Acute supralevator abscess: the little we know.

INTRODUCTION: Acute supralevator abscess (SLA) is an uncommon and complicated form of anorectal sepsis. Its correct management is crucial to avoid complex iatrogenic fistula formation. A comprehensive review of the literature was conducted to determine the incidence of SLA and the surgical outcome with particular reference to the direction of drainage. METHODS: A search of Medline, PubMed and the Cochrane Library was performed to identify all studies reporting surgical drainage of SLA. FINDINGS: A total of 19 studies were identified, including 563 patients. The only two prospective studies reported an incidence of SLA of 10% and 3% in 68 and 100 patients, respectively, with anorectal sepsis. In 17 retrospective studies, the incidence ranged from 0% to 28%. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed routinely in only one study. The surgical anatomical classification of the abscess was described in six studies diagnosed at surgery. The direction of surgical drainage whether 'inwards' (into the lumen) or 'outwards' (into the ischioanal fossa) was stated in only six studies. In two of these, the direction of drainage was contradictory to the recommendation made by Parks et al. Recurrent sepsis was reported in eight studies and ranged from 0% to 53%. CONCLUSIONS: Detailed and prospective data on acute SLA are lacking. Its real incidence is unclear and it is not possible to analyse surgical outcomes conclusively according to different direction of drainage. The routine use of MRI in complicated anorectal sepsis would specify the surgical anatomy of SLA before any drainage is carried out.

A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners.

Sea level rise (SLR) is a long-lasting consequence of climate change because global anthropogenic warming takes centuries to millennia to equilibrate for the deep ocean and ice sheets. SLR projections based on climate models support policy analysis, risk assessment and adaptation planning today, despite their large uncertainties. The central range of the SLR distribution is estimated by process-based models. However, risk-averse practitioners often require information about plausible future conditions that lie in the tails of the SLR distribution, which are poorly defined by existing models. Here, a community effort combining scientists and practitioners builds on a framework of discussing physical evidence to quantify high-end global SLR for practitioners. The approach is complementary to the IPCC AR6 report and provides further physically plausible high-end scenarios. High-end estimates for the different SLR components are developed for two climate scenarios at two timescales. For global warming of +2°C in 2100 (RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6) relative to pre-industrial values our high-end global SLR estimates are up to 0.9 m in 2100 and 2.5 m in 2300. Similarly, for a (RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5), we estimate up to 1.6 m in 2100 and up to 10.4 m in 2300. The large and growing differences between the scenarios beyond 2100 emphasize the long-term benefits of mitigation. However, even a modest 2°C warming may cause multi-meter SLR on centennial time scales with profound consequences for coastal areas. Earlier high-end assessments focused on instability mechanisms in Antarctica, while here we emphasize the importance of the timing of ice shelf collapse around Antarctica. This is highly uncertain due to low understanding of the driving processes. Hence both process understanding and emission scenario control high-end SLR.

Intermittent Hormone Therapy Models Analysis and Bayesian Model Comparison for Prostate Cancer.

The prostate is an exocrine gland of the male reproductive system dependent on androgens (testosterone and dihydrotestosterone) for development and maintenance. First-line therapy for prostate cancer includes androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), depriving both the normal and malignant prostate cells of androgens required for proliferation and survival. A significant problem with continuous ADT at the maximum tolerable dose is the insurgence of cancer cell resistance. In recent years, intermittent ADT has been proposed as an alternative to continuous ADT, limiting toxicities and delaying time-to-progression. Several mathematical models with different biological resistance mechanisms have been considered to simulate intermittent ADT response dynamics. We present a comparison between 13 of these intermittent dynamical models and assess their ability to describe prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics. The models are calibrated to longitudinal PSA data from the Canadian Prospective Phase II Trial of intermittent ADT for locally advanced prostate cancer. We perform Bayesian inference and model analysis over the models' space of parameters on- and off-treatment to determine each model's strength and weakness in describing the patient-specific PSA dynamics. Additionally, we carry out a classical Bayesian model comparison on the models' evidence to determine the models with the highest likelihood to simulate the clinically observed dynamics. Our analysis identifies several models with critical abilities to disentangle between relapsing and not relapsing patients, together with parameter intervals where the critical points' basin of attraction might be exploited for clinical purposes. Finally, within the Bayesian model comparison framework, we identify the most compelling models in the description of the clinical data.

Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk.

This study provides a literature-based comparative assessment of uncertainties and biases in global to world-regional scale assessments of current and future coastal flood risks, considering mean and extreme sea-level hazards, the propagation of these into the floodplain, people and coastal assets exposed, and their vulnerability. Globally, by far the largest bias is introduced by not considering human adaptation, which can lead to an overestimation of coastal flood risk in 2100 by up to factor 1300. But even when considering adaptation, uncertainties in how coastal societies will adapt to sea-level rise dominate with a factor of up to 27 all other uncertainties. Other large uncertainties that have been quantified globally are associated with socio-economic development (factors 2.3-5.8), digital elevation data (factors 1.2-3.8), ice sheet models (factor 1.6-3.8) and greenhouse gas emissions (factors 1.6-2.1). Local uncertainties that stand out but have not been quantified globally, relate to depth-damage functions, defense failure mechanisms, surge and wave heights in areas affected by tropical cyclones (in particular for large return periods), as well as nearshore interactions between mean sea-levels, storm surges, tides and waves. Advancing the state-of-the-art requires analyzing and reporting more comprehensively on underlying uncertainties, including those in data, methods and adaptation scenarios. Epistemic uncertainties in digital elevation, coastal protection levels and depth-damage functions would be best reduced through open community-based efforts, in which many scholars work together in collecting and validating these data.

Operationalising coastal resilience to flood and erosion hazard: A demonstration for England.

Resilience is widely seen as an important attribute of coastal systems and, as a concept, is increasingly prominent in policy documents. However, there are conflicting ideas on what constitutes resilience and its operationalisation as an overarching principle of coastal management remains limited. In this paper, we show how resilience to coastal flood and erosion hazard could be measured and applied within policy processes, using England as a case study. We define resilience pragmatically, integrating what is presently a disparate set of policy objectives for coastal areas. Our definition uses the concepts of resistance, recovery and adaptation, to consider how the economic, social and environmental dimensions of coastal systems respond to change. We develop a set of composite indicators for each dimension, grounded empirically with reference to national geospatial datasets. A prototype Coastal Resilience Model (CRM) has been developed, which combines the dimensions and generates a quantitative resilience index. We apply it to England's coastal hazard zone, capturing a range of different stakeholder perspectives using relative indicator weightings. The illustrative results demonstrate the practicality of formalising and quantifying resilience. To re-focus national policy around the stated desire of enhancing resilience to coastal flooding and erosion would require firm commitment from government to monitor progress towards resilience, requiring extension of the present risk-based approach, and a consensus methodology in which multiple (and sometimes conflicting) stakeholder values are explicitly considered. Such a transition may also challenge existing governance arrangements at national and local levels, requiring incentives for coastal managers to engage with and apply this new approach, more departmental integration and inter-agency cooperation. The proposed Coastal Resilience Model, with the tools to support planning and measure progress, has the potential to help enable this transition.

Future challenges of coastal landfills exacerbated by sea level rise.

In England and Wales, there are at least 1700 coastal landfills in the coastal flood plain and at least 60 threatened by erosion, illustrating a global problem. These landfills are a major issue in shoreline management planning (SMP) which aims to manage the risks associated with flooding and coastal erosion. Where landfills exist, "hold the line" (requiring the building or upgrading of artificial defences to maintain the current shoreline) is often selected as the preferred SMP option, although government funding is not available at present. To investigate these issues in detail, three case-study landfills are used to examine the risks of future flooding and erosion together with potential mitigation options. These cases represent a contrasting range of coastal landfill settings. The study includes consideration of sea-level rise and climate change which exacerbates risks of erosion and flooding of landfills. It is fundamental to recognise that the release of solid waste in coastal zones is a problem with a geological timescale and these problems will not go away if ignored. Future erosion and release of solid waste is found to be more of a threat than flooding and leachate release from landfills. However, while leachate release can be assessed, there is presently a lack of methods to assess the risks from the release of solid waste. Hence, a lack of science constrains the design of remediation options.

A systems-based assessment of Palestine's current and future infrastructure requirements.

