Surgical productivity recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.

Introduction: Previous studies demonstrated that the surgical productivity regressed in 2020. This study therefore explored whether the COVID-19 pandemic had any significant lasting effect of reducing the surgical productivity in Japan. This is a retrospective observational study which is an extension of the previous ones. Methods: The authors analyzed 18,805 surgical procedures performed during the study period from April 1 through September 30 in 2016-22. A non-radial and non-oriented Malmquist model under the variable returns-to-scale assumptions was employed. The decision-making unit (DMU) was defined as a surgical specialty department. Inputs were defined as (1) the number of assistants, and (2) the surgical duration. The output was defined as the surgical fee. The study period was divided into 42 one-month periods. The authors added all the inputs and outputs for each DMU during these study periods, and computed its Malmquist index, efficiency change and technical change. The outcome measures were its annual productivity, efficiency, and technical changes between the same months in each year. Results: There was no statistically significant difference in annual productivity, efficiency, and technical changes between pre-pandemic and post-pandemic periods. Discussion: No evidence was found to suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic has any significant lasting effect of reducing the surgical productivity.

Current findings and gaps in early initiation of breastfeeding practices in sub-Saharan African countries: A scoping review.

Background: Early initiation of breastfeeding (EIBF) plays an important role in reducing neonatal and infant mortality. Sub-Saharan African countries have high rates of neonatal and infant mortality, as well as a low prevalence of EIBF. By conducting a scoping review, we aimed to determine the gaps and current understandings of EIBF in Sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: We conducted this scoping review following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) reporting guidelines, focusing on primary studies published from 2008 to 2021. We reviewed their titles and abstracts against the eligibility criteria, selecting the relevant ones to this study's criteria for a further full-text review. Results: The identified determinants can be categorized into household, maternal, and health service characteristics. Regarding health service characteristics, many studies reported that cesarean section was strongly associated with the delayed initiation of breastfeeding. Institutional delivery and delivery by skilled birth attendants were also reported to be associated with the early initiation of breastfeeding. Others pointed out that place of residence and wealth index as two household characteristics that were strongly associated with EIBF, as well as maternal characteristics such as older maternal age and higher education status. Conclusions: We found that only eleven studies on the early initiation of breastfeeding have been conducted in Central and West Africa. Household, maternal, and health service factors have been reported to be associated with the early initiation of breastfeeding across many countries. More studies are needed to fill the current geographic gaps and investigate determinants that have not been examined. Future research should also cover interventions that have been effective in improving EIBF for women after caesarean sections in sub-Saharan Africa. Interventions that promote institutional delivery and deliveries by skilled attendants have the potential to improve the practice.

Effect of surgeon experience on technical efficiency.

Surgeon experience certainly improves their technical efficiency although it also causes physiological changes with aging. The authors hypothesized that surgeons' technical efficiency improves with increasing experience up to a point where it then decreases, which is a concave relationship. The authors collected data from all the surgical procedures performed at University Hospital from April through September in 2013-19. The dependent variable was defined as surgeons' technical efficiency scores that were calculated using output-oriented Charnes-Cooper-Rhodes model of data envelopment analysis. Inputs were defined as (1) the number of assistants and (2) the duration of surgical operation. The output was defined as the surgical fee for each surgery. Surgeon experience was defined as the number of years since medical school graduation. Five control variables were selected: surgical volume, gender, academic rank, surgical specialty, and the year of surgery. Multiple regression analysis using pooled and random-effects Tobit models was performed for our panel data. Totally 20,375 surgical procedures performed by 264 surgeons in 42 months were analyzed. The coefficients of experience and the square of experience were not significantly different from zero. The other coefficients were also insignificant. Surgeons' technical efficiency does not have a concave relationship with experience.

Nationwide Long-Term Evaluation of Polypharmacy Reduction Policies Focusing on Older Adults in Japan.

