Polygenic risk score for blood pressure and lifestyle factors with overall and CVD mortality: a prospective cohort study in a Japanese population.

Although previous polygenic risk score (PRS) studies for cardiovascular disease (CVD) focused on incidence, few studies addressed CVD mortality and quantified risks by environmental exposures in different genetic liability groups. This prospective study aimed to examine the associations of blood pressure PRS with all-cause and CVD mortality and to quantify the attributable risk by modifiable lifestyles across different PRS strata. 9,296 participants in the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study without hypertension at baseline were analyzed in this analysis. PRS for systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure (PRSSBP and PRSDBP) were developed using publicly available Biobank Japan GWAS summary statistics. CVD-related mortality was defined by the International Classification of Diseases 10th version (I00-I99). Cox-proportional hazard model was used to examine associations of PRSs and lifestyle variables (smoking, drinking, and dietary sodium intake) with mortality. During a median 12.6-year follow-up period, we observed 273 all-cause and 41 CVD mortality cases. Compared to the middle PRS group (20-80th percentile), adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality at the top PRS group ( > 90th percentile) were 3.67 for PRSSBP and 2.92 for PRSDBP. Attributable risks of CVD mortality by modifiable lifestyles were higher in the high PRS group ( > 80th percentile) compared with the low PRS group (0-80th percentile). In summary, blood pressure PRS is associated with CVD mortality in the general Japanese population. Our study implies that integrating PRS with lifestyle could contribute to identify target populations for lifestyle intervention even though improvement of discriminatory ability by PRS alone is limited.

Duration of effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine in Japan: a retrospective cohort study using large-scale population-based registry data.

BACKGROUND: Most evidence of the waning of vaccine effectiveness is limited to a relatively short period after vaccination. METHODS: Data obtained from a linked database of healthcare administrative claims and vaccination records maintained by the municipality of a city in the Kanto region of Japan were used in this study. The study period extended from April 1, 2020, to December 31, 2022. The duration of the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine was analyzed using a time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model using the age, sex and history of cancer, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease as covariates. RESULTS: Among the 174,757 eligible individuals, 14,416 (8.3%) were diagnosed with COVID-19 and 936 (0.54%) were hospitalized for COVID-19. Multivariate analysis based on the time-dependent Cox regression model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed a lower incidence of COVID-19 in the one-dose group (hazard ratio, 0.76 [95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.91]), two-dose (0.89 [0.85-0.93]), three-dose (0.80 [0.76-0.85]), four-dose (0.93 [0.88-1.00]), and five-dose (0.72 [0.62-0.84]) groups. A lower incidence of COVID-19-related hospitalization was observed in the one-dose group (0.42 [0.21-0.81]), two-dose (0.44 [0.35-0.56]), three-dose (0.38 [0.30-0.47]), four-dose (0.20 [0.14-0.28]), and five-dose (0.11 [0.014-0.86]) groups. Multivariable analyses based on the time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model with reference of non-vaccine group revealed significant preventive effects of the vaccine for 4 months for the incidence of COVID-19 and ≥ 6 months for hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccine effectiveness showed gradual attenuation with time after vaccination; however, protective effects against the incidence of COVID-19 and hospitalization were maintained for 4 months and ≥ 6 months, respectively. These results may aid in formulating routine vaccination plans after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Interstitial Pneumonitis Following Sequential Administration of Programmed Death-1/Programmed Death-Ligand1 Inhibitors and Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors For Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Matched-Pair Cohort Study Using a Nationwide Inpatient Database.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether the sequential administration of programmed death (PD)-1/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors and epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) is associated with the development of severe interstitial pneumonitis (IP). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified 69,107 eligible patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from a Japanese national inpatient database, who initiated EGFR-TKI therapy. The study population was divided into the PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor and non-prior PD-1/PD-L1 groups based on PD-1/PD-L1 administration before EGFR-TKI therapy. We conducted 1:4 matched-pair cohort analyses (n = 9,725) to compare the incidence of IP and in-hospital mortality within 90 days of administration of EGFR-TKI between the two groups after adjusting for the clinical background. Furthermore, we performed subgroup analyses categorized according to the duration of prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor use. RESULTS: IP occurred in 4.4% of patients in the matched-pair cohort. PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor-use before EGFR-TKI therapy was significantly associated with IP (odds ratio [OR], 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34-2.38) and in-hospital mortality (OR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.72-2.55). Prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor use in an interval of <6 months before EGFR-TKI administration was associated with a higher risk of IP than EGFR-TKI administration without prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor. In-hospital mortality was higher in patients with prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor use than that in those without prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor use, irrespective of the treatment duration. CONCLUSION: Sequential use of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors and EGFR-TKIs in patients with non-small cell lung cancer was significantly associated with IP compared to EGFR-TKIs without prior PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor administration.

