Long-term Kidney Transplant Survival Across the Globe.

BACKGROUND: The outcomes after kidney transplantation (KT), including access, wait time, and other issues around the globe, have been studied. However, issues do vary from one country to another. METHODS: We obtained data from several countries from North America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Australia, including the number of patients awaiting KT from 2015, transplant rate per million population (pmp), proportion of living donor and deceased donor (LD/DD) KT, and posttransplant survival. We also sought opinions on key difficulties faced by each of these countries with respect to KT and long-term survival. RESULTS: Variation in access to KT across the globe was noted. Countries with the highest rates of KT pmp included the United States (79%) and Spain (71%). A higher proportion of LD transplants was noted in Japan (93%), India (85%), Singapore (63%), and South Korea (63%). A higher proportion of DD KTs was noted in Spain (90%), Brazil (90%), France (85%), Italy (85%), Finland (85%), Australia-New Zealand (80%), and the United States (77%). The 5-y graft survival for LD was highest in South Korea (95%), Singapore (94%), Italy (93%), Finland (93%), and Japan (93%), whereas for DD, it was South Korea (93%), Italy (88%), Japan (86%), and Singapore (86%). The common issues surrounding KTs are access and a limited number of LDs and DDs. Key issues identified for long-term survival were increasing age of donors and recipients, higher recipient comorbidity, and posttransplant events, such as alloimmune injury to the kidney, infection, cancer, and suboptimal adherence to therapy. CONCLUSIONS: A unified approach is necessary to improve issues surrounding KT as the demand continues to increase.

Transitional B cell cytokines risk stratify early borderline rejection after renal transplantation.

Borderline rejection (BL) in renal transplantation is associated with decreased allograft survival, yet many patients with BL maintain stable graft function. Identifying patients with early BL at risk for shortened allograft survival would allow for timely targeted therapeutic intervention aimed at improving outcomes. 851/1187 patients transplanted between 2013-18 underwent early biopsy (0-4 mos). 217/851 (25%) had BL and were compared to 387/851 without significant inflammation (NI). Serial surveillance and for-cause biopsies and seven-year follow-up were used to evaluate histological and clinical progression. To identify high-risk patients, we examined clinical/histological parameters using regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction (tSNE) and a biomarker based on peripheral blood transitional-1 B cell (T1B) IL-10/TNFα ratio. Compared to NI, early BL was associated with increased progression to late acute rejection (AR; 5-12 mos), premature interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) and decreased seven-year graft survival. However, decreased graft survival was limited to BL patients who progressed to late AR or IFTA, and was not influenced by treatment. Although tSNE clustered patients into groups based on clinical factors, the ability of these factors to risk stratify BL patients was modest. In contrast, a low T1B IL-10/TNFα ratio at 3 months identified BL patients at high risk for progression to AR (ROC AUC 0.87) and poor 7-yr graft survival (52% vs. 92%, p=0.003), while BL patients with a high ratio had similar graft survival to patients with NI (91%, p=NS). Thus, progressive early allograft inflammation manifested as BL that progresses to late AR in the first post-transplant year represents a high-risk clinical state for poor allograft outcomes. Such high-risk status can be predicted by the T1B IL-10/TNFα ratio before irreversible scarring sets in, thus allowing timely risk stratification.

The combination of exposure to Tacrolimus, mycophenolic acid, Inosine 5'-Monophosphate Dehydrogenase activity and inhibition in the first week define early histological outcomes in renal transplant recipients.

Therapeutic drug monitoring is routine for Tacrolimus, while levels are not routinely monitored for mycophenolic acid (MPA). This study investigated the effect of early post-transplant pharmacokinetics (PK) of MPA and Tacrolimus along with the pharmacodynamics (PD) of MPA on biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) after renal transplantation. A prospective PK/PD study with limited sampling (three blood samples) was conducted in renal transplant recipients on week 1, around Day 6 (n = 42) and at the 3rd-month biopsy on Day 90 (n = 23). The partial exposures (area under curve [AUC]0-3.5 h ) of both MPA and Tacrolimus obtained during the first week were more predictive of rejection (combined clinical and subclinical rejection) by Day 90 than their trough concentrations or Day 90 exposures. Patients with rejection had significantly worse renal function (eGFR) and a comparatively lower exposure to MPA during the first post-transplant week. The lower MPA exposure was also associated with sub-optimal inosine monophosphate dehydrogenase (IMPDH) inhibition in patients with rejection, and the probability of rejection was higher in the presence of an increased pre-transplant IMPDH activity. A composite of parameters, including MPA exposure and IMPDH activity was found to predict acute rejection and may be beneficial along with tacrolimus monitoring early after renal transplantation.