Polypharmacy is a serious health issue for older adults worldwide, including in Japan, which has a rapidly aging society. The "Proper Medication Guideline for Older Adults" was published for healthcare providers in May 2018, and polypharmacy reduction incentives were initiated for medical facilities in April 2016 and April 2018. This study identified the long-term reduction in polypharmacy prescriptions focusing on older adults aged 75 years and above from April 2015 to March 2019. The national health insurance claims database, which covers most reimbursement claims in Japan, was selected as the primary data source. In this study, polypharmacy was defined as the simultaneous prescription of seven or more medications or multi-psychotropic medications. The primary outcome was the polypharmacy reduction ratio, which indicates the decrease in polypharmacy proportion based on the number of medications on an outpatient prescription. A total polypharmacy reduction of 19.3% for the "75-89 years" subgroup and 16.5% for the "90 years and above" subgroup was observed over four years. Based on prefecture analysis, the mean values of polypharmacy proportion showed a statistically significant reduction over four years. This study showed a successful nationwide reduction in polypharmacy prescriptions after implementing the polypharmacy management guidelines for older adults and incentive-based policies.

A Cohort Study of the Relationship between Active Collaboration and Operational Efficiency in Japanese Public Health Institutions.

Introduction: In recent years, public hospitals have seen an increasing need for management reform in light of increasing social security costs due to the aging population. This study investigated the relationship between collaboration with neighboring medical institutions and management efficiency in public hospitals. Methods: Data envelopment analysis was used to calculate the dependent variable. We used the referral rate for each public hospital as an independent variable to indicate active collaboration. Univariate and multivariate analyses examined the association between the two variables above. The adjustment variables in the multivariate analysis incorporated those variables that were considered significant in the univariate analysis when the significance level was 10% on a two-sided basis. The Tobit regression model was used in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Ultimately, the analysis included 402 public hospitals. Approximately 8% fell into the high-collaboration group. Even after adjusting for significant variables from the univariate analysis, the inefficiency value was significantly lower in the high-collaboration group than in the low-collaboration group; namely, the efficiency value in the high-collaboration group was significantly higher than in the low-collaboration group. Moreover, hospitals with a higher ratio of subsidies to revenue had significantly lower values for management efficiency. Conclusions: The analysis of the relationship between efficiency value and the percentage of referred patients in Japan indicated that higher percentages of referred patients, that is, higher degrees of cooperation, were significantly associated with higher efficiency scores.

Productivity Change of Surgeons During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic in Japan.

The purpose of this study is to compute surgical total factor productivity before and during the pandemic with Malmquist index, and to evaluate the effect of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on its productivity change. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly shifted healthcare resources allocation; more healthcare resources have focused on measures against the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors collected data from all the surgical procedures performed in Teikyo University Hospital from April 1 through September 30 in 2019 and in 2020. Non-radial and non-oriented Malmquist model under the constant return-to-scale assumptions was employed. The decision-making unit was defined as a surgeon with the highest academic rank in surgery. Inputs were defined as (1) the number of medical doctors who assisted surgery and (2) the duration of surgical operation from skin incision to closure. The output was defined as the surgical fee for each surgery. The study period was divided into four 3-month periods. We added all the inputs and outputs of the surgical procedures for each decision-making unit during these study periods, and computed his/her Malmquist index, efficiency change, and technical change. Four thousand six hundred and two surgical procedures performed by 75 surgeons were analyzed. The productivity progressed significantly during 2019 (P = .008) while the productivity changes in 2020 were not significantly different from 0. On year-on-year comparisons, the productivity change was not significantly different from 0. The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on the productivity progress of surgery that was unrelated to its countermeasures.

Surgical productivity did not suffer despite the states of emergency against the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study is to compute surgical total factor productivity with Malmquist index, and to evaluate the effects of states of emergency against the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on its productivity change. We hypothesized that the states of emergency significantly reduced surgical total factor productivity in Japan. METHODS: The authors collected data from all the surgical procedures performed in Teikyo University Hospital from April 1 through September 30 in 2019-21. Non-radial and non-oriented Malmquist model under the variable returns-to-scale assumptions was employed. The decision making unit (DMU) was defined as a surgical specialty department. Inputs were defined as (1) the number of medical doctors who assisted surgery, and (2) the duration of surgical operation from skin incision to closure. The output was defined as the surgical fee for each surgery. The study period was divided into fifty-one ten- (or eleven-) day periods. We added all the inputs and outputs of the surgical procedures for each DMU during these study periods, and computed its Malmquist index, efficiency change and technical change. RESULTS: Seven thousand nine hundred and thirty-one surgical procedures were analyzed. The overall productivity and efficiency progressed significantly both during states of emergency and during no states of emergency. Our subgroup analysis demonstrated that there were no surgical specialties that had significantly different productivity, efficiency or technical changes between states of emergency and no states of emergency. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that the surgical productivity did not suffer despite the states of emergency against the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of sedation and general anesthesia regimens for children undergoing magnetic resonance imaging in Japan.