Body mass index and survival among patients with advanced biliary tract cancer: a single-institutional study with nationwide data-based validation.

BACKGROUND: Excess body weight may modulate the progression of various cancer types. The prognostic relevance of body mass index (BMI) has not been fully examined in patients with biliary tract cancer. METHODS: Using a single-institutional cohort of 360 patients receiving gemcitabine-based chemotherapy for advanced biliary tract cancer, we examined the association of BMI with overall survival (OS). Using the Cox regression model with adjustment for potential confounders, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for OS according to BMI. The findings were validated using a Japanese nationwide inpatient database including 8324 patients treated at 201 hospitals. RESULTS: In the clinical cohort, BMI was not associated with OS (Ptrend = 0.34). Compared to patients with BMI = 18.5-24.9 kg/m2, patients with BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 and ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 had adjusted HRs for OS of 1.06 (95% CI, 0.78-1.45) and 1.01 (95% CI, 0.74-1.39), respectively. There was no evidence on a non-linear relationship between BMI and OS (Pnonlinearity = 0.63). In the nationwide cohort, the null findings were validated (Ptrend = 0.18) with adjusted HRs of 1.07 (95% CI, 0.98-1.18) for BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 and 1.05 (95% CI, 0.96-1.14) for BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 (vs. BMI = 18.5-24.9 kg/m2). In the clinical cohort, BMI was not associated with progression-free survival (Ptrend = 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: BMI was not associated with survival outcomes of patients with advanced biliary tract cancer. Further research is warranted incorporating more detailed body composition metrics to explore the prognostic role of adiposity in biliary tract cancer.

Surgical Risk in Elderly Patients with Meningiomas in Japan.

Background/Objective: No guidelines indicate surgical risk factors for the elderly because of the lack of data from general neurosurgeons. To better understand the management of surgical risk in elderly patients with meningiomas based on a national database in Japan. Methods: Results of surgically treated meningiomas were explored in 8138 patients registered in the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database in Japan during 2010-2015. Age (<65, 65-74, and ≥75 years), sex, Barthel index (BI), medical history, tumor location, oral medication prescriptions on admission, and stroke complications were evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified risk factors for stroke complications, BI deterioration between admission and discharge, and in-hospital mortality. Results: Advanced age was the prominent risk factor for BI deterioration (odds ratio: 3.26; 95% confidence interval: 2.69-3.95) but not for in-hospital mortality. Lower BI (60-80) on admission increased the risk of BI deterioration in all age groups; however, BI < 60 demonstrated a significant inverse risk (0.47; 0.32-0.69) in the elderly (≥75 years). Location (falx, parasagittal, and deep) and anticoagulants were not significant risk factors for BI deterioration in patients aged ≥ 75 years, despite being significant risk factors in patients aged <65 and/or 65-74 years. Conclusions: Although advanced age could lead to postoperative functional decline at discharge, it was not sufficiently significant enough to be associated with in-hospital mortality. Because of the possibility of recovery even in elderly patients with severe disabilities, appropriate surgical selection and optimal management may lead to favorable functional outcomes in elderly patients with meningiomas.

