Association of sustained lupus low disease activity state with improved outcomes in systemic lupus erythematosus: a multinational prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Validation of protective associations of the lupus low disease activity state (LLDAS) against flare, irreversible damage, health-related quality of life, and mortality has enabled the adoption of treat-to-target strategies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Previous validation studies were of short duration, limiting the ability to detect longer term signals in flare rate and irreversible damage. In addition, previous studies have focused on percent time at target, rather than actual periods of time that are more useful in clinical practice and trials. We assessed long-term protective associations of LLDAS and remission, and specifically examined protective thresholds of sustained LLDAS and remission. METHODS: Patients aged 18 years or older with SLE were followed up from May 1, 2013, to Dec 31, 2020 in a prospective, multinational, longitudinal cohort study. Patients were recruited from 25 centres in 12 countries. Multi-failure time-to-event analyses were used to assess the effect of sustained LLDAS on irreversible damage accrual (primary outcome; measured with the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index) and flare (key secondary outcome; measured with the SELENA Flare Index), with dose exposure and threshold effects studied. Sustained LLDAS or remission were defined as two or more consecutive visits over at least 3 months in the respective state. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03138941. FINDINGS: 3449 patients were followed up for a median of 2·8 years (IQR 1·1-5·6), totalling 37 662 visits. 3180 (92·2%) patients were women, and 3031 (87·9%) were of Asian ethnicity. 2506 (72·7%) patients had sustained LLDAS at least once. Any duration of sustained LLDAS or remission longer than 3 months was associated with reduced damage accrual (LLDAS: hazard ratio 0·60 [95% CI 0·51-0·71], p<0·0001; remission: 0·66 [0·57-0·76], p<0·0001) and flare (LLDAS: 0·56 [0·51-0·63], p<0·0001; remission: 0·66 [0·60-0·73], p<0·0001), and increasing durations of sustained LLDAS corresponded to increased protective associations. Sustained DORIS remission or steroid-free remission were less attainable than LLDAS. INTERPRETATION: We observed significant protective associations of LLDAS and remission against damage accrual and flare, establish a threshold of 3 months sustained LLDAS or remission as protective, and demonstrate deepening protection with longer durations of sustained LLDAS or remission. FUNDING: The Asia Pacific Lupus Collaboration receives project support grants from AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, EMD Sereno, GSK, Janssen, Eli Lilly, and UCB.

Development and Initial Validation of the Novel Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Activity Index.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate measurement of disease activity in systemic sclerosis (SSc) remains a significant clinical challenge. The Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium (SCTC) convened an Activity Index Working Group (WG) to develop a novel measure of disease activity (SCTC-AI). METHODS: Using consensus methodology, we developed a conceptual definition of disease activity. Literature review and expert consensus generated provisional SCTC-AI items, which were reduced by Delphi survey. Provisional items were weighted against a combined endpoint of morbidity and mortality, using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression analysis of the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) (n=1,254). External validation of the SCTC-AI was performed using data collected from 1,103 Canadian Scleroderma Research Group Study participants. RESULTS: Disease activity in SSc was defined using consensus methodology as 'aspects of disease that are reversible, or can be arrested, with time and, or effective therapy'. One-hundred and forty-one provisional SCTC-AI items were generated and reduced using 3 rounds of Delphi survey and statistical reduction and weighting, against mortality and quality of life measures, yielding a final 24-item index with a maximum possible score of 140. Survival analysis in an external cohort showed a graded relationship between disease activity scores and survival (p<0.01). CONCLUSION: We present a novel instrument to quantify the burden of disease activity in SSc. We have employed a rigorous consensus-based process in combination with data-driven methods, to develop an instrument that has face, content and criterion validity. Further work is required to fully validate and confirm the construct and discriminative validity of the SCTC-AI.

