North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply.

Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection, attribution, prediction and projection of climate change1-3. Although inter-model agreement is high for large-scale temperature signals, dynamical changes in atmospheric circulation are very uncertain4. This leads to low confidence in regional projections, especially for precipitation, over the coming decades5,6. The chaotic nature of the climate system7-9 may also mean that signal uncertainties are largely irreducible. However, climate projections are difficult to verify until further observations become available. Here we assess retrospective climate model predictions of the past six decades and show that decadal variations in North Atlantic winter climate are highly predictable, despite a lack of agreement between individual model simulations and the poor predictive ability of raw model outputs. Crucially, current models underestimate the predictable signal (the predictable fraction of the total variability) of the North Atlantic Oscillation (the leading mode of variability in North Atlantic atmospheric circulation) by an order of magnitude. Consequently, compared to perfect models, 100 times as many ensemble members are needed in current models to extract this signal, and its effects on the climate are underestimated relative to other factors. To address these limitations, we implement a two-stage post-processing technique. We first adjust the variance of the ensemble-mean North Atlantic Oscillation forecast to match the observed variance of the predictable signal. We then select and use only the ensemble members with a North Atlantic Oscillation sufficiently close to the variance-adjusted ensemble-mean forecast North Atlantic Oscillation. This approach greatly improves decadal predictions of winter climate for Europe and eastern North America. Predictions of Atlantic multidecadal variability are also improved, suggesting that the North Atlantic Oscillation is not driven solely by Atlantic multidecadal variability. Our results highlight the need to understand why the signal-to-noise ratio is too small in current climate models10, and the extent to which correcting this model error would reduce uncertainties in regional climate change projections on timescales beyond a decade.

Ultrasmall Moment Incommensurate Spin Density Wave Order Masking a Ferromagnetic Quantum Critical Point in NbFe_{2}.

In the metallic magnet Nb_{1-y}Fe_{2+y}, the low temperature threshold of ferromagnetism can be investigated by varying the Fe excess y within a narrow homogeneity range. We use elastic neutron scattering to track the evolution of magnetic order from Fe-rich, ferromagnetic Nb_{0.981}Fe_{2.019} to approximately stoichiometric NbFe_{2}, in which we can, for the first time, characterize a long-wavelength spin density wave state burying a ferromagnetic quantum critical point. The associated ordering wave vector q_{SDW}=(0,0,l_{SDW}) is found to depend significantly on y and T, staying finite but decreasing as the ferromagnetic state is approached. The phase diagram follows a two-order-parameter Landau theory, for which all of the coefficients can now be determined. Our findings suggest that the emergence of spin density wave order cannot be attributed to band structure effects alone. They indicate a common microscopic origin of both types of magnetic order and provide strong constraints on related theoretical scenarios based on, e.g., quantum order by disorder.

Screened moments and extrinsic in-gap states in samarium hexaboride.

Samarium hexaboride (SmB6) is a Kondo insulator, with a narrow gap due to hybridization between localized and conduction electrons. Despite being an insulator, many samples show metal-like properties. Rare-earth purification is exceedingly difficult, and nominally pure samples may contain 2% or more of impurities. Here to determine the effects of rare-earth doping on SmB6, we synthesized and probed a series of gadolinium-doped samples. We found a relationship between specific heat and impurity moment screening which scales systematically. Consistent with this finding, our neutron scattering experiments of a high purity sample of doubly isotopic 154Sm11B6 show no intrinsic excitations below the well-established 13 meV spin-exciton. The result of introducing impurities into a Kondo insulator is incompletely understood, but it is clear from our measurements that there is a systematic relationship between rare-earth impurities and metal-like properties in SmB6.

Magnetic moments induce strong phonon renormalization in FeSi.

The interactions of electronic, spin and lattice degrees of freedom in solids result in complex phase diagrams, new emergent phenomena and technical applications. While electron-phonon coupling is well understood, and interactions between spin and electronic excitations are intensely investigated, only little is known about the dynamic interactions between spin and lattice excitations. Noncentrosymmetric FeSi is known to undergo with increasing temperature a crossover from insulating to metallic behaviour with concomitant magnetic fluctuations, and exhibits strongly temperature-dependent phonon energies. Here we show by detailed inelastic neutron-scattering measurements and ab initio calculations that the phonon renormalization in FeSi is linked to its unconventional magnetic properties. Electronic states mediating conventional electron-phonon coupling are only activated in the presence of strong magnetic fluctuations. Furthermore, phonons entailing strongly varying Fe-Fe distances are damped via dynamic coupling to the temperature-induced magnetic moments, highlighting FeSi as a material with direct spin-phonon coupling and multiple interaction paths.