Noninvasive Positive Airway Pressure Management for Post-extubation Support in Preterm Infants: Observational Cohort Study with Overlap Weighting Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Nasal continuous positive airway pressure (NCPAP), nasal intermittent positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV), and high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) are often used after initial extubation in preterm infants. However, data regarding the choice between NCPAP/NIPPV and HFNC are limited. This study examined which therapy was more effective as post-extubation support. METHODS: This is a retrospective, cohort study that used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database in Japan, 2011-2021. Propensity score overlap weighting analyses were performed to compare the composite outcomes of in-hospital death and reintubation in preterm infants who received NCPAP/NIPPV and HFNC. We identified infants born at gestational age 22-36 weeks who were intubated within 1 day of birth. We included patients who underwent NCPAP/NIPPV or HFNC after initial extubation. Patients with airway obstruction or congenital airway abnormalities were excluded. RESULTS: We identified 1,203 preterm infants treated with NCPAP/NIPPV (n = 525) or HFNC (n = 678). The median (interquartile range) gestational age at delivery was 30 (27-33) weeks, and birth weight was 1296 (884-1,802) g. Compared with the HFNC group, the NCPAP/NIPPV group had a significantly lower proportion of the composite outcome after the overlap weighting analysis (risk ratio, 0.62; 95% confidence interval, 0.47 to 0.83; p = 0.001). This significant difference was also observed in infants born at gestational age 22-31 weeks, whereas no significant difference was observed in infants born at gestational age 32-36 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: NCPAP/NIPPV may be a superior post-extubation support than HFNC in preterm infants, especially in those born at gestational age of 22-31 weeks.

Use of Japanese Herbal Kampo Medicine in Patients With Acute Cardiovascular Disease　- A 12-Year Nationwide Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Kampo, a Japanese herbal medicine, is approved for the treatment of various symptoms/conditions under national medical insurance coverage in Japan. However, the contemporary nationwide status of Kampo use among patients with acute cardiovascular diseases remains unknown.Methods and Results: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 2,547,559 patients hospitalized for acute cardiovascular disease (acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, pulmonary embolism, or aortic dissection) at 1,798 hospitals during the fiscal years 2010-2021. Kampo medicines were used in 227,008 (8.9%) patients, with a 3-fold increase from 2010 (4.3%) to 2021 (12.4%), regardless of age, sex, disease severity, and primary diagnosis. The top 5 medicines used were Daikenchuto (29.4%), Yokukansan (26.1%), Shakuyakukanzoto (15.8%), Rikkunshito (7.3%), and Goreisan (5.5%). From 2010 to 2021, Kampo medicines were initiated earlier during hospitalization (from a median of Day 7 to Day 3), and were used on a greater proportion of hospital days (median 16.7% vs. 21.4%). However, the percentage of patients continuing Kampo medicines after discharge declined from 57.9% in 2010 to 39.4% in 2021, indicating their temporary use. The frequency of Kampo use varied across hospitals, with the median percentage of patients prescribed Kampo medications increasing from 7.7% in 2010 to 11.5% in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study demonstrates increasing Kampo use in the management of acute cardiovascular diseases, warranting further pharmacoepidemiological studies on its effectiveness.

Metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease in cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: The risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) is high in cancer survivors. Although metabolic syndrome is an established risk factor for CVD, its association with cancer survivors has not yet been established. This study aimed to clarify whether metabolic syndrome is associated with subsequent CVD risk in patients with cancer using a nationwide epidemiological dataset. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 53 510 patients with a history of breast, colorectal, or stomach cancer, which is reportedly a major site for developing cancer in Japan. Study participants were categorized into two groups based on the presence of metabolic syndrome, defined using the Japanese criteria (high waist circumference and ≥2 metabolic parameters including elevated blood pressure, elevated triglycerides, reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or elevated fasting plasma glucose). The clinical outcomes were collected between 2005 and 2021. The primary endpoint was defined as the composite CVD outcome, including myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure. RESULTS: The median patient age was 54 years, and 37.5% of the patients were men. Metabolic syndrome was observed in 5558 (10.4%) patients. Over a mean follow-up period of 973 ± 791 days, 3085 composite CVD outcomes were recorded. Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that metabolic syndrome was associated with a greater risk of developing CVD events (HR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.15-1.45). Metabolic syndrome was also associated with an increased risk of CVD in patients with a follow-up period ≥1 year (HR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.15-1.53). This relationship was also observed when metabolic syndrome was defined according to the International Diabetes Federation criteria (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.21-1.49) and the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria (HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.19-1.46). Subgroup analyses showed that the relationship between metabolic syndrome and incident CVD was more pronounced in the non-obese participants than in the obese participants. CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic syndrome is associated with a greater risk of developing CVD, even among cancer survivors.

