The only fat depot associated with diabetes odds in this model was IAF. TC was borderline significantly associated with a lower odds of developing diabetes (0.7 [95% CI 0.5, 1.0], p = 0.052). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Similar to other research, TC was negatively associated with diabetes risk, whereas STF was not, arguing that the negative association between TC and diabetes observed in other research is not due to STF mass. IAF area emerged as the only measured fat depot that was independently associated with type 2 diabetes risk.

Greater hand-grip strength predicts a lower risk of developing type 2 diabetes over 10 years in leaner Japanese Americans.

AIMS: Much is known about body composition and type 2 diabetes risk but less about body function such as strength. We assessed whether hand-grip strength predicted incident diabetes. METHODS: We followed 394 nondiabetic Japanese-American subjects (mean age 51.9) for the development of diabetes. We fit a logistic regression model to examine the association between hand-grip strength at baseline and type 2 diabetes risk over 10 years, adjusted for age, sex, and family history. RESULTS: A statistically significant (p = 0.008) and negative (coefficient -0.208) association was observed between hand-grip strength and diabetes risk that diminished at higher BMI levels. Adjusted ORs for a 10-pound hand-grip strength increase with BMI set at the 25th, 50th or 75th percentiles were 0.68, 0.79, and 0.98, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Among leaner individuals, greater hand-grip strength was associated with lower risk of type 2 diabetes, suggesting it may be a useful marker of risk in this population.

Intra-abdominal fat accumulation predicts the development of the metabolic syndrome in non-diabetic Japanese-Americans.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Intra-abdominal fat (IAF) is an important risk factor for CHD and type 2 diabetes, and in cross-sectional studies is associated with the metabolic syndrome (MetS). Our aim was to determine whether IAF accumulation predicts the future development of MetS in non-diabetic Japanese-Americans. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective study of 457 Japanese-American men and women (mean+/-SD: age 51.5 +/- 12.0 years, BMI 23.9 +/- 3.1 kg/m(2)) without diabetes or MetS at baseline. Of these, 408 completed a 5-year follow-up and 366 completed a 10-year follow-up. BMI, waist circumference, IAF and subcutaneous fat (SCF) areas by computed tomography, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, insulin, triacylglycerol and HDL-cholesterol were measured at baseline and at 5- and 10-year follow-up. MetS was defined using National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. RESULTS: Incidence of MetS was 15.3% at 5 years and 17.8% at 10 years. A change of 1 SD in IAF area was associated with a 2.1-fold increase in the odds of MetS at 10 years (odds ratio = 2.08, 95% CI 1.41-3.07) after adjusting for age, sex, baseline IAF and the presence of each individual MetS criteria at baseline. This association was independent of changes in fasting insulin and SCF areas. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We conclude that IAF accumulation over time independently predicts the development of MetS and thus may play an important role in the development of MetS in Japanese-Americans.

Heritability of C-reactive protein and association with apolipoprotein E genotypes in Japanese Americans.

Numerous studies have demonstrated that increased C-reactive protein (CRP) levels predict coronary heart disease, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, and diabetes, and are associated with features of the metabolic syndrome. Only three previous studies have investigated the heritability of CRP levels, primarily in samples of Caucasian families. The purpose of the present study was to estimate the magnitude of genetic influences on CRP levels, and to examine potential associations between variation in the APOE gene and CRP levels, using a sample of 562 individual Japanese Americans from 68 extended kindreds. In general, correlation coefficients between first-degree relatives for CRP were approximately 0.2, and spouse correlations did not differ from zero, consistent with genetic influences. Heritability estimates were approximately 0.3 (p < 0.01), even with adjustment for factors known to influence CRP levels. A significant relationship was seen between unadjusted CRP levels and APOE genotypes (p = 0.02), with the highest mean CRP level among epsilon2 carriers (1.20 mg/L), and nearly the same mean levels among epsilon3/epsilon3 subjects and epsilon4 carriers (0.72 and 0.74 mg/L, respectively). However, this relationship was diminished with adjustment for covariates (p = 0.07). These results demonstrate the presence of both genetic and environmental effects on CRP levels among Asian Americans, and additional studies are needed to determine if the APOE gene contributes to these genetic influences.

Lipoprotein and apolipoprotein abnormalities in familial combined hyperlipidemia: a 20-year prospective study.