Long-term immunological outcomes of early subclinical inflammation on surveillance kidney allograft biopsies.

The long-term impact of early subclinical inflammation (SCI) through surveillance biopsy has not been well studied. To do this, we recruited a prospective observational cohort that included 1000 sequential patients who received a kidney transplant from 2013-2017 at our center. A total of 586 patients who underwent a surveillance biopsy in their first year post-transplant were included after excluding those with clinical rejections, and those who were unable to undergo a surveillance biopsy. Patients were classified based on their biopsy findings: 282 with NSI (No Significant Inflammation) and 304 with SCI-T (SCI and Tubulitis) which was further subdivided into 182 with SC-BLR (Subclinical Borderline Changes) and 122 with SC-TCMR (Subclinical T Cell Mediated Rejection, Banff 2019 classification of 1A or more). We followed the clinical and immunological events including Clinical Biopsy Proven Acute Rejection [C-BPAR], long-term kidney function and death-censored graft loss over a median follow-up of five years. Episodes of C-BPAR were noted at a median of two years post-transplant. Adjusted odds of having a subsequent C-BPAR was significantly higher in the SCI-T group [SC-BLR and SC-TCMR] compared to NSI 3.8 (2.1-7.5). The adjusted hazard for death-censored graft loss was significantly higher with SCI-T compared to NSI [1.99 (1.04-3.84)]. Overall, SCI detected through surveillance biopsy within the first year post-transplant is a harbinger for subsequent immunological events and is associated with a significantly greater hazard for subsequent C-BPAR and death-censored graft loss. Thus, our study highlights the need for identifying patients with SCI through surveillance biopsy and develop strategies to prevent further alloimmune injuries.

The Clinical Impact of Anti-HLA Donor Specific Antibody Detection Through First Year Screening on Stable Kidney Transplant Recipients.

Anti-HLA Donor Specific Antibody (DSA) detection post kidney transplant has been associated with adverse outcomes, though the impact of early DSA screening on stable patients remain unclear. We analyzed impact of DSA detection through screening in 1st year stable patients (n = 736) on subsequent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), death censored graft survival (DCGS), and graft failure (graft loss including return to dialysis or re-transplant, patient death, or eGFR < 20 ml/min at last follow up). Patients were grouped using 1st year screening into DSA+ (Class I, II; n = 131) or DSA- (n = 605). DSA+ group were more DR mismatched (p = 0.02), more sensitized (cPRA ≥90%, p = 0.002), less Caucasian (p = 0.04), and had less pre-emptive (p = 0.04) and more deceased donor transplants (p = 0.03). DSA+ patients had similar eGFR (54.8 vs. 53.8 ml/min/1.73 m2, p = 0.56), DCGS (91% vs. 94%, p = 0.30), and graft failure free survival (76% vs. 82%, p = 0.11). DSA timing and type did not impact survival. Among those with a protocol biopsy (n = 515), DSA detected on 1st year screening was a predictor for graft failure on multivariate analysis (1.91, 95% CI 1.03-3.55, p = 0.04). Overall, early DSA detection in stable patients was an independent risk factor for graft failure, though only among those who underwent a protocol biopsy.

Rabbit antithymocyte globulin dose and early subclinical and clinical rejections in kidney transplantation.

Antithymocyte globulin (ATG) is a commonly used induction agent in kidney transplant recipients. However, the optimal dosing has not been well defined. Our protocol aims for a 5-6 mg/kg cumulative dose. It is unclear if a dose lower than 5 mg/kg is associated with more rejection. We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients who received a kidney transplant at our center between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2016. Primary outcome was biopsy proven acute rejection (clinical and subclinical) in the first 6 months after kidney transplant. CMV viremia in high risk (D+/R-) recipients and BK viremia was compared as a secondary endpoint. Of the 543 patients, the Low Dose (LD) group (n = 56) received <5 mg/kg ATG and Regular Dose (RD) group (n = 487) received ≧5 mg/kg. Patients in RD were more sensitized (higher PRA and CPRA). LD received a dose of 4 ± 1.1 mg/kg ATG whereas RD received 5.6 ± .3 mg/kg ATG (P < .001). TCMR (Banff 1A or greater) was present in 34% of patients in LD versus 22% in RD (P = .04) (OR 2.1; 95%CI 1.12-3.81; P = .019). There was no difference in the incidence of CMV or BK viremia. ATG doses lower than 5 mg/kg may be associated with a heightened risk of rejection despite a low degree of sensitization.

Impact of Subclinical and Clinical Kidney Allograft Rejection Within 1 Year Posttransplantation Among Compatible Transplant With Steroid Withdrawal Protocol.