Postoperative Complications of Surgery for Cervical Spondylotic Myelopathy with and Without Athetoid Cerebral Palsy.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. OBJECTIVES: With the aging of the Japanese population, patients with athetoid cerebral palsy (ACP) are getting older, and the rate of surgery for CSM is increasing in ACP patients. However, postoperative complications of such surgery among adult patients with ACP have not been reported yet. We investigated postoperative complications of surgery for CSM with ACP and compared them with those of surgery for CSM without ACP using a national inpatient database of Japan. METHODS: Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we identified 61382 patients who underwent surgery for CSM from July 2010 to March 2018. We examined patient backgrounds, surgical procedures, and type of hospital, and a 4:1 propensity score matching was performed to compare the outcomes between the non-ACP and ACP groups. RESULTS: There were 60 847 patients without ACP and 535 patients with ACP. The mean age was 68.5 years in the non-ACP group and 55 years in the ACP group. The percentages of patients who underwent fusion surgery were 21.6% and 68.8% in the non-ACP and ACP groups, respectively. The 4:1 propensity score matching selected 1858 in the non-ACP group and 465 in the ACP group. The ACP group was more likely to have postoperative urinary tract infection (.4% vs 2.8%, P < .001), postoperative pneumonia (.4% vs 2.4%, P < .001), and 90-day readmission for reoperation (1.9% vs 4.3%, P = .003). CONCLUSIONS: We found that ACP patients were more vulnerable to postoperative complications and reoperation after CSM than non-ACP patients.

Factors associated with the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services in older adults in Japan: A nested case-control study.

AIM: To investigate the factors associated with introducing visiting-pharmacist services for community-dwelling older adults in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study using claims data in a cohort from a city in Tokyo. Patients aged ≥65 years who received visiting-pharmacist services for the first time between April 2014 and March 2020 were considered case patients. A maximum of four controls to each case patient were randomly selected on the basis of sex, age, health insurance systems, and month-year. Medical and long-term care service usage and patient condition were assessed using claims data from the index and preceding months, along with long-term care needs certification data. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was conducted to estimate the adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for factors associated with visiting-pharmacist service introduction. RESULTS: A total of 22 949 participants (4591 cases and 18 358 controls) were included, with a median age of 85 years; 59.3% were women. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the three most related factors were 27.61 (23.98-31.80) for physicians' home visits, 5.83 (5.08-6.70) for hospitalization, and 4.97 (4.16-5.95) for designated-facility admission. Factors such as prescribing ≧10 medications, visiting nursing, and cancer were positively associated. In contrast, low household income and a high need for support due to cognitive function or disability were negatively associated. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides insights into the introduction of visiting-pharmacist services for older adults in Japan. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 344-351.

Body mass index and outcomes in patients with Takotsubo syndrome: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is a cardiac disorder that mimics acute coronary syndrome at presentation. While previous studies have demonstrated a relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in acute coronary syndrome, few have examined its relationship with TTS. METHODS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified 14,551 patients admitted for TTS between 2010-2021. By applying multivariable regressions with restricted cubic splines, we examined the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Mean BMI was 21.1 kg/m2, classifying patients into severe underweight (<16.0 kg/m2, 7.1%), mild/moderate underweight (16.0-18.4 kg/m2, 18.3%), normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m2, 46.8%), overweight (23.0-27.4 kg/m2, 22.2%), and obese (≥27.5 kg/m2, 5.6%) groups. Patients with severe or mild/moderate underweight were older and had a higher prevalence of impaired physical activity, malignancy, chronic pulmonary disease, and pneumonia. In-hospital mortality was the highest (9.4%) in the severe underweight group, followed by the mild/moderate underweight group (5.4%), with the lowest being in the obese group (2.1%). Severe underweight (adjusted odds ratio=2.05 [95% CI=1.54-2.73]) and mild/moderate underweight (1.26 [1.01-1.57]) were significantly associated with higher mortality compared with normal weight, while no significant association was noted with obesity. A nonlinear association between continuous BMI and mortality was observed, with mortality increasing when BMI decreased <20.0 kg/m2 but nearly plateauing in BMI >20 kg/m2. CONCLUSIONS: The present nationwide analysis demonstrated a nonlinear association between BMI and in-hospital mortality of TTS. BMI is an easily available and clinically relevant marker for the risk stratification of TTS.

