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BACKGROUND: Evidence supporting pre-hospital heparin administration in patients with suspected non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) is lacking. We aim to evaluate if pre-hospital heparin administration by emergency medical service improves clinical outcome in patients with suspected NSTE-ACS. METHODS: Patients with suspected myocardial infarction (MI) presenting to the emergency department were prospectively enrolled from 2013 to 2021, excluding those with ST segment elevation MI. Patients with and without prehospital heparin administration were compared using propensity score matching. To assess the association between pre-hospital heparin loading, 30-day and 1-year mortality, Kaplan-Meier estimations and Cox regression models were used. RESULTS: Among 1,234 patients, median age was 69 years, 755 (61.2%) were male, 867 (70.5%) with known hypertension, 177 (14.4%) had diabetes, 280 (23.1%) were current smokers, and 444 (36.0%) had a history of CAD. Compared to patients without pre-hospital heparin administration, heparin pre-treated patients were more often active smokers (26.5% vs. 20.8%). After propensity matching, 475 patients with vs. without pre-hospital heparin administration were compared, with no significant difference in 30-day mortality (no-heparin 1.3% vs. heparin 0.4%) and 1-year mortality (no-heparin 7.2% vs. heparin 5.5%, adjusted HR 0.98, CI 0.95-1.01, p = 0.22). Bleeding events occurred at a low frequency (< 2%) and did not differ between groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, pre-hospital heparin administration was not associated with improved clinical outcome in patients with suspected NSTE-ACS. These findings question pre-hospital heparin therapy in this patient population and might potentially warrant a more restricted utilization pending in-hospital risk assessment.
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BACKGROUND: In randomized clinical trials, treatment effects may vary, and this possibility is referred to as heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE). One way to quantify HTE is to partition participants into subgroups based on individual's risk of experiencing an outcome, then measuring treatment effect by subgroup. Given the limited availability of externally validated outcome risk prediction models, internal models (created using the same dataset in which heterogeneity of treatment analyses also will be performed) are commonly developed for subgroup identification. We aim to compare different methods for generating internally developed outcome risk prediction models for subject partitioning in HTE analysis. METHODS: Three approaches were selected for generating subgroups for the 2,441 participants from the United States enrolled in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized controlled trial. An extant proportional hazards-based outcomes predictive risk model developed on the overall ASPREE cohort of 19,114 participants was identified and was used to partition United States' participants by risk of experiencing a composite outcome of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. Next, two supervised non-parametric machine learning outcome classifiers, decision trees and random forests, were used to develop multivariable risk prediction models and partition participants into subgroups with varied risks of experiencing the composite outcome. Then, we assessed how the partitioning from the proportional hazard model compared to those generated by the machine learning models in an HTE analysis of the 5-year absolute risk reduction (ARR) and hazard ratio for aspirin vs. placebo in each subgroup. Cochran's Q test was used to detect if ARR varied significantly by subgroup. RESULTS: The proportional hazard model was used to generate 5 subgroups using the quintiles of the estimated risk scores; the decision tree model was used to generate 6 subgroups (6 automatically determined tree leaves); and the random forest model was used to generate 5 subgroups using the quintiles of the prediction probability as risk scores. Using the semi-parametric proportional hazards model, the ARR at 5 years was 15.1% (95% CI 4.0-26.3%) for participants with the highest 20% of predicted risk. Using the random forest model, the ARR at 5 years was 13.7% (95% CI 3.1-24.4%) for participants with the highest 20% of predicted risk. The highest outcome risk group in the decision tree model also exhibited a risk reduction, but the confidence interval was wider (5-year ARR = 17.0%, 95% CI= -5.4-39.4%). Cochran's Q test indicated ARR varied significantly only by subgroups created using the proportional hazards model. The hazard ratio for aspirin vs. placebo therapy did not significantly vary by subgroup in any of the models. The highest risk groups for the proportional hazards model and random forest model contained 230 participants each, while the highest risk group in the decision tree model contained 41 participants. CONCLUSIONS: The choice of technique for internally developed models for outcome risk subgroups influences HTE analyses. The rationale for the use of a particular subgroup determination model in HTE analyses needs to be explicitly defined based on desired levels of explainability (with features importance), uncertainty of prediction, chances of overfitting, and assumptions regarding the underlying data structure. Replication of these analyses using data from other mid-size clinical trials may help to establish guidance for selecting an outcomes risk prediction modelling technique for HTE analyses.
