Preterm prediction study: comparison of the cervical score and Bishop score for prediction of spontaneous preterm delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To prospectively compare digital cervical score with Bishop score as a predictor of spontaneous preterm delivery before 35 weeks of gestation. METHODS: Data from a cohort of 2,916 singleton pregnancies enrolled in a multicenter preterm prediction study were available. Patients underwent digital cervical examinations at 22-24 and 26-29 weeks of gestation for calculation of Bishop score and cervical score. Relationships between Bishop score, cervical score, and spontaneous preterm delivery were assessed with multivariable logistic regression analysis, McNemar test, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to identify appropriate diagnostic thresholds and predictive capability. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-seven of 2,916 patients (4.4%) undergoing cervical examination at 22-24 weeks had a spontaneous preterm delivery before 35 weeks. Eighty-four of the 2,538 (3.3%) reexamined at 26-29 weeks also had spontaneous preterm delivery. Receiver operating characteristic curves indicated that optimal diagnostic thresholds for Bishop score were at least 4 at 22-24 weeks, at least 5 at 26-29 weeks, and less than 1.5 at both examinations for cervical score. At 22-24 weeks, areas under the ROC curve favored Bishop score. At 26-29 weeks, there was no significant difference in areas under the ROC curve; however, a cervical score less than 1.5 (sensitivity 35.7%, false positive rate 4.8%) was superior to a Bishop score of 5 or more (P<.001). CONCLUSION: Both cervical evaluations are associated with spontaneous preterm delivery in a singleton population; however, predictive capabilities for spontaneous preterm delivery were modest among women with low event prevalence. Although Bishop score performed better in the mid trimester, by 26-29 weeks a cervical score less than 1.5 was a better predictor of spontaneous preterm delivery before 35 weeks than a Bishop score of at least 5.

The preterm prediction study: can low-risk women destined for spontaneous preterm birth be identified?

OBJECTIVE: Half of all preterm births occur in women without clinical risk factors. Our goal was to assess fetal fibronectin assay, Bishop score, and cervical ultrasonography as screening tests to predict which low-risk pregnancies will end in preterm birth. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a secondary analysis of data collected at 22 to 24 weeks' gestation from low-risk subjects enrolled in the Preterm Prediction Study, an observational study of risk factors for preterm birth conducted by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. Analysis was limited to primigravid women and to women who did not have a history of preterm birth or spontaneous pregnancy loss at <20 weeks' gestation. Bishop score (> or =4), fetal fibronectin level (> or =50 ng/mL), and cervical length (< or =25 mm) at 24 weeks' gestation were evaluated alone and in sequence as tests to predict spontaneous delivery before 35 weeks' gestation. RESULTS: Of the 2929 subjects enrolled in the original study, 2197 (1207 primigravid women and 900 low-risk multiparous women) met criteria for this analysis. There were 64 spontaneous births before 35 weeks' gestation (3.04%). All three tests were significantly related to birth before 35 weeks' gestation (high Bishop score: relative risk, 3.6; 95% confidence interval, 2.1-6.3; fetal fibronectin detection: relative risk, 8.2; 95% confidence interval, 4.8-13.9; short cervical length: relative risk, 6.9; 95% confidence interval, 4.3-11.1). However, the sensitivities of the tests alone were low (23.4% for high Bishop score, 23.4% for fetal fibronectin detection, and 39.1% for short cervix), as were the sensitivities for Bishop score followed by cervical ultrasonography (14.1%) and fetal fibronectin assay followed by cervical scan (15.6%). CONCLUSION: In the setting of low-risk pregnancy, fetal fibronectin assay and cervical ultrasonography have low sensitivity for preterm birth before 35 weeks' gestation. Sequential screening with Bishop score or fetal fibronectin assay followed by cervical ultrasonography further decreased sensitivity to only 15% among low-risk women.

