Development and Validation of Case-Finding Algorithms to Identify Pancreatic Cancer in the Veterans Health Administration.

BACKGROUND: Survival in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains poor due to late diagnosis. Electronic Health Records (EHRs) can be used to study this rare disease, but validated algorithms to identify PDAC in the United States EHRs do not currently exist. AIMS: To develop and validate an algorithm using Veterans Health Administration (VHA) EHR data for the identification of patients with PDAC. METHODS: We developed two algorithms to identify patients with PDAC in the VHA from 2002 to 2023. The algorithms required diagnosis of exocrine pancreatic cancer in either ≥ 1 or ≥ 2 of the following domains: (i) the VA national cancer registry, (ii) an inpatient encounter, or (iii) an outpatient encounter in an oncology setting. Among individuals identified with ≥ 1 of the above criteria, a random sample of 100 were reviewed by three gastroenterologists to adjudicate PDAC status. We also adjudicated fifty patients not qualifying for either algorithm. These patients died as inpatients and had alkaline phosphatase values within the interquartile range of patients who met ≥ 2 of the above criteria for PDAC. These expert adjudications allowed us to calculate the positive and negative predictive value of the algorithms. RESULTS: Of 10.8 million individuals, 25,533 met ≥ 1 criteria (PPV 83.0%, kappa statistic 0.93) and 13,693 individuals met ≥ 2 criteria (PPV 95.2%, kappa statistic 1.00). The NPV for PDAC was 100%. CONCLUSIONS: An algorithm incorporating readily available EHR data elements to identify patients with PDAC achieved excellent PPV and NPV. This algorithm is likely to enable future epidemiologic studies of PDAC.

Detection of hepatocellular carcinoma methylation markers in salivary DNA.

BACKGROUND: Alterations to DNA methylation have been identified in both hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tumor and circulating DNA from affected individuals. These markers have potential utility in HCC screening. Adherence to HCC screening is poor and acceptable HCC screening tests are needed. METHODS: A feasibility study was performed on a subset of case patients and control subjects from a prior study of risk factors for HCC. Case patients (n=12) included adults aged 47-85 years with a first diagnosis of HCC between 2011 and 2016 and without viral hepatitis. Control subjects (n=12) were matched on age, sex, and state of residence. Participants provided saliva samples for DNA genotyping. Log fold change in salivary DNA methylation at 1359 CpG sites representing 25 candidate genes previously associated with HCC was compared across case patients and control subjects. RESULTS: The quantity of DNA ranged from 9.65 to 257.79 µg. The purity of DNA isolates was good, with mean OD260/280 ratio of 1.78 (SD: 0.14). Of 25 candidate genes, 16 had at ≥1 CpG site with detectable differences in methylation across HCC case patients and control subjects. Sites differentially methylated in HCC case patients included genes encoding tumor suppressors (PRDM2, RUNX3, p15/16, and RASSF1/5), regulators of cell cycle progression (DAPK1 and TP73), and DNA repair (MGMT and GSTP1). No associations met the significance threshold 3.7 × 10-5 required for multiple comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: Salivary DNA may be a feasible alternative to blood samples in the era of novel DNA-based screening tests for HCC. The ease of saliva-based testing supports further investigation of its potential.

Community-Level Factors Associated with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence and Mortality: An Observational Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence and outcomes vary across populations in the United States, but few studies evaluate local drivers of observed disparities. We measured HCC incidence at the community level and assessed community-level HCC risk factors with the goal of informing resource allocation to improve early case detection, which is associated with improved outcomes. METHODS: Clinical and demographic data including census tract of residence for all adults diagnosed with HCC in the Connecticut Tumor Registry between 2008 and 2019 were combined with publicly available U.S. Census and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data at the ZIP Code tabulation area (ZCTA) level. The average annual incidence of HCC was calculated for each ZCTA and associations between community-level characteristics, HCC incidence, stage at diagnosis, and survival were evaluated. RESULTS: Average annual HCC incidence during the study period was 8.9/100,000 adults and varied from 0 to 97.7 per 100,000 adults by ZCTA. At the community level, lower rates of high school graduation, higher rates of poverty, and rural community type were associated with higher HCC incidence. Persons with HCC living in the highest incidence ZCTAs were diagnosed at a younger age and were less likely to be alive at 1, 2, and 5 years after diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Community-level socioeconomic factors are strongly associated with HCC incidence and survival in Connecticut. IMPACT: This reproducible geo-localization approach using cancer registry, Census, and CDC data can be used to identify communities most likely to benefit from health system investments to reduce disparities in HCC.