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Aspirina , Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Humanos , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Feminino , Masculino , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Estatísticos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Árvores de Decisões , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Gender influences cardiovascular disease (CVD) through norms, social relations, roles and behaviours. This study identified gender-specific aspects of socialisation associated with CVD. METHODS: A longitudinal study was conducted, involving 9936 (5,231 women and 4705 men) initially healthy, community-dwelling Australians aged 70 years or more from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study and ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons, with a median follow-up time of 6.4 years. Variable categorisation, variable selection (using machine learning (ML) models; Elastic Net and extreme gradient boosting) and Cox-regression were employed separately by binary gender to identity socialisation factors (n=25 considered) associated with CVD. RESULTS: Different socialisation factors were identified using the ML models. In the Cox model, for both genders, being married/partnered was associated with a reduced risk of CVD (men: HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.96; women: HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.95). For men, having 3-8 relatives they felt close to and could call on for help (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.99; reference <3 relatives), having 3-8 relatives they felt at ease talking with about private matters (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.90; reference <3 relatives) or playing games such as chess or cards (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.00) was associated with reduced risk of CVD. For women, living with others (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.91) or having ≥3 friends they felt at ease talking with about private matters (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.95; reference <3 friends) was associated with a lower risk of CVD. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the need to prioritise gender-specific social factors to improve cardiovascular health in older adults.
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Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164â¯054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17â¯211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.
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Biomarcadores , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Troponina I , Troponina T , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aterosclerose/sangue , Biomarcadores/sangue , Proteína C-Reativa/análise , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Insuficiência Cardíaca/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/sangue , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/sangue , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Troponina I/sangue , Troponina T/sangue , InternacionalidadeRESUMO
Background: A cardiovascular safety trial of testosterone in men with cardiovascular risk factors or disease found no difference in rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) or death but noted more atrial fibrillation (AF) events in testosterone-treated men. We investigated the relationship between endogenous testosterone concentrations with risk of developing AF in healthy older men. Methods: Post-hoc analysis of 4570 male participants in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study. Men were aged ≥ 70 years, had no history of cardiovascular disease (including AF), thyroid disease, prostate cancer, dementia, or life-threatening illnesses. Risk of AF was modelled using Cox proportional hazards regression. Findings: Median (IQR) age was 73.7 (71.6-77.1) years and median (IQR) follow-up 4.4 (3.3-5.5) years, during which 286 men developed AF (15.3 per 1000 participant-years). Baseline testosterone was higher in men who developed incident AF compared men who did not [17.0 (12.4-21.2) vs 15.7 (12.2-20.0) nmol/L]. There was a non-linear association of baseline testosterone with incident AF. The risk for AF was higher in men with testosterone in quintiles (Q) 4&5 (Q4:Q3, HR = 1.91; 95%CI = 1.29-2.83 and Q5:Q3HR = 1.98; 95%CI = 1.33-2.94). Results were similar after excluding men who experienced MACE or heart failure during follow-up. Interpretation: Circulating testosterone concentrations within the high-normal range are independently associated with an increased risk of incident AF amongst healthy older men. This suggests that AF may be an adverse consequence of high-normal total testosterone concentrations. Funding: National Institute on Aging and National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health; Australian Government (NHMRC, CSIRO); Monash University; and AlfredHealth.
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INTRODUCTION: Cluster headache is a severe and debilitating neurological condition characterized by intense, excruciating pain with a significant impact on patients' wellbeing. Although different treatment options are available, many patients continue to experience inadequate relief. Therefore, experimental strategies are increasingly studied. One of the more promising approaches is the use of ketamine. We present the currently available evidence and our own data. METHODS: In this mixed-methods paper, we first summarize the available evidence of ketamine for treatment of cluster headache based on a systematic review of literature in MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane library of systematic reviews. As the level of evidence is quite limited, we report our own cohort study with ten patients treated with ketamine infusions for cluster headache. They were followed up to investigate the patients' experience of treatment success and quality of life. RESULTS: The search and review of literature identified four reports with a total of 68 patients. All were uncontrolled case series. The current literature suggests that ketamine might decrease cluster headache. However, as the applied regimes and reported outcomes are highly heterogeneous, further analysis was futile. Our own data show high patient satisfaction with ketamine treatment. CONCLUSION: Despite the limited evidence, ketamine might be considered a potential therapeutic approach for cluster headache. Therefore, further research including randomized controlled trials should be encouraged.