Interaction driven subgap spin exciton in the Kondo insulator SmB6.

Using inelastic neutron scattering, we map a 14 meV coherent resonant mode in the topological Kondo insulator SmB6 and describe its relation to the low energy insulating band structure. The resonant intensity is confined to the X and R high symmetry points, repeating outside the first Brillouin zone and dispersing less than 2 meV, with a 5d-like magnetic form factor. We present a slave-boson treatment of the Anderson Hamiltonian with a third neighbor dominated hybridized band structure. This approach produces a spin exciton below the charge gap with features that are consistent with the observed neutron scattering. We find that maxima in the wave vector dependence of the inelastic neutron scattering indicate band inversion.

Magnetic excitations in EuCu2(Si(x)Ge(1-x))2: from mixed valence towards magnetism.

We report the inelastic neutron scattering study of spin dynamics in EuCu(2)(Si(x)Ge(1-x))(2) (x = 1, 0.9, 0.75, 0.6), performed in a wide temperature range. At x = 1 the magnetic excitation spectrum was found to be represented by the double-peak structure well below the energy range of the Eu(3+) spin-orbit (SO) excitation (7)F(0)→(7)F(1), so that at least the high-energy spectral component can be assigned to the renormalized SO transition. Change of the Eu valence towards 2 + with increased temperature and/or Ge concentration results in further renormalization (lowering the energy) and gradual suppression of both inelastic peaks in the spectrum, along with developing sizeable quasielastic signal. The origin of the spectral structure and its evolution is discussed in terms of excitonic model for the mixed valence state.

Interplay of low-energy phonons and magnetic excitations in the Kondo insulator YbB12.

Peculiarities in the lattice dynamics of the Kondo insulator Y bB(12) have been studied by inelastic neutron scattering. Selected phonon modes were traced above and below the temperature region (T ~ 50 K) where the gap opens in the electron density of states. The intensities of some low-energy modes exhibit an anomalous temperature dependence for q vectors close to the Brillouin zone boundary, suggesting a renormalization of the phonon eigenvectors. This effect is thought to arise from a coupling with magnetic excitations of the same symmetry, which exist at nearby energies. It is argued that this magnetovibrational coupling may in turn play a role in the steep temperature crossover existing in Y bB(12) between the low-temperature (Kondo insulator) and high-temperature (incoherent spin-fluctuation) regimes, which is rapidly suppressed by lighter Zr substitution.

Polarized-neutron study of spin dynamics in the Kondo insulator YbB12.

Inelastic neutron scattering experiments have been performed on the archetype compound YbB(12), using neutron polarization analysis to separate the magnetic signal from the phonon background. With decreasing temperature, components characteristic for a single-site spin-fluctuation dynamics are suppressed, giving place to specific, strongly Q-dependent, low-energy excitations near the spin-gap edge. This crossover is discussed in terms of a simple crystal-field description of the incoherent high-temperature state and a predominantly local mechanism for the formation of the low-temperature singlet ground state.

Novel coexistence of superconductivity with two distinct magnetic orders.

The heavy fermion system exhibits properties that range from an incommensurate antiferromagnet for small to an exotic superconductor on the Ir-rich end of the phase diagram. At intermediate where antiferromagnetism coexists with superconductivity, two types of magnetic order are observed: the incommensurate one of and a new, commensurate antiferromagnetism that orders separately. The coexistence of -electron superconductivity with two distinct -electron magnetic orders is unique among unconventional superconductors, adding a new variety to the usual coexistence found in magnetic superconductors.

The rhizoplast of chrysomonads, a basal body-nucleus connector that polarises the dividing spindle.