HCC is associated with diabetes and longitudinal blood glucose control in a national cohort with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is associated with HCC; however, the impact of longitudinal blood glucose (BG) control on HCC risk in cirrhosis is not well known. We investigated this knowledge gap in a cohort of United States Veterans with cirrhosis from 2015 to 2021. METHODS: We used repeated hemoglobin A1c measurements to categorize follow-up time according to BG control (defined as hemoglobin A1c < 7%) state over time: uncontrolled, nonsustained control (≤2 y), or sustained control (>2 y). We performed a sensitivity analysis using hemoglobin A1c < 8% to define BG control. We used Fine and Gray Cox proportional hazards regression with death and transplant as competing events to compare rates of incident HCC. RESULTS: Our study included 81,907 individuals, 56.2% of whom had diabetes at baseline. There were 8,002 incident HCCs. The rate of HCC was 18% higher in diabetes (95% CI: 13% - 24%), and the relative increase in the rate of HCC varied by etiology of cirrhosis from nonsignificant (HCV) to an increase of 120% (HBV). Uncontrolled and nonsustained BG control was associated with 1.80 (95% CI: 1.70-1.91) and 2.34 (95% CI: 2.21-2.48) times the rate of HCC compared to sustained BG control, respectively. Using Hgb A1c < 8% to define BG control, HCC rates in uncontrolled and nonsustained BG control were 2.43 (2.28-2.58) and 2.23 (2.11-2.36) times that observed in sustained BG control. CONCLUSIONS: Associations between diabetes and HCC in cirrhosis vary according to the longitudinal BG control state. Inadequate BG control is consistently associated with a higher risk of HCC, and long-term BG control should be considered in comprehensive cirrhosis care.

Do Polygenic Risk Scores Add to Clinical Data in Predicting Pancreatic Cancer? A Scoping Review.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) summarize an individual's germline genetic risk, but it is unclear whether PRS offer independent information for pancreatic cancer risk prediction beyond routine clinical data. METHODS: We searched 8 databases from database inception to March 10, 2023 to identify studies evaluating the independent performance of pancreatic cancer-specific PRS for pancreatic cancer beyond clinical risk factors. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies examined associations between a pancreatic cancer-specific PRS and pancreatic cancer. Seven studies evaluated risk factors beyond age and sex. Three studies evaluated the change in discrimination associated with the addition of PRS to routine risk factors and reported improvements (AUCs: 0.715 to 0.745; AUC 0.791 to 0.830; AUC from 0.694 to 0.711). Limitations to clinical applicability included using source populations younger/healthier than those at risk for pancreatic cancer (n = 10), exclusively of European ancestry (n = 13), or controls without relevant exposures (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: While most studies of pancreatic cancer-specific PRS did not evaluate the independent discrimination of PRS for pancreatic cancer beyond routine risk factors, three that did showed improvements in discrimination. IMPACT: For pancreatic cancer PRS to be clinically useful, they must demonstrate substantial improvements in discrimination beyond established risk factors, apply to diverse ancestral populations representative of those at risk for pancreatic cancer, and use appropriate controls.

Adherence to Tumor Board Recommendations in the Treatment of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous disease that typically arises in the setting of chronic liver disease, making treatment selection complex. Multidisciplinary liver tumor boards (MDLTB) have been shown to improve outcomes in patients with HCC. However, in many cases, patients evaluated by MDLTBs ultimately do not receive the board's recommended treatment. Purpose: This study aims to assess adherence to MDLTB recommendations for the treatment of HCC, the reasons for non-adherence, and the survival of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) Stage A patients treated with curative treatment compared to palliative locoregional therapy. Patients and Methods: A single-site, retrospective cohort study was conducted of all patients with treatment-naïve HCC who were evaluated by an MDLTB at a tertiary care center in Connecticut between 2013 and 2016, of which 225 patients met inclusion criteria. Investigators conducted a chart review and recorded adherence to the MDLTB's recommendations, and in cases of discordance, evaluated and recorded the underlying cause; investigators assessed MDLTB recommendations' compliance with BCLC guidelines. Survival data was accrued through February 1st of 2022 and analyzed via Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression. Results: Treatment adherent to MDLTB recommendations occurred in 85.3% of patients (n=192). The majority of non-adherence occurred in the management of BCLC Stage A disease. In cases where adherence was possible but the recommendation was not followed, most discrepancies were whether to treat with curative or palliative intent (20/24), with almost all discrepancies occurring in patients (19/20) with BCLC Stage A disease. For patients with Stage A unifocal HCC, those who received curative therapy lived significantly longer than patients who received palliative locoregional therapy (5.55 years vs 4.26 years, p=0.037). Conclusion: Most forms of non-adherence to MDLTB recommendations were unavoidable; however, treatment discordance in the management of patients with BCLC Stage A unifocal disease may present an opportunity for clinically significant quality improvement.