Early acute kidney rejection remains an important clinical issue. METHODS: The current study included 552 recipients who had 1-2 surveillance or indication biopsy within the 1 y posttransplant. We evaluated the impact of type of allograft inflammation on allograft outcome. They were divided into 5 groups: no inflammation (NI: 95), subclinical inflammation (SCI: 244), subclinical T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) (SC-TCMR: 110), clinical TCMR (C-TCMR: 83), and antibody-mediated rejection (AMR: 20). Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time using linear mixed model, cumulative chronic allograft scores/interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) ≥2 at 12 mo, and survival estimates were compared between groups. RESULTS: The common types of rejections were C-TCMR (15%), SC-TCMR (19.9%), and AMR (3.6%) of patients. Eighteen of 20 patients with AMR had mixed rejection with TCMR. Key findings were as follows: (i) posttransplant renal function: eGFR was lower for patients with C-TCMR and AMR (P < 0.0001) compared with NI, SCI, and SC-TCMR groups. There was an increase in delta-creatinine from 3 to 12 mo and cumulative allograft chronicity scores at 12 mo (P < 0.001) according to the type of allograft inflammation. (ii) Allograft histology: the odds of IFTA ≥2 was higher for SC-TCMR (3.7 [1.3-10.4]; P = 0.04) but was not significant for C-TCMR (3.1 [1.0-9.4]; P = 0.26), and AMR (2.5 [0.5-12.8]; P = 0.84) compared with NI group, and (iii) graft loss: C-TCMR accounted for the largest number of graft losses and impending graft losses on long-term follow-up. Graft loss among patient with AMR was numerically higher but was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The type of kidney allograft inflammation predicted posttransplant eGFR, cumulative chronic allograft score/IFTA ≥2 at 12 mo, and graft loss.

Kidney allograft rejection: Diagnosis and treatment practices in USA- A UNOS survey.

We studied diverse rejection management strategies across centers by conducting a UNOS survey of kidney transplant program directors in 2017. There were 104 total responses from 235 kidney transplant programs representing 88 unique transplant programs (response rate 37%). Information was collected on center-specific management practices. Pertinent center-specific data were obtained from the OPTN database. Of the respondents, 33% were considered large centers (>100 transplants/year). Thymoglobulin was the most commonly used induction agent at 84%, 72% responders do rapid steroid withdrawal, and mycophenolic acid (MPA) is the major antimetabolite (100%). For diagnosing TCMR, 100% used indication biopsy, 28% used protocol biopsy, 2% used serum biomarkers, and none used urine cytokines. For ABMR, 99% used indication biopsy, 34% used protocol biopsy, 72% used DSA, 21% used C1q positive DSA, and none used gene profiling (ENDATS). The treatment of subclinical and clinical TCMR included iv/PO steroids. PP/IVIG were the commonest treatments for ABMR. The use of rituximab, bortezomib, and eculizumab increased from C4D-ABMR to recurrent ABMR. There are diverse management practices for diagnosing and treating rejection. An effort to harmonize these diverse practices for management of TCMR and ABMR will give an opportunity to pool data for evaluating clinical outcomes.

Economic analysis of screening for subclinical rejection in kidney transplantation using protocol biopsies and noninvasive biomarkers.

Subclinical rejection (SCR) screening in kidney transplantation (KT) using protocol biopsies and noninvasive biomarkers has not been evaluated from an economic perspective. We assessed cost-effectiveness from the health sector perspective of SCR screening in the first year after KT using a Markov model that compared no screening with screening using protocol biopsy or biomarker at 3 months, 12 months, 3 and 12 months, or 3, 6, and 12 months. We used 12% subclinical cellular rejection and 3% subclinical antibody-mediated rejection (SC-ABMR) for the base-case cohort. Results favored 1-time screening at peak SCR incidence rather than repeated screening. Screening 2 or 3 times was favored only with age <35 years and with high SC-ABMR incidence. Compared to biomarkers, protocol biopsy yielded more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at lower cost. A 12-month biopsy cost $13 318/QALY for the base-case cohort. Screening for cellular rejection in the absence of SC-ABMR was less cost effective with 12-month biopsy costing $46 370/QALY. Screening was less cost effective in patients >60 years. Using biomarker twice or thrice was cost effective only if biomarker cost was <$700. In conclusion, in KT, screening for SCR more than once during the first year is not economically reasonable. Screening with protocol biopsy was favored over biomarkers.

Preoperative Stratification of Liver Transplant Recipients: Validation of the LTRS.