In order to characterize the lipoprotein abnormalities in familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCHL) and to describe factors associated with the stability of the FCHL phenotype during 20-year follow-up, 287 individuals from 48 families with FCHL originally identified in the early 1970s (baseline) were studied. Hyperlipidemia was defined as lipid-lowering medication use, or > or =age- and sex-specific 90th percentile for triglycerides or cholesterol. Triglyceride, cholesterol and medical history data were obtained at baseline and 20-year follow-up. Additional follow-up measures included HDL-C, LDL-C, LDL particle size, lipoprotein(a), apolipoprotein (apo) A-I, apoB, and apoE polymorphism. Longitudinally, two-thirds of relatives were consistently normolipidemic or hyperlipidemic, and one third were discordant for hyperlipidemic status at baseline and 20-year follow-up. Individuals with hyperlipidemia at baseline and/or follow-up had higher apoB levels than those with consistently normal lipids (P<0.05), whereas small LDL size was associated with concurrent hyperlipidemia. Among individuals who were normolipidemic at baseline, the following variables were independently associated with development of hyperlipidemia over 20 years: older age at baseline, male sex, greater increase in BMI during follow-up, and apoE alleles epsilon 2 or epsilon 4. In conclusion, apoB is associated with hyperlipidemia and apoE polymorphism is associated with later onset of hyperlipidemia in FCHL.

Lipoprotein(a) as a risk factor for maternal cardiovascular disease mortality in kindreds with familial combined hyperlipidemia or familial hypertriglyceridemia.

Most but not all epidemiologic studies have shown that lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Lp(a) levels are also strongly genetically influenced. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between Lp(a) levels in adult offspring and parental CVD mortality in 61 kindreds with familial forms of hyperlipidemia. The study sample consisted of offspring-parent pairs in which offspring had fasting Lp(a) measurements and parents had 20-year vital status data and standardized cause-of-death classification if deceased. Linear regression analyses, using a robust variance estimator, were performed separately for 241 offspring with known maternal history (114 mothers) and 194 offspring with known paternal history (93 fathers). Maternal history of CVD mortality was significantly (p=0.004) associated with 2.4-fold higher median Lp(a) levels in offspring compared with those with no maternal history, independent of diabetes, lipid-lowering medications and hormone use. No association was observed between paternal CVD mortality and offspring Lp(a) levels (p=0.505). Adjusting for apolipoprotein(a) kringle 4 number did not alter these parent-specific associations. In conclusion, Lp(a) levels in offspring may be associated with maternal but not paternal history of CVD mortality. This parent-specific finding needs to be confirmed in other samples of high-risk families.

Standard definitions of overweight and central adiposity for determining diabetes risk in Japanese Americans.

BACKGROUND: Despite having lower average body mass indexes (BMIs) than do whites, Asians are at high risk of type 2 diabetes, possibly because of their greater central adiposity. The criteria for identifying individuals at risk of obesity-related conditions are usually not population specific. OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to determine whether the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) overweight and obesity guidelines are useful for identifying diabetes risk in Japanese Americans. DESIGN: This was a prospective, cohort study of 466 nondiabetic Japanese Americans [age: 52.2 +/- 0.6 y; BMI (in kg/m(2)): 24.1 +/- 0.2; +/- SEM]. Diabetes status at a 5-y follow-up visit was assessed with an oral-glucose-tolerance test. RESULTS: Among 240 subjects aged < or = 55 y, incident diabetes was strongly associated with overweight (BMI > or = 25) at baseline [relative risk (RR): 22.4; 95% CI: 2.7, 183; adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and family history] and weight gain of > 10 kg since the age of 20 y (adjusted RR: 4.5; 95% CI: 1.4, 14.5). NHLBI definitions of central obesity (waist circumference > or = 88 cm for women and > or = 102 cm for men) were unsuitable for this population because only 15 of 240 subjects met these criteria. A waist circumference greater than or equal to the third tertile was associated with diabetes (adjusted RR: 5.4; 95% CI: 1.7, 17.0). Among 226 subjects aged >55 y, incident diabetes was not associated with BMI, weight gain, or waist circumference. CONCLUSIONS: NHLBI definitions are useful for identifying overweight Japanese Americans aged < 55 y who are at high risk of diabetes. Although central adiposity is an important risk factor, the guidelines for waist circumference are insensitive predictors of diabetes risk in this population.

