The contribution of the anaesthetist to risk-adjusted mortality after cardiac surgery.

It is widely accepted that the performance of the operating surgeon affects outcomes, and this has led to the publication of surgical results in the public domain. However, the effect of other members of the multidisciplinary team is unknown. We studied the effect of the anaesthetist on mortality after cardiac surgery by analysing data collected prospectively over ten years of consecutive cardiac surgical cases from ten UK centres. Casemix-adjusted outcomes were analysed in models that included random-effects for centre, surgeon and anaesthetist. All cardiac surgical operations for which the EuroSCORE model is appropriate were included, and the primary outcome was in-hospital death up to three months postoperatively. A total of 110 769 cardiac surgical procedures conducted between April 2002 and March 2012 were studied, which included 127 consultant surgeons and 190 consultant anaesthetists. The overwhelming factor associated with outcome was patient risk, accounting for 95.75% of the variation for in-hospital mortality. The impact of the surgeon was moderate (intra-class correlation coefficient 4.00% for mortality), and the impact of the anaesthetist was negligible (0.25%). There was no significant effect of anaesthetist volume above ten cases per year. We conclude that mortality after cardiac surgery is primarily determined by the patient, with small but significant differences between surgeons. Anaesthetists did not appear to affect mortality. These findings do not support public disclosure of cardiac anaesthetists' results, but substantially validate current UK cardiac anaesthetic training and practice. Further research is required to establish the potential effects of very low anaesthetic caseloads and the effect of cardiac anaesthetists on patient morbidity.

The impact of intra-operative transoesophageal echocardiography on cardiac surgical practice.

The use of transoesophageal echocardiography during cardiac surgery has increased dramatically and it is now widely accepted as a routine monitoring and diagnostic tool. A prospective study was carried out between September 2004 and September 2007, and included all patients in whom intra-operative echocardiography was performed, 2 473 (44%) out of a total of 5 591 cases. Changes to surgery were subdivided into predictable (where echocardiographic examination was planned specifically to guide surgery) and unpredictable (new pathology not diagnosed pre-operatively). A change in the planned surgical procedure was documented in 312 (15%) cases. In 216 (69%) patients the changes were predictable and in 96 (31%) they were unpredictable. The number of predictable changes increased between 2004-5 and 2006-7 (8% vs 13%, p = 0.025). In these cases, intra-operative echocardiography was specifically requested by the surgeon to help determine the operative intervention. This has implications for consent and operative risk, which have yet to be fully determined.

Local clinical quality monitoring for detection of excess operative deaths.

A monitoring system for cardiac surgery has been in use at Papworth Hospital for 10 years. We wished to determine whether this system would have detected an increase in deaths associated with a single practitioner, whether a poorly performing doctor or a serial killer such as Dr Harold Shipman, whose activities went undetected in the absence of a monitoring system for nearly a quarter of a century. Random extra deaths were artificially introduced into the practice of a surgeon and an anaesthetist in a way that broadly reproduced Shipman's pattern. The standard monitoring system was then used to analyse the hypothetical data thus generated. Using the current standard monitoring, the excess deaths would have been detected in less than 10 months. Suspicions would have been raised even earlier. Robust local quality monitoring of risk-adjusted outcomes is possible and, in our opinion, essential.

Octogenarians undergoing cardiac surgery outlive their peers: a case for early referral.

OBJECTIVE: To examine short and long term outcomes of octogenarians having heart operations and to analyse the interaction between patient and treatment factors. METHODS: Multivariate analysis of prospectively collected data and a survival comparison with an age and sex matched national population. The outcomes were base in-hospital mortality, risk stratified by logistic EuroSCORE (European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation), and long term survival. RESULTS: 12,461 consecutive patients (706 over 80 years) operated on between 1996 and 2003 in a regional UK unit were studied. Octogenarians more often had impaired ventricular function, pulmonary hypertension, and valve operations. They also included a higher proportion of women, had a higher serum creatinine concentration, and had a trend towards more unstable angina. Younger patients had a higher prevalence of previous cardiac operation, previous myocardial infarction, and diabetes. The in-hospital mortality rate was 3.9% for all patients (EuroSCORE predicted 6.1%, p < 0.001) and 9.8% for octogenarians (predicted 14.1%, p = 0.002). Long bypass time and non-elective surgery increased the risk of death above EuroSCORE prediction in both groups. A greater proportion of octogenarians stayed in intensive care more than 24 hours (37% v 23%, p < 0.001). Long term survival was significantly better in the study patients than in a general population with the same age-sex distribution (survival rate at five years 82.1% v 55.9%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac surgery in a UK population of octogenarians produced excellent results. Elective referrals should be encouraged in all age groups.