This article discusses the potential use of ketamine for the treatment of cluster headache, a severe neurological condition that can have a significant impact on patients' quality of life. The authors conducted a systematic review of the existing literature on ketamine for the treatment of cluster headache. Additionally, they also presented their own cohort study of ten patients receiving ketamine infusions. The review of the literature revealed four reports with a total of 68 patients, all of which were uncontrolled case series. While the current literature suggests that ketamine may be effective in relieving cluster headache symptoms, the heterogeneity of treatment regimens and reported outcomes makes it difficult to draw definitive conclusions. The authors' own cohort study found that patients were very satisfied with ketamine treatment, indicating a potential benefit of this approach. However, due to the limited evidence available, further research, including randomized controlled trials, is needed to better understand the efficacy of ketamine in the treatment of cluster headaches.
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BACKGROUND: While left bundle branch block (LBBB) is a well-known risk feature in patients with acute myocardial infarction, and a rapid invasive management is recommended, data supporting this strategy for patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB) is less robust. METHODS: In total, 2139 patients with suspected ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) were triaged to acute coronary angiography based on a prehospital 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Sensitivity and specificity for STEMI-ECG criteria were compared in RBBB and non-BBB patients. Adjusted hazard ratios for 1-year overall mortality were computed. RESULTS: STEMI was adjudicated in 1832/2139 (85.6%) of all patients and in 102/117 (87.2%) of RBBB patients. ST-segment deviation followed typical ST-T patterns in most RBBB patients. Of 17 RBBB patients without significant ST changes, STEMI was adjudicated in 14 (82%). Diagnostic accuracy of STEMI criteria was comparable in RBBB and non-RBBB patients for inferior (sensitivity: 51.1% vs 59.1%, P = .14; specificity: 66.7% vs 52.1%, P = .33) and anterior STEMI (sensitivity: 35.2% vs 36.6%, P = .80; specificity: 58.3% vs 49.5%, P = .55). Diagnostic performance was lower for lateral STEMI in RBBB patients (sensitivity: 14.8% vs 4.4%, P = .001; specificity: 75.0% vs 98.4%, P < .001). Patients with RBBB had higher 1-year mortality compared with non-BBB patients (hazard ratio 2.3%; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-4.21. CONCLUSION: ECG criteria used for detection of STEMI showed comparable diagnostic accuracy in RBBB and non-BBB patients. However, STEMI was frequently present in RBBB patients not fulfilling diagnostic ECG criteria. RBBB patients showed poorer outcome after 1 year. Consequently, the presence of RBBB in suspected STEMI cases signifies a high-risk feature, aligning with established guidelines.
