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1.
Int J Qual Stud Educ ; 37(1): 230-245, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38463447

RESUMO

Introduction: Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a public health problem that impacts approximately one in three women worldwide in their life-time. The purpose of the study was to explore the lived experiences of women teachers and violence in Kenya. It also explores the intersection between intimate partner violence, HIV risk, and gender inequality. Method: Data were collected through two focus groups of a total of 15 women teachers. We recruited women ages 21-44 from two geographically diverse urban and rural schools. The data were analyzed using a thematic analysis method to identify text themes and meaning patterns. Results: Three contextual experiences emerged: socio-cultural influences of gender norms, masculinity and patriarchy; uneven power dynamics; and institutionalized gender inequality. Discussion: Findings suggest that education alone is not sufficient to end GBV. Comprehensive and gender transformative governmental policy approaches are needed to mitigate GBV in Kenya.

2.
Ann Nutr Metab ; 80(1): 21-28, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37944496

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The nutritional status of children with neurological impairment affects their health and quality of life. Bulgaria has many abandoned disabled children in residential homes. Lack of parental care puts them at risk for poor growth, suboptimal nutrition, and physical and mental development. Our study aims to identify factors associated with poor nutrition in Bulgarian children with neurological impairment living in different environments. METHODS: From January to December 2017, a cross-sectional study was conducted in northeastern Bulgaria. We recruited 109 residential and nonresidential children. The study included demographics, medical history, anthropometric measurements, biochemical tests, nutritional assessment, and gastrointestinal signs and symptoms. Data were analyzed with Jamovi 2.2.5 at a 0.05 significance level. Logistic regression was used to predict wasting in both environmental settings. RESULTS: About 70% of the neurologically impaired children living in residential settings have malnutrition based on weight-for-age Z-score, compared to 25% of the non-residential children. Prematurity, low gross motor function (as measured by the gross motor function classification system), pureed food consumption, birth before 37 weeks, and living in residential care homes are linked to poor nutrition. CONCLUSION: Neurologically impaired children have a poor nutritional state, especially those living in residential homes. The study underscores the pressing need for the allocation of additional nutrition resources to effectively address the nutritional and developmental needs of children with neurological disabilities in Bulgaria.


Assuntos
Desnutrição , Qualidade de Vida , Criança , Humanos , Bulgária/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Desnutrição/epidemiologia , Estado Nutricional , Avaliação Nutricional
3.
Anthropol Anz ; 81(1): 19-42, 2024 Jan 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37498011

RESUMO

Medical imaging and machine learning are beneficial approaches in physical and forensic anthropology. They are particularly useful for the development of models for sex identification based on bone remains. The present study uses machine learning algorithms to create models for sex estimation based on mandibular measurements. The sample included head CT scans of 239 adult Bulgarians (116 males and 123 females). Three-dimensional coordinates of 45 landmarks of the mandible were acquired from segmented polygonal models of the skulls of these individuals. Two datasets of mandibular measurements were assembled. The first dataset included 51 measurements: linear, projective, and angular measurements. The second dataset included 990 interlandmark distances. Seven machine learning algorithms (Support Vector Machines, Neural Network, Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, J48, JRip, and Logistic Regression) were applied to the two datasets, and the classification accuracy was evaluated by 10x5-cross-validation. The selection of the best subsets of attributes specific to each of the abovementioned algorithms was done based on the attribute importance evaluated by an attribute selection scheme. In general, the sub-symbolic algorithms achieved higher results than the symbolic ones, except for the logistic regression. The best classification model was learnt by the Support Vector Machines algorithm, which achieved an accuracy of 95.3% on a dataset described by 19 interlandmark distances. In both datasets, the application of advanced attribute selection has led to an increase in the classification accuracy of all algorithms used in the experiments.