Abnormal glucose tolerance and increased risk for cardiovascular disease in Japanese-Americans with normal fasting glucose.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the American Diabetes Association (ADA) fasting glucose and the World Health Organization (WHO) oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) criteria for diagnosing diabetes and detecting people at increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Study subjects were 596 Japanese-Americans. Fasting insulin, lipids, and C-peptide levels; systolic and diastolic blood pressures (BPs); BMI (kg/m2); and total and intra-abdominal body fat distribution by computed tomography (CT) were measured. Study subjects were categorized by ADA criteria as having normal fasting glucose (NFG), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetic fasting glucose and by WHO criteria for a 75-g OGTT as having normal glucose tolerance (NGT), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and diabetic glucose tolerance (DGT). RESULTS: Of 503 patients with NFG, 176 had IGT and 20 had DGT These patients had worse CVD risk factors than those with NGT . The mean values for NGT, IGT, and DGT, respectively, and analysis of covariance P values, adjusted for age and sex, are as follows; intra-abdominal fat area by CT 69.7, 95.0, and 101.1 cm2 (P < 0.0001); total CT fat area 437.7, 523.3, and 489.8 cm2 (P < 0.0001); fasting triglycerides 1.40, 1.77, and 1.74 mmol/l (P = 0.002); fasting HDL cholesterol 1.56, 1.50, and 1.49 mmol/l (P = 0.02); C-peptide 0.80, 0.90, 0.95 nmol/l (P = 0.002); systolic BP 124.9, 132.4, and 136.9 mmHg (P = 0.0035); diastolic BP 74.8, 77.7, and 78.2 mmHg (P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: NFG patients who had IGT or DGT had more intra-abdominal fat and total adiposity; higher insulin, C-peptide, and triglyceride levels; lower HDL cholesterol levels; and higher BPs than those with NGT. Classification by fasting glucose misses many Japanese-Americans with abnormal glucose tolerance and less favorable cardiovascular risk profiles.

Type 2 diabetes and the metabolic syndrome in Japanese Americans.

Japanese Americans have experienced a higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes than in Japan. Research conducted in Seattle suggests that lifestyle factors associated with 'westernization' play a role in bringing out this susceptibility to diabetes. These lifestyle factors include consumption of a diet higher in saturated fat and reduced physical activity. A consequence of this is the development of central (visceral) adiposity, insulin resistance, and other features associated with this insulin resistance metabolic syndrome, such as dyslipidemia (high triglycerides, low HDL-cholesterol, and small and dense LDL particles), hypertension, and coronary heart disease. We have postulated that the superimposition of insulin resistance upon a genetic background of reduced beta-cell reserve results in hyperglycemia and diabetes among Japanese Americans. This article reviews evidence that support this view.

Low-density lipoprotein particle size, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol as risk factors for coronary heart disease in older Japanese-American men.

Decreased low-density lipoprotein (LDL) particle size is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) risk among middle-aged Caucasian populations, and has been consistently correlated with increased plasma levels of triglyceride and decreased levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. This study examines whether these risk factors predict CHD among older Japanese-American men. With use of the Honolulu Heart Program Lipoprotein Exam 3 (1980 to 1982) as baseline, and 12-year follow-up for CHD events, a nested, case-control study was designed. One hundred forty-five incident CHD cases were identified and matched to 2 controls each. LDL particle diameter (size) was determined by gradient gel electrophoresis. A 10-angstrom (A) decrease in LDL size at baseline was associated with increased risk of incident CHD (relative risk 1.28, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.63). After adjustment for baseline risk factors, the LDL size association was no longer statistically significant (relative risk 1.13, 95% confidence interval 0.86 to 1.49). When principal components analysis was used to define a composite variable for LDL size, triglycerides, and HDL cholesterol, this component predicted CHD independent of smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, and beta-blocker use (p <0.01). Therefore, this prospective analysis of data from older, Japanese-American men demonstrated that decreased LDL size is a univariate predictor of incident CHD, and that a composite risk factor of LDL size, triglyceride, and HDL cholesterol was a risk factor for CHD independent of other risk factors.