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Bloqueio de Ramo , Angiografia Coronária , Eletrocardiografia , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST , Humanos , Bloqueio de Ramo/diagnóstico , Bloqueio de Ramo/mortalidade , Bloqueio de Ramo/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/complicações , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Triagem/métodosRESUMO
Background: Recent studies have reported associations between high plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and risk of all-cause mortality, age-related macular degeneration, sepsis and fractures, but associations with dementia risk remain unclear. To determine whether high plasma HDL-C levels are associated with increased incident dementia risk in initially-healthy older people. Methods: We conducted a post-hoc analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial; a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin in healthy older people. ASPREE recruited 16,703 participants aged ≥70 years (from Australia) and 2411 participants aged ≥65 years (from the US) between 2010 and 2014. Participants had no diagnosed cardiovascular disease, dementia, physical disability, or life-threatening illness at enrolment and were cognitively healthy (3MS score ≥78). All-cause dementia was a primary trial endpoint, and determined by DSM-IV criteria. Cox regression was used to examine hazard ratios between HDL-C categories <40 mg/dL, 40-60 mg/dL (reference category), 60-80 mg/dL, and >80 mg/dL and dementia. Restricted cubic spline curves were used to determine nonlinear associations. Data analysis was performed from October 2022 to January 2023. Findings: Of the 18,668 participants, 850 (4.6%) cases of incident dementia were recorded over 6.3 (SD 1.8) years. Participants with high HDL-C (>80 mg/dL) had a 27% higher risk of dementia (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.03, 1.58). Age stratified analyses demonstrated that the risk of incident dementia was higher in participants ≥75 years compared to participants <75 years (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.10, 1.83 vs HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.68, 1.51). Associations remained significant after adjusting for covariates including age, sex, country of enrolment, daily exercise, education, alcohol consumption, weight change over time, non-HDL-C, HDL-C-PRS, and APOE genotype. Interpretation: In a population of initially-healthy older adults aged ≥75 years, high HDL-C levels were associated with increased risk of all-cause dementia. Funding: National Institutes of Health, USA; National Health and Medical Research Council Australia; Monash University (Melbourne, VIC, Australia); and the Victorian Cancer Agency (Australia).
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BACKGROUND: Despite advances in cardiovascular medicine, coronary artery disease (CAD) remains a leading cause of mortality. Among the pathophysiological features of this condition, platelet-leukocyte aggregates (PLAs) require further attention, either as diagnostic/prognostic disease markers or as potential interventional targets. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we characterized PLAs in patients with CAD. Primarily, we investigated the association of PLA levels with CAD diagnosis. In addition, the basal levels of platelet activation and degranulation were assessed in patients with CAD and controls, and their correlation with PLA levels was analyzed. Finally, the effect of antiplatelet treatments on circulating PLA numbers, basal platelet activation, and degranulation was studied in patients with CAD. METHODS: Participants were recruited at the Department of Cardiology of the University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg Eppendorf. Among patients admitted with severe chest pain, the diagnosis of CAD was made angiographically, and patients without CAD were used as controls. PLAs, platelet activation, and platelet degranulation were assessed by flow cytometry. RESULTS: Circulating PLAs and basal platelet degranulation levels were significantly higher in patients with CAD than in controls. Surprisingly, there was no significant correlation between PLA levels and platelet degranulation (or any other measured parameter). In addition, patients with CAD on antiplatelet therapy did not display lower PLA or platelet degranulation levels compared with those in controls. CONCLUSION: Overall, these data suggest a mechanism of PLA formation that is independent of platelet activation or degranulation and highlights the inefficiency of current antiplatelet treatments for the prevention of basal platelet degranulation and PLA formation.
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Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária , Humanos , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/farmacologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/tratamento farmacológico , Agregação Plaquetária , Plaquetas , Leucócitos , Poliésteres/farmacologia , Poliésteres/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
AIMS: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays are used for detection of myocardial infarction (MI). Ninety-ninth percentiles show wide inter-assay variation. The use of sex-specific cut-offs is recommended as definitory cut-off for MI. We compared diagnostic performance and prognostic value of sex-specific 99th percentiles of four hs-cTn assays in patients with suspected MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Concentrations of four hs-cTn assays were measured at presentation and after 3â h in patients with suspected MI. Final diagnoses were adjudicated according to the 4th Universal Definition of MI. Unisex and sex-specific 99th percentiles were evaluated as diagnostic cut-offs following the ESC 0/3â h algorithm. These cut-offs were used in Cox-regression analyses to investigate the association with a composite endpoint of MI, revascularization, cardiac rehospitalization, and death. Non-ST-elevation MI was diagnosed in 368 of 2718 patients. Applying the unisex 99th percentile, Elecsys hs-cTnT provided highest negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.7 and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.9. The analysed hs-cTnI assays showed slightly lower NPVs and comparable PPVs [Architect (NPV 98.0, PPV of 71.4); Atellica (NPV 97.7, PPV of 76.1); Pathfast (NPV 97.7, PPV of 66.6)]. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did not significantly affect diagnostic performance. Concentrations above 99th percentile were independent predictors for impaired long-term outcome (hazard ratios 1.2-1.5, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We describe a good diagnostic accuracy of four hs-cTn assays using the assay-specific 99th percentile for detection of MI. Application of sex-specific 99th percentiles did neither affect diagnostic performance nor prognostic value significantly. Finally, values above the 99th percentile were associated with poor long-term outcome.
