Deep Learning-Enabled Quantification of 99mTc-Pyrophosphate SPECT/CT for Cardiac Amyloidosis.

Transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR CA) is increasingly recognized as a cause of heart failure in older patients, with 99mTc-pyrophosphate imaging frequently used to establish the diagnosis. Visual interpretation of SPECT images is the gold standard for interpretation but is inherently subjective. Manual quantitation of SPECT myocardial 99mTc-pyrophosphate activity is time-consuming and not performed clinically. We evaluated a deep learning approach for fully automated volumetric quantitation of 99mTc-pyrophosphate using segmentation of coregistered anatomic structures from CT attenuation maps. Methods: Patients who underwent SPECT/CT 99mTc-pyrophosphate imaging for suspected ATTR CA were included. Diagnosis of ATTR CA was determined using standard criteria. Cardiac chambers and myocardium were segmented from CT attenuation maps using a foundational deep learning model and then applied to attenuation-corrected SPECT images to quantify radiotracer activity. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of target-to-background ratio (TBR), cardiac pyrophosphate activity (CPA), and volume of involvement (VOI) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We then evaluated associations with the composite outcome of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization. Results: In total, 299 patients were included (median age, 76 y), with ATTR CA diagnosed in 83 (27.8%) patients. CPA (AUC, 0.989; 95% CI, 0.974-1.00) and VOI (AUC, 0.988; 95% CI, 0.973-1.00) had the highest prediction performance for ATTR CA. The next highest AUC was for TBR (AUC, 0.979; 95% CI, 0.964-0.995). The AUC for CPA was significantly higher than that for heart-to-contralateral ratio (AUC, 0.975; 95% CI, 0.952-0.998; P = 0.046). Twenty-three patients with ATTR CA experienced cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization. All methods for establishing TBR, CPA, and VOI were associated with an increased risk of events after adjustment for age, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.41 to 1.84 per SD increase. Conclusion: Deep learning segmentation of coregistered CT attenuation maps is not affected by the pattern of radiotracer uptake and allows for fully automatic quantification of hot-spot SPECT imaging such as 99mTc-pyrophosphate. This approach can be used to accurately identify patients with ATTR CA and may play a role in risk prediction.

Self-reported exercise activity influences the relationship between coronary computed tomography angiographic finding and mortality.

AIM: Recent studies suggest that the application of exercise activity questionnaires, including the use of a single-item exercise question, can be additive to the prognostic efficacy of imaging findings. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of exercise activity in patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed 9772 patients who underwent CCTA at a single center between 2007 and 2020. Patients were divided into 4 groups of physical activity as no exercise (n â€‹= â€‹1643, 17%), mild exercise (n â€‹= â€‹3156, 32%), moderate exercise (n â€‹= â€‹3542, 36%), and high exercise (n â€‹= â€‹1431,15%), based on a single-item self-reported questionnaire. Coronary stenosis was categorized as no (0%), non-obstructive (1-49%), borderline (50-69%), and obstructive (≥70%). During a median follow-up of 4.64 (IQR 1.53-7.89) years, 490 (7.6%) died. There was a stepwise inverse relationship between exercise activity and mortality (p â€‹< â€‹0.001). Compared with the high activity group, the no activity group had a 3-fold higher mortality risk (HR: 3.3, 95%CI (1.94-5.63), p â€‹< â€‹0.001) after adjustment for age, clinical risk factors, symptoms, and statin use. For any level of CCTA stenosis, mortality rates were inversely associated with the degree of patients' exercise activity. The risk of all-cause mortality was similar among the patients with obstructive stenosis with high exercise versus those with no coronary stenosis but no exercise activity (p â€‹= â€‹0.912). CONCLUSION: Physical activity as assessed by a single-item self-reported questionnaire is a strong stepwise inverse predictor of mortality risk among patients undergoing CCTA.

Predicting mortality from AI cardiac volumes mass and coronary calcium on chest computed tomography.