Assuntos
População do Leste Europeu , Mandíbula , Redes Neurais de Computação , Determinação do Sexo pelo Esqueleto , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Algoritmos , Teorema de Bayes , Mandíbula/anatomia & histologia , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte
4.
Front Nutr ; 10: 1251083, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37727635

RESUMO

Autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) are a group of neurodevelopmental disorders that affect social communication, behavior, and sensory processing, in which PUFAs are considered important. This mini-review article aims to investigate the current evidence regarding the use of essential fatty acids (EFAs) in the treatment of autism spectrum disorders (ASDs). The study examines various research studies, related to EFAs, their benefits, and their role in ASD treatment. The article focuses on exploring the potential mechanisms underlying the effects of EFAs on ASDs, including their anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, and neuroprotective properties. Furthermore, the study discusses limitations and challenges associated with the use of EFAs in ASD treatment, including variability in dosage and duration of treatment. The results of this review indicate that while some studies suggest a positive effect of EFAs on ASD symptoms, there is currently insufficient evidence to support their routine use as a stand-alone treatment for ASD. The need for further research to better understand the potential benefits and limitations of EFAs in ASD treatment is highlighted.

5.
Leg Med (Tokyo) ; 65: 102322, 2023 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37722156

RESUMO

The degree of sexual dimorphism expressed by human bones is of primary importance for the development of accurate methods for sex estimation. The objective of the present study was to investigate sex differences in shape and size of the mandible using geometric morphometric methods. The study also aimed to examine the impact of age on the sex classification ability of the size and shape of the mandible. Computed tomography images of 190 Bulgarians (98 males and 92 females) were used in the study. Polygonal surface models of the skulls were generated and used for digitizing 45 landmarks located on the mandible. The raw three-dimensional coordinates of the landmarks were processed via generalized Procrustes superimposition. The sex differences in mandibular size and shape were evaluated for statistical significance. Multivariate regression was applied for correction of the allometric effect. Principal component analysis, discriminant analysis, and canonical variate analysis were also used in the study. Mandibular size differed significantly between males and females and achieved a sex classification accuracy of 87%. The significance of the sex differences in mandibular shape depended on the type of shape variables used in the analysis. The shape variables provided different classification accuracy: 78% using the Procrustes coordinates and 53% using the regression residuals. The male and female mandibles differed significantly in size and shape, including the allometric component. Mandibular size is a more effective sex indicator than shape. Age has an ambiguous effect on the classification accuracy of the size and shape variables of the mandible.


Assuntos
Besouros , Caracteres Sexuais , Animais , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Mandíbula/diagnóstico por imagem , Crânio , Análise Discriminante , Análise de Componente Principal
6.
Biology (Basel) ; 12(4)2023 Mar 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37106693

RESUMO

Sellar (caroticoclinoid and interclinoid), pterygospinous and pterygoalar bridges are osseous bars of the sphenoid bone, which enclose additional foramina in the skull base and could cause entrapment of nerves, occlusion of vessels and obstruction of surgical corridors. This study aimed to investigate the frequency of sphenoid bone bridges in Bulgarians and to assess the bilateral and sex differences in their distribution. This study was performed on head CT scans of 315 Bulgarians, 148 males and 167 females. The sellar bridges were the most common type of sphenoid bridging; particularly the caroticoclinoid bridge. The pterygospinous bridge was a relatively common finding and the pterygoalar bridge was the most infrequent type of bridging. The total frequency of sellar bridges did not differ significantly between both sides and sexes. The pterygospinous bridge did not indicate significant bilateral differences but showed considerable sex differences concerning the left-side occurrence, which was significantly higher in the male series. There were no considerable bilateral and sex differences in the distribution of the pterygoalar bridging. There were no significant correlations between the different types of sphenoid bone bridges, but each type of bridging showed significant positive correlations between the right and left side co-occurrence in males and females.

