Long-term validity of the At Risk Mental State (ARMS) for predicting psychotic and non-psychotic mental disorders.

BACKGROUND: The long-term clinical validity of the At Risk Mental State (ARMS) for the prediction of non-psychotic mental disorders is unknown. METHODS: Clinical register-based cohort study including all non-psychotic individuals assessed by the Outreach And Support in South London (OASIS) service (2002-2015). The primary outcome was risk of developing any mental disorder (psychotic or non-psychotic). Analyses included Cox proportional hazard models, Kaplan-Meier survival/failure function and C statistics. RESULTS: A total of 710 subjects were included. A total of 411 subjects were at risk (ARMS+) and 299 not at risk (ARMS-). Relative to ARMS-, the ARMS+ was associated with an increased risk (HR=4.825) of developing psychotic disorders, and a reduced risk (HR=0.545) of developing non-psychotic disorders (mainly personality disorders). At 6-year, the ARMS designation retained high sensitivity (0.873) but only modest specificity (0.456) for the prediction of psychosis onset (AUC 0.68). The brief and limited intermittent psychotic symptoms (BLIPS) subgroup had a higher risk of developing psychosis, and a lower risk of developing non-psychotic disorders as compared to the attenuated psychotic symptoms (APS) subgroup (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In the long-term, the ARMS specifically predicts the onset of psychotic disorders, with modest accuracy, but not of non-psychotic disorders. Individuals meeting BLIPS criteria have distinct clinical outcomes. SIGNIFICANT OUTCOMES: In the long-term, the ARMS designation is still significantly associated with an increased risk of developing psychotic disorders but its prognostic accuracy is only modest. There is no evidence that the ARMS is associated with an increased risk of developing non-psychotic mental disorders. The BLIPS subgroup at lower risk of developing non-psychotic disorders compared to the APS subgroup. LIMITATIONS: While incident diagnoses employed in this study are high in ecological validity they have not been subjected to formal validation with research-based criteria.

Compositional generative mapping for tree-structured data--part II: topographic projection model.

We introduce GTM-SD (Generative Topographic Mapping for Structured Data), which is the first compositional generative model for topographic mapping of tree-structured data. GTM-SD exploits a scalable bottom-up hidden-tree Markov model that was introduced in Part I of this paper to achieve a recursive topographic mapping of hierarchical information. The proposed model allows efficient exploitation of contextual information from shared substructures by a recursive upward propagation on the tree structure which distributes substructure information across the topographic map. Compared to its noncompositional generative counterpart, GTM-SD is shown to allow the topographic mapping of the full sample tree, which includes a projection onto the lattice of all the distinct subtrees rooted in each of its nodes. Experimental results show that the continuous projection space generated by the smooth topographic mapping of GTM-SD yields a finer grained discrimination of the sample structures with respect to the state-of-the-art recursive neural network approach.

Trauma and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a case-control study from a population-based registry.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Published reports on the association between amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and trauma are controversial suggesting the need for a new case-control study done in a large population. METHODS: A case-control study was undertaken in Italy to assess this association. Cases were patients with newly diagnosed ALS from four population-based registries. For each case, two hospital controls were selected, matched for age, sex, and province of residence, one with a neurological (non-degenerative) disease and one with a non-neurological disease (other than orthopedic or surgical). Traumatic events (defined as accidental events causing injuries requiring medical care) were recorded with details on type, site, timing, severity, and complications. The risks were assessed as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), crude and adjusted for age, sex, education, interviewee (patient or surrogate), physical activity, smoking, alcohol, and coffee. RESULTS: The study population comprised 377 patients in each of the three groups. One or more traumatic events were reported by 225 cases (59.7%), 191 neurological controls (50.7%), and 179 non-neurological controls (47.5%) (P < 0.01) (OR 1.63; 95% CI 1.25-2.14) (P < 0.01). The ORs were 3.07 (95% CI 1.86-5.05) for patients reporting 3+ traumatic events and 2.44 (95% CI 1.36-4.40) for severe traumatic events. The ORs remained significant when the analysis was limited to events that occurred 5+ and 10+ years before ALS onset, to incident ALS, and direct informant. CONCLUSION: Antecedent trauma, repeated trauma, and severe trauma may be risk factors for ALS.