Chest computed tomography is one of the most common diagnostic tests, with 15 million scans performed annually in the United States. Coronary calcium can be visualized on these scans, but other measures of cardiac risk such as atrial and ventricular volumes have classically required administration of contrast. Here we show that a fully automated pipeline, incorporating two artificial intelligence models, automatically quantifies coronary calcium, left atrial volume, left ventricular mass, and other cardiac chamber volumes in 29,687 patients from three cohorts. The model processes chamber volumes and coronary artery calcium with an end-to-end time of ~18 s, while failing to segment only 0.1% of cases. Coronary calcium, left atrial volume, and left ventricular mass index are independently associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and significantly improve risk classification compared to identification of abnormalities by a radiologist. This automated approach can be integrated into clinical workflows to improve identification of abnormalities and risk stratification, allowing physicians to improve clinical decision-making.

AI-Defined Cardiac Anatomy Improves Risk Stratification of Hybrid Perfusion Imaging.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography attenuation correction (CTAC) improves perfusion quantification of hybrid myocardial perfusion imaging by correcting for attenuation artifacts. Artificial intelligence (AI) can automatically measure coronary artery calcium (CAC) from CTAC to improve risk prediction but could potentially derive additional anatomic features. OBJECTIVES: The authors evaluated AI-based derivation of cardiac anatomy from CTAC and assessed its added prognostic utility. METHODS: The authors considered consecutive patients without known coronary artery disease who underwent single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography (CT) myocardial perfusion imaging at 3 separate centers. Previously validated AI models were used to segment CAC and cardiac structures (left atrium, left ventricle, right atrium, right ventricular volume, and left ventricular [LV] mass) from CTAC. They evaluated associations with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), which included death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, or revascularization. RESULTS: In total, 7,613 patients were included with a median age of 64 years. During a median follow-up of 2.4 years (IQR: 1.3-3.4 years), MACEs occurred in 1,045 (13.7%) patients. Fully automated AI processing took an average of 6.2 ± 0.2 seconds for CAC and 15.8 ± 3.2 seconds for cardiac volumes and LV mass. Patients in the highest quartile of LV mass and left atrium, LV, right atrium, and right ventricular volume were at significantly increased risk of MACEs compared to patients in the lowest quartile, with HR ranging from 1.46 to 3.31. The addition of all CT-based volumes and CT-based LV mass improved the continuous net reclassification index by 23.1%. CONCLUSIONS: AI can automatically derive LV mass and cardiac chamber volumes from CT attenuation imaging, significantly improving cardiovascular risk assessment for hybrid perfusion imaging.

Artificial Intelligence Predicts Hospitalization for Acute Heart Failure Exacerbation in Patients Undergoing Myocardial Perfusion Imaging.

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and worldwide, with a high associated economic burden. This study aimed to assess whether artificial intelligence models incorporating clinical, stress test, and imaging parameters could predict hospitalization for acute HF exacerbation in patients undergoing SPECT/CT myocardial perfusion imaging. Methods: The HF risk prediction model was developed using data from 4,766 patients who underwent SPECT/CT at a single center (internal cohort). The algorithm used clinical risk factors, stress variables, SPECT imaging parameters, and fully automated deep learning-generated calcium scores from attenuation CT scans. The model was trained and validated using repeated hold-out (10-fold cross-validation). External validation was conducted on a separate cohort of 2,912 patients. During a median follow-up of 1.9 y, 297 patients (6%) in the internal cohort were admitted for HF exacerbation. Results: The final model demonstrated a higher area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (0.87 ± 0.03) for predicting HF admissions than did stress left ventricular ejection fraction (0.73 ± 0.05, P < 0.0001) or a model developed using only clinical parameters (0.81 ± 0.04, P < 0.0001). These findings were confirmed in the external validation cohort (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve: 0.80 ± 0.04 for final model, 0.70 ± 0.06 for stress left ventricular ejection fraction, 0.72 ± 0.05 for clinical model; P < 0.001 for all). Conclusion: Integrating SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging into an artificial intelligence-based risk assessment algorithm improves the prediction of HF hospitalization. The proposed method could enable early interventions to prevent HF hospitalizations, leading to improved patient care and better outcomes.

Artificial Intelligence in Nuclear Cardiology: An Update and Future Trends.

Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), using either single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) or positron emission tomography (PET), is one of the most commonly ordered cardiac imaging tests, with prominent clinical roles for disease diagnosis and risk prediction. Artificial intelligence (AI) could potentially play a role in many steps along the typical MPI workflow, from image acquisition through to clinical reporting and risk estimation. AI can be utilized to improve image quality, reducing radiation exposure and image acquisition times. Once images are acquired, AI can help optimize motion correction and image registration during image reconstruction or provide direct image attenuation correction. Utilizing these image sets, AI can segment a number of anatomic features from associated computed tomographic imaging or even generate synthetic attenuation imaging. Lastly, AI may play an important role in disease diagnosis or risk prediction by combining the large number of potentially important clinical, stress, and imaging-related variables. This review will focus on the most recent developments in the field, providing clinicians and researchers with a timely update on the field. Additionally, it will discuss future trends including applications of AI during multiple points of the typical MPI workflow to maximize clinical utility and methods to maximize the information that can be obtained from hybrid imaging.

Impact of cardiac size on SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging performance: Insights from the REFINE-SPECT registry.

AIMS: Variation in diagnostic performance of SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) has been observed, yet the impact of cardiac size has not been well characterized. We assessed whether low left ventricular volume influences SPECT MPI's ability to detect obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), and its interaction with age and sex. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 2,066 patients without known CAD (67% male, 64.7 ± 11.2 years) across 9 institutions underwent SPECT MPI with solid-state scanners followed by coronary angiography as part of the REgistry of Fast Myocardial Perfusion Imaging with NExt Generation SPECT. Area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses evaluated performance of quantitative and visual assessments according to cardiac size (end- diastolic volume [EDV]; < 20th vs. ≥ 20th population or sex-specific percentiles), age (<75 vs. ≥ 75 years), and sex. Significantly decreased performance was observed in patients with low EDV compared to those without (AUC: population 0.72 vs. 0.78, p = 0.03; sex-specific 0.72 vs. 0.79, p = 0.01) and elderly patients compared to younger patients (AUC 0.72 vs. 0.78, p = 0.03), whereas males and females demonstrated similar AUC (0.77 vs. 0.76, p = 0.67). The reduction in accuracy attributed to lower volumes was primarily observed in males (sex-specific threshold: EDV 0.69 vs. 0.79, p = 0.01). Accordingly, a significant decrease in AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value for quantitative and visual assessments was noted in patients with at least two characteristics of low EDV, elderly age, or male sex. CONCLUSIONS: Detection of CAD with SPECT MPI is negatively impacted by small cardiac size, most notably in elderly and male patients.

AI-derived epicardial fat measurements improve cardiovascular risk prediction from myocardial perfusion imaging.

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume and attenuation are associated with cardiovascular risk, but manual annotation is time-consuming. We evaluated whether automated deep learning-based EAT measurements from ungated computed tomography (CT) are associated with death or myocardial infarction (MI). We included 8781 patients from 4 sites without known coronary artery disease who underwent hybrid myocardial perfusion imaging. Of those, 500 patients from one site were used for model training and validation, with the remaining patients held out for testing (n = 3511 internal testing, n = 4770 external testing). We modified an existing deep learning model to first identify the cardiac silhouette, then automatically segment EAT based on attenuation thresholds. Deep learning EAT measurements were obtained in <2 s compared to 15 min for expert annotations. There was excellent agreement between EAT attenuation (Spearman correlation 0.90 internal, 0.82 external) and volume (Spearman correlation 0.90 internal, 0.91 external) by deep learning and expert segmentation in all 3 sites (Spearman correlation 0.90-0.98). During median follow-up of 2.7 years (IQR 1.6-4.9), 565 patients experienced death or MI. Elevated EAT volume and attenuation were independently associated with an increased risk of death or MI after adjustment for relevant confounders. Deep learning can automatically measure EAT volume and attenuation from low-dose, ungated CT with excellent correlation with expert annotations, but in a fraction of the time. EAT measurements offer additional prognostic insights within the context of hybrid perfusion imaging.