7.
PLoS One ; 18(4): e0284011, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37023026

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To explore longitudinally the impact of multiple long-term conditions (LTCs) on frailty progression separately for males and females. METHODS: A functional frailty measure (FFM) was used to examine putative determinants of frailty progression among participants aged 65 to 90 in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), across nine waves (18 years) of data collection. A multilevel growth model was fitted to measure the FFM progression over 18 years, grouped by LTC categories (zero, one, two and more). RESULTS: There were 2396 male participants at wave 1, of whom 742 (31.0%) had 1 LTC and 1147 (47.9%) had ≥2 LTCs. There were 2965 females at wave 1 of whom 881 (29.7%) had one LTC and 1584 (53.4%) had ≥2 LTCs. The FFM increased 4% each 10 years for the male participants with no LTCs, while it increased 6% per decade in females. The FFM increased with the number of LTCs, for males and females. The acceleration of FMM increases for males with one long-term health condition or more; however in females the acceleration of FMM increases when they have two LTCs or more. CONCLUSION: Frailty progression accelerates in males with one LTCs and females with two LTCs or more. Health providers should be aware of planning a suitable intervention once the elderly have two or more health conditions.


Assuntos
Fragilidade , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Longitudinais , Envelhecimento
8.
Ageing Res Rev ; 84: 101789, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36396032

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a risk factor for adverse health outcomes. There is a paucity of literature on frailty progression defined by a cumulative deficit model among community dwelling older people. The objective of this review was to synthesise evidence on these changes in health and mortality among community-dwelling older people. METHODS: Six databases (Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane, PsycInfo, Web of Science) and a clinical trials registry were searched in July 2021. The inclusion criteria were studies using a frailty index and providing information on transition between frailty states or to death in community-dwelling older people aged ≥ 50. Exclusion criteria were studies examining specific health conditions, conference abstracts and non-English studies. To standardise the follow-up period and facilitate comparison, we converted the transition probabilities to annual transition rates. RESULTS: Two reviewers independently screened 5078 studies and 61 studies were included for analysis. Of these, only three used the same frailty state cut-points to facilitate cross-cohort comparison. This review found that frailty tends to increase with time, people who are frail at baseline have greater likelihood to progress in frailty and die, and the main factor that accelerates frailty progression is age. Other risk factors for progression are having chronic disease, smoking, obesity, low-income or/and low-education levels. A frailty index is an accurate predictor of adverse outcomes and death. DISCUSSION: This systematic review demonstrated that worsening in frailty was a common frailty transition, and older people who are frail at baseline are more likely to die. A frailty index has significant power to predict adverse health outcomes. It is a useful tool for within-cohort comparison but there are challenges comparing different cohorts due to dependence of frailty progression on age and differences in how frailty index is defined and measured.


Assuntos
Fragilidade , Idoso , Humanos , Fragilidade/diagnóstico , Idoso Fragilizado , Fatores de Risco , Vida Independente , Obesidade
9.
Violence Against Women ; 29(2): 202-228, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35791515

RESUMO

This study examined the extent, source, and individual, microsystem, exosystem, and macrosystem-level (Heise's Ecological Model) predictors of help-seeking behaviors among women of different age groups in Colombia. Data on 12,915 married or cohabitating women who had experienced diverse forms of intimate partner violence (IPV) were obtained from the Colombia Demographic Health Survey 2015. More than half of the Colombian women who reported some form of IPV experience did not seek any help. Women aged 25-39 were less likely to seek help. Type of violence and experience of IPV and education were the strongest predictors of help-seeking among women in all age groups. Implications for research and programming are discussed.