An ultrastructure study of the rhizoplast in Synura petersenii, Mallomonas fastigiata, and M. insignis shows that it consists of 15-20 striated rootlets that form a claw or an incomplete cone over the nucleus. These rootlets course along one face of the nucleus between the nuclear membrane and the cis-face of the Golgi stack of cisternae. They converge and merge above the nucleus, forming a stub attached to the proximal section of the two basal bodies. These cross-striated rootlets are composed of closely packed longitudinal microfibrils. By immunofluorescence, the basal bodies and the rootlets forming the claw were decorated by the anti-centrin monoclonal antibody ICL19 raised against the Paramecium tetraurelia acidic centrin protein and by two antibodies raised against the striated parabasal and costal striated fibres of trichomonads. Only the anti-centrin monoclonal antibody 20H5 raised against Chlamydomonas reinhardtii centrin strongly labelled the 20-22 kDa protein bands from the extracted cytoskeleton of S. petersenii by immunoblotting. Electron micrographs of mitosis in S. petersenii cells revealed that the segregated pairs of basal bodies are linked by the striated rootlets of the rhizoplast to the poles of the mitotic spindle. The spindle microtubules arise perpendicularly from the striated rootlets of the basal body-nucleus connector forming the centrosome. In conclusion, in these cells there is a basal body-nucleus connector similar to that of C. reinhardtii and other chlorophytes. It contains centrin proteins, it is involved in the linkage of the basal bodies to the nucleus and is a component of the spindle pole body or centrosome in the dividing cell.

Automation of a series of cutaneous topography measurements from silicon rubber replicas.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Skin relief is a matter of interest for dermatologists and surgeons. One of the methods available for surface topography measurement is based on 3D profilometry using skin surface replicas. and most studies use statistical results obtained from a large number of skin replica samples. The advent of optical profilometers (without contact) made it possible to remove the solid positive replica and to reduce the duration of the profilometric data acquisition. Nevertheless this saving of time, to be really interesting, needs to automate the data acquisition on a series of negative replicas. METHODS/RESULTS: By adding a video camera to the optical profilometer and then by processing the resulting images, we have conceived a system able to carry out topographic measurements on a series of replicas loosely organized on a sample holder, without any human intervention. The silicon replicas in use have a very light colour: nearly white, sometimes slightly blue or green. The laser spot of the profilometer is so luminous that its red colour looks white through the camera. When choosing a replica holder with a matt dark colour and marking the left upper corner of the study area on the replica in black ink, the colours to be differentiated on the image are then close to the black one and the white one. We accordingly change the colour camera image into a black and white image (with 256 grey levels) and then carry out thresholdings to separate the different objects or information included in this image. With the use of a perfectly circular replica, of an accurately known size, laid on the sample holder at the center of the area filmed by the camera, we adjust the threshold level, which allows separation of the replica from its holder. We then move this calibrated replica in order to find the relationship between the size in pixels and the real size on the sample holder, in various positions of the video image. The software has four main built-in stages: Moving the sample holder beneath the sensor until a part of a replica is detected in the field of view of the camera; Moving the sample holder until this replica lies just in the middle of the image given by the camera; Recognition of the mark of the upper left corner of the surface area to be measured out inside this replica; and Moving the sample holder until the laser spot of the profilometer coincides with the origin of the surface area to be measured out, then carrying out this measurement. From the upper left corner of the sample holder, a scanning, line-by-line or column-by-column (according to the selected priority direction), is carried out until the successive replicas are found, and is stopped as soon as the number of replicas entered by the operator is reached. CONCLUSION: The simplicity of the algorithms used makes it possible to distinguish the next measurement area from the preceding one in a few seconds.

Staggered field effect on the one-dimensional S = 1/2 antiferromagnet Yb4As3.

Inelastic neutron scattering measurements of magnetic excitations in the charge-ordered state of Yb4As3 have been performed under magnetic field up to about 6 T. By applying a magnetic field, the spectrum at the one-dimensional wave vector q = 1 [ pi/d] changes drastically from a broad one corresponding to the spinon excitation continuum of the one-dimensional S = 1 / 2 spin system to a sharp one at a finite energy, indicating the opening of an energy gap in the system. The magnetic field dependence of the gap is well fitted by the power law H2/3. The experimental result gives strong evidence for the existence of a staggered field alternating along Yb3+ chains induced by the Dzyaloshinsky-Moriya interaction.

3-D profilometer using a CCD linear image sensor: application to skin surface topography measurement.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Measurement of cutaneous surface topography can be made by three-dimensional (3-D) profilometry. Different equipment is used for this measurement. The magnitude of the vertical scale required, which can vary from several tens of micrometers (microrelief) to several millimeters (skin pathologies), depends also on the precision required and the duration of acquisition time. Over the last few years, different apparatuses have been produced, with a vertical range that is most frequently used for classical industrial applications, i.e., 0-1000 µm. METHODS: The system developed here has a wide range of about 7 mm and is accurate enough to analyse each of the different skin surfaces that fall in this range without changing magnification. An optical principle, operating without any contact with a skin replica, allows a precise measurement with a high scanning speed. RESULTS: The profilometer has a vertical sensitivity of 4 µm within a vertical range of 7 mm. This sensitivity is lower than that of a mechanical or focusing profilometer, but the vertical range is wider. CONCLUSIONS: The system has several advantages: because of its verticale range, it can measure large surfaces with great roughness variations; the initial position of the replica beneath the profilometer must be within the 7 mm vertical range; and skin topography can be quantified, without contact, in a short time.