PURPOSE: The anesthesiologist-directed sedation service has not been well established in Japan partly due to reimbursement issue. In this study, we compared the cost-effectiveness of sedation by non-anesthesiologists with that of sedation or general anesthesia by anesthesiologists under the Japanese medical fee schedule. METHODS: We conducted a single-center observational study with patients who required sedation or general anesthesia for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during a 12-month period. Costs per patient and failure rates of imaging were modeled in a decision analysis tree with sensitivity analysis. Costs were estimated from the health-care sector perspective. RESULTS: A total of 1546 patients were analyzed. The failure rate of sedation by non-anesthesiologists was 17.5% (264 out of 1506), whereas all the sedation and general anesthesia by anesthesiologists were successful. The cost-effectiveness analysis with setting successful sedation as outcomes showed that the mean cost per patient was 84.2 USD for sedation by anesthesiologists, followed by 74.2-92.7 USD for intravenous sedation by non-anesthesiologists, 112.1-458.3 USD for oral or rectal sedation by non-anesthesiologists, and 605.4 USD for general anesthesia by anesthesiologists. The one-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the cost per patient of sedation by a non-anesthesiologist would remain higher than that of sedation by an anesthesiologist, provided that the failure rate is over 11.3% for sedation via oral or rectal route, or over 3.6% for intravenous route, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Anesthesia-directed sedation would be more cost-effective than oral or rectal sedation by non-anesthesiologists for children undergoing MRI in the Japanese medical fee schedule.

Effectiveness of polypharmacy reduction policy in Japan: nationwide retrospective observational study.

Background Polypharmacy is an important global health issue. In Japan, an amended policy has been implemented since April 2016 to offer incentives that allow claiming a payment of approximately 22.5 US$ per patient to hospitals and clinics that succeed to reduce two or more medications. However, there is no evidence on the nationwide effectiveness of polypharmacy reduction policy. Aim To evaluate the effectiveness of the polypharmacy reduction policy in Japan using nationwide outpatient prescription fee reimbursement claims data in Open Data of the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan. Method This nationwide retrospective observational study was conducted over 3 years (April 2015 to March 2018). The primary outcome was the polypharmacy reduction ratio calculated by the polypharmacy proportion. Factors associated with policy effectiveness were identified by performing a multiple linear regression analysis using independent variables. Results After implementing the new policy, a 7.3 % polypharmacy reduction ratio was observed, particularly in the elderly (8.2 %). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that the proportion of elderly residents (aged ≥65 years), number of hospitals per 100,000 residents, and number of clinics per 100,000 residents were statistically significantly associated with this reduction. Conclusion The polypharmacy reduction policy indicated an association with polypharmacy reduction in Japan. The proportion of elderly residents and availability of hospitals and clinics are important factors to enhance the effectiveness of the polypharmacy reduction policy.

Equality of Surgical Fee Schedule in Japan: A Retrospective Observational Study.

The authors had previously demonstrated that the Japanese surgical fee schedule had been unequal among surgical specialties in spite of its biannual revisions. This study examined how the degree of inequality of the fee schedule changed by estimating Gini coefficients for efficiency scores computed from data envelopment analysis. All the surgeries at Teikyo University Hospital in 2013 to 2018 were candidates used for the analysis of efficiency and equality of fee schedule. Inputs were defined as (1) the number of assistants, and (2) the duration of operation. An output was defined as the surgical fee. Each surgeon's efficiency score was calculated using data envelopment analysis. Using the medians of efficiency scores in each surgical specialty, the authors inferred Gini coefficients and their standard errors in each year and in each surgical fee schedule. The authors analyzed 16 307 surgical procedures during the study period of 2013 to 2018. There was no statistically significant difference in the Gini coefficients between the years and between the surgical fee schedules (P > .05). It was demonstrated that the degree of inequality of the Japanese surgical fee schedule remained constant from 2013 through 2018.