Cardiovascular disease mortality in familial forms of hypertriglyceridemia: A 20-year prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Familial combined hyperlipidemia (FCHL) and familial hypertriglyceridemia (FHTG) are 2 of the most common familial forms of hyperlipidemia. There is a paucity of prospective data concerning the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in such families. The purposes of this study were to estimate 20-year total and CVD mortality risk among relatives in these families and to evaluate plasma triglyceride as a predictor of death. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study was based on lipid and medical history data from 101 families ascertained in 2 studies conducted in the early 1970s. Vital status and cause of death was determined during 1993 to 1997 for 685 family members, including first-degree relatives of the probands and spouse control subjects. Compared with spouse control subjects, 20-year CVD mortality risk was increased among siblings and offspring in FCHL (relative risk 1.7, P=0.02) after adjustment for baseline covariates. In FHTG families, the relative risk was also 1.7 but was not statistically significant (P=0.39). Baseline triglyceride was associated with increased CVD mortality risk independent of total cholesterol among relatives in FHTG families (relative risk 2.7, P=0.02) but not in FCHL families (relative risk 1.5, P=0.16) after adjustment for baseline covariates. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective study establishes that relatives in FCHL families are at increased risk for CVD mortality and illustrates the need for effective prevention strategies in this group. Baseline triglyceride level predicted subsequent CVD mortality among relatives in FHTG families, adding to the growing evidence for the importance of hypertriglyceridemia as a risk factor for CVD.

Preventing diabetes--applying pathophysiological and epidemiological evidence.

This is a review of research carried out in Japanese Americans that points towards possible approaches to prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus. The natural history of type 2 diabetes usually includes both insulin resistance and beta-cell dysfunction. Insulin secretion may compensate for insulin resistance. Alternatively, enhanced insulin sensitivity may mask an insulin secretory defect. Epidemiological data support the view that in the vast majority of cases of type 2 diabetes, insulin resistance is essential to the pathogenesis of hyperglycemia. Increased diabetes prevalence as ethnic groups migrate to more urban or westernized regions has been attributed to increased occurrence of insulin resistance. Research among Japanese Americans in Seattle, Washington, showed a higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes than in Japan, which suggested that factors associated with 'westernization' might be playing a role in bringing out underlying susceptibility to diabetes. Our research has shown that these impressions were correct and that the abnormalities that characterize the metabolic syndrome play a significant role. Due to increased intra-abdominal fat deposition, Japanese Americans were likely to be 'metabolically obese' despite relatively normal BMI. A diet higher in animal fat and lower levels of physical activity were risk factors leading to increased intra-abdominal fat deposition, insulin resistance, and diabetes. Information from epidemiological studies such as these may be used to determine whether diabetes may be prevented through changes in lifestyle or application of specific therapies targeted towards identified metabolic abnormalities.

Self-reported exercise tolerance and the risk of serious perioperative complications.

BACKGROUND: Impaired exercise tolerance during formal testing is predictive of perioperative complications. However, for most patients, formal exercise testing is not indicated, and exercise tolerance is assessed by history. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between self-reported exercise tolerance and serious perioperative complications. METHODS: Our study group consisted of 600 consecutive outpatients referred to a medical consultation clinic at a tertiary care medical center for preoperative evaluation before undergoing 612 major noncardiac procedures. Patients were asked to estimate the number of blocks they could walk and flights of stairs they could climb without experiencing symptomatic limitation. Patients who could not walk 4 blocks and climb 2 flights of stairs were considered to have poor exercise tolerance. All patients were evaluated for the development of 26 serious complications that occurred during hospitalization. RESULTS: Patients reporting poor exercise tolerance had more perioperative complications (20.4% vs 10.4%; P<.001). Specifically, they had more myocardial ischemia (P = .02) and more cardiovascular (P = .04) and neurologic (P = .03) events. Poor exercise tolerance predicted risk for serious complications independent of all other patient characteristics, including age (adjusted odds ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-3.17). The likelihood of a serious complication occurring was inversely related to the number blocks that could be walked (P = .006) or flights of stairs that could be climbed (P = .01). Other patient characteristics predicting serious complications in multivariable regression analysis included history of congestive heart failure, dementia, Parkinson disease, and smoking greater than or equal to 20 pack-years. CONCLUSION: Self-reported exercise tolerance can be used to predict in-hospital perioperative risk, even when using relatively simple and familiar measures.

Association between baseline plasma leptin levels and subsequent development of diabetes in Japanese Americans.