Assuntos
Comportamento de Busca de Ajuda , Violência por Parceiro Íntimo , Humanos , Feminino , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Casamento , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Violência , Prevalência
10.
Biology (Basel) ; 11(9)2022 Sep 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36138812

RESUMO

The level of sexual dimorphism manifested by human bones is an important factor for development of effective sex estimation methods. The aim of the study was to investigate the sexual dimorphism in the size and shape of the viscerocranium using geometric morphometric techniques. It also aimed to explore the sex differences in distinct viscerocranial regions and to establish the most dimorphic region with regard to size and shape. Computed tomography images of 156 males and 184 females were used in the study. Three-dimensional coordinates of 31 landmarks were acquired. Five landmark configurations were constructed from the viscerocranium and its orbital, nasal, maxillary, and zygomatic region. Generalized Procrustes superimposition, principal component analysis, and discriminant analysis were applied to each configuration. The significance of the sex differences in size and shape was assessed and significant differences were found in all configurations. The highest accuracy was obtained from both shape and size of the whole viscerocranium. Based on size only, the highest accuracy was achieved by the nasal region. The accuracy based on shape was generally low for all configurations, but the highest result was attained by the orbital region. Hence, size is a better sex discriminator than shape.

11.
Int J Legal Med ; 136(6): 1851-1863, 2022 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35945460

RESUMO

Sex identification is a primary step in forensic analysis of skeletal remains. The accuracy of sex estimation methods greatly depends on the sexual dimorphism manifested by the target anatomical region. The study aims to evaluate the sexual dimorphism in shape and size of the neurocranium and to compare the potential of shape and size of different cranial regions to classify correctly the male and female crania. The study was carried out on computed tomography images of 373 Bulgarian adults (161 males and 212 females). Three-dimensional coordinates of 32 landmarks were acquired. The landmarks were arranged in 4 configurations: neurocranium, frontal bone, parietotemporal region, and occipital bone. For each configuration, the presence of significant sex differences in shape and size was tested. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to explore the shape variation. The classification power of size and shape was tested using discriminant analysis and k-means clustering. The neurocranium shows significant sex differences in shape and size. The parietotemporal region is the most dimorphic neurocranial part in size and the frontal bone is the most differing one in shape. The size of the parietotemporal region and frontal bone classifies correctly more than 80% of the crania. The discrimination ability based on shape is rather low as the highest values of about 70% are obtained for the frontal and occipital bone. The PCA plots show large overlapping of the male and female crania. It can be inferred that the sex-specific size differences in the neurocranium are more important than the shape differences.


Assuntos
Determinação do Sexo pelo Esqueleto , Adulto , Análise Discriminante , Feminino , Antropologia Forense , Osso Frontal , Humanos , Masculino , Análise de Componente Principal , Caracteres Sexuais , Determinação do Sexo pelo Esqueleto/métodos , Crânio/anatomia & histologia , Crânio/diagnóstico por imagem
13.
Front Nutr ; 9: 900422, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35873426

RESUMO

Introduction: Nutrition education attempts to maintain and enhance good eating habits to achieve optimal metabolic control in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Recommendations for patients with T1D are comparable to those of the general population. This Study Aimed: To investigate dietary habits and adherence to nutritional recommendations of patients with T1D as compared with age, gender, and BMI matched people in Bulgaria. Methods: A case-control study included 124 patients with T1D with long disease duration (mean duration 25.3 ± 8.2 years) followed up at a diabetes clinic in Varna, Bulgaria for 2 years (2017-2019) and 59 controls matched for gender, age and BMI. A 24-h dietary recall method was used to assess the nutrition of both groups. A standardized questionnaire was applied to assess the frequency of food consumption (Feel4Diabtes). Height and weight were standardly measured, and BMI was calculated. Findings were compared with Bulgarian recommendations and reference values for energy and nutrient intake for healthy adults. The data were analyzed with the statistical package SPSSv21.0 and Jamovi v.22.5. Results: The nutritional characteristics of T1D men and women differ. Men with T1D had a higher intake of total carbohydrates (CHO) (p = 0.009), a lower intake of total fats (p = 0.007), and monounsaturated fatty acids (p = 0.029) as a percentage of total daily energy compared with the controls. Women with T1D had a different distribution of energy intake per meal compared to controls: they consumed more energy (p = 0.001) and a corresponding share of CHO for lunch, less for dinner (p = 0.015) and had a higher overall healthy diet score when compared to controls (p = 0.02). Adherence to dietary recommendations (e.g., CHO, total fats, saturated fat, fibers) was low in both genders, but lower in the general population compared to people with T1D. Conclusion: Our data demonstrate that people with T1D consume a healthier diet than the general population, which could be attributed to healthier diet awareness, still far from the recommendations. Introduction of annual consultations with a dietitian may improve long-term outcomes.