Systems approach to enhance Lynch syndrome diagnosis through tumour testing.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend universal mismatch repair (MMR) tumour testing of colorectal adenocarcinomas (CRCs) to screen for Lynch syndrome (LS). However, its implementation remains disjointed and referral for genetic testing dismal, particularly among minorities. We aimed to increase referral, cancer genetic testing and eventually LS diagnosis by developing the CLEAR LS (Closed Loop Enhanced Assessment and Referral for Lynch Syndrome) intervention, a systems approach which in the second phase was automated. METHODS: This is a cohort study of all patients diagnosed with CRC at an academic centre between 1 January 2012, when implementation of universal CRC testing began, and 31 January 2021. The original cohort spanned through 31 May 2015. Tumour testing included MMR immunohistochemistry, followed by BRAF V600E/MLH1 promoter methylation testing when indicated. The intervention included a manual phase (1 June 2015 through 31 July 2018), which systematised pathology screening and cancer genetics (CG) referral mechanisms, and an automated phase (1 August 2018 through 31 January 2021) using computer programming. RESULTS: A total of 249/1541 CRC (17.38%) had MMR loss of expression and 129 (8.37%) qualified for CG evaluation. Referral was 27.58% in the original cohort and 92.1% in the intervention (p<0.001). Patients seen by CG among referred were 27.58% in the original cohort and 74.3% in the intervention (p two-sided<0.001). The distribution of race/ethnicity among patients qualifying and referred for CG evaluation was not significantly different across cohorts. LS diagnosis increased from 0.56% (original cohort) to 1.43% (intervention). Cost per new diagnosis of LS decreased from US$173 675 to $87 960 from original cohort to intervention. CONCLUSION: Implementation of systematic case identification and referral support mechanisms significantly increased the proportion of patients undergoing genetic testing and doubled the percentage of patients diagnosed with LS with no referral differences across racial/ethnic groups.

Cancer tracking system improves timeliness of liver cancer care at a Veterans Hospital: A comparison of cohorts before and after implementation of an automated care coordination tool.

INTRODUCTION: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) requires complex care coordination. Patient safety may be compromised with untimely follow-up of abnormal liver imaging. This study evaluated whether an electronic case-finding and tracking system improved timeliness of HCC care. METHODS: An electronic medical record-linked abnormal imaging identification and tracking system was implemented at a Veterans Affairs Hospital. This system reviews all liver radiology reports, generates a queue of abnormal cases for review, and maintains a queue of cancer care events with due dates and automated reminders. This is a pre-/post-intervention cohort study to evaluate whether implementation of this tracking system reduced time between HCC diagnosis and treatment and time between first liver image suspicious for HCC, specialty care, diagnosis, and treatment at a Veterans Hospital. Patients diagnosed with HCC in the 37 months before tracking system implementation were compared to patients diagnosed with HCC in the 71 months after its implementation. Linear regression was used to calculate mean change in relevant intervals of care adjusted for age, race, ethnicity, BCLC stage, and indication for first suspicious image. RESULTS: There were 60 patients pre-intervention and 127 post-intervention. In the post-intervention group, adjusted mean time from diagnosis to treatment was 36 days shorter (p = 0.007), time from imaging to diagnosis 51 days shorter (p = 0.21), and time from imaging to treatment 87 days shorter (p = 0.05). Patients whose imaging was performed for HCC screening had the greatest improvement in time from diagnosis to treatment (63 days, p = 0.02) and from first suspicious image to treatment (179 days, p = 0.03). The post-intervention group also had a greater proportion of HCC diagnosed at earlier BCLC stages (p<0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The tracking system improved timeliness of HCC diagnosis and treatment and may be useful for improving HCC care delivery, including in health systems already implementing HCC screening.