Efficacy of Daflon 500 mg in venous leg ulcer healing: a double-blind, randomized, controlled versus placebo trial in 107 patients.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of Daflon 500 mg (Dios)* in venous ulcers. A multicenter, double-blind, randomized, controlled versus placebo (Plac) trial was conducted, with stratification according to the size of ulcer (< or = 10 cm and > 10 cm). The protocol called for a two-month treatment with Dios (one tablet = 450 mg micronized purified Diosmin) or a placebo, two tablets/day, in addition to compression therapy. Evaluations were performed every fifteen days, from D0 to D60. The primary endpoint, in accordance with Alexander House group requirements were: percentage of patients with complete ulcer healing, ie, comparison between Dios and Plac group at D60, and comparison of survival curves in each group between D0 and D60 (log rank test). Secondary endpoints included ulcer surface area assessed by computerized planimetric measurements, qualitative evaluation of ulcers, and symptoms. The patients were 105 men and women ranging in age from eighteen to eighty-five years, with standard compression stocking, who were undergoing standardized local care of ulcer and had no significant arterial disease (ankle/arm systolic pressure index > 0.8). Fifty-three patients received Dios, and 52 received Plac. The 2 groups were well matched for age (m +/- 1 SD = seventy-one +/- eleven years), gender, ulcer size, and associated disorders. Among patients with ulcer size < or = 10 cm (Dios = 44, Plac = 47) a significantly larger number of patients had a complete ulcer healing at two months in the Dios group (n = 14) in comparison with the Plac group (n = 6) (32% vs 13%, P = 0.028) with a significantly shorter time duration of healing (P = 0.037). No difference was shown for the secondary criteria, except for sensation of heavy legs (P = 0.039) and a less atonic aspect of ulcer (P = 0.030) in favor of Dios. Among the 14 patients with ulcer size > 10 cm (Dios = 9, Plac = 5), subjected to a descriptive analysis only, no ulcer healed. This study showed that a two-month course of Daflon 500 mg at a daily dose of two tablets, in addition to conventional treatment, is of benefit in patients with venous ulcer < or = 10 cm by accelerating complete healing.

Benefit of a 2-month treatment with a micronized, purified flavonoidic fraction on venous ulcer healing. A randomized, double-blind, controlled versus placebo trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy of a micronized purified flavonoid fraction (Daflon 500 mg = Dios) in venous leg ulcer healing, in addition to compression therapy and standardized local care. DESIGN: Double-blind, multicentre, randomized, parallel groups, controlled versus placebo trial; stratification according to ulcer size. SUBJECTS: 107 patients, with venous ulcer of the leg for at least 3 months, and accepting bandaging therapy. RESULTS: 105 patients (Dios = 53, placebo = 52) were available for an intention to treat (ITT) analysis. Age (mean +/- SD, 71+/-11 years), gender (M = 33, F = 74) and ulcer size were evenly distributed among both groups. 99 patients completed the protocol (Dios = 51, placebo = 48). Among the 91 patients with ulcer size < or = 100 cm (Dios = 44, placebo = 47), a significantly higher number of patients had complete ulcer healing at 2 months in the Dios group (n = 14) in comparison to the placebo group (n = 6) after ITT analysis (32 vs. 13%, p = 0.028) and after per protocol analysis (32 vs. 14%, p = 0.048), and a shorter time duration of healing (p = 0.037). Among the 14 patients with ulcer size > 10 cm (Dios = 9, placebo = 5), no ulcer healed. CONCLUSION: This study showed that a 2-month course of purified micronized flavonoid fraction (2 tablets/day), in addition to conventional treatment, is of benefit in patients by accelerating complete healing of venous leg ulcers which are < or = 10 cm in diameter.

[New hypothesis on the replication of centrioles and basal bodies]. / Nouvelles hypothèses sur la réplication des centrioles et des corps basaux.