14.
Front Nutr ; 9: 919112, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35873435

RESUMO

The current review aims to summarize published research on nutrition transition patterns (depicting changes in dietary consumption) in European populations over the last three decades (1990-2020), with a focus on East-West regional comparisons. Pubmed and Google-Scholar databases were searched for articles providing information on repeated dietary intakes in populations living in countries across Europe, published between January 1990 and July 2021. From the identified 18,031 articles, 62 were found eligible for review (17 from Eastern and 45 from Western European populations). Overall, both in Eastern and Western Europe, there have been pronounced changes in dietary consumption patterns over the last three decades characterized by reductions in average reported intakes of sugar, carbohydrates and saturated fats and increases in reported fruit and vegetable consumption. There has also been a tendency toward a reduction in traditional foods, such as fish, observed in some Mediterranean countries. Overall, these data suggests that European countries have undergone a nutrition transition toward adopting healthier dietary behaviors. These processes occurred already in the period 1990-2000 in many Western European, and in the last decades have been also spreading throughout Eastern European countries. Firm conclusions are hampered by the lack of standardized methodologies depicting changes in dietary intakes over time and the limited coverage of the full variety of European populations. Future studies based on standardized dietary assessment methods and representative for the whole range of populations across Europe are warranted to allow monitoring trends in nutrition transition within and among European countries.

15.
Ann Anat ; 243: 151951, 2022 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35523397

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cranial sutures are active bone growth sites and any alteration in their normal formation, patency and closure influences the overall cranial morphology. This comparative study aims to establish whether the cranial shape and size are significantly modified when metopic suture persists into adulthood using geometric morphometric analyses. METHODS: The sample consisted of 63 metopic and 184 non-metopic dry adult male crania. Three-dimensional polygonal models of the crania were generated using a hand-held laser scanner Creaform VIUscan. A total of 50 landmarks were digitized on the three-dimensional models and eight landmark configurations delineating the cranium and its compartments were constructed and analyzed. Geometric morphometric analyses were applied to investigate separately the size and shape differences between the metopic and non-metopic series in each of the landmark configurations. RESULTS: Significant size differences were established solely in the neurocranium, but not in its total size, rather in its parts. The size modification was expressed by an enlargement of the anterior part of the neurocranium at the expense of the middle and posterior ones. All investigated landmark sets differed significantly between the series regarding the shape. In metopic series, the shape alteration was mainly in a mediolateral widening and an anteroposterior shortening contributing to a more rounded overall shape of the cranium. CONCLUSIONS: The slight modification of the cranial morphology in metopism suggests that the metopic suture persistence is not an isolated variation limited to the frontal bone. It is rather a complex condition associated with a combination of specific phenotypic characteristics.


Assuntos
Suturas Cranianas , Crânio , Adulto , Desenvolvimento Ósseo , Suturas Cranianas/anatomia & histologia , Osso Frontal/anatomia & histologia , Humanos , Masculino , Crânio/anatomia & histologia
16.
Glob Public Health ; 17(4): 526-537, 2022 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33406003