The occupied Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip are currently experiencing many challenges in the provision of infrastructure services for their inhabitants. This includes an undersupply of infrastructure services across multiple sectors - an issue exacerbated by population growth, increasing urbanisation, economic growth and climate change. We address this challenge by providing a systems-based assessment of Palestine's infrastructure requirements and identifying broad strategies for how those needs might be met. This assessment involved four key components including: 1) defining and assessing the current system and planned infrastructure investments; 2) assessing potential future demand for infrastructure services; 3) identifying alternative strategies for future infrastructure provision beyond planned investments; and 4) analysing the performance of each strategy against a series of key performance indicators. Results from the assessment highlight the magnitude of the current and future need for urgent infrastructure investment in Palestine. The most immediate need is to alleviate the water crises in Gaza Strip, which will require at least twice as much water infrastructure investment over the coming decade than is currently in the pipeline, even if the goal is only to achieve the most basic World Health Organisation water availability requirements. To move beyond this protracted state of crises will then require a doubling of investments across all sectors to bring Palestine up to the standards of services already enjoyed by its neighbours. Such investments can have even greater impact on delivery of infrastructure services through the strategic use of interdependencies between infrastructure sectors, such as water re-use and energy-from-waste. In the pursuit of global sustainable development, the systems-based approach presented here provides an important first step in the assessment of infrastructure needs and opportunities for any country. It is particularly important for states like Palestine where key resources, such as water and energy, are so acutely constrained.

Patient-Reported Outcome After Ostomy Surgery for Chronic Constipation.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to describe experiences of and evaluate psychosocial and health-related quality of life of individuals undergoing ostomy surgery for severe, chronic constipation. METHODS: A search of the local ostomy archive and the electronic hospital episode statistics database was performed in a large tertiary referral center. Study outcomes were evaluated retrospectively using clinical notes and prospectively via administration of the City of Hope Ostomy Quality of Life questionnaire, Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36, Hospital Anxiety and Depression tool, and a specially designed ostomy-specific questionnaire. Questionnaires were mailed and returned via post. RESULTS: Twenty-four patients, with a median age of 44 years (interquartile range [IQR] = 31-56), who underwent ileostomy (n = 20) and colostomy (n = 4) over a 13-year period participated in the study. The vast majority of respondents (91%; n = 22) were female. Ten (41%) underwent laparoscopic surgery, 13 (54%) underwent open procedures, and 1 was converted from laparoscopic to open surgery. The mean length of stay (5.5 days vs 5.4 days) and the rate of complication did not differ between the 2 approaches. Fourteen patients (13 females, median age = 47.5 years; IQR = 23-70 years) responded to the postal questionnaires (58.3%). Adverse effects on health-related quality of life in the physical and social well-being domains were reported, and a further 86% of respondents reported psychological morbidity related to their ostomy. However, more than 70% were satisfied (median follow-up = 17 months; IQR = 0.16-8 years) with their quality of life despite a 20% reoperation rate. CONCLUSIONS: An ostomy is a justified last-resort treatment option in selected individuals with severe, chronic constipation. Patients should be warned of the negative effects on health-related quality of life and the risk of complications. We advocate using an algorithm presented in this article.

Impacts of natural and human drivers on the multi-decadal morphological evolution of tidally-influenced deltas.

The world's deltas are at risk of being drowned due to rising relative sea levels as a result of climate change, decreasing supplies of fluvial sediment, and human responses to these changes. This paper analyses how delta morphology evolves over multi-decadal timescales under environmental change using a process-based model. Model simulations over 102 years are used to explore the influence of three key classes of environmental change, both individually and in combination: (i) varying combinations of fluvial water and sediment discharges; (ii) varying rates of relative sea-level rise; and (iii) selected human interventions within the delta, comprising polder-dykes and cross-dams. The results indicate that tidal asymmetry and rate of sediment supply together affect residual flows and delta morphodynamics (indicated by sub-aerial delta area, rates of progradation and aggradation). When individual drivers of change act in combination, delta building processes such as the distribution of sediment flux, aggradation, and progradation are disrupted by the presence of isolated polder-dykes or cross-dams. This suggests that such interventions, unless undertaken at a very large scale, can lead to unsustainable delta building processes. Our findings can inform management choices in real-world tidally-influenced deltas, while the methodology can provide insights into other dynamic morphological systems.

Understanding extreme sea levels for broad-scale coastal impact and adaptation analysis.