Occupational fatigue and preterm premature rupture of membranes. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Units Network.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to prospectively determine the relationship between occupational fatigue and spontaneous preterm delivery segregated into the etiologically distinct categories of spontaneous preterm labor, preterm premature rupture of membranes, and indicated preterm delivery. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 2929 women with singleton pregnancies at 22 to 24 weeks' gestation were enrolled in a multicenter (10 sites) Preterm Prediction Study. Patients reported the number of hours worked per week and answered specific questions designed to determine the following 5 sources of occupational fatigue described by Mamelle et al: posture, work with industrial machines, physical exertion, mental stress, and environmental stress. Fatigue was quantified (0-5 index) according to the number of these sources positively reported. Simple and Mantel-Haenszel chi2 tests were used to test the univariate association and hypothesis of a linear trend between sources of occupational fatigue and spontaneous preterm delivery. Covariables were considered by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Women who did not work outside the home were considered separately from those who worked but did not report any sources of occupational fatigue. RESULTS: Each source of occupational fatigue was independently associated with a significantly increased risk of preterm premature rupture of membranes among nulliparous women but not among multiparous women. The risk of preterm premature rupture of membranes increased (P = .002) with an increasing number of sources of occupational fatigue-not working outside the home, 2.1%; working but not reporting fatigue, 3.7%; working with 1 source of fatigue, 3.2%; working with 2 sources of fatigue, 5.2%; working with 3 sources of fatigue, 5.1%; and working with 4 or 5 sources of fatigue, 7.4%. There was also a significant relationship (P = .01) between preterm premature rupture of membranes and an increasing number of hours worked per week among nulliparous women. Neither spontaneous preterm labor nor indicated preterm delivery was significantly associated with occupational fatigue among either nulliparous or multiparous women. CONCLUSION: The occupational fatigue index of Mamelle et al discriminated a group of nulliparous women at increased risk for preterm premature rupture of membranes. The relationship between preterm premature rupture of membranes and occupational fatigue or hours worked may provide guidelines according to which nulliparous women and their employers can be advised.

Preterm delivery in women with pregestational diabetes mellitus or chronic hypertension relative to women with uncomplicated pregnancies. The National institute of Child health and Human Development Maternal- Fetal Medicine Units Network.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare the rates of indicated and spontaneous preterm delivery among women with chronic hypertension or pregestational diabetes mellitus with the rates among healthy women. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of data from healthy women with singleton gestations enrolled in a prospective observational study for prediction of preterm delivery (control group, n = 2738), women with pregestational diabetes mellitus requiring insulin therapy (n = 461), and women with chronic hypertension (n = 761). The two latter groups were enrolled in a randomized multicenter trial for prevention of preeclampsia. The main outcome measures were rates of preterm delivery, either spontaneous (preterm labor or rupture of membranes) or indicated (for maternal or fetal reasons), and neonatal outcomes. RESULTS: The overall rates of preterm delivery were significantly higher among women with diabetes mellitus (38%) and hypertension (33.1%) than among control women (13.9%). Rates were also significantly higher for delivery at <35 weeks' gestation. Women with diabetes mellitus had significantly higher rates of both indicated preterm delivery (21.9% vs 3.4%; odds ratio, 8.1; 95% confidence interval, 6.0-10.9) and spontaneous preterm delivery (16.1% vs 10.5%; odds ratio, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-2.2) than did women in the control group. In addition, they had significantly higher rates of both indicated preterm delivery (odds ratio, 4.8; 95% confidence interval, 3.0-7.5) and spontaneous preterm delivery (odds ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-3.0) at <35 weeks' gestation than did control women. Compared with control women those with chronic hypertension had higher rates of indicated preterm delivery at both <37 weeks' gestation (21.9% vs 3.4%; odds ratio, 8.1; 95% confidence interval, 6.2-10.6) and at <35 weeks' gestation (12.1% vs 1.6%; odds ratio, 8.2; 95% confidence interval, 5.7-11.9), but there were no differences in rates of spontaneous preterm delivery. CONCLUSION: The increased rate of preterm delivery among women with chronic hypertension relative to control women was primarily an increase in indicated preterm delivery, whereas the rates of both spontaneous and indicated preterm delivery were increased among women with pregestational diabetes mellitus.