Computer tools to assist the monitoring of outcomes in surgery.

OBJECTIVE: In recent years, there has been increasing use of analytical and graphical methods to assist the monitoring of outcomes in adult cardiac surgery. In this paper, we present extensions to the basic VLAD methodology that add flexibility and assist in its interpretation. METHODS: Using techniques from probability theory, we have devised graphical tools whereby deviations from expected outcomes can be monitored to see how likely they are to have occurred by chance. The methods are based upon pre-operative assessments of risk and use exact analytical techniques. RESULTS: These tools allow deviations from expected outcomes to be readily assessed and compared with the distribution of chance outcomes. Appropriate colour coding allows interpretation in terms of a temperature gradient. CONCLUSIONS: Exact analysis methods based on the use of pre-operative risk assessment provide a useful means for assisting the interpretation of VLAD charts. Such analysis has the advantage that it is applicable even for relatively short series of operations. Also, it takes specific account of the heterogeneity of case mix when quantifying the variability that is expected. By displaying the overall history of outcomes in a visually intuitive manner, it complements the more formal tools for detecting isolated good and bad runs that are available.

Boxer's pericardium.

A 65-year-old retired professional boxer presented with progressively worsening shortness of breath, peripheral oedema and mild abdominal swelling over a period of 6 months. His only past medical history was hypertension. Subsequent investigations revealed chylous ascites, pericardial constriction and bilateral chylothorax. He had uneventful pericardectomy, and post-operatively the chylothorax resolved only after administration of octreotide for 10 days. The histopathological features of fibrosis, haemosiderin deposition in the pericardium and abundant haemosiderin-laden macrophages are consistent with chronic resolving haemopericardium. These findings suggested that the cause of pericardial constriction was repeated chest trauma from boxing.

Anatomic feasibility of creating an inferior epigastric arterio-venous fistula to develop the internal thoracic artery with a view to coronary grafting.

Arterio-venous fistulae increase the diameter of their feeding artery. It may be advantageous to increase the diameter of the internal thoracic artery before its use for coronary grafting. A fistula applied directly to the internal thoracic artery may compromise its subsequent use as a coronary graft and is technically difficult and invasive. However, in view of the continuity between the internal thoracic artery and the inferior epigastric artery, it is possible to achieve the same effect by constructing a fistula on the latter. The purpose of this work was to determine, in a cadaveric study, the feasibility of carrying out an arterio-venous fistula on the inferior epigastric artery so as to increase the caliber of the internal thoracic artery before coronary grafting. A morphologic study of the inferior epigastric artery and its vein and their relations as well as the feasibility of such a fistula was carried out on 10 cadavers. The epigastric artery measured 12.35+/-1.2 cm in length. Its diameter decreased from its origin towards it termination from 3.16+/-0.26 cm to 1.76+/-0.18 cm. There was a constant connection between the inferior and superior epigastric arteries. This connection was single in 30% of cases, double in 50% and through an anastomotic plexus of more than two vessels in 20%. The mean number of anastomotic connections was 1.8. The epigastric vein was constant with a diameter of 0.75+/-0.06 mm at its origin and only sufficiently large to carry out a fistula at its termination (2.6+/-0.9 mm). In conclusion, this study indicates that it should be relatively simple to create a fistula between the inferior epigastric artery and either the inferior epigastric vein or the external iliac vein.

Risk factors for early mortality after valve surgery in Europe in the 1990s: lessons from the EuroSCORE pilot program.

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: The characteristics of valve surgery are evolving. The study aim was to explore its demographics and risk factors in Europe in the 1990s, using the EuroSCORE database. METHODS: For the EuroSCORE program, information on 98 variables regarding risk factors, procedures and outcome were collected for 5,672 patients undergoing valve surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass in 128 European centers. Bivariate (i.e. Mann-Whitney test or chi-square when appropriate), then logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify risk factors for early mortality. The predictive value of EuroSCORE was analyzed using the Hosmer-Lemershow test and by computing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Aortic valve stenosis was the most common diagnosis (47.6%), whilst mitral valve surgery accounted for 42% of procedures. Coronary surgery was performed concomitantly in 21% of cases. Hospital mortality was 6.1%. Predictive factors for early mortality were: age (p = 0.0001), preoperative serum creatinine >200 micromol/l (p = 0.014), previous heart surgery (p = 0.0001), poor left ventricular function (p = 0.008), chronic congestive heart failure (p = 0.0001), pulmonary hypertension (p = 0.0001), active acute endocarditis (p = 0.0001), emergency procedure (p = 0.05), critical preoperative status (p = 0.0001), tricuspid surgery (p = 0.015), aortic and mitral surgery (p = 0.002), combined thoracic surgery (p = 0.0001), and combined coronary surgery (p = 0.0001). The predictive value of EuroSCORE for mortality was good (area under the ROC curve = 0.75). CONCLUSION: The 'valve' subset of the EuroSCORE database provides an instant picture of European valve surgery in the 1990s that can be used either for individual assessment, or for country- or institution-based epidemiological studies of risk factors and practices.

