RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of allergies has been observed to be increasing in the past years in Zimbabwe. It is thus important to consider the long term prevalence of allergies. Our interest is in investigating the trends of allergies in the next 2 decades. METHOD: We formulate a deterministic model with 6 compartments to predict the prevalence of allergies in Zimbabwe. The human population is divided into 4 distinct epidemiological, classes based on their exposure to 2 allergen groups (food and inhalants), represented by 2 compartments. The model is used to predict the prevalence of allergen sensitization. The number of human allergen groups in each compartment are tracked through a system of differential equations. Model parameters were obtained by fitting observed data to the model. Graphical solutions of the model were developed using Matlab and Excel. RESULTS: The rate of sensitisation to food allergen sources is found to be lower than the rate of sensitisation to inhalant allergens. The rate at which individuals develop tolerance to food allergen sources is found to be almost twice the rate of developing tolerance to inhalant allergies. The equilibrium solutions (the long-term states of the populations) of the model are found to be non-zero implying that there will never be an allergy-free population. Our results also show that the prevalence of food allergy is likely to increase in the next 2 decades while inhalant allergy prevalence is expected to decrease. CONCLUSION: Our long-term solutions show endemicity in allergies in Zimbabwe. So, allergy will be endemic in the Zimbabwean population; hence there is a need for allergy care and management facilities to be increased. These results are critical in policy development and planning around allergies in the near future.
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BACKGROUND: Knowledge gaps exist between host genetic factors and susceptibility to schistosomiasis. OBJECTIVE: This study determined cytokine levels and single nucleotide polymorphisms of tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α (rs1800629) and interleukin (IL)-10 (rs1800871) and their possible impact on susceptibility to schistosomiasis in preschool-age children in the Madziva area of Shamva district, Mashonaland Central province, Zimbabwe. METHODS: Urogenital schistosomiasis was diagnosed using the urine filtration method, while a sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used for cytokine level determination. The survey was done in August 2015 and reinfection levels post treatment were assessed at 3, 6 and 12 months. Amplification refractory mutation system polymerase chain reaction with visualisation on 2% agarose gel electrophoresis was used for genotyping. RESULTS: Schistosomiasis prevalence was found to be 10.5% (59/563). Reinfections were detected in only six children at 3 months and only one was reinfected at 12 months. There were no significant differences in TNF-α-308 G/A allele or genotype frequencies between the Schistosoma haematobium infected participants (p = 0.360) and uninfected participants (p = 0.279). However, no children with the IL-10-819 TT genotype had schistosomiasis. The TNF-α GG genotype corresponded with significantly lower TNF-α levels when compared with the GA or AA genotypes (p < 0.001), and TNF-α levels were significantly lower in infected children compared to uninfected children (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Higher TNF-α levels and lower IL-10 levels are potentially protective against schistosomiasis infection. The IL-10-819 TT genotype is potentially protective against infection through its association with lower IL-10 levels.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Schistosomiasis is known to induce inflammatory immune responses. C-reactive protein (CRP), resistin and P-selectin are serological inflammatory markers that rise during the acute stages of infection. Here, we propose such inflammatory biomarkers have a potential for use in urogenital schistosomiasis diagnostic screening for exposure and infection in preschool-aged children. METHODS: As part of a larger study on urogenital schistosomiasis, 299 preschool children aged 1-5 years were included in this cross-sectional study. Parasitological diagnosis was conducted using urine filtration for Schistosoma haemtobium infection, and Kato Katz for S. mansoni infection. Serum levels of P-selectin, resistin, CRP, and antibodies against S. haematobium cercarial antigen preparation (CAP) and soluble worm antigen preparation (SWAP) were measured by ELISA. RESULTS: Of the 299 participants, 14% were egg positive for S. haematobium. Serology showed 46 and 9% of the participants to have been exposed to S. haematobium cercarial antigens and adult worm antigens, respectively. Levels of P-selectin were significantly higher in participants infected with S. haematobium (egg-positive) than in uninfected participants (p = 0.001). Levels of P-selectin were also higher in those exposed to cercarial antigen than in unexposed participants (p = 0.019). There was a positive correlation between P-selectin and infection intensity (r = 0.172; p = 0.002), as well as with IgM responses to CAP and SWAP (r = 0.183; p = 0.001); (r = 0.333; p < 0.0001) respectively. CRP significantly correlated with IgM responses to CAP (r = 0.133; p = 0.029) while resistin correlated with IgM responses to CAP and SWAP (r = 0.127; p = 0.016); (r = 0.197; p = 0.0004). CRP levels were higher in those exposed to cercarial and adult worm antigens than unexposed participants (p = 0.035); (p = 0.002) respectively, while resistin was higher in participants exposed to cercarial antigen than unexposed participants (p = 0.024). CONCLUSION: In this preschool population, P-selectin is significantly associated with urogenital schistosome infection and intensity; hence a potential biomarker for infection diagnosis and disease monitoring. The inflammatory biomarkers (P-selectin, Resistin and CRP) were significantly higher in participants exposed to cercarial antigens than unexposed individuals indicating an underlying inflammatory environment.