Circulating sex hormones and breast cancer risk factors in postmenopausal women: reanalysis of 13 studies.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer risk for postmenopausal women is positively associated with circulating concentrations of oestrogens and androgens, but the determinants of these hormones are not well understood. METHODS: Cross-sectional analyses of breast cancer risk factors and circulating hormone concentrations in more than 6000 postmenopausal women controls in 13 prospective studies. RESULTS: Concentrations of all hormones were lower in older than younger women, with the largest difference for dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS), whereas sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) was higher in the older women. Androgens were lower in women with bilateral ovariectomy than in naturally postmenopausal women, with the largest difference for free testosterone. All hormones were higher in obese than lean women, with the largest difference for free oestradiol, whereas SHBG was lower in obese women. Smokers of 15+ cigarettes per day had higher levels of all hormones than non-smokers, with the largest difference for testosterone. Drinkers of 20+ g alcohol per day had higher levels of all hormones, but lower SHBG, than non-drinkers, with the largest difference for DHEAS. Hormone concentrations were not strongly related to age at menarche, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy or family history of breast cancer. CONCLUSION: Sex hormone concentrations were strongly associated with several established or suspected risk factors for breast cancer, and may mediate the effects of these factors on breast cancer risk.

Highlights from "Italian Standards of care for Diabetes Mellitus 2009-2010".

The Italian Standards for the Treatment of Diabetes Mellitus represent a consensus document of the two Italian scientific diabetes societies (AMD and SID), providing specific recommendations for the diagnosis and treatment of diabetes and its complications. The level of scientific evidence behind every recommendation has been classified in accordance with the National Guidelines Plan. An original processing system was employed: the document prepared by the Editorial Team was published online for 20 days, and the suggestions and criticisms of about 30 persons were evaluated and integrated to those provided by a panel of diabetologists and members of other healthcare professions dedicated to diabetes care, as well as lay members. Lastly, the document was approved by AMD and SID National Steering Committees. In this version, some highlights of the full document (www.siditalia.it; www.aemmedi.it) concerning the main and most representative recommendations on diagnosis and treatment of diabetes and its complications as well as on diabetes care in some specific contexts, are reported.

Strongly correlated gases of Rydberg-dressed atoms: quantum and classical dynamics.

We discuss techniques to generate long-range interactions in a gas of ground state alkali atoms, by weakly admixing excited Rydberg states with laser light. This provides a tool to engineer strongly correlated phases with reduced decoherence from inelastic collisions and spontaneous emission. As an illustration, we discuss the quantum phases of dressed atoms with dipole-dipole interactions confined in a harmonic potential, as relevant to experiments. We show that residual spontaneous emission from the Rydberg state acts as a heating mechanism, leading to a quantum-classical crossover.

Bronchoalveolar lavage in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: what does it tell us?

Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) has only a limited role in diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). A finding of raised neutrophils (>5%) and eosinophils (>2%) is characteristic but not diagnostic of IPF. BAL cell count does not clearly differentiate between fibrotic non-specific interstitial pneumonia and IPF either diagnostically or prognostically. BAL in IPF should be considered in all patients with suspected infection, malignancy or acute exacerbations. In such cases, it may be diagnostic. Because of few and conflicting results BAL fluid analysis has very little clinical relevance determining prognosis and response to treatment in IPF.

Supersolid droplet crystal in a dipole-blockaded gas.

A novel supersolid phase is predicted for an ensemble of Rydberg atoms in the dipole-blockade regime, interacting via a repulsive dipolar potential softened at short distances. Using exact numerical techniques, we study the low-temperature phase diagram of this system, and observe an intriguing phase consisting of a crystal of mesoscopic superfluid droplets. At low temperature, phase coherence throughout the whole system, and the ensuing bulk superfluidity, are established through tunnelling of identical particles between neighboring droplets.

[Firearms related suicide/homicide rate among the security guards population in Italy]. / Suicidi e omicidi con l'arma di ordinanza. Analisi della casistica nelle guardie particolari giurate in Italia.

OBJECTIVE: The main aim of this study is evaluating the suicide/homicide rate of the Italian security guards population compared to other armed and general populations during a recent period. METHODS: The authors reviewed the incidence of suicides and homicides among security guards from 1996 to 2006 and, where information was available, a comparison was made with Italian population adapted by age. Comparisons with the general population were also made. RESULTS: The average rate of firearms related suicide among the security guards population during the established period was 11.7 per 100,000 persons-years (95% CI = 6.6-16.7) compared to a guns-related suicide rate of 0.7 per 100,000 person-years, (95% CI = 0.6-0.7) and a non-guns related rate of 5.5 per 100,000 persons-years, (95% CI = 5.2-5.9) for the general population adjusted for age. The overall homicide rate among security guards during the period was 11.4 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI = 6.2-15.4) compared with the homicide rate for the Italian population of 5.4 per 100,000 persons-years, (95% CI = 7.3-15.4). CONCLUSION: The rate of suicide and homicide among the Italian security guards population was higher than the suicide/homicide rate in the general population. These results show that the phenomenon we have described needs attention and specific prevention activities.

The advantage of women in cancer survival: an analysis of EUROCARE-4 data.