Optimal age to discontinue long-term surveillance of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: comparative cost-effectiveness of surveillance by age.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend long-term image-based surveillance for patients with low-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). This simulation study aimed to examine the comparative cost-effectiveness of continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages and define the optimal age to stop surveillance. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model with a lifetime horizon to simulate the clinical course of patients with IPMNs receiving imaging-based surveillance. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for continued versus discontinued surveillance at different ages to stop surveillance, stratified by sex and IPMN types (branch-duct vs mixed-type). We determined the optimal age to stop surveillance as the lowest age at which the ICER exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year. To estimate model parameters, we used a clinical cohort of 3000 patients with IPMNs and a national database including 40 166 patients with pancreatic cancer receiving pancreatectomy as well as published data. RESULTS: In male patients, the optimal age to stop surveillance was 76-78 years irrespective of the IPMN types, compared with 70, 73, 81, and 84 years for female patients with branch-duct IPMNs <20 mm, =20-29 mm, ≥30 mm and mixed-type IPMNs, respectively. The suggested ages became younger according to an increasing level of comorbidities. In cases with high comorbidity burden, the ICERs were above the willingness-to-pay threshold irrespective of sex and the size of branch-duct IPMNs. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of long-term IPMN surveillance depended on sex, IPMN types, and comorbidity levels, suggesting the potential to personalise patient management from the health economic perspective.

Association of Cancer and Its Interaction with Conventional Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease Risk.

Introduction We sought to examine the association of cancer history with the incidence of individual cardiovascular disease events and to clarify whether the history of cancer modifies the relationship between conventional cardiovascular risk factors and incident cardiovascular disease. Methods This retrospective cohort study used the JMDC Claims Database, including 3,531,683 individuals. The primary endpoint was the composite cardiovascular disease outcome, which included myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Results During a follow-up, 144,162 composite endpoints were recorded. Individuals with a history of cancer had a higher risk of developing composite cardiovascular disease events (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.22-1.29). The HRs for myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation were 1.11 (95% CI 0.98-1.27), 1.15 (95% CI 1.10-1.20), 1.11 (95% CI 1.05-1.18), 1.39 (95% CI 1.34-1.44), and 1.22 (95% CI 1.13-1.32), respectively. Individuals who required chemotherapy for cancer had a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease. Although conventional risk factors (e.g., overweight/obesity, hypertension, and diabetes) were associated with incident composite cardiovascular disease even in individuals with a history of cancer, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors were less in individuals with a history of cancer. Conclusion Individuals with a history of cancer (particularly those requiring chemotherapy) have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. Traditional risk factors are important in the development of cardiovascular disease in individuals with and without a history of cancer. In individuals with a history of cancer, however, the total population-attributable fractions of conventional risk factors decreased.

Machine Learning-based Models for Outpatient Prescription of Kampo Formulations: An Analysis of a Health Insurance Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widespread practice of Japanese traditional Kampo medicine, the characteristics of patients receiving various Kampo formulations have not been documented in detail. We applied a machine learning model to a health insurance claims database to identify the factors associated with the use of Kampo formulations. METHODS: A 10% sample of enrollees of the JMDC Claims Database in 2018 and 2019 was used to create the training and testing sets, respectively. Logistic regression analyses with lasso regularization were performed in the training set to construct models with prescriptions of 10 commonly used Kampo formulations in 1 year as the dependent variable and data of the preceding year as independent variables. Models were applied to the testing set to calculate the C-statistics. Additionally, the performance of simplified scores using 10 or 5 variables were evaluated. RESULTS: There were 338,924 and 399,174 enrollees in the training and testing sets, respectively. The commonly prescribed Kampo formulations included kakkonto, bakumondoto, and shoseityuto. Based on the lasso models, the C-statistics ranged from 0.643 (maoto) to 0.888 (tokishakuyakusan). The models identified both the common determinants of different Kampo formulations and the specific characteristics associated with particular Kampo formulations. The simplified scores were slightly inferior to full models. CONCLUSION: Lasso regression models showed good performance for explaining various Kampo prescriptions from claims data. The models identified the characteristics associated with Kampo formulation use.