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Infarto do Miocárdio , Troponina T , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Prognóstico , Biomarcadores , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Troponina IRESUMO
The relationship between high plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and cause and mortality are not well established in healthy older people. This study examined the associations between HDL-C levels and mortality in initially healthy older men and women. This analysis included participants from the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE; n=18,668) trial and a matched cohort from the UK Biobank (UKB; n=62,849 ≥65 years). Cox regression was used to examine hazard ratios between HDL-C categories <1.03 mmol/L, 1.03-1.55 mmol/L (referent category), 1.55-2.07 mmol/L, and >2.07 mmol/L and all-cause, cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and "non-cancer non-CVD" mortality. Genetic contributions were assessed using a polygenic score for HDL-C. Among ASPREE participants (aged 75±5 years), 1836 deaths occurred over a mean follow-up of 6.3±1.8 years. In men, the highest category of HDL-C levels was associated with increased risk of all-cause (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.26-2.03), cancer (HR 1.37, 95% CI 0.96-2.00), and "non-cancer non-CVD" mortality (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.41-3.42) but not CVD mortality (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.60-1.94). The associations were replicated among UKB participants (aged 66.9±1.5 years), including 8739 deaths over a mean follow-up of 12.7±0.8 years. There was a non-linear association between HDL-C levels and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. The association between HDL-C levels and mortality was unrelated to variations in the HDL-C polygenic score. No significant association was found between HDL-C levels and mortality in women. Higher HDL-C levels are associated with increased risk from cancer and "non-cancer non-CVD" mortality in healthy older men but no such relationship was observed in women.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , HDL-Colesterol , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Ensaios Clínicos como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The GRACE risk score is generically recommended by guidelines for timing of invasive coronary angiography without stating which score should be used. The aim was to determine the diagnostic performance of different GRACE risk scores in comparison to the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn). METHODS: Prospectively enrolled patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction (MI) in two large studies testing biomarker diagnostic strategies were included. Five GRACE risk scores were calculated. The amount of risk reclassification and the theoretical impact on guideline-recommended timing of invasive coronary angiography was studied. RESULTS: Overall, 8,618 patients were eligible for analyses. Comparing different GRACE risk scores, up to 63.8% of participants were reclassified into a different risk category. The proportion of MIs identified (i.e., sensitivity) dramatically differed between GRACE risk scores (range 23.8-66.5%) and was lower for any score than for the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm (78.1%). Supplementing the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm with a GRACE risk score slightly increased sensitivity (P < 0.001 for all scores). However, this increased the number of false positive results. CONCLUSION: The substantial amount of risk reclassification causes clinically meaningful differences in the proportion of patients meeting the recommended threshold for pursuing early invasive strategy according to the different GRACE scores. The single best test to detect MIs is the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm. Combining GRACE risk scoring with hs-cTn testing slightly increases the detection of MIs but also increases the number of patients with false positive results who would undergo potential unnecessarily early invasive coronary angiography.