OBJECTIVE: Plasma leptin levels correlate strongly with increased total adipose tissue, a known risk factor for type 2 diabetes, yet the role of leptin in the etiology of diabetes remains unclear. We sought to determine whether leptin is a risk factor for development of diabetes in Japanese Americans. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We compared baseline leptin levels in 370 nondiabetic Japanese Americans who remained nondiabetic for 5-6 years of follow-up with those of 40 nondiabetic Japanese Americans who developed diabetes during follow-up. All participants had computed tomography measurements of baseline subcutaneous chest, abdomen, thigh, and intra-abdominal fat, with total fat defined as the sum of all these measurements. RESULTS: The mean age was 51.7 +/- 11.7 years for men and 51.9 +/- 12.0 years for women. The 23 men who developed diabetes had significantly higher leptin levels than the 212 men who remained nondiabetic (P < 0.01). Among men, baseline leptin levels predicted diabetes risk independent of baseline total fat, insulin, insulin resistance, glucose, or age in separate multiple logistic regression models (relative risk adjusted for baseline total fat = 1.80 per SD increase [2.7 ng/ml], 95% CI 1.02-3.17). This association was particularly strong among men in the top decile for intra-abdominal fat. In contrast, the 17 women who developed diabetes had leptin levels similar to those of the 158 women who remained nondiabetic (P = 0.31). CONCLUSIONS: Among Japanese Americans, increased baseline leptin levels are associated with increased risk of developing diabetes in men but not in women.

The independent contributions of diabetic neuropathy and vasculopathy in foot ulceration. How great are the risks?

OBJECTIVE: To describe the relative contributions of neurological and vascular abnormalities to the overall risk of diabetic foot ulceration. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A case-control study of diabetic veterans from the Seattle Veterans Affairs Medical Center was conducted using data collected from 46 patients with diabetic foot ulcers and 322 control subjects. Neuropathy was determined by vibratory, monofilament, and tendon reflex testing. Macrovascular disease was measured by ankle-arm blood pressure index, and cutaneous perfusion was measured by transcutaneous oxygen tension (TcPO2) on the dorsal foot. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to adjust for confounding variables and to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) for each independent risk factor. RESULTS: Three variables were significant independent predictors of foot ulceration: absence of Achilles tendon reflexes (adjusted OR 6.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.37-18.06), insensate to the 5.07 monofilament (adjusted OR 18.42, 95% CI 3.83-88.47), and TcPO2 < 30 mmHg (adjusted OR 57.87, 95% CI 5.08-658.96). Absent vibratory sensation and low ankle-arm blood pressure index were not significant independent risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Both neuropathy and vasculopathy are strong independent risk factors for the development of diabetic foot ulcers. In our model, the strongest risk factor is impaired cutaneous oxygenation. However, in the clinical setting, sensory examination with a 5.07 monofilament probably remains the single most practical measure of risk assessment.

The diagnosis of luteal phase deficiency: a critical review.

Luteal phase deficiency is an ovulatory dysfunction problem that is subtle but real. It may be the most common ovulatory problem in women. Luteal phase deficiency has been clearly demonstrated in the research setting (1) in spontaneous cycles, (2) when follicular maturation has been impeded, and (3) when luteotrophic influences have been suppressed. The diagnosis of LPD in the clinical setting remains problematic and controversial primarily because there is no practical diagnostic method that has been validated. This article has reviewed the methods that have been used to diagnose LPD. BBT charts are insensitive; these charts reliably diagnose LPD only when there are persistent short luteal phases. There is disagreement whether ovarian follicular size, as determined by ultrasonography, is decreased in LPD; however, ultrasonographic diagnosis of LPD would require daily scans through ovulation, which makes this approach impractical. Mild hyperprolactinemia is a probable cause of LPD in a minority of patients; a physician should obtain a PRL level in LPD women with the realization that there is considerable sampling variability. Determination of serum gonadotropin levels (LH or FSH or both) is not practical for the clinical diagnosis of LPD. Random serum P levels, whether single or multiple, are not helpful in the diagnosis of LPD in individual patients. The secretory pattern of P results in such wide confidence limits that P samples from individuals cannot be compared to normal in a useful manner. Most of the controversy about the diagnosis of LPD has centered around the use of individual serum P levels. The timed endometrial biopsy relies on the endometrium as a bioassay of P over time. The endometrial biopsy has not been carefully validated in terms of its sensitivity or accuracy for the diagnosis of LPD. However, it remains the best current method for the diagnosis of LPD when the standard guidelines for its use are followed. As opposed to the other tests for LPD, awareness of the usefulness of the biopsy has increased as we have learned more about CL physiology. No current research method for the diagnosis of LPD appears to be a practical method that could be applied in the clinical setting. Specific secretory proteins from the endometrium and methods to measure hormone secretion that circumvent the secretory pattern hold promise for improved methods to diagnose LPD in the future.