Application of a multi-institutional nomogram predicting salvage whole brain radiation-free survival to patients treated with postoperative stereotactic radiotherapy for brain metastases.

PURPOSE: The ultimate goal of stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT) of brain metastases (BM) is to avoid or postpone whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT). A nomogram based on multi-institutional data was developed by Gorovets, et al. to estimate the 6 and 12-months WBRT-free survival (WFS). The aim of the current retrospective study was to validate the nomogram in a cohort of postoperative BM patients treated with adjuvant SRT. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We reviewed the data of 68 patients treated between 2008-2017 with postoperative SRT for BM. The primary endpoint was the WFS. The receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated for both 6- and 12-months time points. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 64 months, the 1-year cumulative incidence of local and distant brain relapse rates were 15% [95% CI=8-26%] and 34% [95% CI=24-48%], respectively. At recurrence, repeated SRT or salvage WBRT were applied in 33% and 57% cases, respectively. The WFS rates at 6 and 12 months were 88% [95% CI=81-97%] and 67% [95% CI=56-81%], respectively. Using the Gorovets nomogram, the 6 months rates were overestimated while they were accurate at 12 months. AUC values were 0.47 and 0.62 for the 6- and 12-months respectively. Overall, Harrell's concordance index was 0.54. CONCLUSION: This nomogram-predicted well the 12 months WFS but its discriminative power was quite low. This underlines the limits of this kind of predictive tool and leads us to consider the use of big data analysis in the future.

Surgical bed stereotactic radiotherapy of brain metastases: Clinical outcome and predictors of local and distant brain failure.

PURPOSE: To retrospectively analyze the outcomes of stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT) targeted at surgical bed of brain metastases (BM) and identify patterns of local/distant brain relapses (LR/DBR). PATIENTS/METHODS: Seventy patients were treated with SRT between 2008-2017. Marginal dose prescription on the 70% isodose line depended on the maximal diameter of the target volume and range between 15-18Gy for single fraction radiosurgery and 23.1-26Gy in 3-5 fractions for fractionated SRT. RESULTS: At 12 months, the overall survival (OS) was 69% [CI 95%=59%-81%]. At 6 and 12 months, the cumulative incidence functions (CIF) of local relapse were 4% [1%-13%] and 15% [8%-26%], respectively. According to univariate analysis, factors associated with LR were an initial volume larger than 7cc (hazard ratio: 4.6 [1.0-20.8], P=0.046) and a positive resection margin [hazard ratio: 3.6 [1.1-12.0], P=0.037. DBR occurred in 54.3% of patients with a median time of 8 months. None of the variables tested (histology, location or number of lesions) were found correlated with the DBR. Leptomeningeal disease occurred in 12.9% of cases. Salvage whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) was required in 45.7% of patients and delayed by a median time of 9.6 months. Symptomatic radionecrosis (RN) occurred in 7.1%. CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant SRT was an effective and well-tolerated treatment to control the postoperative risk of recurrence of BM without compromising OS. Positive resection margins and large volumes were predictors factor of local relapse.