Do technically efficient surgeons continue to provide active clinical services in a university hospital?

It is difficult for university hospitals to recruit and retain technically efficient surgeons because their missions include teaching and research as well as clinical services. The authors hypothesized that technically efficient surgeons do not continue to provide active clinical services in a university hospital. The authors collected data from all the surgical procedures performed at Teikyo University Hospital from April 1 through September 30 in 2013-2018. The dependent variable was defined as a length of each surgeon's active clinical services measured by month. Data envelopment analysis was employed to calculate each surgeon's technical efficiency score. Five control variables were selected; experience, medical school, surgical volume, gender, and academic ranks. Multiple regression analysis was performed. Efficiency scores had significantly negative association with length of active clinical services. Experience and surgical volume had significantly positive association with length of active clinical services. The other coefficients of control variables were insignificant. Technically efficient surgeons provide shorter active clinical services in a university hospital.

Overall health information exposure, its barriers and impacts on attitude toward healthcare among cancer patients. The long-term aftermath of the 2011 triple disaster in Fukushima, Japan: A single institution cross-sectional study.

Disasters can hinder access to health information among cancer patients. However, little is known regarding overall health information exposure (HIE), its barriers and its impacts on attitudes toward healthcare among cancer patients in the long-term aftermath of disasters. The aims of this study were threefold: assess the extent of HIE; identify associations between family composition and a non-engagement with HIE; and examine the effects of HIE on attitudes toward healthcare among local cancer patients-5 years after the 2011 triple disaster (earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear disaster) in Fukushima, Japan. We conducted self-administered surveys with all cancer and non-cancer surgery department outpatients at Minamisoma Municipal General Hospital (MMGH), Minamisoma City, from October 2016 to January 2017. In total, 404 patients (263 cancer patients and 141 non-cancer patients) voluntarily participated in the study. The results revealed that a regular level of HIE occurred among 90.5% of the cancer patients. In cancer patients, family composition was not significantly associated with HIE, and HIE was not associated with attitude toward healthcare. In conclusion, most cancer patients visiting the MMGH surgical department were regularly engaged in HIE.

Investigation of users' experiences for online access to their electronic health records in Japan.

The solution of sharing electronic health records (EHR) with patients has the potential to improve patients' understanding and remembering of their health information. We call this solution the patient open-EHR. In Japan, this solution is not yet widespread, and experiences of actual users are not known. Our aim is to explore the needs and satisfaction of patients who are actually using one patient open-EHR system in Japan that allows registered patients online access to part of their EHR. A cross-sectional study was done using an online questionnaire. Patients registered with our patient open-EHR system were invited to participate by posting an invitation message on the system login page and sending them invitation emails. We investigated their needs regarding the system and their views regarding the system's ability to improve their understanding, remembering, and other perspectives. Answers from 95 patients, collected between August 10 and October 20, 2019 were analyzed. The need to further understand and remember the information received from the doctor was among the top four reasons behind using the system. However, only 48% of patients agreed that the system improved their remembering and 68% agreed that it improved their understanding. Thirty-seven percent of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with access to only blood test results and prescriptions. Despite this dissatisfaction, respondents were positive about the future of the system. Hospitals need to recognize the needs of patients and to consider them when providing patient open-EHR service. The EHR has potential not only for hospitals but also for patients.

General patients' expectations on online accessibility to their electronic health records in Japan.