The relationship between predicted and actual cardiac surgical mortality: impact of risk grouping and individual surgeons.

OBJECTIVE: To study the relationship between predicted and actual mortality in a cardiac surgical practice and to determine whether there is a consistent relationship across risk groups and surgeons. METHODS: Risk information (Parsonnet score) was prospectively collected for 6213 consecutive adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery at one institution. The relationship between predicted mortality and actual mortality was analysed by risk group for all patients and for individual surgeons' practices. RESULTS: Predicted mortality was 10.2%. Actual mortality was 4.2%, giving a mortality ratio of 41% of predicted. This ratio was not consistent across the five major risk groups, ranging from 32% in moderate risk to 67% in very low risk patients. When analysed by individual surgical practices, the results were even more disparate, with a mortality index range between 0% for one surgeon's low risk patients to 150% for another surgeon's very low risk patients. CONCLUSION: The relationship between predicted and actual mortality at one institution may vary across the risk spectrum and between surgeons. This should be taken into account in preoperative risk assessment and informed patient consent. Individual surgeons may have strengths and weaknesses which are related to preoperative risk stratification.

Airway complications after lung transplantation: treatment and long-term outcome.

BACKGROUND: Airway complications are a significant cause of morbidity after lung transplantation. Effective treatment reduces the impact of these complications. METHODS: Data from 123 lung (99 single, 24 bilateral) transplants were reviewed. Potential risk factors for airway complications were analyzed. Stenoses were treated with expanding metal (Gianturco) stents. RESULTS: Mean follow-up was 749 days. Thirty-five complications developed in 28 recipients (complication rate: 23.8%/anastomosis). Mean time to diagnosis was 47 days. Only Aspergillus infection and airway necrosis were significantly associated with development of complications (p < 0.00001 and p < 0.03, respectively). Stenosis was diagnosed an average of 42 days posttransplant. Average decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) was 39%. Eighteen patients (13 single and 5 bilateral) required stent insertion. Mean increase in FEV1 poststenting was 87%. Two stent patients died from infectious complications. Six patients required further intervention. Long-term survival and FEV1 did not differ from nonstented patients. CONCLUSIONS: Aspergillus and airway necrosis are associated with the development of airway complications. Expanding metal stents are an effective long-term treatment.

Effect of surgical training on outcome and hospital costs in coronary surgery.

BACKGROUND: There is a perceived conflict between the need for service provision and surgical training within the National Health Service (NHS). Trainee surgeons tend to be slower (thereby reducing theatre throughput), and may have more complications (increasing hospital stay and costs). OBJECTIVE: To quantify the effect of training on outcome and costs. DESIGN: Data on 2740 consecutive isolated coronary artery bypass (CABG) operations were analysed retrospectively. Redo and emergency procedures were excluded. The seniority of the operating surgeon was related to operating times, risk stratified outcome, and overall hospital costs. SETTING: Regional cardiothoracic surgery unit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Postoperative mortality; hospital costs. RESULTS: Consultants, senior trainees, intermediate trainees, and junior trainees performed 1524, 759, 434, and 23 procedures, respectively. Trainees at the three different levels were directly supervised by a consultant in 55%, 95%, and 100% of cases. The unadjusted mortalities were 3.2%, 2.0%, 2.3%, and 4.3%, respectively (NS). There were no significant differences between the groups with respect to time in the intensive care unit and length of hospital stay. The mean cost per patient was pound6619, pound6572, pound6494, and pound6404 (NS). CONCLUSIONS: Trainees performed 44.4% of all CABG operations. There was no detrimental effect on patient outcome, length of hospital stay, or overall hospital costs. There need be little conflict between service and training needs, even in hospitals with extensive training programmes.

A technique to control bleeding from an inaccessible part of an aortic end-to-end anastomosis.

A simple technique is presented for the control of bleeding from the posterior aspect of an aortic end-to-end anastomosis.

Does EuroSCORE work in individual European countries?