BACKGROUND: The liver transplant risk score (LTRS) was developed to stratify 90-day mortality of patients referred for liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to validate the LTRS using a new cohort of patients. METHODS: The LTRS stratifies the risk of 90-day mortality of LT recipients based on their age, body mass index, diabetes, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and need for dialysis. We assessed the performance of the LTRS using a new cohort of patients transplanted in the United States between July 2013 and June 2017. Exclusion criteria were age <18 years, ABO incompatibility, redo or multivisceral transplants, partial grafts, malignancies other than hepatocellular carcinoma and fulminant hepatitis. RESULTS: We found a linear correlation between the number of points of the LTRS and 90-day mortality. Among 18 635 recipients, 90-day mortality was 2.7%, 3.8%, 5.2%, 4.8%, 6.7%, and 9.3% for recipients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). The LTRS also stratified 1-year mortality that was 5.5%, 7.7%, 9.9%, 9.3%, 10.8%, and 15.4% for 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). An inverse correlation was found between the LTRS and 4-year survival that was 82%, 79%, 78%, 82%, 78%, and 66% for patients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 points (P < 0.001). The LTRS remained an independent predictor after accounting for recipient sex, ethnicity, cause of liver disease, donor age, cold ischemia time, and waiting time. CONCLUSIONS: The LTRS can stratify the short- and long-term outcomes of LT recipients at the time of their evaluations irrespective of their gender, ethnicity, and primary cause of liver disease.

Early subclinical tubulitis and interstitial inflammation in kidney transplantation have adverse clinical implications.

This prospective observational cohort study compared the impact of subclinical tubulitis with or without interstitial inflammation to interstitial inflammation alone and to no inflammation in early post kidney transplant biopsies. A study cohort of 415 patients (living and deceased donor recipients) was divided into three groups on the basis of their three-month biopsy: 149 patients with No Inflammation (NI), 83 patients with Isolated Interstitial Inflammation (IIF), and 183 patients with Tubulitis [(with or without interstitial inflammation) (TIF) but not meeting criteria for Banff IA]. TIF was further divided into 56 patients with tubulitis without interstitial inflammation (TIF0) and 127 patients with tubulitis alongside interstitial inflammation (TIF1). TIF was significantly associated with higher incidence of subsequent T-cell mediated rejection (clinical or subclinical) at one year compared to IIF (31% vs 15%) and NI (31% vs 17%). Chronicity on one-year biopsy was significantly higher in TIF compared to IIF (22% vs 11%) and NI (22% vs 7%). De novo donor-specific antibody development was significantly higher in TIF compared to NI (6% vs 0.7%). Tubulitis subgroups (TIF0 and TIF1) revealed comparable effects on de novo donor-specific antibody and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy development. However, tubulitis with interstitial inflammation had a significantly higher incidence of subsequent rejection and posed an increased hazard for the composite end point (subsequent acute rejection and death censored graft loss) compared to other groups [adjusted hazard 2.1 (95% confidence interval 1.2-3.5)]. Thus, subclinical tubulitis is a marker of adverse immunological events, but tubulitis with interstitial inflammation has a worse prognosis. Hence, the Banff 1997 (TIF1) and Banff 2005 classifications (TIF) for borderline change may have different implications.

High Calcineurin Inhibitor Intrapatient Variability Is Associated With Renal Allograft Inflammation, Chronicity, and Graft Loss.

BACKGROUND: High calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) intrapatient variability (IPV) has been associated with poor kidney allograft outcomes. However, the relationship between early allograft histological changes, their progression, and CNI-IPV is less well studied. Hence, we evaluated effect of CNI-IPV defined by the degree of fluctuation of CNI levels in all kidney transplant patients over 2 to 12 months posttransplant on early allograft inflammation, subsequent chronicity, and later clinical outcomes. METHODS: Two hundred eighty-six patients transplanted from January 2013 to November 2014 were enrolled with protocol and indication biopsies. The mean CNI-IPV was 28.5% and a quarter of our cohort had IPV of 35% or greater (high CNI IPV). Baseline demographic differences were similar between high and low CNI IPV groups. RESULTS: High CNI-IPV was associated with a higher incidence of acute rejection (AR) within 1 year (52% vs 31% P < 0.001), more persistent/recurrent AR by 1 year (18.2% vs 6.2%, P = 0.002), higher-grade AR (≥Banff 1B, 27.5% vs 7.3%, P < 0.001), and worse interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (P = 0.005). High CNI-IPV was associated with increased graft loss (GL) and impending graft loss (iGL, defined as eGFR<30 ml/min and >30% decline in eGFR from baseline), regardless of donor-specific antibody, delayed graft function, rejection, or race. In a multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model, high CNI-IPV was independently associated with GL + iGL (hazard ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-5.9, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: High CNI-IPV within 1 year posttransplant is associated with higher incidence of AR, severe AR, allograft chronicity, GL, and iGL. This represents a subset of patients who are at risk for poor kidney transplant outcomes and potentially a modifiable risk factor for late allograft loss.