Comparing the Temporal Development of Wheat Spike Blast Epidemics in a Region of Bolivia Where the Disease Is Endemic.

Epidemics of wheat blast, caused the Triticum pathotype of Magnaporthe oryzae, were studied in the Santa Cruz del la Sierra region of Bolivia to quantify and compare the temporal dynamics of the disease under different growing conditions. Six plots of a susceptible wheat cultivar were planted at Cuatro Cañadas (CC), Okinawa 1 (OK1), and Okinawa 2 (OK2) in 2015. Spike blast incidence (INC) and severity (SEV) and leaf blast severity (LEAF) were quantified in each plot at regular intervals on a 10 × 10 grid (n = 100 clusters of spikes), beginning at head emergence (Feekes growth stage 10.5), for a total of nine assessments at CC, six at OK1, and six at OK2. Spike blast increased over time for 20 to 30 days before approaching a mean INC of 100% and a mean SEV of 60 to 75%. The logistic model was the most appropriate for describing the temporal dynamics of spike blast. The highest absolute rates of disease increase occurred earliest at OK1 and latest at OK2, and in all cases it coincided with major rain events. Estimated y0 values (initial blast intensity) were significantly (P < 0.05) higher at OK1 than at CC or OK2, whereas rL values (the logistic rate parameter) were significantly higher at OK2 than at CC or OK1. It took about 10 fewer days for SEV to reach 10, 15, or 20% at OK1 compared with OK2 and CC. Based on survival analyses, the survivor functions for time to 10, 15 and 20% SEV (ts) were significantly different between OK1 and the other locations, with the probabilities of SEV reaching the thresholds being highest at OK1. LEAF at 21 days after Feekes 10.5 had a significant effect on ts at OK1. For every 5% increase in LEAF, the chance of SEV reaching the thresholds by day 21 increased by 30 to 55%.

Quantifying the Effects of Temperature and Relative Humidity on the Development of Wheat Blast Incited by the Lolium Pathotype of Magnaporthe oryzae.

The Triticum pathotype of Magnaporthe oryzae (MoT) that causes wheat blast has not yet been reported in the U.S., but the closely related M. oryzae Lolium pathotype (MoL), also capable of inciting blast, is found in several wheat growing regions. Since the epidemiology of MoL-incited wheat blast is unknown, it is difficult to project where and under what conditions this pathogen may be of importance. To quantify conditions favorable for MoL infection and temporal development of wheat blast, separate cohorts of wheat spikes were spray or point inoculated at anthesis and immediately subjected to different combinations of temperature (TEMP; 20, 25, and 30°C) and 100% relative humidity (RH) duration (0, 3, 6, 12, 24, and 48 h). Blast developed under all tested conditions, with both incidence (INC) and severity (SEV) increasing over time. The effects of TEMP on angular-transformed INC and SEV (arcINC and arcSEV) were significant (P < 0.05) in most cases, with the magnitude of the TEMP effect influenced by RH duration when spikes were spray-inoculated. Between 12 and 21 days after inoculation (DAI), there were significant, positive linear relationships between hours of high RH and arcINC and arcSEV at 25 and 30°C, but not at 20°C. The estimated rates of increase in transformed INC or SEV per hour increase in high RH duration were significantly higher at 30°C than at 25°C at 12 to 14 DAI, but not at 19 to 21 DAI. The highest estimated temporal rates of increase in INC and SEV and the shortest estimated incubation periods (5 to 8 days) occurred at 25 and 30°C, with 24 and 48 h of high RH immediately after inoculation. These results will contribute to ongoing efforts to better understand the epidemiology of wheat blast incited by MoL as well as MoT.