Assessment Indices of Littoral Habitat Condition for Lakes in Maine and New England, USA.

Littoral habitat is critical for lake biota but is adversely affected by residential shoreland development through the loss and reduced structural complexity of lakeshore vegetation. There currently exists no assessment methodology for evaluating littoral habitat condition of individual lakes in northeastern US. We addressed this assessment need by creating multi-metric indices of littoral habitat condition that focus on lakeshore residential development as the primary stressor. We did this by using habitat metrics derived primarily from National Lake Assessment (NLA) Physical Habitat (PHAB) survey field observations to create Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) models that assign lakeshore stations into littoral habitat condition categories. Lake PHAB survey data were used from New England NLA surveys as well as state-level surveys completed in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont. Prediction success rates in New England models averaged 83%. The Maine LDA models, which used finer scale survey methods, had an average prediction success rate of 89%. We used 95% bootstrapped confidence intervals to make assessment designations of natural (meeting reference quality), diminished (not meeting reference quality), or intermediate (existing between natural and diminished) littoral habitat condition for each lake. Our results show that efficacious single-lake littoral habitat assessments may be completed within the framework of NLA PHAB methodology, but confidence in assessment results, and therefore better-informed management decisions, can be improved with finer-scale observation data.

Earlier winter/spring runoff and snowmelt during warmer winters lead to lower summer chlorophyll-a in north temperate lakes.

Winter conditions, such as ice cover and snow accumulation, are changing rapidly at northern latitudes and can have important implications for lake processes. For example, snowmelt in the watershed-a defining feature of lake hydrology because it delivers a large portion of annual nutrient inputs-is becoming earlier. Consequently, earlier and a shorter duration of snowmelt are expected to affect annual phytoplankton biomass. To test this hypothesis, we developed an index of runoff timing based on the date when 50% of cumulative runoff between January 1 and May 31 had occurred. The runoff index was computed using stream discharge for inflows, outflows, or for flows from nearby streams for 41 lakes in Europe and North America. The runoff index was then compared with summer chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration (a proxy for phytoplankton biomass) across 5-53 years for each lake. Earlier runoff generally corresponded to lower summer Chl-a. Furthermore, years with earlier runoff also had lower winter/spring runoff magnitude, more protracted runoff, and earlier ice-out. We examined several lake characteristics that may regulate the strength of the relationship between runoff timing and summer Chl-a concentrations; however, our tested covariates had little effect on the relationship. Date of ice-out was not clearly related to summer Chl-a concentrations. Our results indicate that ongoing changes in winter conditions may have important consequences for summer phytoplankton biomass and production.