Changes in urban green space configuration and connectivity using spatial graph-based metrics in Ardabil developing city, Iran.

Urban planning is essential for managing the diverse impacts of urban green spaces, such as public access, stormwater control, urban life quality, and landscape aesthetics, promoting sustainable urban development and urban residents' well-being by integrating green space considerations into city planning. The aim of this study is to use graph-based metrics to calculate the connectivity of UGS across the main municipal zones of Ardabil city over consecutive periods under different population growth rates. Another objective of this study is to compare the connectivity values of UGS in the four municipal zones and to evaluate changes in the connectivity indices at various distance thresholds of UGS patches. After identifying UGS in different periods, the changes in graph-based connectivity indices at various distance thresholds of UGS patches were analyzed. Additionally, the changes in connectivity indices over different periods and across various municipal zones were compared and analyzed. The findings reveal that UGS areas were larger in the past but have recently had smaller patch sizes. Connectivity between UGS nodes (dNL) decreased at various distances over the study years, showing a declining trend in different connectivity indices. UGS connectivity decreased in municipal zones 1, 2, and 3 but increased in recent years after a decline until 2012 across all four zones of Ardabil city. Zone 4 had the highest UGS connectivity due to newly developed urban areas and well-allocated UGSs. Integrating the ecological impacts of UGS connectivity in urban development and design will enhance trade-offs between conservation, public health, and social equity. New urban areas should allocate sufficient land for UGS and parks, ensuring accessibility to support health and leisure through municipal planning. The study highlights the need for sustainable urban development policies that prioritize the allocation and maintenance of UGSs.

Tracking the origin of trace metals in a watershed by identifying fingerprints of soils, landscape and river sediments.

The identification of the spatial distribution of soil trace-elements and the contribution of different sources to the sediment yield is necessary for a better watershed and river water quality management. Until now, less attention has been paid to comprehensive assessments of sediment sources and soil trace-elements with respect to the suspended sediment production. The present study aimed at modelling the spatial distribution of soil trace-elements, quantifying the sediment sources apportionment and relating the landforms to polluted soils. Different techniques and approaches such as the Nemerow pollution index, machine learning algorithms (Random Forest (RF), generalised boosting methods (GBM), generalised linear models (GLM) and sediment fingerprinting were applied to the Kan watershed. A total of 79 soil samples having different Nemerow index values were considered for spatial modelling. Using statistical methods (Range test, Kruskal-Wallis and discrimination function analysis), an optimal set of tracers was selected. An unmixing model was applied to calculate the relative contribution of landforms for eight rainfall events. The results of the soil trace-element mapping showed that RF had the best performance with an accuracy of 83%. The evaluation of polluted soil areas showed that the landforms 'steep hills' and 'valley' contributed the most with 51% and 27% in the riparian zone, respectively. In addition, these landforms give a high contribution to sediment production in late-winter-spring events (29%) with a GOF (goodness of fit) of 0.65. The landform 'plain' had the highest contribution (28%) in sediment yield with a GOF of 0.72 in early-winter events. This means that the valley and steep hill landforms accelerate the transport of trace-elements across the watershed. Interestingly, the contribution of landforms varies during the year. Overall, the new proposed approach enables to better trace the origin of suspended sediments and trace-elements discharge into the river environment.

Multi-dimensional assessment of watershed condition using a newly developed barometer of sustainability.

The present study was conducted to comprehensively evaluate watershed sustainability with the help of an initiative barometer developed based on different dimensions of social, economic, environmental, and policy. The newly developed barometer was then applied to assess the temporal variation of sustainability for the Shazand Watershed, Iran, for four-node years of 1986, 1998, 2008, and 2016. The appropriate criteria were then adapted to calculate the study dimensions. The effect sizes of selected criteria on each dimension were also determined. Consequently, the status of each dimension and integrated watershed sustainability status were mapped for four-node years. The results indicated that study dimensions were unevenly distributed over the Shazand Watershed. So that, the social dimension had high effectiveness across different sub-watersheds, and the policy dimension had a poor situation in all study years. In addition, the respective sustainability index of 0.32, 0.32, 0.35, and 0.35 for node years of 1986, 1998, 2008, and 2016 verified a slight improvement. Overall, the proposed barometer of sustainability facilitated understanding the dimensional sustainability and comprehensive watershed sustainability and provided references for policy formulations and watershed management. Besides, the developed barometer has a high potential for evaluating sustainability for other watersheds worldwide.

How do data-mining models consider arsenic contamination in sediments and variables importance?

Arsenic (As) is one of the most important dangerous elements as more than 100 million of people are exposed to risk, globally. The permissible threshold of As for drinking water is 10 µg/L according to both the WHO's drinking water guidelines and the Iranian national standard. However, several studies have indicated that As concentrations exceed this threshold value in several regions of Iran. This research evaluates an As-susceptible region, the Tajan River watershed, using the following data-mining models: multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), functional data analysis (FDA), support vector machine (SVM), generalized linear model (GLM), multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA), and gradient boosting machine (GBM). This study considers 12 factors for elevated As concentrations: land use, drainage density, profile curvature, plan curvature, slope length, slope degree, topographic wetness index, erosion, village density, distance from villages, precipitation, and lithology. The susceptibility mapping was conducted using training (70%) and validation (30%). The results of As contamination in sediment showed that classifications into 4 levels of concentration are very similar for two models of GLM and FDA. The GBM calculated the areas of highest arsenic contamination risk by MARS and SVM with percentages of 30.0% and 28.7%, respectively. FDA, GLM, MARS, and MDA models calculated the areas of lowest risk to be 3.3%, 23.0%, 72.0%, 25.2%, and 26.1%, respectively. The results of ROC curve reveal that the MARS, SVM, and MDA had the highest accuracies with area under the curve ROC values of 84.6%, 78.9%, and 79.5%, respectively. Land use, lithology, erosion, and elevation were the most important predictors of contamination potential with a value of 0.6, 0.59, 0.57, and 0.56, respectively. These are the most important factors. Finally, these data-mining methods can be used as appropriate, inexpensive, and feasible options to identify As-susceptible areas and can guide managers to reduce contamination in sediment of the environment and the food chain.