10-year experience of utilizing a stress-first SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: Despite its potential benefits, the utilization of stress-only protocol in clinical practice has been limited. We report utilizing stress-first single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: We assessed 12,472 patients who were referred for SPECT-MPI between 2013 and 2020. The temporal changes in frequency of stress-only imaging were assessed according to risk factors, mode of stress, prior coronary artery disease (CAD) history, left ventricular function, and symptom status. The clinical endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In our lab, stress/rest SPECT-MPI in place of rest/stress SPECT-MPI was first introduced in November 2011 and was performed more commonly than rest/stress imaging after 2013. Stress-only SPECT-MPI scanning has been performed in 30-34% of our SPECT-MPI studies since 2013 (i.e.. 31.7% in 2013 and 33.6% in 2020). During the study period, we routinely used two-position imaging (additional prone or upright imaging) to reduce attenuation and motion artifact and introduced SPECT/CT scanner in 2018. The rate of stress-only study remained consistent before and after implementing the SPECT/CT scanner. The frequency of stress-only imaging was 43% among patients without a history of prior CAD and 19% among those with a prior CAD history. Among patients undergoing treadmill exercise, the frequency of stress-only imaging was 48%, while 32% among patients undergoing pharmacologic stress test. In multivariate Cox analysis, there was no significant difference in mortality risk between stress-only and stress/rest protocols in patients with normal SPECT-MPI results (p = 0.271). CONCLUSION: Implementation of a stress-first imaging protocol has consistently resulted in safe cancellation of 30% of rest SPECT-MPI studies.

Downward myocardial creep during stress PET imaging is inversely associated with mortality.

PURPOSE: The myocardial creep is a phenomenon in which the heart moves from its original position during stress-dynamic PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) that can confound myocardial blood flow measurements. Therefore, myocardial motion correction is important to obtain reliable myocardial flow quantification. However, the clinical importance of the magnitude of myocardial creep has not been explored. We aimed to explore the prognostic value of myocardial creep quantified by an automated motion correction algorithm beyond traditional PET-MPI imaging variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing regadenoson rest-stress [82Rb]Cl PET-MPI were included. A newly developed 3D motion correction algorithm quantified myocardial creep, the maximum motion at stress during the first pass (60 s), in each direction. All-cause mortality (ACM) served as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: A total of 4,276 patients (median age 71 years; 60% male) were analyzed, and 1,007 ACM events were documented during a 5-year median follow-up. Processing time for automatic motion correction was < 12 s per patient. Myocardial creep in the superior to inferior (downward) direction was greater than the other directions (median, 4.2 mm vs. 1.3-1.7 mm). Annual mortality rates adjusted for age and sex were reduced with a larger downward creep, with a 4.2-fold ratio between the first (0 mm motion) and 10th decile (11 mm motion) (mortality, 7.9% vs. 1.9%/year). Downward creep was associated with lower ACM after full adjustment for clinical and imaging parameters (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.91-0.95; p < 0.001). Adding downward creep to the standard PET-MPI imaging model significantly improved ACM prediction (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.790 vs. 0.775; p < 0.001), but other directions did not (p > 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: Downward myocardial creep during regadenoson stress carries additional information for the prediction of ACM beyond conventional flow and perfusion PET-MPI. This novel imaging biomarker is quantified automatically and rapidly from stress dynamic PET-MPI.

Clinical phenotypes among patients with normal cardiac perfusion using unsupervised learning: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is one of the most common cardiac scans and is used for diagnosis of coronary artery disease and assessment of cardiovascular risk. However, the large majority of MPI patients have normal results. We evaluated whether unsupervised machine learning could identify unique phenotypes among patients with normal scans and whether those phenotypes were associated with risk of death or myocardial infarction. METHODS: Patients from a large international multicenter MPI registry (10 sites) with normal perfusion by expert visual interpretation were included in this cohort analysis. The training population included 9849 patients, and external testing population 12,528 patients. Unsupervised cluster analysis was performed, with separate training and external testing cohorts, to identify clusters, with four distinct phenotypes. We evaluated the clinical and imaging features of clusters and their associations with death or myocardial infarction. FINDINGS: Patients in Clusters 1 and 2 almost exclusively underwent exercise stress, while patients in Clusters 3 and 4 mostly required pharmacologic stress. In external testing, the risk for Cluster 4 patients (20.2% of population, unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 6.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.64-8.20) was higher than the risk associated with pharmacologic stress (HR 3.03, 95% CI 2.53-3.63), or previous myocardial infarction (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.40-2.36). INTERPRETATION: Unsupervised learning identified four distinct phenotypes of patients with normal perfusion scans, with a significant proportion of patients at very high risk of myocardial infarction or death. Our results suggest a potential role for patient phenotyping to improve risk stratification of patients with normal imaging results. FUNDING: This work was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute at the National Institutes of Health [R35HL161195 to PS]. The REFINE SPECT database was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute at the National Institutes of Health [R01HL089765 to PS]. MCW was supported by the British Heart Foundation [FS/ICRF/20/26002].

Comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for stress single-photon emission computed tomography versus positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: There is currently little information regarding the usage and comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) versus positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) within multimodality imaging laboratories. METHODS: We compared the clinical characteristics and mortality outcomes among 15,718 patients referred for SPECT-MPI and 6202 patients referred for PET-MPI between 2008 and 2017. RESULTS: Approximately two-thirds of MPI studies were performed using SPECT-MPI. The PET-MPI group was substantially older and included more patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, diabetes, and myocardial ischemia. The annualized mortality rate was also higher in the PET-MPI group, and this difference persisted after propensity matching 3615 SPECT-MPI and 3615 PET-MPI patients to have similar clinical profiles. Among the SPECT-MPI patients, the most potent predictor of mortality was exercise ability and performance, including consideration of patients' mode of stress testing and exercise duration. Among the PET-MPI patients, myocardial flow reserve (MFR) was the most potent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In our real-world setting, PET-MPI was more commonly employed among older patients with more cardiac risk factors than SPECT-MPI patients. The most potent predictors of mortality in our SPECT and PET-MPI groups were variables exclusive to each test: exercise ability/capacity for SPECT-MPI patients and MFR for PET-MPI patients.

Regional differences in fishing behavior determine whether a marine reserve network enhances fishery yield.

A network of marine reserves can enhance yield in depleted fisheries by protecting populations, particularly large, old spawners that supply larvae for interspersed fishing grounds. The ability of marine reserves to enhance sustainable fisheries is much less evident. We report empirical evidence of a marine reserve network improving yield regionally for a sustainable spiny lobster fishery, apparently through the spillover of adult lobsters and behavioral adaptation by the fishing fleet. Results of a Before-After, Control-Impact analysis found catch, effort, and Catch-Per-Unit Effort increased after the establishment of marine reserves in the northern region of the fishery where fishers responded by fishing intensively at reserve borders, but declined in the southern region where they vacated once productive fishing grounds. The adaptation of the northern region of the fishery may have been aided by a history of collaboration between fishers, scientists, and managers, highlighting the value of collaborative research and education programs for preparing fisheries to operate productively within a seascape that includes a large marine reserve network.

Is typical angina still prognostically important? The influence of "treatment bias" upon prognostic assessments.

BACKGROUND: Since typical angina has become less frequent, it is unclear if this symptom still has prognostic significance. METHODS: We evaluated 38,383 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging followed for a median of 10.9 years. After dividing patients by clinical symptoms, we evaluated the magnitude of myocardial ischemia and subsequent mortality among medically treated versus revascularized subgroups following testing. RESULTS: Patients with typical angina had more frequent and greater ischemia than other symptom groups, but not higher mortality. Among typical angina patients, those who underwent early revascularization had substantially greater ischemia than the medically treated subgroup, including a far higher proportion with severe ischemia (44.9% vs 4.3%, P < 0.001) and transient ischemic dilation of the LV (31.3% vs 4.7%, P < 0.001). Nevertheless, the revascularized typical angina subgroup had a lower adjusted mortality risk than the medically treated subgroup (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.57-0.92, P = 0.009) CONCLUSIONS: Typical angina is associated with substantially more ischemia than other clinical symptoms. However, the high referral of patients with typical angina patients with ischemia to early revascularization resulted in this group having a lower rather than higher mortality risk versus other symptom groups. These findings illustrate the need to account for "treatment bias" among prognostic studies.

Impact of myocardial perfusion and coronary calcium on medical management for coronary artery disease.