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Síndrome Coronariana Aguda , Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Troponina , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/diagnóstico , Angiografia Coronária , Medição de Risco/métodos , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnósticoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The accurate identification of patients with high cardiovascular risk in suspected myocardial infarction (MI) is an unmet clinical need. Therefore, we sought to investigate the prognostic utility of a multi-biomarker panel with 29 different biomarkers in in 748 consecutive patients with symptoms indicative of MI using a machine learning-based approach. METHODS: Incident major cardiovascular events (MACE) were documented within 1 year after the index admission. The selection of the best multi-biomarker model was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The independent and additive utility of selected biomarkers was compared to a clinical reference model and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Score, respectively. Findings were validated using internal cross-validation. RESULTS: Median age of the study population was 64 years. At 1 year of follow-up, 160 cases of incident MACE were documented. 16 of the investigated 29 biomarkers were significantly associated with 1-year MACE. Three biomarkers including NT-proBNP (HR per SD 1.24), Apolipoprotein A-I (Apo A-I; HR per SD 0.98) and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1; HR per SD 1.06) were identified as independent predictors of 1-year MACE. Although the discriminative ability of the selected multi-biomarker model was rather moderate, the addition of these biomarkers to the clinical reference model and the GRACE score improved model performances markedly (∆C-index 0.047 and 0.04, respectively). CONCLUSION: NT-proBNP, Apo A-I and KIM-1 emerged as strongest independent predictors of 1-year MACE in patients with suspected MI. Their integration into clinical risk prediction models may improve personalized risk stratification. Prognostic utility of a multi-biomarker approach in suspected myocardial infarction. In a cohort of 748 patients with symptoms indicative of myocardial infarction (MI) to the emergency department, we measured a 29-biomarker panel and performed regressions, machine learning (ML)-based variable selection and discriminative/reclassification analyses. We identified three biomarkers as top predictors for 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Their integration into a clinical risk prediction model and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Score allowed for marked improvement in discrimination and reclassification for 1-year MACE. Apo apolipoprotein; CRP C-reactive protein; CRS clinical risk score; ECG electrocardiogram; EN-RAGE extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end-products binding protein; FABP fatty acid-binding protein; GS Grace Score; hs-cTnI high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; KIM-1 kidney injury molecule-1; LASSO least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; MACE major adverse cardiovascular events; MI myocardial infarction; NRI net reclassification improvement; NT-proBNP N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide.
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AIMS: Patients with acute or chronic myocardial injury are frequently identified in the context of suspected myocardial infarction (MI). We aimed to investigate their long-term follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively enrolled 2714 patients with suspected MI and followed them for all-cause mortality and a composite cardiovascular endpoint (CVE; cardiovascular death, MI, unplanned revascularization) for a median of 5.1 years. Final diagnoses were adjudicated by two cardiologists according to the Fourth Universal Definition of MI, including 143 (5.3%) ST-elevation MI, 236 (8.7%) non-ST-elevation MI (NSTEMI) Type 1 (T1), 128 (4.7%) NSTEMI T2, 86 (3.2%) acute and 677 (24.9%) with chronic myocardial injury, and 1444 (53.2%) with other reasons for chest pain (reference). Crude event rates per 1000 patient-years for all-cause mortality were highest in patients with myocardial injury (81.6 [71.7, 92.3]), and any type of MI (55.9 [46.3, 66.7]), compared to reference (12.2 [9.8, 15.1]). Upon adjustment, all diagnoses were significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Moreover, patients with acute (adj-HR 1.92 [1.08, 3.43]) or chronic (adj-HR 1.59 [1.16, 2.18]) myocardial injury, and patients with NSTEMI T1 (adj-HR 2.62 [1.85, 3.69]) and ST-elevation MI (adj-HR 3.66 [2.41, 5.57]) were at increased risk for cardiovascular events. CONCLUSION: Patients with myocardial injury are at a similar increased risk for death and cardiovascular events compared to patients with acute MI. Further studies need to determine appropriate management strategies for patients with myocardial injury. REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02355457).
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BACKGROUND: Unhealthy lifestyle behaviours such as smoking, high alcohol consumption, poor diet or low physical activity are associated with morbidity and mortality. Public health guidelines provide recommendations for adherence to these four factors, however, their relationship to the health of older people is less certain. METHODS: The study involved 11,340 Australian participants (median age 7.39 [Interquartile Range (IQR) 71.7, 77.3]) from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly study, followed for a median of 6.8 years (IQR: 5.7, 7.9). We investigated whether a point-based lifestyle score based on adherence to guidelines for a healthy diet, physical activity, non-smoking and moderate alcohol consumption was associated with subsequent all-cause and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: In multivariable adjusted models, compared to those in the unfavourable lifestyle group, individuals in the moderate lifestyle group (Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.73 [95% CI 0.61, 0.88]) and favourable lifestyle group (HR 0.68 [95% CI 0.56, 0.83]) had lower risk of all-cause mortality. A similar pattern was observed for cardiovascular related mortality and non-cancer/non-cardiovascular related mortality. There was no association of lifestyle with cancer-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of initially healthy older people, reported adherence to a healthy lifestyle is associated with reduced risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Adherence to all four lifestyle factors resulted in the strongest protection.