Cervical length at 16-22 weeks' gestation and risk for preterm delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether cervical length, as measured by transvaginal sonogram in asymptomatic gravidas at 16-22 weeks, is associated with risk of spontaneous preterm delivery. METHODS: In a prospective observational study in an unselected urban tertiary care population, cervical length was measured by transvaginal ultrasound during routine anatomic surveys in 760 gravidas at 16 0/7 to 22 6/7 weeks. The predictor variable was cervical length and the outcome variable was gestational age at delivery. Care providers were not masked to the results. Spontaneous preterm delivery was analyzed as before 37, 35, and 32 weeks. Shortened cervical length was defined by the tenth, fifth, and two and a half percentiles for our population. Yates-corrected chi(2) was used to evaluate the significance on univariate analysis of the relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to control for background variables in evaluating the probability of preterm delivery at less than 35 weeks. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values also were calculated. RESULTS: Cervical lengths were normally distributed (mean 38.5 +/- 8.0 mm at 19.9 +/- 1.5 weeks) independent of gestational age at measurement, and the tenth, fifth, and two and a half percentiles were 30, 27, and 22 mm, respectively. Eighty-five women delivered before 37 weeks, 51 before 35 weeks, and 27 before 32 weeks. Relative risks (95% CI) for spontaneous preterm delivery before 37 weeks were 3.8 (2.6, 5.6), 5.4 (3.3, 9.0), and 6.3 (3.0, 13.0) for the tenth, fifth, and two and a half percentiles, respectively; RRs for before 35 weeks were 4.5 (2.9, 6.9), 7.5 (4.5, 12.5), and 7.8 (3.6, 16.7); and for before 32 weeks were 5.2 (3.3, 8.3), 9.7 (5.8, 16.1), and 8.4 (3.6, 19.9), respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis confirmed that cervical length was a significant predictor of preterm birth before 35 weeks, and that paras had a 43% greater risk compared with nulliparas. Sensitivity ranged from 13-44%, specificity 90-99%, positive predictive value 15-47%, and negative predictive value 80-98%. CONCLUSION: Transvaginal measurement of cervical length during routine ultrasound at 16-22 weeks' gestation in asymptomatic gravidas might help identify women at risk for spontaneous preterm delivery.

The impact of digital cervical examination on expectantly managed preterm rupture of membranes.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of digital cervical examination on maternal and neonatal outcomes among women with preterm rupture of membranes. STUDY DESIGN: This analysis includes data from a previously reported trial of antibiotic treatment during expectant management of rupture of membranes at 24 to 32 weeks' gestation in singleton and twin gestations. Patients from both the randomized trial (n = 299 in the antibiotic group and n = 312 in the placebo group) and the observational component (n = 183) are included in this analysis. The groups were divided into those with one (n = 161) or two digital cervical examinations (n = 27) and those with no digital cervical examinations (n = 606). RESULTS: The gestational ages at enrollment were similar in the two groups (29 +/- 2 weeks' gestation for one or two examinations vs 29 +/- 2 weeks' gestation for no examinations; P =.85). There were no differences in chorioamnionitis (27% vs 29%; P =.69), endometritis (13% vs 11%; P =.5), or wound infection (0.5% vs 1%; P >.999) between the group with one or two examinations and the no-examination group. Infant outcomes were also similar in the two groups, including early sepsis (6% vs 5%; P =.68), respiratory distress syndrome (51% vs 45%; P =.18), intraventricular hemorrhage (7% vs 7%; P =.67), necrotizing enterocolitis (5% vs 3%; P =.19), and perinatal death (7% vs 5%; P =.45). A composite outcome made up of these neonatal outcomes was not different (56% vs 48%; P =.10) between the group with one or two examinations and the no-examination group. The time from rupture to delivery was shorter in the digital examination group (median value, 3 vs 5 days; P <. 009). Multivariable analysis to adjust for antibiotic study group, group B streptococcal culture status, race, and maternal transfer did not modify these results. CONCLUSION: Performance of one or two digital cervical examinations during the course of expectant management of rupture of membranes between 24 and 32 weeks' gestation was associated with shorter latency but did not appear to worsen either maternal or neonatal outcome.

The Preterm Prediction Study: prediction of preterm premature rupture of membranes through clinical findings and ancillary testing. The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to determine the relative importance of demographic characteristics, clinical risk factors, and ancillary screening tests in the prediction of preterm birth as a result of premature rupture of membranes. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 2929 women were evaluated in 10 centers at 23 to 24 weeks' gestation. Demographic and clinical characteristics were ascertained. Cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin and bacterial vaginosis were evaluated. Cervical length was measured by vaginal ultrasonography. Patients were evaluated for spontaneous preterm birth caused by preterm premature rupture of membranes at <37 and <35 weeks' gestation. Multivariate analyses were performed separately for nulliparous women and multiparous women. RESULTS: Premature rupture of membranes at <37 weeks' gestation complicated 4.5% of pregnancies, accounting for 32.6% of preterm births. Univariate analysis revealed low body mass index, pulmonary disease, contractions within 2 weeks, short cervix (

Preterm prediction study: is socioeconomic status a risk factor for bacterial vaginosis in Black or in White women?