OBJECTIVE: Because of national epidemiological differences in adult heart surgery in Europe, the effectiveness and desirability of a pan-European score for the assessment of quality of surgical care remains controversial. We assessed the predictive value of EuroSCORE in national subsets of the EuroSCORE database. METHODS: The EuroSCORE development data set was divided into national subsets of which those with 500 or more patients were selected for analysis. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was applied to assess the calibration of the EuroSCORE model on individual national samples and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were measured to analyse the EuroSCORE discriminative power on individual death prediction. RESULTS: There were 18676 patients in the six largest national samples: Germany, United Kingdom, Spain, Finland, France and Italy (mean: 3113 patients; range: Finland 1266 to France 4507). Major differences were observed in national distribution of procedures: coronary artery bypass grafting accounted for 77.7% of procedures in Finland but only 46.2% in Spain. The EuroSCORE model goodness-of-fit was satisfactory in all countries (P-value overall: 0.4; UK: 0.34; Finland: 0.87; no values less than 0.05). Areas under ROC curves were 0.81 in Germany, 0.79 in the UK, 0.74 in Spain, 0.87 in Finland, 0.82 in France and 0.82 in Italy. CONCLUSION: Despite epidemiological differences between European countries, the discriminative power of EuroSCORE was good in Spain and excellent in all other countries. The system, developed from a merged European database, can therefore be used to assess improvement in quality of care achieved by surgeons and institutions as well as for international European comparison in adult heart surgery.

Emergency reinstitution of cardiopulmonary bypass following cardiac surgery: outcome justifies the cost.

OBJECTIVE: Crash back on bypass (crash-BOB) is occasionally required in the resuscitation of patients developing life-threatening complications following cardiac surgery. This study aims to determine the incidence, aetiology and cost-effectiveness of such intervention. METHODS: Retrospective review of all crash-BOB patients over 5.5 years at one hospital. RESULTS: The incidence of crash-BOB was 0.8% and occurred at a mean of 7 h post-operatively (range 1 h-20 days). Pre-operative Parsonnet scores were similar to the overall population of patients undergoing surgery in our institution (mean score 10; range 0-45). The original cardiac operations were coronary revascularization (39), valve surgery (12) and others (4). Indications for crash-BOB were cardiac arrest (23), bleeding (20), hypotension (7), ischaemia (1) and others (4). Of the 55 patients, 20 died on the operating table. Of the remaining 35, a further 12 died in hospital. Overall survival was therefore 42%. Where crash-BOB was for bleeding, 17 of 20 patients (85%) survived to leave theatre, of whom 11 patients (55%) left hospital alive. In the 35 non-bleeders, only 18 (51%) survived crash-BOB and 12 (34%) left hospital alive. Sixteen patients required a second period of aortic cross-clamping of whom 13 (81%) survived to leave theatre, and 11 (69%) left hospital alive. Conversely, of nine patients in whom no specific diagnosis was found during crash-BOB, only two (22%) survived the procedure and none survived to hospital discharge. Multiple logistic regression identified pre-operative Parsonnet score (P=0.045) and the need for aortic cross-clamping to deal with an identified surgical problem (P=0.03) as significant predictors of hospital survival. Indication for crash-BOB (bleeder/non-bleeder) failed to reach significance (P=0.08). Age, sex, intra-aortic balloon pump use at the primary procedure, and time following the primary procedure to crash-BOB were not identified as predictors of hospital survival. Of the 23 hospital survivors, three patients suffered a stroke post-operatively and made a good functional recovery prior to discharge. Two patients developed sternal wound dehiscence requiring surgical rewiring. At follow-up (mean 3 years, range 1-6 years), 19 patients were in NYHA class I and four were in class II. Crash-BOB patients required an average of 8 extra intensive care days and 2 extra ward days. The total cost of these resources was pound164900 (including theatre time, cardiopulmonary bypass and intra-aortic balloon pump use). This was equivalent to pound7170 per life saved. CONCLUSIONS: Crash-BOB occurred in 0.8% of cases and was associated with a survival to discharge of 42%, and a justifiable cost of only pound7170 per life saved. Establishing an accurate diagnosis for the cause of clinical deterioration resulting in crash-BOB intervention was important, and the need for a further period of aortic cross-clamping did not preclude a favourable outcome.

Aorto-atrial fistula after operated type A dissection.

The development of a fistula between the aorta and right atrium is a rare complication of ascending aortic dissection and has a high mortality if not diagnosed and surgically treated. Clinical diagnosis is best supported by specialised imaging. In addition it may present technically very challenging problems. We report the first case which follows aortic root replacement for an acute type A dissection. Aorto-right atrial fistula (AoRAF) rarely complicates ascending aortic dissection. We report the first case to follow corrective surgery for aortic dissection.