Community-based COVID-19 outbreak of the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant of concern in Newfoundland, February to March 2021.

Background: From March 2020 to January 2021, Newfoundland and Labrador experienced 408 coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases (incidence 78 per 100,000). In February and March 2021, a community outbreak of the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant occurred in the Eastern Regional Health Authority. This article describes the epidemiology of this variant of concern outbreak, identifies settings that likely contributed to spread and informs recommendations for public health measures (PHMs). Methods: Provincial surveillance data were linked with case interview data and a school class roster. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to characterize the outbreak. Secondary attack rates (SAR) were calculated for households and classrooms. Results: This outbreak involved 577 laboratory-confirmed and 38 probable cases. Whole genome sequencing determined cases were B.1.1.7. The median age was 31 years and the highest proportion of cases were in the 15 to 19-year age group (29%); 293 (51%) were female and 140 (24%) were asymptomatic upon identification. Early cases were linked to a high school, sports activities, a restaurant and social gatherings. As the outbreak progressed, cases were associated with household transmission, a daycare, healthcare settings and a workplace. The unadjusted SAR estimate among laboratory-confirmed cases was 24.4% for households and 19.3% for classroom exposures. When adjusted for other potential exposures, SAR estimates were 19.9% for households and 11.3% for classrooms. Conclusion: This outbreak demonstrated how B.1.1.7 spread rapidly through a community with previously low COVID-19 transmission and few preventative PHMs in place. Implementation and compliance with school and community-based PHMs is critical for preventing transmission during outbreaks.

Determinants of neurological disease: Synthesis of systematic reviews.

Systematic reviews were conducted to identify risk factors associated with the onset and progression of 14 neurological conditions, prioritized as a component of the National Population Health Study of Neurological Conditions. These systematic reviews provided a basis for evaluating the weight of evidence of evidence for risk factors for the onset and progression of the 14 individual neurological conditions considered. A number of risk factors associated with an increased risk of onset for more than one condition, including exposure to pesticides (associated with an increased risk of AD, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, brain tumours, and PD; smoking (AD, MS); and infection (MS, Tourette syndrome). Coffee and tea intake was associated with a decreased risk of onset of both dystonia and PD. Further understanding of the etiology of priority neurological conditions will be helpful in focusing future research initiatives and in the development of interventions to reduce the burden associated with neurological conditions in Canada and internationally.

A systematic review of the risks factors associated with the onset and natural progression of hydrocephalus.

The purpose of this study was to systematically assess and synthesize the world literature on risk factors for the onset and natural progression of hydrocephalus, thereby providing a basis for policy makers to identify appropriate risk management measures to mitigate the burden of disease in Canada. Evidence for risk factors was limited for both onset and progression. Two meta-analyses that examined a risk factor for onset met the inclusion criteria. One found a significant protective effect of prenatal vitamins among case control studies, but not cohort/randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The second found maternal obesity to be a significant risk factor for congenital hydrocephalus. Significant risk factors among 25 observational studies included: biological (multiple births, maternal parity, common cold with fever, maternal thyroid disease, family history, preterm birth, hypertension, ischemic heart disease, ischemic ECG changes, higher cerebrospinal fluid protein concentration following vestibular schwannoma); lifestyle (maternal obesity, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, maternal diabetes, maternal age), healthcare-related (caesarean section, interhospital transfer, drainage duration following subarachnoid hemorrhage, proximity to midline for craniectomy following traumatic brain injury); pharmaceutical (prenatal exposure to: tribenoside, metronidazole, anesthesia, opioids); and environmental (altitude, paternal occupation). Three studies reported on genetic risk factors: no significant associations were found. There are major gaps in the literature with respect to risk factors for the natural progression of hydrocephalus. Only two observational studies were included and three factors reported. Many risk factors for the onset of hydrocephalus have been studied; for most, evidence remains limited or inconclusive. More work is needed to confirm any causal associations and better inform policy.

A systematic review of the risks factors associated with the onset and natural progression of epilepsy.

Epilepsy is a neurological condition that affects more than 50 million individuals worldwide. It presents as unpredictable, temporary and recurrent seizures often having negative physical, psychological and social consequences. To inform disease prevention and management strategies, a comprehensive systematic review of the literature on risk factors for the onset and natural progression of epilepsy was conducted. Computerized bibliographic databases for systematic reviews, meta-analyses, observational studies and genetic association studies published between 1990 and 2013 describing etiological risk factors for epilepsy was searched. The quality of systematic reviews was validated using the AMSTAR tool and articles were reviewed by two referees. A total of 16,958 articles went through stage one review of abstracts and titles. A total of 76 articles on genetic and non-genetic risk factors for the onset and progression of epilepsy met the eligibility criteria for data extraction. Dozens of risk factors were significantly associated with onset of epilepsy. Inconsistent levels of evidence for risk of onset included family history of epilepsy, history of febrile seizures, alcohol consumption, CNS and other infections, brain trauma, head injury, perinatal stroke, preterm birth and three genetic markers. Limited evidence showed that symptomatic epilepsy, focal seizures/syndromes, slow waves on EEG, higher seizure frequency, high stress or anxiety, and lack of sleep decreased the odds of seizure remission. High quality studies were rare and while a large body of work exists, relatively few systematic reviews were found.