A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning. METHODS: This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability. RESULTS: We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight. CONCLUSIONS: The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Association between aspirin dose and outcomes in patients with acute Kawasaki disease: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

This study aimed to identify the appropriate dose of aspirin to be prescribed to patients with acute Kawasaki disease (KD). Using a Japanese national inpatient database, we identified patients with KD treated with intravenous immunoglobulin between 2010 and 2021.The outcomes included the occurrence of coronary artery abnormalities and intravenous immunoglobulin resistance, length of hospital stay, and medical costs. Restricted cubic spline functions were performed to examine the association between aspirin dose and the outcomes. Data of 82,109 patients were extracted from the database. Non-linear associations were observed between aspirin dose and the outcomes. In comparison with an aspirin dose of 30 mg/kg/day, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for coronary artery abnormalities was 1.40 (1.13-1.75) at 5 mg/kg/day. An aspirin dose of ≥ 30 mg/kg/day did not significantly change the odds ratio for coronary artery abnormalities. Intravenous immunoglobulin resistance was significantly lower at a dose of 60 mg/kg/day or higher. CONCLUSION:  The results showed no significant association between aspirin escalation over standard-dose and coronary artery abnormalities in patients with acute KD. High-dose aspirin showed the potential to reduce hospital stay and medical costs without increasing complications. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Aspirin is used as a standard treatment together with intravenous immunoglobulin for acute Kawasaki disease (KD). However, few studies have shown the most effective dosage of aspirin to prevent coronary artery abnormalities (CAAs). WHAT IS NEW: • There was no significant association between aspirin dose escalation and CAAs in patients with acute KD.

Antiemetic Effect of Rikkunshito, a Japanese Kampo Herbal Medicine, on Cisplatin-induced Nausea and Vomiting: A Nationwide Database Study in Japan.

Objective The effect of Rikkunshito, a Japanese herbal Kampo medicine, on chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) has been evaluated in several small prospective studies, with mixed results. We retrospectively evaluated the antiemetic effects of Rikkunshito in patients undergoing cisplatin-based chemotherapy using a large-scale database in Japan. Methods The Diagnosis Procedure Combination inpatient database from July 2010 to March 2019 was used to compare adult patients with malignant tumors who had received Rikkunshito on or before the day of cisplatin administration (Rikkunshito group) and those who had not (control group). Antiemetics on days 2 and 3 and days 4 and beyond following cisplatin administration were used as surrogate outcomes for CINV. Patient backgrounds were adjusted using the stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, and outcomes were compared using univariable regression models. Results We identified 669 and 123,378 patients in the Rikkunshito and control groups, respectively. There were significantly fewer patients using intravenous 5-HT3-receptor antagonists in the Rikkunshito group (odds ratio, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.87; p=0.023) on days 2 and 3 of cisplatin-based chemotherapy. Conclusion The reduced use of antiemetics on day 2 and beyond of cisplatin administration suggested a beneficial effect of Rikkunshito in palliating the symptoms of CINV.

Predicting mortality in pediatric sepsis: A nationwide data analysis using a pediatric sepsis surveillance method.