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Estilo de Vida Saudável , Mortalidade , Idoso , Humanos , Austrália/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Estilo de Vida , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Dieta Saudável/mortalidade , Dieta Saudável/estatística & dados numéricos , Exercício Físico/estatística & dados numéricos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/mortalidade , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/mortalidade , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/mortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Statins are well-established for their treatment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) due to their cholesterol-lowering effects and potential anti-inflammatory properties. Although previous systematic reviews demonstrate that statins reduce inflammatory biomarkers in the secondary prevention of CVD, none examine their effects on cardiac and inflammatory biomarkers in a primary prevention setting. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the effects of statins on cardiovascular and inflammatory biomarkers among individuals without established CVD. The biomarkers included are: cardiac troponin, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), C-reactive protein (CRP), tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule (sVCAM), soluble intercellular adhesion molecule (sICAM), soluble E-selectin (sE-selectin) and endothelin-1 (ET-1). A literature search was performed through Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and CINAHL Plus for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published up to June 2021. RESULTS: Overall, 35 RCTs with 26,521 participants were included in our meta-analysis. Data was pooled using random effects models presented as standardised mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Combining 36 effect sizes from 29 RCTs, statin use resulted in a significant reduction in CRP levels (SMD -0.61; 95% CI -0.91, -0.32; P<0.001). This reduction was observed for both hydrophilic (SMD -0.39; 95% CI -0.62, -0.16; P<0.001) and lipophilic statins (SMD -0.65; 95% CI -1.01, -0.29; P<0.001). There were no significant changes in serum concentrations of cardiac troponin, NT-proBNP, TNF-α, IL-6, sVCAM, sICAM, sE-selectin and ET-1. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis demonstrates that statin use reduces serum CRP levels in a primary prevention setting for CVD, with no clear effect on the other eight biomarkers studied.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Humanos , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Interleucina-6 , Fator de Necrose Tumoral alfa , Biomarcadores , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , TroponinaRESUMO
Background High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn)-based diagnostic algorithms are recommended for the management of patients with suspected myocardial infarction (MI) without ST elevation. Although mirroring different phases of myocardial injury, falling and rising troponin patterns (FPs and RPs, respectively) are equally considered by most algorithms. We aimed to compare the performance of diagnostic protocols for RPs and FPs, separately. Methods and Results We pooled 2 prospective cohorts of patients with suspected MI and stratified patients to stable, FP, and RP during serial sampling separately for hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT and applied the European Society of Cardiology 0/1- and 0/3-hour algorithms comparing the positive predictive values to rule in MI. Overall, 3523 patients were included in the hs-cTnI study population. The positive predictive value for patients with an FP was significantly reduced compared with patients with an RP (0/1-hour: FP, 53.3% [95% CI, 45.0-61.4] versus RP, 76.9 [95% CI, 71.6-81.7]; 0/3-hour: FP, 56.9% [95% CI, 42.2-70.7] versus RP, 78.1% [95% CI, 74.0-81.8]). The proportion of patients in the observe zone was larger in the FP using 0/1-hour (31.3% versus 55.8%) and 0/3-hour (14.6% versus 38.6%) algorithms. Alternative cutoffs did not improve algorithm performances. Compared with stable hs-cTn, the risk for death or MI was highest in those with an FP (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], hs-cTnI 2.3 [95% CI, 1.7-3.2]; RP adjusted HR, hs-cTnI 1.8 [95% CI, 1.4-2.4]). Findings were similar for hs-cTnT tested in 3647 patients overall. Conclusions The positive predictive value to rule in MI by the European Society of Cardiology 0/1- and 0/3-hour algorithms is significantly lower in patients with FP than RP. These are at highest risk for incident death or MI. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifiers: NCT02355457, NCT03227159.