Bacterial vaginosis (BV), an important risk factor for preterm birth, is a more common infection in Black compared with White pregnant women. Because Black women in the United States are more likely to have lower measures of socioeconomic status (SES), this study examined the hypothesis that BV is associated with low SES. The project evaluated data from the Preterm Prediction Study of 2,929 women prospectively followed during their pregnancies. The women, who were screened for BV at 24 and 28 weeks of gestation, underwent a structured interview to evaluate demographic factors, SES, home and work environment, drug or alcohol use, and prior medical history. Black women in the study had many measures of lower SES compared with the White women, and reported less use of tobacco, alcohol and drugs. In neither the Black nor White women was an association found between BV and measures of SES (with the sole exception of "absence of a home telephone"). Most measures of SES do not explain the difference in rates of BV in Black and in White pregnant women.

Vaginal fetal fibronectin measurements from 8 to 22 weeks' gestation and subsequent spontaneous preterm birth.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine the range of fetal fibronectin values in the vagina from 8 to 22 weeks' gestation, the factors associated with both low and high values, and whether high values are associated with gestational age at birth. STUDY DESIGN: Vaginal fetal fibronectin was quantitatively determined in a prospective cohort study of 13,360 women being evaluated for participation in the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Unit treatment trials for bacterial vaginosis and Trichomonas vaginalis. Fetal fibronectin values were correlated with gestational age at screening, race, the presence of bacterial vaginosis and Trichomonas vaginalis, and gestational age at delivery. RESULTS: Vaginal fetal fibronectin values at each gestational age ranged from unmeasurable to >1000 ng/mL, with median values always being <10 ng/mL. Fetal fibronectin values declined progressively with increasing gestational age at sampling. Bacterial vaginosis and black race were associated with higher values, whereas nulliparity was associated with lower values. High values after 13 weeks' gestation were associated with a 2- to 3-fold increased risk of subsequent spontaneous preterm birth overall and a 4-fold increased risk of very early preterm birth. CONCLUSION: Elevated vaginal fetal fibronectin levels from 13 to 22 weeks' gestation are associated with a significantly increased risk of spontaneous preterm birth.

Short cervical length by ultrasound and cerclage.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether gravidas with short cervical length on endovaginal ultrasound examination, not in preterm labor, who underwent cervical cerclage have better outcomes compared with those with no cerclage. METHODS: This is an observational study in which data were collected prospectively on women who had ultrasound endovaginal cervical length measurement and were not in preterm labor. The subgroup of women who were < or = 26 weeks' at cervical measurement was analyzed separately. Short cervix was defined as < or = 30 mm. After delivery, charts were reviewed for management and outcomes, performed at the discretion of the attending obstetrician. Two study groups were defined: those with cerclage and those with no cerclage. Predictor variables were cerclage and cervical lengths. Outcome variables were birth weight, gestational age at delivery, and neonatal outcomes. Data were analyzed using the chi-squared, Fisher's exact, and Student's t-tests, a p value of < 0.05 was considered to be significant. RESULTS: A total of 85 patients with cervical lengths of < or = 30 mm were identified; of these 43 had cerclage, and 42 did not. The latter had bedrest, tocolytics, or no intervention. Indications for cervical length measurement were similar in both groups, as were age, insurance status, cervical measurements, preterm premature rupture of membranes, and mode of delivery. The mean gestational age at delivery and birth weight in the cerclage group (34.0 +/- 5.4 weeks'; 2530 +/- 905 gm) were greater than in the no cerclage group (32.0 +/- 6.0 weeks', 2084 +/- 1085 gm, p values of < 0.04 and < 0.04, respectively). Analysis for the subgroup of women who were < or = 26 weeks at first measurement revealed similar results. The relative risk for delivering at < 30 weeks' gestation, for incrementally shorter cervices, was less in the cerclage group. CONCLUSION: Cerclage in gravidas with short cervix measured by endovaginal ultrasound, not in preterm labor, may be associated with neonates of greater gestational age and birth weight, with fewer of these parturients delivering before 30 weeks' gestation. A prospective randomized trial of treatment modalities for asymptomatic shortened cervix is needed.

The preterm prediction study: granulocyte colony-stimulating factor and spontaneous preterm birth. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network.