A systematic review of the risks factors associated with the onset and natural progression of spina bifida.

The purpose of this study was to systematically assess and synthesize the world literature on risk factors for the onset and natural progression of spina bifida, thereby providing a basis for policy makers to identify appropriate risk management measures to mitigate the burden of disease in Canada. Searches of several health literature databases from inception to February 2013 were conducted by a health sciences librarian. A total of three meta-analyses that studied a risk factor for the onset of spina bifida were included. Pooled results showed that paternal exposure to Agent Orange (RR=2.02; 95% CI 1.48-2.74) and maternal obesity prior to pregnancy (OR=2.24; 95% CI 1.86-2.74) each increased the risk of having a child with spina bifida. Paternal exposure to organic solvents was also close to the limit of significance (OR=1.59; 95% CI 0.99-2.56). A total of 63 observational studies, encompassing hundreds of potential risk factors, were included for risk factors for the onset of disease. One meta-analysis and four observational studies examined the impact of genetic risk factors. Only specified mutations in the 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) and dihydrofolate reductase (DHFR) genes were found to be linked to disease onset. One observational study evaluated a risk factor for the natural progression of disease. An extensive number of potential risk factors for the onset of spina bifida have been studied, though most lack sufficient evidence to confirm an association. Currently, strong evidence exists to suggest a causal association for maternal obesity prior to pregnancy, and paternal exposure to Agent Orange.

Factors associated with the onset and progression of neurotrauma: A systematic review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

Neurotrauma, including traumatic brain injury (TBI) and spinal cord injury (SCI), is a preventable condition that imposes an important burden on the Canadian society. In this study, the current evidence on risk factors for the onset and progression of neurotrauma is systematically reviewed and synthesized. Searches of the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE), Medline and Medline in Process (via OVID), EMBASE and PsycINFO from inception to February 2013 were conducted to identify relevant systematic reviews and meta-analyses published in English or French. Two referees screened and assessed the quality of the studies using the AMSTAR tool. Thirty-two studies examined at least one risk factor for the onset of neurotrauma. Thirteen studies passed the quality assessment and the majority evaluated the impact of protective equipment in sports. Helmets effectively reduce TBI from bicycling, skiing, snowboarding, ice hockey and motorcycling. There was no evidence of a protective effect of helmets for SCI. No studies contributed evidence on risk factors for the onset of SCI. Of two studies examining risk factors for the progression of neurotrauma, only injury severity was found to be associated with poorer post-injury outcomes. Substantial evidence supports the use of helmets for the prevention of TBI in sports and motorcycling and face shields in ice hockey. Addressing bicycle helmet legislation across Canada may be an effective option for reducing TBI caused by bicycle accidents. Limited evidence on relevant risk factors for spinal cord injuries and neurotrauma progression was available.

Do Biologics Protect Patients With Psoriasis From Myocardial Infarction? A Retrospective Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disorder that affects approximately 2% to 3% of the population, which translates to 17 million in North America and Europe and approximately 170 million people worldwide. Although psoriasis can occur at any age, most cases develop before age 40 years. Some larger studies have noted bimodal age at onset with the first peak occurring at approximately age 30 years and the second peak at around 55 to 60 years, but most patients have a younger age of onset (15-30 years). Psoriasis is associated with multiple comorbidities, decreased quality of life, and decreased longevity of life. Two recent systematic reviews and a meta-analysis concluded that psoriasis patients are at increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. Multiple studies confirm that many of the comorbidities found in patients with psoriasis are also important risk factors for cardiovascular disease, stroke, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and metabolic syndrome. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using charts from a dermatology clinic combined with an administrative database of patients with moderate to severe psoriasis in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. We examined the role of clinical predictors (age of onset of psoriasis, age, sex, biologic use) in predicting incident myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: Logistic regression revealed that age of onset (odds ratio [OR], 8.85; P = .005), advancing age (OR, 1.07; P < .0001), and being male (OR, 3.64; P = .018) were significant risk factors for the development of MI. Neither biologic therapy nor duration of biologic therapy were statistically significant risk factors for the development of MI. Our study found that in patients with psoriasis treated with biologics, there was a nonsignificant trend in reduced MI by 78% (relative risk, 0.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.24-1.34; P = .056). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated a trend toward decreased MI in patients with moderate to severe psoriasis on biologics. Patients with an early age of onset of psoriasis (<25 years) were nearly 9 times more likely to have an MI. Clinicians should consider appropriate cardiovascular risk reduction strategies in patients with psoriasis.