RESUMO

HIV stigma is a public health problem. It refers to irrational judgments and attitudes towards people living with or at risk of HIV. Among adolescents and young adults living with HIV, stigma can negatively influence help-seeking decisions and impede HIV prevention efforts. The present study aimed to explore social-ecological factors associated with HIV-related stigma using a cross-sectional study design. Data used were from the 2016 Uganda Demographic and Health Survey [UDHS] of young men (n = 2214) and young women (n = 8058) aged 15-24 years. We conducted a gender disaggregated multivariable logistic regression to understand social-ecological factors associated with HIV secondary stigma. An overwhelming majority of participants (85%) indicated that secondary HIV stigma was associated with factors such as gender, ethnicity, education, wealth, cultural attitudes, and testing experiences. The study concludes that many young people living with HIV experience stigma in Uganda. Therefore, the government of Uganda, health professionals, and researchers should consider developing interventions that address HIV stigma and discrimination. Supportive programmes, such as peer support services and community-based interventions, are needed to help young people living with HIV learn to cope with the illness.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Adolescente , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Identidade de Gênero , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Estigma Social , Uganda/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
17.
Age Ageing ; 51(1)2022 01 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34673925

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: falls are common in older people, but evidence for the effectiveness of preventative home adaptations is limited. AIM: determine whether a national home adaptation service, Care&Repair Cymru (C&RC), identified individuals at risk of falls occurring at home and reduced the likelihood of falls. STUDY DESIGN: retrospective longitudinal controlled non-randomised intervention cohort study. SETTING: our cohort consisted of 657,536 individuals aged 60+ living in Wales (UK) between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2017. About 123,729 individuals received a home adaptation service. METHODS: we created a dataset with up to 41 quarterly observations per person. For each quarter, we observed if a fall occurred at home that resulted in either an emergency department or an emergency hospital admission. We analysed the data using multilevel logistic regression. RESULTS: compared to the control group, C&RC clients had higher odds of falling, with an odds ratio (OR [95% confidence interval]) of 1.93 [1.87, 2.00]. Falls odds was higher for females (1.44 [1.42, 1.46]), older age (1.07 [1.07, 1.07]), increased frailty (mild 1.57 [1.55, 1.60], moderate 2.31 [2.26, 2.35], severe 3.05 [2.96, 3.13]), and deprivation (most deprived compared to least: 1.16 [1.13, 1.19]). Client fall odds decreased post-intervention; OR 0.97 [0.96, 0.97] per quarter. Regional variation existed for falls (5.8%), with most variation at the individual level (31.3%). CONCLUSIONS: C&RC identified people more likely to have an emergency fall admission occurring at home, and their service reduced the odds of falling post-intervention. Service provisioning should meet the needs of an individual and need varies by personal and regional circumstance.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Hospitalização , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , País de Gales/epidemiologia
18.
Ann Anat ; 239: 151811, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34384857

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Metopic suture lies between the halves of the growing frontal bone and usually closes in early infancy. If the metopic suture fails to close it persists in adulthood and could be considered an anterior continuation of the sagittal suture (SS). This study aimed to investigate if the metopic suture persistence is related to any significant deviations from the normal SS maturation. We also aimed to elaborate linear regression models for age-at-death prediction of the metopic crania and to compare their accuracy with the models developed on the control ones. METHODS: The SS was investigated in a total of 122 dry adult contemporary male crania of known age-at-death divided in a metopic series (n = 34) and a control one (n = 88). The crania were scanned and high-resolution volumetric images were generated using an industrial µCT system. The SS closure degree was assessed on cross-sectional tomograms using a scale of grades. Both series were compared and linear regression models for age-at-death prediction were elaborated. RESULTS: The comparison between both series showed that the degree of SS closure differs significantly in all SS sections and bone layers and it is considerably lower in the metopic series. The elaborated linear regression models showed that the error in the age-at-death prediction of the metopic crania is almost two times bigger than that in the control. CONCLUSIONS: The SS closure in metopic crania is significantly delayed compared to the control, which means that it is entirely unreliable and misleading as an indicator for age-at-death prediction.