OBJECTIVE: Granulocyte colony-stimulating factor is elevated in the amniotic fluid and plasma of women with chorioamnionitis and active preterm labor. We investigated the relationship between plasma granulocyte colony-stimulating factor and subsequent spontaneous preterm birth in pregnant women without symptoms. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a nested case-control study involving 194 women who had a singleton spontaneous preterm birth and 194 matched term control subjects from the patient pool (n = 2929) enrolled in the Preterm Prediction Study. Plasma collected at 24 and 28 weeks' gestation was analyzed for granulocyte colony-stimulating factor, and the results were compared with subsequent spontaneous preterm birth. RESULTS: Compared with term control subjects, women who were delivered of their infants spontaneously at <28 weeks' gestation had increased mean granulocyte colony-stimulating factor values at 24 weeks' gestation (84.7 +/- 38.4 vs 67.7 +/- 28.6 pg/mL; P =.049), and women who were delivered of their infants at <32 weeks' gestation had increased mean plasma granulocyte colony-stimulating factor values at 28 weeks' gestation (80.4 +/- 24.1 vs 55.9 +/- 16.5 pg/mL; P =. 001). At 24 weeks' gestation a granulocyte colony-stimulating factor value >75th percentile in control subjects (approximately 80 pg/mL) was found in 48.9% (23/47) of all women delivered of their infants at <32 weeks' gestation versus 14.9% (7/47) of the term control subjects (adjusted odds ratio, 6.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.8-20. 8). At 28 weeks' gestation a granulocyte colony-stimulating factor value >75th percentile was found in 36.8% (7/19) of women delivered of their infants at <32 weeks' gestation versus 5.3% (1/19) of term control subjects (adjusted odds ratio, 25.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-470.4). When measured at 24 or 28 weeks' gestation, granulocyte colony-stimulating factor did not predict spontaneous preterm birth at 32 to 34 weeks' gestation or at 35 to 36 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSION: In pregnant women without symptoms at 24 and 28 weeks' gestation, elevated plasma granulocyte colony-stimulating factor levels are associated with subsequent early (<32 weeks' gestation) spontaneous preterm birth, especially within the next 4 weeks, but not with late spontaneous preterm birth. These data provide further evidence that early spontaneous preterm birth is associated with an inflammatory process that is identifiable by the presence of a cytokine in maternal plasma several weeks before the early spontaneous preterm birth; however, later spontaneous preterm birth is not associated with this process.

The Preterm Prediction Study: sequential cervical length and fetal fibronectin testing for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to further elucidate the pathogenesis of preterm birth by means of traditional risk factors and new markers for preterm birth derived from the Preterm Prediction Study. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 3076 women (2929 with singleton gestations and 147 with twin pregnancies) were categorized according to the presence of risk factors including black race, low body mass index, the presence of bacterial vaginosis, and previous preterm birth. At 24 and 28 weeks' gestation cervical length was measured and categorized as short (25 mm). Vaginal and cervical fetal fibronectin concentrations were measured at 24, 26, 28, and 30 weeks' gestation and results were categorized as positive (>/=50 ng/mL) or negative (<50 ng/mL). RESULTS: At 24 to 26 weeks' gestation women with each of the risk factors were more likely to have positive fibronectin test results or to have a short cervix. Among women with negative fetal fibronectin results at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation those with a short cervix were more likely to have positive fetal fibronectin results at 28 to 30 weeks' gestation, and among those with normal cervical length those women who had positive fetal fibronectin results were more likely to have a short cervix at later evaluation. Most women who had positive fetal fibronectin results at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation had negative results at 28 to 30 weeks' gestation, whereas most but not all women who had a short cervix at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation still had a short cervix at 28 to 30 weeks' gestation. In each period women with both a positive fetal fibronectin result and a short cervix were at substantially increased risk of spontaneous preterm birth; women with either marker alone had intermediate and approximately equal risks of spontaneous preterm birth, and women without either marker had a low risk of spontaneous preterm birth. CONCLUSION: Regardless of other risk factors, a short cervix predicts a subsequent positive fetal fibronectin result, and a positive fetal fibronectin result predicts subsequent cervical shortening. These data do not support a single sequence of events leading to spontaneous preterm birth.