Allowing patients to access their electronic health records (EHR) online, that we call the patient open- EHR, may help patients better understand and remember their health information, leading to improved health outcomes. In Japan, such solution is not yet widespread, and general patients' expectations for such solution are not known. The OpenNotes initiative in the United States of America (USA) had done various studies concerning the intervention of sharing doctors' notes, which are part of the EHR, with patients. Our study objective is to explore general patients' expectations toward potential benefits and risks of the patient open-EHR solution if given chance to use in Japan. A cross-sectional study was done using an online questionnaire. One hundred and eighty-three general patients without previous experience using the patient open-EHR service, responded to our survey after being recruited through SNS and posters at a university hospital not offering the solution. Comparison with the result of the OpenNotes original study, conducted in a similar setting, was also done. The results showed that participants were, similarly to the OpenNotes results, positive about the system's potential benefits; 90% agreed on the system ability to help them better understand their condition and remember their healthcare plan. On the other hand, they were much concerned about the potential risks especially privacy; 62% agreed they would be worried about their privacy. Adequate measures to provide highly secured systems and to allow patients to be better informed about the use of their personal health records should be taken to comfort future users.

How efficient are surgical treatments in Japan? The case of a high-volume Japanese hospital.

Japan's healthcare expenditures, which are largely publicly funded, have been growing dramatically due to the rapid aging of the population as well as the innovation and diffusion of new medical technologies. Annual costs for surgical treatments are estimated to be approximately USD 20 billion. Using unique longitudinal clinical data at the individual surgeon level, this study aims to estimate the technical efficiency of surgical treatments across surgical specialties in a high-volume Japanese teaching hospital by employing stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) with production frontier models. We simultaneously examine the impacts of potential determinants that are likely to affect inefficiency in operating rooms. Our empirical results show a relatively high average technical efficiency of surgical production, with modest disparity across surgical specialties. We also demonstrate that an increase in the number of operations performed by a surgeon significantly reduces operating room inefficiency, whereas the revision of the fee-for-service schedule for surgical treatments does not have a significant impact on inefficiency. In addition, we find higher technical efficiency among surgeons who perform multiple daily surgeries than those who perform a single operation in a day. We suggest that it is important for hospital management to retain efficient surgeons and physicians and provide efficient healthcare services given the competitive Japanese healthcare market.

Breast Cancer Provider Interval Length in Fukushima, Japan, After the 2011 Triple Disaster: A Long-Term Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Minimizing the interval from symptom onset to treatment commencement is essential for a favorable outcome among breast cancer (BC) patients. This study examined whether provider interval (time elapsed from first consultation to treatment initiation) lengthened among BC patients after Japan's 2011 earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear disaster in Fukushima. Factors associated with the length of postdisaster interval and whether the interval was associated with BC stage were also investigated. PATIENTS AND METHODS: So-so District (study site) was an area damaged by the 2011 disasters. Data of all BC patients who made their first medical consultation and received initial treatment at the core medical institutions in the area 5 years before or after the disaster were extracted from patient medical records. We used several regression approaches to fulfill our study objectives. RESULTS: We included 263 (140 predisaster and 123 postdisaster) patients. After adjustment for covariates, the interval did not significantly change after the disaster compared to before the disaster. Those with 4 or 5 cohabiting family members experienced a shorter interval after the disaster than those with 0 or 1 cohabiting family members (relative length, 0.47; 95% confidence interval, 0.28-0.78). Those with an interval of > 60 days had lower odds of stage III or IV cancer after the disaster than those with an interval of < 30 days (odds ratio, 0.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.84). CONCLUSION: Overall, provider interval did not lengthen after the disaster. However, those with fewer cohabiting family members might have experienced a longer total interval. Cancer stage may not necessarily reflect the influence of interval on patient outcome.

Association Between Surgeons' Technical Efficiency and Hospital Revenue.

To evaluate surgeons' performance, health care managers often use the revenues that surgeons make for the hospital. The purpose of this study is to determine the relationship between surgeons' technical efficiency and their revenues by using multiple regression analysis on surgical data. The authors collected data from all the surgical procedures performed at University Hospital from April 1 through September 30 in 2013-2018. Output-oriented Charnes-Cooper-Rhodes model of data envelopment analysis was employed to calculate each surgeon's technical efficiency. Seven independent variables were selected; revenue, experience, medical school, surgical volume, sex, academic rank, and surgical specialty. Multiple regression analysis using Tobit model was used for our data. The data from a total of 17 227 surgical cases were obtained in the 36-month study period. The authors performed multiple regression on 222 surgeons. Revenue had significantly positive association with mean efficiency score (P = .000). Surgical volume had significantly negative association with mean efficiency score (P = .000). The other coefficients were statistically insignificant. An increase in revenue by 1% was associated with 0.46% to 0.52% increases in efficiency score. We demonstrated that surgeons' revenue can serve as a proxy variable for their technical efficiency.