We analysed 1.6 million population-based EUROCARE-4 cancer cases (26 cancer sites, excluding sex-specific sites, and breast) from 23 countries to investigate the role of sex in cancer survival according to age at diagnosis, site, and European region. For 15 sites (salivary glands, head and neck, oesophagus, stomach, colon and rectum, pancreas, lung, pleura, bone, melanoma of skin, kidney, brain, thyroid, Hodgkin disease and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma) age- and region-adjusted relative survival was significantly higher in women than men. By multivariable analysis, women had significantly lower relative excess risk (RER) of death for the sites listed above plus multiple myeloma. Women significantly had higher RER of death for biliary tract, bladder and leukaemia. For all cancers combined women had a significant 5% lower RER of death. Age at diagnosis was the main determinant of the women's advantage, which, however, decreased with increasing age, becoming negligible in the elderly, suggesting that sex hormone patterns may have a role in women's superior ability to cope with cancer.

Suppression of inelastic collisions between polar molecules with a repulsive shield.

We propose and analyze a technique that allows one to suppress inelastic collisions and simultaneously enhance elastic interactions between cold polar molecules. The main idea is to cancel the leading dipole-dipole interaction with a suitable combination of static electric and microwave fields in such a way that the remaining van der Waals-type potential forms a three-dimensional repulsive shield. We analyze the elastic and inelastic scattering cross sections relevant for evaporative cooling of polar molecules and discuss the prospect for the creation of stable crystalline structures.

Cold atoms and molecules in self-assembled dipolar lattices.

We study the realization of lattice models, where cold atoms and molecules move as extra particles in a dipolar crystal of trapped polar molecules. The crystal is a self-assembled floating mesoscopic lattice structure with quantum dynamics given by phonons. We show that within an experimentally accessible parameter regime extended Hubbard models with tunable long-range phonon-mediated interactions describe the effective dynamics of dressed particles.

[Electrical manifestations of dead myocardium associated to proximal blocks of intermediate degree]. / Aspectos eléctricos de la asociación de miocardio inactivable y bloqueos tronculares de grado intermedio.

The electrical manifestation of dead myocardium associated to incomplete bundle branch block, i.e., with a limited "jumping wave" phenomenon, are exposed. Our description is based on previous experimental studies and validated by electro-anatomical comparisons. In previous experimental reports, the electrical manifestations of dead myocardium in the presence of varying degrees of associated block have also been described. The main electrocardiographic changes are related to the location and extent of damaged region and to degree of bundle branch block. If a left bundle branch block coexists with dead myocardium, small Q waves are registered in left unipolar leads exploring the damaged area. In these leads, the signs of subepicardial or transmural injury are increased. When a right proximal block coexists, the main changes concern the morphologies registered in the unipolar right epicardial and precordial leads. The electrical changes are due to the spatial orientation of the electromotive forces of ventricular depolarization and repolarization. The electrocardiographic changes described here can be satisfactorily understood in the light of the present knowledge on the ventricular electrical phenomenon.

Strongly correlated 2D quantum phases with cold polar molecules: controlling the shape of the interaction potential.

We discuss techniques to tune and shape the long-range part of the interaction potentials in quantum gases of bosonic polar molecules by dressing rotational excitations with static and microwave fields. This provides a novel tool towards engineering strongly correlated quantum phases in combination with low-dimensional trapping geometries. As an illustration, we discuss the 2D superfluid-crystal quantum phase transition for polar molecules interacting via an electric-field-induced dipole-dipole potential.

Aspectos eléctricos de la asociación de miocardio inactivable y bloqueos tronculares de grado intermedio / Electrical manifestations of dead myocardium associated to proximal blocks of intermediate degree

The electrical manifestation of dead myocardium associated to incomplete bundle branch block, i.e., with a limited [quot ]jumping wave[quot ] phenomenon, are exposed. Our description is based on previous experimental studies and validated by electro-anatomical comparisons. In previous experimental reports, the electrical manifestations of dead myocardium in the presence of varying degrees of associated block have also been described. The main electrocardiographic changes are related to the location and extent of damaged region and to degree of bundle branch block. If a left bundle branch block coexists with dead myocardium, small Q waves are registered in left unipolar leads exploring the damaged area. In these leads, the signs of subepicardial or transmural injury are increased. When a right proximal block coexists, the main changes concern the morphologies registered in the unipolar right epicardial and precordial leads. The electrical changes are due to the spatial orientation of the electromotive forces of ventricular depolarization and repolarization. The electrocardiographic changes described here can be satisfactorily understood in the light of the present knowledge on the ventricular electrical phenomenon.