The preterm prediction study: effect of gestational age and cause of preterm birth on subsequent obstetric outcome. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the association between prior spontaneous preterm delivery and subsequent pregnancy outcome. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 1711 multiparous women with singleton gestations were prospectively evaluated at 23 to 24 weeks' gestation. Prior pregnancies were coded for the presence or absence of a prior spontaneous preterm delivery. If a prior spontaneous preterm delivery had occurred, the gestation of the earliest prior delivery (13-22, 23-27, 28-34, and 35-36 weeks' gestation) was recorded. Current gestations were categorized as spontaneous preterm delivery at <28, <30, <32, <35, or <37 weeks' gestation. The risk of spontaneous preterm delivery in the current gestation was determined on the basis of the occurrence, gestational age, and cause of the earliest prior spontaneous preterm delivery. RESULTS: The incidences of spontaneous preterm delivery before 28, 30, 32, 35, and 37 weeks' gestation were 0.8%, 1.1%, 1.9%, 5.1%, and 11.9%, respectively. Those with a prior spontaneous preterm delivery carried a 2.5-fold increase in the risk of spontaneous preterm delivery in the current gestation over those with no prior spontaneous preterm delivery (21. 7% vs 8.8%; P

Fetal membrane histology in preterm premature rupture of membranes: comparison to controls, and between antibiotic and placebo treatment. The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal Fetal Medicine Units Network, Bethesda, MD, USA.

The objectives of this study were to test the hypotheses that antibiotic therapy will alter the histologic appearance of fetal membranes in preterm premature rupture of membranes (pPROM), and that the membrane histology will demonstrate distinct differences between term and preterm rupture of membranes. We also wished to test interobserver variability of pathologists. Placental membranes were sampled from 268 women participating in a randomized placebo-controlled trial of antibiotic therapy for pPROM at 24-32 weeks of gestation (cases) and from 4 control groups who were not in the randomized trial: (1) preterm labor without pPROM (n = 21), (2) term labor (n = 65), (3) term PROM (n = 21), and (4) term cesarean section (n = 27). The cases and controls were scored for 40 histologic features by pathologists blinded to the identity of each sample (case or control). pPROM histology of samples from patients receiving antibiotics and those receiving placebo was compared using a chi-squared test and with control groups using logistic regression. There were no histological differences between pPROM cases treated with antibiotic and those receiving placebo, nor with respect to duration of membrane rupture greater or less than 48 h. Concordance among pathologists was low for features other than acute inflammation. Logistic regression analysis controlled for race and pathologist, and demonstrated that all of the control groups had significantly fewer common markers of acute inflammation when compared with the pPROM cases. This study suggests that histopathologic evidence of infection is seen more frequently with pPROM than in preterm or term controls. The histologic features used in this study cannot be used to determine the effectiveness of antibiotic therapy.

Obstetrical determinants of neonatal neurological morbidity in < or = 1000-gram infants.

The purpose of this study is to identify obstetrical factors associated with adverse neurological outcome in < or =1000-g infants. In a 1-year (1992-1993) observational study, the NICHD MFMU Network collected obstetrical risk factors for 486 infants who weighed < or =1000 g at birth and who survived > 2 days. Infants' records were abstracted for seizures, intraventricular hemorrhage, and an abnormal neurological evaluation. Seventy-nine (16%) infants had a Grade III or IV intraventricular hemorrhage, 46 (9%) developed seizures and 57 (14%) had an abnormal neurological evaluation. Both lower birth weight and earlier gestational age correlated (P <0.01) with an increasing incidence of all three outcomes. Several other factors appeared to be associated with neurological morbidity, however, after controlling for potential confounders in the multivariate analyses, most of these factors were no longer significant. African-American race, odds ratio (OR) 0.6 (0.3-1.0), and severe preeclampsia, OR 0.2 (0.1-0.7), were protective against intraventricular hemorrhage. Maternal treatment with corticosteroids did not impact neurological outcome in this study population. We conclude that, in a population of < or =1000-g infants, lower birth weight and earlier gestational age were the only consistently significant predictors of all three adverse neurological outcomes.