One of the main consequences of mean sea level rise (SLR) on human settlements is an increase in flood risk due to an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme sea levels (ESL). While substantial research efforts are directed towards quantifying projections and uncertainties of future global and regional SLR, corresponding uncertainties in contemporary ESL have not been assessed and projections are limited. Here we quantify, for the first time at global scale, the uncertainties in present-day ESL estimates, which have by default been ignored in broad-scale sea-level rise impact assessments to date. ESL uncertainties exceed those from global SLR projections and, assuming that we meet the Paris agreement goals, the projected SLR itself by the end of the century in many regions. Both uncertainties in SLR projections and ESL estimates need to be understood and combined to fully assess potential impacts and adaptation needs.

Robust theoretical modelling of core ionisation edges for quantitative electron energy loss spectroscopy of B- and N-doped graphene.

Electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) is a powerful tool for understanding the chemical structure of materials down to the atomic level, but challenges remain in accurately and quantitatively modelling the response. We compare comprehensive theoretical density functional theory (DFT) calculations of 1s core-level EEL K-edge spectra of pure, B-doped and N-doped graphene with and without a core-hole to previously published atomic-resolution experimental electron microscopy data. The ground state approximation is found in this specific system to perform consistently better than the frozen core-hole approximation. The impact of including or excluding a core-hole on the resultant theoretical band structures, densities of states, electron densities and EEL spectra were all thoroughly examined and compared. It is concluded that the frozen core-hole approximation exaggerates the effects of the core-hole in graphene and should be discarded in favour of the ground state approximation. These results are interpreted as an indicator of the overriding need for theorists to embrace many-body effects in the pursuit of accuracy in theoretical spectroscopy instead of a system-tailored approach whose approximations are selected empirically.

The degree of extramural spread of T3 rectal cancer: an appeal to the American Joint Committee on Cancer.

The T3 category of the TNM classification includes over 60% of all rectal tumours and encompasses the greatest variance in cancer-specific end-points than any other T category. The most recent edition of the cancer staging handbook of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) dated 2010 does not divide T3 tumours into subgroups which reflect cancer-specific outcome more sensitively. The original aim of the present study was to review the literature to assess the influence of the degree of extramural extent of T3 rectal cancer on local recurrence and survival. An article written by the authors was accepted for publication but was withdrawn immediately after they became aware of the publication of the 4th edition of the TNM Supplement by the Union for International Cancer Control dated 2012, which was not accessible by the search system used. This article dealt with the subdivision of the T3 category although this was not included in the most up-to-date AJCC guidelines and was stated to be 'entirely optional'. Medline, PubMed and Cochrane Library searches were performed to identify all studies that investigated the degree of extramural spread and its relationship to survival and local recurrence. Twenty-two studies were identified of which 12 assessed the degree of histopathological extramural spread measured in millimetres. In 18 of the 22 studies the degree of extramural spread was a statistically significant prognostic factor for survival and local recurrence. Analysis of the studies indicated that the subdivision of category T3 rectal cancer into two subgroups of extramural spread ≤ 5 mm or more than 5 mm resulted in markedly different survival and local recurrence rates. The data were insufficient to allow validation of any greater subdivision. Measurement of the extent of extramural spread by MRI before any treatment agreed with the histopathological measurement in the surgical specimen to within 1 mm. The extent of extramural spread in T3 rectal cancer measured in millimetres is a powerful prognostic factor. A subdivision of T3 into T3a and T3b of less than or equal to or more than 5 mm appears to give the greatest discrimination of local recurrence and survival. Preoperative T3 subdivision by MRI has the same sensitivity as histopathological examination of the resected specimen. Given the clinical need for the pretreatment classification of the T3 category for oncological management planning, the evidence strongly indicates that the subdivision of the T3 category by MRI should be formally considered as part of the TNM staging system for rectal cancer.

The degree of extramural spread of T3 rectal cancer: a plea to the UICC and AJCC.

The above article, published online on 15 July 2016 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com), has been retracted by agreement between the authors, the journal Editor-in-Chief, Neil Mortensen, and John Wiley & Sons Limited. After acceptance the authors were made aware of a contribution to a prior publication of the UICC, TNM Supplement: A commentary on uniform use, 4th Edition, ed. C. Wittekind (Wiley, 2012), p. 195, which renders the central argument of their article invalid. They have therefore asked for it to be withdrawn. A modified version of the paper was published in the January 2017 issue (volume 19; issue 1) with the title "The degree of extramural spread of T3 rectal cancer: an appeal to the American Joint Committee on Cancer".