Certain morphological data, obtained in studies of the ultrastructure of centrioles and basal bodies in cells of metazoa and protists, lead us to think that the cartwheel represents of the most appropriate organization for a self-reproducing and transmissible centriolar organizer. Centrioles and basal bodies might then not be simply the centres of replication of those organizers, but also reservoirs containing several superposed centriolar organizers, which are released depending on the requirements of the cell. As an isolated cartwheel is extremely unlikely to be detected, either in conventional electron microscopy or in immunocytochemistry, it is thus the reservoir which has so far been under consideration. Such a hypothesis would permit the explanation that biogenesis de novo and biogenesis in proximity to preexisting organelles may differ only in terms of the number of morphogenetic units involved.

[Changes of the cutaneous micro-relief in superficial radiation-induced fibrosis: a qualitative study]. / Modifications du microrelief cutané dans la fibrose radio-induite superficielle: étude qualitative.

Cutaneous radiation-induced fibrosis (RIF) is characterized by a skin retraction or atrophy, toughness to the palpation and often entails functional limitation. Its clinical evaluation remains poorly quantified. The aim of this study was to propose an analytical method to quantify RIF skin surface with the replica technique. In this preliminary study, we report the qualitative and quantitative evaluation of the cutaneous microrelief in 44 healthy controls and in four patients presenting a superficial RIF, 3 to 20 years after radiotherapy for cancer. The microrelief of these RIF presented an abnormal anisotropy with a parallel reorganization of cutaneous valleys in three cases out of four, suggesting a premature radiation-induced ageing of the skin. Each subject being his own control, the relative vertical amplitude of the skin microrelief was +/-15% in control skin. Vertical amplitude was respectively increased by 84% in one inflammatory fibrosis (3 years after RT), decreased by 18% in one evolutive fibrosis (6 years after RT), decreased by 26% in one voluminous stabilized fibrosis (8 years after RT) and decreased by 53% in one atrophic fibrosis (20 years after RT). The present study suggests that the variations of the microrelief parameters could reflect the RIF evolution. This technique requires a validation in a larger series of patients, including patients with telangiectasia.

In vivo skin relief measurement using a new optical profilometer.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Usually, skin topography is quantified by means of 2D profilometry using negative- or positive-replicas. To allow a direct in vivo measurement, a new profilometer is built, based on an optical triangulation principle. CONCLUSION: High speed of measurement can be reached using a non contact profilometer. The ability of a position sensing detector to read the center of gravity of the spot reflected by the skin surface, allows one to reduce the effects of the enlargement due to the skin absorption of the laser beam.

Effects of radiation on skin surface contour: A study of immediate effects in pig skin.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Cutaneous relief varies according to numerous external and internal parameters such as sex, ageing, moisturizing, effect of radiation. The purpose of this initial study was to measure the sensitivity of skin relief as a parameter which varies with the intensity of radiation. METHODS: For this study, the skin relief of 5 pigs irradiated with 90 Sr-90 Y ß rays in different doses was evaluated over a period of 7 days after irradiation. From silicone rubber replicas taken on the skin relief, hard positive replicas were made. These were then used to quantify the skin topography with 3-D contact profilometry. RESULTS: Whatever the dose, the vertical amplitude of the skin relief was lower in the irradiated areas than in the adjacent non-irradiated ones. A mean decrease of 10-15 % was detected as early as the first day after irradiation and reached large values (45%) in some animals. CONCLUSION: 3-D quantification of the skin relief can be used to quantify the modifications induced by irradiation. This method is interesting because it shows that it is possible to measure a significant variation only 1 day after irradiation, when no erythema is visible.

Postural and synergic control for three-dimensional movements of reaching and grasping.

1. A fundamental question about motor control is related to the nature of the representations used by the nervous system to program the movement. Theoretically, arm displacement can be encoded either in task (extrinsic) or in joint (intrinsic) space. 2. The present study investigated the organization of complex movements consisting of reaching and grasping a cylindrical object presented along different orientations in space. In some trials, object orientation was suddenly modified at movement onset. 3. At a static level, the final limb angles were highly predictable despite the wide range of possible postures allowed by articular redundancy. Moreover, when object orientation was unexpectedly modified at movement onset, the final angular configuration of the limb was identical to that obtained when the object was initially presented along the orientation reached after the perturbation. 4. At a dynamical level, a generalized synergy was observed, and tight correlations were noted between all joint angles implicated in the movement with the exception of elbow flexion. For this joint angle, which did not vary monotonically, strong partial correlations were however observed before and after movement reversal. 5. These results suggest that natural movements are mostly carried out in joint space by postural transitions.