Assuntos
Suturas Cranianas , Osso Frontal , Adulto , Suturas Cranianas/diagnóstico por imagem , Estudos Transversais , Técnicas Histológicas , Humanos , Masculino , Suturas
19.
Health Soc Care Community ; 30(3): e804-e811, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34080751

RESUMO

International evidence indicates that older people with frailty are more likely to access social care services, compared to nonfrail older people. There is, however, no robust evidence on costs of social care provided for community-dwelling older people living with frailty in their own homes. The main objective of this study was to examine the relationship between community-dwelling older people living with frailty, defined using the cumulative deficit model, and annual formal social care costs for the 2012-2018 period. A secondary objective was to estimate formal social care spending for every 1% reduction in the number of older people who develop frailty over 1 year. Secondary analysis of prospective cohort data from two large nationally representative community-based cohort studies in England was performed. Respondents aged ≥75 were used in the main analysis and respondents aged 65-74 in sensitivity testing. We used regression tree modelling for formal social care cost analysis including frailty, age, gender, age at completing education and living with partner as key covariates. We employed a minimum node size stopping criteria to limit tree complexity and overfitting and applied 'bootstrap aggregating' to improve robustness. We assessed the impact of an intervention for every 1% decrease in the number of individuals who become frail over 1 year in England. Results show that frailty is the strongest predictor of formal social care costs. Mean social care costs for people who are not frail are £321, compared with £2,895 for individuals with frailty. For every 1% of nonfrail people not transitioning to frailty savings of £4.4 million in annual expenditures on formal social care in England are expected, not including expenditure on care homes. Given considerably higher costs for individuals classed as frail compared to nonfrail, a successful intervention avoiding or postponing the onset of frailty has the potential to considerably reduce social care costs.


Assuntos
Fragilidade , Idoso , Custos e Análise de Custo , Idoso Fragilizado , Humanos , Vida Independente , Estudos Prospectivos , Apoio Social
20.
Trials ; 22(1): 783, 2021 Nov 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34749783

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The majority of older people (> 65 years) in hospital have frailty and are at increased risk of readmission or death following discharge home. In the UK, following acute hospitalisation, around one third of older people with frailty are referred on for rehabilitation, termed 'intermediate care' services. Although this rehabilitation can reduce early readmission to hospital (< 30 days), recipients often do not feel ready to leave the service on discharge, suggesting possible incomplete recovery. Limited evidence suggests extended rehabilitation is of benefit in several conditions and there is preliminary evidence that progressive physical exercise can improve mobility and function for older people with frailty, and slow progression to disability. Our aim is to evaluate the effectiveness of the Home-based Older People's Exercise (HOPE) programme as extended rehabilitation for older people with frailty discharged home from hospital or intermediate care services after acute illness or injury. METHODS: A multi-centre individually randomised controlled trial, to evaluate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of the HOPE programme. This individualised, graded and progressive 24-week exercise programme is delivered by NHS physiotherapy teams to people aged 65 and older with frailty, identified using the Clinical Frailty Scale, following discharge from acute hospitalisation and linked intermediate care rehabilitation pathways. The primary outcome is physical health-related quality of life, measured using the physical component summary score of the modified Short Form 36- item health questionnaire (SF36) at 12 months. Secondary outcomes include self-reported physical and mental health, functional independence, death, hospitalisations, care home admissions. Plans include health economic analyses and an embedded process evaluation. DISCUSSION: This trial seeks to determine if extended rehabilitation, via the HOPE programme, can improve physical health-related quality of life for older people with frailty following acute hospitalisation. Results will improve awareness of the rehabilitation needs of older people with frailty, and provide evidence on the clinical and cost-effectiveness of the targeted exercise intervention. There is potential for considerable benefit for health and social care services through widespread implementation of trial findings if clinical and cost-effectiveness is demonstrated. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN 13927531 . Registered on April 19, 2017.


Assuntos
Fragilidade , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Terapia por Exercício , Fragilidade/diagnóstico , Humanos , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Qualidade de Vida , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
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