Efficacy and safety of treat-to-target strategy studies in rheumatic diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The concept of treat-to-target (T2T), a treatment strategy in which treatment is directed to reach and maintain a defined goal such as remission or low disease activity (LDA), has been explored for several diseases including rheumatic diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, a comprehensive review of T2T in all rheumatic diseases has not recently been undertaken. OBJECTIVE: To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety of a T2T strategy in the management of adult patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases. METHODS: PUBMED, EMBASE and CINAHL were searched from January 1990 to December 2023 using key words related to a T2T strategy and rheumatic diseases; T2T strategy clinical trials or observational studies were included. Clinical, physical function and radiologic outcomes, cost-effectiveness, and adverse events (AEs) of the T2T strategies were investigated and a random-effect meta-analysis was conducted for the most commonly used outcomes in RA studies. RESULTS: The search identified 7896 studies, of which 66 fit inclusion criteria, including 50 in RA, 3 in psoriatic arthritis (PsA), 1 in spondyloarthritis (SpA) and 12 in gout. For the studies comparing a T2T strategy with usual care (UC) in RA, 83.3% (20/24) showed a T2T strategy could achieve significantly better clinical outcomes, and the meta-analysis showed that patients treated with a T2T strategy were more likely to be in remission (pooled RR: 1.68 (1.47-1.92), p<0.001] and achieve DAS-28 response (pooled standardised mean difference (SMD): 0.47 (0.26-0.69), P<0.001] at 1 year than patients treated with UC. Sensitivity analyses showed that a T2T strategy with a predefined treatment protocol had better clinical efficacy than that without protocol. In terms of improving physical function and health-related quality of life (HRQoL), 11/19 (57.9%) studies found a T2T strategy was significantly more likely to achieve these than UC, with the meta-analysis for the mean change of HAQ score supporting this conclusion (pooled SMD: 1.48 (0.46-2.51), p=0.004). Five out of 9 studies (55.6%) demonstrated greater benefit regarding radiographic progression from a T2T strategy. In terms of cost-effectiveness and AEs, 2/2 studies found a T2T strategy was more cost-effective than UC and 8/8 studies showed no tendency for AEs to occur more often with a T2T strategy. For the studies in PsA and SpA, a T2T strategy was also demonstrated to be more effective than UC in clinical and functional benefits, but not in radiologic outcomes. All gout studies showed that sUA level could be controlled more effectively with a T2T strategy, and 2 studies revealed that the T2T strategy could inhibit erosion development or crystal deposition. CONCLUSIONS: For patients with active RA, a T2T strategy has been shown in mulitple studies to increase the likelihood of achieving clinical response and improving HRQoL without increasing economic costs and AEs. Limited studies have shown clinical and functional benefits from T2T strategies in active PsA and SpA. A T2T strategy has also been found to improve clinical and radiologic outcomes in gout. T2T trials in other rheumatic diseases are lacking.

Association of systemic lupus erythematosus standard of care immunosuppressants with glucocorticoid use and disease outcomes: a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study examines the association of standard-of-care systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) medications with key outcomes such as low disease activity attainment, flares, damage accrual, and steroid-sparing, for which there is current paucity of data. METHODS: The Asia Pacific Lupus Collaboration (APLC) prospectively collects data across numerous sites regarding demographic and disease characteristics, medication use, and lupus outcomes. Using propensity score methods and panel logistic regression models, we determined the association between lupus medications and outcomes. RESULTS: Among 1707 patients followed over 12,689 visits for a median of 2.19 years, 1332 (78.03%) patients achieved the Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS), 976 (57.18%) experienced flares, and on most visits patients were taking an anti-malarial (69.86%) or immunosuppressive drug (76.37%). Prednisolone, hydroxychloroquine and azathioprine were utilised with similar frequency across all organ domains; methotrexate for musculoskeletal activity. There were differences in medication utilisation between countries, with hydroxychloroquine less frequently, and calcineurin inhibitors more frequently, used in Japan. More patients taking leflunomide, methotrexate, chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine, azathioprine, and mycophenolate mofetil/mycophenolic acid were taking ≤ 7.5 mg/day of prednisolone (compared to > 7.5 mg/day) suggesting a steroid-sparing effect. Patients taking tacrolimus were more likely (Odds Ratio [95% Confidence Interval] 13.58 [2.23-82.78], p = 0.005) to attain LLDAS. Patients taking azathioprine (OR 0.67 [0.53-0.86], p = 0.001) and methotrexate (OR 0.68 [0.47-0.98], p = 0.038) were less likely to attain LLDAS. Patients taking mycophenolate mofetil were less likely to experience a flare (OR 0.79 [0.64-0.97], p = 0.025). None of the drugs was associated with a reduction in damage accrual. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests a steroid-sparing benefit for most commonly used standard of care immunosuppressants used in SLE treatment, some of which were associated with an increased likelihood of attaining LLDAS, or reduced incidence of flares. It also highlights the unmet need for effective treatments in lupus.