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Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Biomarcadores , Fatores de Tempo , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Troponina I , Algoritmos , Troponina TRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In suspected myocardial infarction (MI), guidelines recommend using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn)-based approaches. These require fixed assay-specific thresholds and timepoints, without directly integrating clinical information. Using machine-learning techniques including hs-cTn and clinical routine variables, we aimed to build a digital tool to directly estimate the individual probability of MI, allowing for numerous hs-cTn assays. METHODS: In 2,575 patients presenting to the emergency department with suspected MI, two ensembles of machine-learning models using single or serial concentrations of six different hs-cTn assays were derived to estimate the individual MI probability (ARTEMIS model). Discriminative performance of the models was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and logLoss. Model performance was validated in an external cohort with 1688 patients and tested for global generalizability in 13 international cohorts with 23,411 patients. RESULTS: Eleven routinely available variables including age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, electrocardiography, and hs-cTn were included in the ARTEMIS models. In the validation and generalization cohorts, excellent discriminative performance was confirmed, superior to hs-cTn only. For the serial hs-cTn measurement model, AUC ranged from 0.92 to 0.98. Good calibration was observed. Using a single hs-cTn measurement, the ARTEMIS model allowed direct rule-out of MI with very high and similar safety but up to tripled efficiency compared to the guideline-recommended strategy. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated diagnostic models to accurately estimate the individual probability of MI, which allow for variable hs-cTn use and flexible timing of resampling. Their digital application may provide rapid, safe and efficient personalized patient care. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS: Data of following cohorts were used for this project: BACC ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02355457), stenoCardia ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT03227159), ADAPT-BSN ( www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au ; ACTRN12611001069943), IMPACT ( www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au , ACTRN12611000206921), ADAPT-RCT ( www.anzctr.org.au ; ANZCTR12610000766011), EDACS-RCT ( www.anzctr.org.au ; ANZCTR12613000745741); DROP-ACS ( https://www.umin.ac.jp , UMIN000030668); High-STEACS ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT01852123), LUND ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT05484544), RAPID-CPU ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT03111862), ROMI ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT01994577), SAMIE ( https://anzctr.org.au ; ACTRN12621000053820), SEIGE and SAFETY ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT04772157), STOP-CP ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02984436), UTROPIA ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02060760).
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Infarto do Miocárdio , Troponina I , Humanos , Angina Pectoris , Biomarcadores , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Curva ROC , Troponina T , Estudos Clínicos como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In light of overlapping symptoms, discrimination between non-ST-elevation (NSTE) acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and acute heart failure (HF) is challenging, particularly in patients with equivocal clinical presentation for suspected ACS. We sought to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic properties of copeptin in this scenario. METHODS: Data from 1088 patients from a single-center observational registry were used to test the ability of serial high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT)-compared to copeptin, or a combination of copeptin with hs-cTnT-to discriminate acute HF from uncomplicated non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and to evaluate all-cause mortality after 365 days. Patients with STEMI, those with unstable angina and either normal or undetectable hs-cTnT concentrations were excluded. The findings were validated in an independent external NSTE-ACS cohort. RESULTS: A total of 219 patients were included in the analysis. The final diagnosis was acute HF in 56 and NSTE-ACS in 163, with NSTEMI in 78 and unstable angina having stable elevation of hs-cTnT >ULN in 85. The rate of all-cause death at 1 year was 9.6% and occurred significantly more often in acute HF than in NSTE-ACS (15 vs. 6%, p < 0.001). In the test cohort, the area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) for the discrimination of acute HF vs. NSTE-ACS without HF was 0.725 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.625-0.798) for copeptin and significantly higher than for hs-cTnT at 0 h (AUC = 0.460, 0.370-0.550) or at 3 h (AUC = 0.441, 0.343-0.538). Copeptin and hs-cTnT used either as continuous values or at cutoffs optimized to yield 90% specificity for acute HF were associated with significantly higher age- and sex-adjusted risk for all-cause mortality at 365 days. The findings from the test cohort were consistently replicated in the independent external NSTE-ACS validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: High concentrations of copeptin in patients with suspected NSTE-ACS and equivocal clinical presentation suggest the presence of acute HF compared to uncomplicated NSTE-ACS and are associated with higher rates of all-cause death at 365 days.