Development of a score model to predict long-term prognosis after community-onset pneumonia in older patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The identification of factors associated with long-term prognosis after community-onset pneumonia in elderly patients should be considered when initiating advance care planning (ACP). We aimed to identify these factors and develop a prediction score model. METHODS: Patients aged 65 years and older, who were hospitalized for pneumonia at nine collaborating institutions, were included. The prognosis of patients 180 days after the completion of antimicrobial treatment for pneumonia was prospectively collected. RESULTS: The total number of analysable cases was 399, excluding 7 outliers and 42 cases with missing data or unknown prognosis. These cases were randomly divided in an 8:2 ratio for score development and testing. The median age was 82 years, and there were 68 (17%) deaths. A multivariate analysis showed that significant factors were performance status (PS) ≥2 (Odds ratio [OR], 11.78), hypoalbuminemia ≤2.5 g/dL (OR, 5.28) and dementia (OR, 3.15), while age and detection of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria were not associated with prognosis. A scoring model was then developed with PS ≥2, Alb ≤2.5, and dementia providing scores of 2, 1 and 1 each, respectively, for a total of 4. The area under the curve was 0.8504, and the sensitivity and specificity were 94.6% and 61.7% at the cutoff of 2, respectively. In the test cases, the sensitivity and specificity were 91.7% and 63.1%, respectively, at a cutoff value of 2. CONCLUSION: Patients meeting this score should be considered near the end of life, and the initiation of ACP practices should be considered.

The prognostic factors for cryptococcal meningitis in non-human immunodeficiency virus patients: An observational study using nationwide database.

BACKGROUND: Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) is an invasive fungal infection with a poor prognosis that often occurs in both healthy individuals and compromised hosts, such as patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Unlike CM in HIV patients, evidence regarding CM in non-HIV patients is limited to small retrospective studies. OBJECTIVE: To identify the pretreatment prognostic factors for CM in non-HIV patients. METHODS: We conducted a large retrospective analysis of CM in non-HIV patients using data from a nationwide Japanese database. The study included hospitalized patients diagnosed with CM between 1 April 2010 and 31 March 2017. All-cause mortality was compared between patients with CM with and without HIV infection. Poor diagnostic factors were analysed in the non-HIV CM group. RESULTS: Overall, 533 (64 HIV and 469 non-HIV) patients met the criteria. The mortality rate at 90 days was significantly lower in the HIV group (6.3% vs. 25.4% p = .0002). In a logistic regression analysis of the non-HIV group, age ≥ 65 y (odds ratio [OR] 2.37, 95% CI 1.17-4.78), impaired consciousness (Japan Coma Scale ≥1) (OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.29-3.93), haemodialysis (OR 3.53, 95% CI 1.12-11.20) and previous corticosteroid usage (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.37-4.19) were associated with poor prognosis at 30 days after diagnosis. CONCLUSION: More caution is suggested when treating non-HIV with CM in older patients with impaired consciousness, previous corticosteroid usage and haemodialysis.

Prognostic Association of Liposomal Amphotericin B Doses Above 5†mg/kg/d in Mucormycosis: A Nationwide Epidemiologic and Treatment Analysis in Japan.

Background: Mucormycosis is a potentially fatal fungal infection, and there is limited information on its precise epidemiology and treatment practices, including the optimal dosage of liposomal amphotericin B. Methods: A retrospective, multicenter, nationwide analysis of 82 proven and probable cases of mucormycosis was performed. Cases between 2015 and 2022 were collected from 51 hospitals in Japan by hematologists and infectious disease specialists. The study included the epidemiology, treatment details, and association between the dose of liposomal amphotericin B and the outcome. Results: The lungs were the most commonly involved organ (70.7% of cases), and 35.4% of patients had disseminated disease. Rhizopus spp., Cunninghamella spp., and Mucor spp. were the most common organisms. Mortality at 4 weeks was 41.5%. The survivors had a shorter duration of neutropenia (P = .006) and less persistent hyperglycemia (P = .023). The site of infection and species of Mucorales had no detectable effect on survival. Survival did not differ between patients receiving liposomal amphotericin B at 5 mg/kg/d relative to those receiving >5 mg/kg/d (P = .625). Using Cox proportional hazards models and adjusting for confounders, the hazard ratio for the influence of >5 mg/kg/d liposomal amphotericin B on 4-week survival was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.28-2.68; P = .796) compared with 5 mg/kg/d. Conclusions: This study provides important insights into the precise epidemiology and treatment practices of mucormycosis. Treatment with liposomal amphotericin B at doses higher than 5 mg/kg/d did not improve outcomes relative to 5 mg/kg/d.