INTRODUCTION: A sepsis surveillance method using electronic health records is increasingly used to describe the epidemiology of adult sepsis. However, its application in pediatric populations has been limited, and real-world epidemiology of pediatric sepsis remains unknown. We aimed to determine whether this surveillance method could identify children with sepsis at high-risk of mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From a nationwide inpatient database in Japan, we included children who underwent blood culture and received antimicrobials for ≥ 4 days between 2014 and 2021. We stratified these children into those with sepsis or without sepsis by the presence of organ dysfunction. We evaluated the discrimination for in-hospital mortality by the sepsis diagnosis and the number of organ dysfunction. RESULTS: Among 6553 eligible children, in-hospital mortality was 7.2 % in 875 children with sepsis and 0.2 % in 5678 children without sepsis. Sepsis diagnosis discriminated in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 0.84 and a specificity of 0.87. The area under the curve for mortality based on the number of organ dysfunction was 0.88 (95 % confidence interval:0.84 to 0.93). In-hospital mortality incrementally increased with the number of organ dysfunction; zero, 0.2 %; one, 3.4 %; two, 12.7 %; three, 20.9 %; four, 33.3 %; and five, 50.0 %. CONCLUSIONS: The surveillance method effectively identified children with sepsis with high-risk of mortality and demonstrated strong discrimination of mortality.

Ocular Adverse Events After Influenza Vaccination in Older Adults: Self-Controlled Case Series Using a Large Database in Japan.

BACKGROUND: To clarify the risk of adverse ocular events following influenza vaccination. METHODS: This self-controlled case series study used a claims database linked to vaccination records of a large city in Japan between April 2014 and September 2021. Individuals aged ≥ 65 years who developed adverse ocular events during the follow-up period were included. The exposure was influenza vaccination. The primary outcome was defined as the occurrence of at least one of the following five eye diseases: uveitis, scleritis, retinal vein occlusion, retinal artery occlusion, or optic neuritis. Conditional Poisson regression was used to estimate the within-subject incidence rate ratio of ocular adverse events during the risk period (0-56 days after vaccination) compared to the control period. RESULTS: A total of 4,527 cases were eligible for the study (median age, 74 years; male, 42%). The incidence rate ratio for the outcome during the risk period was 0.99 (95% confidence interval, 0.87 to 1.14). No increased risk was observed for individual components of the outcome either; the incidence rate ratio was 0.94 (0.78 to 1.13) for uveitis, 1.17 (0.86 to 1.59) for scleritis, 0.98 (0.76 to 1.27) for retinal vein occlusion, 0.89 (0.42 to 1.87) for retinal artery occlusion, and 0.87 (0.44 to 1.70) for optic neuritis. CONCLUSIONS: This self-controlled case series showed no apparent increase in the risk of adverse ocular events after influenza vaccination among older adults. These results mitigate the concerns of older adults who may hesitate to receive influenza vaccination for fear of adverse ocular events. ABBREVIATION: HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval; RVO = retinal vein occlusion; SCCS = self-controlled case series.

Association of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease With Risk of HF and AF.

Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a novel concept of hepatic disease. Although the prevalences of heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are increasing worldwide, limited data have assessed the extent to which MAFLD is associated with incident HF and AF. Objectives: The authors sought to examine the association of MAFLD with incident HF and AF. Methods: Analyses were conducted using a nationwide epidemiologic database including 3,279,918 individuals (median age 45 years; 57.6% men). Metabolic dysfunction was defined as 1 or more of the following: overweight (body mass index ≥23 kg/m2), metabolic syndrome, or diabetes mellitus. FLD was defined as fatty liver index of >30. MAFLD was defined as the coexistence of metabolic dysfunction and FLD. We categorized study participants into 4 groups: non-FLD/nonmetabolic dysfunction (n = 1,709,116), metabolic dysfunction (n = 584,483), FLD (n = 89,497), and MAFLD (n = 896,822). The primary outcomes were HF and AF. Results: Over a mean follow-up period of 1,160 ± 905 days, 62,746 incident HF events and 15,408 incident AF events were recorded. Compared with the non-FLD/non-metabolic dysfunction group, HRs for HF and AF, respectively, were 1.20 (95% CI: 1.18-1.23) and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.08-1.19) for metabolic dysfunction, 1.24 (95% CI: 1.19-1.30) and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.04-1.23) for FLD, and 1.73 (95% CI: 1.69-1.76) and 1.51 (95% CI: 1.46-1.57) for MAFLD. MAFLD was also associated with a higher risk of developing myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, and stroke. A risk of developing cardiovascular events differed between MAFLD subtypes (Wald test P < 0.001). Conclusions: MAFLD was associated with a greater risk of developing HF and AF, suggesting the clinical importance of this novel hepatic disease concept.