Efficiency score from data envelopment analysis can predict the future onset of hypertension and dyslipidemia: A cohort study.

Primary prevention focuses on ensuring that healthy people remain healthy. As it is practically difficult to provide intervention for an entire healthy population, it is essential to identify and target the at risk of risks population. We aimed to distinguish at risk of risks population using data envelopment analysis (DEA). Efficiency score was calculated from the DEA using a cohort sample and its association with the onset of hypertension and dyslipidemia was analyzed. A stratification analysis was performed according to the number of conventional risk factors in participants. The adjusted odds ratios (aORs) of the incidence of hypertension and dyslipidemia according to a 0.1-point increase in efficiency score were 0.66 (90% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-0.78, p < 0.0001) and 0.84 (90% CI 0.75-0.94, p = 0.01), respectively. In the stratification analysis, aOR of the incidence of hypertension according to a 0.1-point increase in efficiency score was 0.57 (90% CI 0.37-0.89, p = 0.04) in participants with no conventional risk factors. Participants with lower efficiency score were suggested to be at high risk for future onset of hypertension and dyslipidemia. The DEA might enable us to identify the risk of hypertension where conventional methods might fail.

Japanese surgical resource utilization in 2016.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this paper is to examine from the viewpoint of resource utilization the Japanese surgical payment system which was revised in April 2016. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: The authors collected data from surgical records in the Teikyo University electronic medical record system from April 1 till September 30, 2016. The authors defined the decision-making unit as a surgeon with the highest academic rank in the surgery. Inputs were defined as the number of medical doctors who assisted surgery, and the time of operation from skin incision to closure. An output was defined as the surgical fee. The authors calculated each surgeon's efficiency score using output-oriented Charnes-Cooper-Rhodes model of data envelopment analysis. The authors compared the efficiency scores of each surgical specialty using the Kruskal-Wallis and the Steel method. FINDINGS: The authors analyzed 2,558 surgical procedures performed by 109 surgeons. The difference in efficiency scores was significant (p = 0.000). The efficiency score of neurosurgery was significantly greater than obstetrics and gynecology, general surgery, orthopedics, emergency surgery, urology, otolaryngology and plastic surgery (p<0.05). ORIGINALITY/VALUE: The authors demonstrated that the surgeons' efficiency was significantly different among their specialties. This suggests that the Japanese surgical reimbursement scales fail to reflect resource utilization despite the revision in 2016.

The preoperative risk factors of postoperative self-extubation in elderly patients.

OBJECTIVE: Self-extubation of tubes and catheters causes various adverse events in postoperative patients. We investigated preoperative risk factors associated with self-extubation. DESIGN: A matched case-control study. SETTING: Teikyo University Hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Postoperative patients over 50 years old. METHODS: Sixty-five patients with a comment in the incident report about self-extubation within 7 postoperative days were recruited for the case group. One hundred ninety-five matched patients in the control group were randomly recruited from an electronic medical record. This group was three times larger than the case group. The matching factors were age, sex, type of tube, duration of tube insertion, and year of the incident. Conditional multiple logistic regression analysis was performed. RESULTS: Sixty-five self-extubation events occurred, and constituted 6.5% of 996 postoperative incident reports. Three significant preoperative risk factors were abdominal operation (odds ratio [OR], 3.21; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05-10.83), history of dementia (OR, 10.71; 95% CI, 1.45-132.55), and preoperative hemoglobin level (OR, 0.77 per 1.0 g/dL increase; 95% CI, 0.62-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with a history of dementia and low preoperative hemoglobin are at a risk of postoperative self-extubation, especially after an abdominal operation. These predictors can contribute to the more effective prevention of perioperative self-extubation.