Clinical implications of differences between real world and clinical trial usage of left ventricular assist devices for end stage heart failure.

IMPORTANCE: Patient outcomes in heart failure clinical trials are generally better than those observed in real-world settings. This may be related to stricter inclusion and exclusion criteria in clinical trials. OBJECTIVE: We study sought to characterize the clinical implications of differences between patients in clinical trials and those in a real-world registry of patients receiving left ventricular assist devices (LVADs). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study included all patients in INTERMACS (the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support) who were implanted with an axial flow LVAD from 2010 to 2015 to allow for equivalent comparisons. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Differences in patient characteristics and 2-year rates of adverse outcomes with those reported in the ENDURANCE and MOMENTUM 3 clinical trials. Survival analyses were used to assess the relationships between prespecified patient factors and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Of the 10,937 LVAD recipients identified in INTERMACS between 2010-2015, 44% met at least 1 clinical trial exclusion criterion. The 2-year incidence of stroke and death amongst LVAD recipients in INTERMACS and the landmark clinical trials differed significantly (P<0.04, both). Nevertheless, patients who would have been excluded from the clinical trials did not have dramatically different 2-year mortality outcomes in INTERMACS [2y survival estimate: 66.4%, 95% CI (64.9-67.9%) versus 71.9%, 95% CI (70.6-73.1%)]. Clinical interventions driving a significantly increased risk of death were relatively rare (<5% of implants) and included mechanical ventilation, ECMO, severe thrombocytopenia, and dialysis. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Most exclusion criteria used in LVAD clinical trials did not afford a substantially greater risk to patients in the real-world setting. In the relatively infrequent cases of end stage renal disease, thrombocytopenia, respiratory failure, and need for ECMO, the risks and benefits of LVAD therapy need careful weighting and further study.

Sex Differences in Patients Receiving Left Ventricular Assist Devices for End-Stage Heart Failure.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to use INTERMACS (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support) results to evaluate sex differences in the use and clinical outcomes of left ventricular assist devices (LVAD). BACKGROUND: Despite a similar incidence of heart failure in men and women, prior studies have highlighted potential underuse of LVADs in women, and studies of clinical outcomes have yielded conflicting results. METHODS: Patients were enrolled from the INTERMACS study who underwent implantation of their first continuous-flow LVAD between 2008 and 2017, and survival analyses stratified by sex were conducted. RESULTS: Among the 18,868 patients, 3,984 (21.1%) were women. At 1 year, women were less likely to undergo heart transplantation than men (17.9% vs. 20.0%, respectively; p = 0.003). After multivariable adjustments, women had a higher risk of death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07 to 1.23; p < 0.001) and were more likely to incur post-implantation adverse events, including rehospitalization, bleeding, stroke, and pump thrombosis or device malfunction. Although women younger than 50 years of age had an increased risk of death compared to men of the same age (HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.6), men and women 65 years of age and older had a similar risk of death (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 0.95 to 1.24). CONCLUSIONS: This study found that women had a higher risk of mortality and adverse events after LVAD. Only 1 in 5 LVADs were implanted in women, and women were less likely to receive a heart transplant than men. Further investigation is needed to understand the causes of adverse events and potential underuse of advanced treatment options in women.

Neurohormonal Blockade and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure Supported by Left Ventricular Assist Devices.

Importance: Left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) improve outcomes in patients with advanced heart failure, but little is known about the role of neurohormonal blockade (NHB) in treating these patients. Objective: To analyze the association between NHB blockade and outcomes in patients with LVADs. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort analysis of the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) included patients from more than 170 centers across the United States and Canada with continuous flow LVADs from 2008 to 2016 who were alive with the device in place at 6 months after implant. The data were analyzed between February and November 2019. Exposures: Patients were stratified based on exposure to NHB and represented all permutations of the following drug classes: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, ß-blockers, and mineralocorticoid antagonists. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcomes of interest were survival at 4 years and quality of life at 2 years based on Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores and a 6-minute walk test. Results: A total of 12 144 patients in INTERMACS met inclusion criteria, of whom 2526 (20.8% ) were women, 8088 (66.6%) were white, 3024 (24.9%) were African American, and 753 (6.2%) were Hispanic; the mean (SD) age was 56.8 (12.9) years. Of these, 10 419 (85.8%) were receiving NHB. Those receiving any NHB medication at 6 months had a better survival rate at 4 years compared with patients not receiving NHB (56.0%; 95% CI, 54.5%-57.5% vs 43.9%; 95% CI, 40.5%-47.7%). After sensitivity analyses with an adjusted model, this trend persisted with patients receiving triple therapy with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker, ß-blocker, and mineralocorticoid antagonist having the lowest hazard of death compared with patients in the other groups (hazard ratio, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.28-0.41). Compared with patients not receiving NHB, use of NHB was associated with a higher Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire score (66.6; bootstrapped 95% CI, 65.8-67.3 vs 63.0; bootstrapped 95% CI, 60.1-65.8; P = .02) and a 6-minute walk test (1103 ft; bootstrapped 95% CI, 1084-1123 ft vs 987 ft; bootstrapped 95% CI, 913-1060 ft; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with LVADs who tolerated NHB therapy, continued treatment was associated with improved survival and quality of life. The optimal heart failure regimen for patients after LVAD implant may be the initiation and continuation of guideline-directed medical therapy.