Incidence of ALS in Lombardy, Italy.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence and trends of ALS in a large population at risk. METHODS: This study was performed in nine provinces of Lombardy in Northern Italy (population 4,947,554). Patients with newly diagnosed ALS were enrolled during the period 1998 to 2002 through a prospective regional register. For each patient, the main demographic and clinical information was collected by the caring physicians and reviewed by a panel of experts according to the original and revised El Escorial diagnostic criteria. Overall, age- and sex-specific and standardized annual incidence rates were calculated for the entire population and for each year and province separately. RESULTS: We studied 517 patients (M:F ratio 1.3) aged 18 to 92 years (mean 63.6). Onset of symptoms was bulbar in 29% of cases. ALS was definite in 45%, probable in 27%, probable laboratory supported in 3.5%, possible in 15%, and suspected in 10%. Mean disease duration at diagnosis was 10.6 months. The standardized incidence rate was 2.09 per 100,000/year (95% CI: 1.17 to 3.18). The rate, which was 2.43 in men and 1.76 in women, tended to increase up to ages 65 to 74 and to decrease thereafter. The rate was unchanged over time and presented moderate variations across provinces. The incidence rate of definite ALS was 0.93 (spinal-onset ALS 1.35; bulbar-onset ALS 0.74) and was consistently higher in men with spinal-onset ALS vs men with bulbar-onset ALS and women. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of ALS varied according to age, sex, and site of onset. No temporal and geographic clusters were detected over a 5-year period.

Reliability of urinary 6-sulfatoxymelatonin as a biomarker in breast cancer.

The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of cryopreservation at different storage temperatures on urinary 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (aMT6s) concentration. Overnight urine from 28 postmenopausal women participating in the ORDET cohort study was filtered and separated into 6 mL aliquots. Urine samples were stored at -80 degrees C and at -30 degrees C for an average of 14 years. Urinary aMT6s concentration was assessed using a competitive immunoassay. Mean aMT6s values of samples stored at -30 degrees C were systematically lower than those of samples stored at -80 degrees C (10.7 ng/mL versus 15.8 ng/mL, p<0.001). Bland Altman plots showed disagreement between determinations at different storage temperatures at the highest levels of the metabolite concentration. The degree of agreement evaluated in terms of intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.68 (95% CI 0.41-0.84, p<0.0001). Pearson's correlation coefficient between aMT6s values of the two differently stored samples was 0.93 (p<0.001), while the Kendal tau coefficient for rank distribution was 0.73 (p<0.001). Our data suggest that storage temperatures might affect degradation of aMT6s during storage. However, individual characterization by melatonin levels does not seem to be affected by cryopreservation conditions.

Manifestaciones eléctricas de alteraciones miocárdicas asociadas a preexcitación ventricular / On the electrical manifestations of some heart diseases associated with ventricular preexcitation

Electro-Vectorcardiographic curves, corresponding some heart diseases, must be analyzed in the light of the ventricular depolarization sequence, as well as on the heart's position and rotation. A more than 30-msec interval between the end of the initial slurring (delta) and the vertex of the R wave in the left unipolar leads or the main axis of the vectorcardiographic ventricular curves, allows us to infer the coexistence of left ventricular hypertrophy. On the other hand, segmental irregularities or distorsions of the electric curves suggest the presence of a limited myocardial zone unable to be activated. Extensive or multiple deformations of these curves are more suggestive of a diffuse myocardial damage. Sometimes signs of preexcitation, due to a pharmacological action, can also appear.

Apoyo metabólico del corazón isquémico en cirugía cardíaca / Metabolic support of the ischemic heart during cardiac surgery

We examine [IBM1] the basic principles and clinical results of the metabolic intervention with glucose-insulin-potassium (GIK) solutions in the field of cardiovascular surgery. On the basis of many international publications concerning this subject, and the experience obtained in the operating room of the Instituto Nacional de Cardiologia [quot ]Ignacio Chávez[quot ], we conclude that the metabolic support wit GIK is a powerful system that provides very useful energy to protect the myocardium during cardiac and non-cardiac surgery. The most recent publications indicate their effects in reducing low output syndromes, due to interventions on the coronary arteries, as well as producing a significant reduction of circulating fatty acids. These effects are produced also in the field of interventional cardiology, where GIK solutions protect the myocardium against damage due to impaired microcirculation. It is evident that these solutions must be utilized in higher concentrations that the initial ones, equal to those employed in laboratory animals. On the other side, it is worthy to remember that it has been always underlined that this treatment represents only a protection for the myocardium. Therefore, its association with other drugs or treatments favoring a good myocardial performance is not contraindicated--on the contrary, it yields better results. The present review presents pharmacological approaches, such as the use of glutamato, aspartate, piruvato, trimetazidina ranolazine and taurine to optimize cardiac energy metabolism, for the management of ischemic heart disease.