Bilateral transcutaneous tibial nerve stimulation for chronic constipation.

AIM: Chronic constipation is difficult to treat when symptoms are intractable. Colonic propulsion may be altered by distal neuromodulation but this is conventionally delivered percutaneously. Transcutaneous tibial nerve stimulation is noninvasive and cheap: this study aimed to assess its efficacy in chronic constipation. METHOD: Eighteen patients (median age 46 years, 12 female) with chronic constipation were recruited consecutively. Conservative and behavioural therapy had failed to improve symptoms in all 18. Thirty minutes of daily bilateral transcutaneous tibial nerve stimulation was administered by each patient at home for 6 weeks. The primary outcome measure was a change in the Patient Assessment of Constipation Quality of Life (PAC-QoL) score. Change in Patient Assessment of Constipation Symptoms (PAC-SYM), weekly bowel frequency and visual analogue scale (VAS) score were also measured. RESULTS: Fifteen patients (12 female) completed the trial. The PAC-QoL score improved significantly with treatment [pretreatment, median 2.95, interquartile range (IQR) 1.18; posttreatment, median 2.50, IQR 0.70; P = 0.047]. There was no change in PAC-SYM score (pretreatment, median 2.36, IQR 1.59; posttreatment, median 2.08, IQR 0.92; P = 0.53). Weekly stool frequency improved as did VAS score, but these did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.229 and 0.161). The PAC-QoL and PAC-SYM scores both improved in four (26%) patients. Two patients reported complete cure. There were no adverse events reported. CONCLUSION: Bilateral transcutaneous tibial nerve stimulation appears to be effective in a quarter of patients with chronic constipation. Carefully selected patients with less severe disease may benefit more. This requires further study.

Evaluation and management of perianal abscess and anal fistula: a consensus statement developed by the Italian Society of Colorectal Surgery (SICCR).

Perianal sepsis is a common condition ranging from acute abscess to chronic fistula formation. In most cases, the source is considered to be a non-specific cryptoglandular infection starting from the intersphincteric space. The key to successful treatment is the eradication of the primary track. As surgery may lead to a disturbance of continence, several sphincter-preserving techniques have been developed. This consensus statement examines the pertinent literature and provides evidence-based recommendations to improve individualized management of patients.

Factors Associated With Efficacy of Nurse-led Bowel Training of Patients With Chronic Constipation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is not clear whether nurse-led bowel training (NBT), an individually tailored biofeedback strategy designed to improve the physiological process of defecation by operant conditioning and trial and error learning, is effective for patients with chronic constipation. We assessed the ability of NBT to reduce symptoms and increase quality of life in patients with constipation at a large tertiary medical center. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of data from 347 patients (median age, 50 years) who underwent a median 3 sessions of NBT for chronic constipation from January 2011 through December 2013 at St Marks Hospital in the United Kingdom. The NBT comprised a combination of sensory retraining, pelvic floor conditioning, and advice on diet and toileting behavior. Data on patient demographics (age, sex, type of constipation) were collected alongside their assessments of constipation, which were based on Patient Assessment of Constipation Quality of Life (PAC-QoL) and patient satisfaction scores. We performed binary logistic regression analysis. Each variable was tested first at the univariate level; those with significance (P < .10) were included in a multivariate model. RESULTS: At the end of NBT, 62.5% of the patients (217/347) reported reduced symptoms, and 40.2% of the patients (41/102) reported a reduction of at least 1 point on the PAC-QoL score. The mean PAC-QoL scores before and after NBT were 2.42 and 1.41, respectively (P = .001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that increasing age (odds ratio [OR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-2.87; P = .042), greater number of sessions (OR, 4.14; 95% CI, 2.09-8.20; P < .001), and non-irrigation (OR, 4.39; 95% CI, 1.89-10.19; P = .001) were independent predictors of patient satisfaction. CONCLUSIONS: Data collected immediately after patients with chronic constipation received NBT indicate that it is an effective treatment for most patients. Older patients with dyssynergic defecation benefit most from at least 4 sessions.