AIMS: Single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) remains one of the most widely used imaging modalities for the diagnosis and prognostication of coronary artery disease (CAD). Despite the extensive prognostic information provided by MPI, little is known about how this influences the prescription of medical therapy for CAD. We evaluated the relationship between MPI with computed tomography (CT) attenuation correction and prescription of acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) and statins. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients who underwent SPECT MPI at a single centre between 2015 and 2021. Myocardial perfusion abnormalities and coronary calcium burden were assessed, with attenuation correction imaging 77.8% of patients. Medication prescriptions before and within 180 days after the test were compared. Associations between abnormal perfusion and calcium burden with ASA and statin prescription were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. In total, 9908 patients were included, with a mean age 66.8 ± 11.7 years and 5337 (53.9%) males. The prescription of statins increased more in patients with abnormal perfusion (increase of 19.2 vs. 12.0%, P < 0.001). Similarly, the presence of extensive CAC led to a greater increase in statin prescription compared with no calcium (increase 12.1 vs. 7.8%, P < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, ischaemia and coronary artery calcium were independently associated with ASA and statin prescription. CONCLUSION: Abnormal MPI testing was associated with significant changes in medical therapy. Both calcium burden and perfusion abnormalities were associated with increased prescriptions of medical therapy for CAD.

CT attenuation correction improves quantitative risk prediction by cardiac SPECT in obese patients.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the predictive value of CT attenuation-corrected stress total perfusion deficit (AC-sTPD) and non-corrected stress TPD (NC-sTPD) for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in obese patients undergoing cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: The study included 4,585 patients who underwent CZT SPECT/CT MPI for clinical indications (chest pain: 56%, shortness of breath: 13%, other: 32%) at Yale New Haven Hospital (age: 64 ± 12 years, 45% female, body mass index [BMI]: 30.0 ± 6.3 kg/m2, prior coronary artery disease: 18%). The association between AC-sTPD or NC-sTPD and MACE defined as the composite end point of mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction or late coronary revascularization (> 90 days after SPECT) was evaluated with survival analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 25 months, 453 patients (10%) experienced MACE. In patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (n = 931), those with AC-sTPD ≥ 3% had worse MACE-free survival than those with AC-sTPD < 3% (HR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.40 - 3.55, p = 0.002) with no difference in MACE-free survival between patients with NC-sTPD ≥ 3% and NC-sTPD < 3% (HR:1.06, 95% CI:0.67 - 1.68, p = 0.78). AC-sTPD had higher AUC than NC-sTPD for the detection of 2-year MACE in patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (0.631 versus 0.541, p = 0.01). In the overall cohort AC-sTPD had a higher ROC area under the curve (AUC, 0.641) than NC-sTPD (0.608; P = 0.01) for detection of 2-year MACE. In patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 AC sTPD provided significant incremental prognostic value beyond NC sTPD (net reclassification index: 0.14 [95% CI: 0.20 - 0.28]). CONCLUSIONS: AC sTPD outperformed NC sTPD in predicting MACE in patients undergoing SPECT MPI with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. These findings highlight the superior prognostic value of AC-sTPD in this patient population and underscore the importance of CT attenuation correction.

Simplified Approach to Predicting Obstructive Coronary Disease With Integration of Coronary Calcium: Development and External Validation.

BACKGROUND: The Diamond-Forrester model was used extensively to predict obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) but overestimates probability in current populations. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a useful marker of CAD, which is not routinely integrated with other features. We derived simple likelihood tables, integrating CAC with age, sex, and cardiac chest pain to predict obstructive CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: The training population included patients from 3 multinational sites (n=2055), with 2 sites for external testing (n=3321). We determined associations between age, sex, cardiac chest pain, and CAC with the presence of obstructive CAD, defined as any stenosis ≥50% on coronary computed tomography angiography. Prediction performance was assessed using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and compared with the CAD Consortium models with and without CAC, which require detailed calculations, and the updated Diamond-Forrester model. In external testing, the proposed likelihood tables had higher AUC (0.875 [95% CI, 0.862-0.889]) than the CAD Consortium clinical+CAC score (AUC, 0.868 [95% CI, 0.855-0.881]; P=0.030) and the updated Diamond-Forrester model (AUC, 0.679 [95% CI, 0.658-0.699]; P<0.001). The calibration for the likelihood tables was better than the CAD Consortium model (Brier score, 0.116 versus 0.121; P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed and externally validated simple likelihood tables to integrate CAC with age, sex, and cardiac chest pain, demonstrating improved prediction performance compared with other risk models. Our tool affords physicians with the opportunity to rapidly and easily integrate a small number of important features to estimate a patient's likelihood of obstructive CAD as an aid to clinical management.