Obstetric determinants of neonatal survival: antenatal predictors of neonatal survival and morbidity in extremely low birth weight infants.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to compare clinical and ultrasonographic variables obtained before delivery as predictors of neonatal survival and morbidity in infants weighing

Benefits of maternal corticosteroid therapy in infants weighing

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine the effects of antenatal maternal corticosteroid treatment on selected neonatal outcomes in infants weighing

Indicated versus spontaneous preterm delivery: An evaluation of neonatal morbidity among infants weighing

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine whether infants weighing 20 weeks who were not produced as the result of an induced abortion were included. Our analysis was further limited to infants without major congenital anomalies who survived >2 days, were deemed potentially viable by the obstetrician, and would have undergone a cesarean delivery for fetal indications (N = 411). The primary reason for delivery was categorized as indicated delivery, spontaneous preterm labor, or spontaneous preterm premature rupture of membranes. Selected neonatal outcomes were evaluated among infants born to women in each of these groups. Logistic regression analyses were used to control for the effects of other potentially confounding variables. RESULTS: A total of 156 of the 411 infants were born to women who underwent an indicated preterm delivery, whereas 160 were born after spontaneous preterm labor and 95 were delivered after preterm premature rupture of membranes. Univariate analyses revealed significantly lower incidences of grade III or IV intraventricular hemorrhage, grade III or IV retinopathy of prematurity, and seizure activity among infants born in an indicated preterm delivery than among those born after spontaneous preterm labor or preterm premature rupture of membranes. However, infants of women who underwent indicated preterm delivery had a more advanced mean gestational age at birth than did those born after spontaneous preterm labor or preterm premature rupture of membranes (28 +/- 2 weeks, 26 +/- 2 weeks, and 26 +/- 1 weeks, respectively, P <.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis was therefore used to control for the disparity in gestational age. Multivariate analyses did not confirm the apparent improvement in neonatal outcome in the indicated delivery group. CONCLUSION: In this population of infants weighing

The preterm prediction study: risk factors for indicated preterm births. Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development.

OBJECTIVE: Preterm births occur for many different reasons. Most efforts to identify risk factors for preterm births either ignore cause and consider preterm births as a single entity or examine risk factors for spontaneous preterm births. We performed this study to examine risk factors for indicated preterm births, which constitute more than one quarter of all preterm births. STUDY DESIGN: The study included 2929 women evaluated at 24 weeks' gestation at 10 centers. Information was gathered about demographic factors, socioeconomic status, home and work environments, drug and alcohol use, and medical history. In addition vaginal samples were evaluated for fetal fibronectin and bacterial vaginosis and cervical length was measured by transvaginal ultrasonography. Associations with indicated preterm birth were evaluated by univariate tests and by multivariable analysis with logistic regression. RESULTS: Of the women studied at 24 weeks' gestation 15.3% were delivered of their infants at <37 weeks' gestation. Of these deliveries, 27.7% were indicated preterm births. Risk factors in the final multivariable model were, in order of decreasing odds ratios, mullerian duct abnormality (odds ratio 7.02), proteinuria at <24 weeks' gestation (odds ratio 5.85), history of chronic hypertension (odds ratio 4.06), history of previous indicated preterm birth (odds ratio 2.79), history of lung disease (odds ratio 2.52), previous spontaneous preterm birth (odds ratio 2.45), age >30 years (odds ratio 2.42), black ethnicity (odds ratio 1.56), and working during pregnancy (odds ratio 1.49). Alcohol use in pregnancy was actually associated with a lower risk of indicated preterm birth (odds ratio 0.35). CONCLUSION: The risk factors found in this analysis tend to be different from those associated with spontaneous preterm birth.

The preterm prediction study: the value of new vs standard risk factors in predicting early and all spontaneous preterm births. NICHD MFMU Network.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to determine the relationship between fetal fibronectin, short cervix, bacterial vaginosis, other traditional risk factors, and spontaneous preterm birth. METHODS: From 1992 through 1994, 2929 women were screened at the gestational age 22 to 24 weeks. RESULTS: The odds ratios for spontaneous preterm birth were highest for fetal fibronectin, followed by a short cervix and history of preterm birth. These factors, as well as bacterial vaginosis, were more strongly associated with early than with late spontaneous preterm birth. Bacterial vaginosis was more common--and a stronger predictor of spontaneous preterm birth--in Black women, while body mass index less than 19.8 was a stronger predictor in non-Black women. This analysis suggests a pathway leading from Black race through bacterial vaginosis and fetal fibronectin to spontaneous preterm birth. Prior preterm birth is associated with spontaneous preterm birth through a short cervix. CONCLUSIONS: Fetal fibronectin and a short cervix are stronger predictors of spontaneous preterm birth than traditional risk factors. Bacterial vaginosis was found more often in Black than in non-Black women and accounted for 40% of the attributable risk for spontaneous preterm birth at less than 32 weeks.