Clinical Outcomes After Left Ventricular Assist Device Implantation in Older Adults: An INTERMACS Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine outcomes after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation in older adults (>75 years of age). BACKGROUND: An aging heart failure population together with improvements in mechanical circulatory support (MCS) technology have led to increasing LVAD implantations in older adults. However, data presenting age-specific outcomes are limited. METHODS: Adult patients in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) who required durable MCS between 2008 and 2017 were included. Patients were stratified by 4 age groups: <55 years of age, 55 to 64 years of age, and >75 years of age. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were used to assess post-LVAD outcomes, with log-rank testing used to compare groups. Univariate and multivariate cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine predictors of survival and complications. RESULTS: A total of 20,939 individuals received an LVAD during the study period: 7,743 (37.0%) were <55 years of age, 6,755 (32.3%) were 55 to 64 years of age, 5,418 (25.9%) were 65 to 74 years of age, and 1,023 (4.9%) were ≥75 years of age or older. After multivariate adjustment, adults ≥75 years of age had increased mortality post-LVAD implantation. Elderly patients with LVADs had a higher incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding but lower rates of device thrombosis. Compared to 84.5% of patients <55 years of age who were discharged home, only 46.8% of adults ≥75 years of age were discharged home following implantation (p < 0.001). Use of a RVAD, serum albumin level, and 6-min walk test distances were identified as predictors of outcomes in the oldest cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Despite careful selection of older adults for LVAD implantation, age remains a significant predictor of mortality. Higher bleeding and lower clotting risk in elderly patients with LVADs support the use of a less intense antithrombotic regimen in this unique population.

Clinical Implications of Respiratory Failure in Patients Receiving Durable Left Ventricular Assist Devices for End-Stage Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The impact of respiratory failure on patients undergoing left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation is not well understood, especially since these patients were excluded from landmark clinical trials. We sought to evaluate the associations between immediate preimplant and postimplant respiratory failure on outcomes in advanced heart failure patients undergoing LVAD implantation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included all patients in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support who were implanted with continuous-flow LVADs from 2008 to 2016. Of the 16 362 patients who underwent continuous-flow LVAD placement, 906 (5.5%) required preimplant intubation within 48 hours before implantation, and 1001 (6.1%) patients developed respiratory failure within 1 week after implantation. A higher proportion of patients requiring preimplant intubation were Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support profile 1, required mechanical circulatory support, and presented with cardiac arrest or myocardial infarction (P<0.001, all). At 1 year, 54.3% of patients intubated preimplant were alive without transplant, 20.1% had been transplanted, and 24.2% died before transplant. Patients requiring preimplant intubation had higher rates of postimplant complications, including bleeding, stroke, and right ventricular assist device implantation (P<0.01 for all). Among Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support profile 1 patients, preimplant intubation incurred additional risk of death at 1 year compared with Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support profile 1 patients not intubated (hazard ratio, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.13-1.65]; P=0.001). After multivariable analysis, both preimplant intubation (hazard ratio, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.03-1.41]; P=0.021) and respiratory failure within 1 week (hazard ratio, 2.54 [95% CI, 2.26-2.85]; P<0.001) were associated with higher all-cause 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Respiratory failure both before and after LVAD implantation identifies an advanced heart failure population with significantly worse 1-year mortality. This data might be helpful in counseling patients and their families about expectations about life with an LVAD.