Outcomes of Patients With Diffuse Systemic Sclerosis Eligible for Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation Treated With Conventional Therapy.

OBJECTIVE: The study objective was to determine the event-free survival (EFS) of Australian patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) who met eligibility criteria for autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) in previously published randomized controlled trials but were not treated with ASCT. METHODS: Patients who met inclusion criteria for the Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation International Scleroderma (ASTIS) and Scleroderma: Cyclophosphamide Or Transplantation (SCOT) trials were identified from the multicenter Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS). EFS (survival without cardiac, renal, or pulmonary failure or death) at 4 years was assessed. ASCS patients who had already undergone transplantation were excluded from analysis. RESULTS: Of the 492 patients with dcSSc in the ASCS, 56 met ASTIS inclusion criteria for ASCT (56 of 492 [11.4%]) and 30 met SCOT inclusion criteria (30 of 492 [6.1%]). An additional 11 patients met ASTIS or SCOT inclusion criteria, but they were excluded due to severe organ manifestations. EFS at 4 years in ASCS patients meeting ASTIS inclusion criteria was 83.3% and in ASCS patients meeting SCOT inclusion criteria was 81.2%. EFS at 4 years in ASCS patients who met ASTIS and SCOT inclusion but also exclusion criteria was 46.7% and 45.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION: ASCS patients meeting ASTIS and/or SCOT inclusion criteria who were not treated with ASCT have similar EFS at 4 years as patients receiving ASCT and better EFS than those receiving cyclophosphamide in the ASTIS and SCOT trials. This may reflect confounders unable to be controlled for, including survivor bias, but may also reflect improved standard of care for dcSSc over time.

Prognostic and functional importance of both overt and subclinical left ventricular systolic dysfunction in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the frequency and clinical implications of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated left ventricular function (LV) impairment. METHODS: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc with ≥1 echocardiographic LVEF measurement were included. Overt LV dysfunction was indicated by reduced LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and subclinical LV dysfunction was measured using impaired LV global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS>-16 %). Those with secondary causes of LV dysfunction (myocardial ischaemia, valvulopathy and pulmonary arterial hypertension) were excluded. Chi-squared tests, two-sample t-tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used for between-group comparison as appropriate. Generalised estimating equations(GEE) were used to model longitudinal data. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analyses. RESULTS: Of 1141 participants with no co-morbid cardiac disease, 2.4 % ever recorded a LVEF<50 %, while only 0.6 % ever recorded a LVEF≤40 %. LV-GLS data were available for 90 % of participants at one centre (n = 218). Impaired LV-GLS was detected in 21 % despite LVEF≥50 %. Those with a LVEF<50 % were more frequently male (p = 0.01) with dcSSc (p < 0.01), higher inflammatory markers (p < 0.02) and skeletal muscle disease (p < 0.05). In multivariable analyses, recording a LVEF<50 % was associated with increased mortality (HR2.3, 95 %CI1.0-4.8, p = 0.04). Impaired LV-GLS was also associated with poorer survival in univariable analyses (HR3.4, 95 %CI1.0-11.8, p = 0.05). Those with a LVEF<50 % more frequently recorded WHO Class III/IV dyspnoea (OR3.5, 95 %CI1.6-7.7, p < 0.01), with shorter six-minute walk distance (p = 0.01), higher Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index scores (p < 0.01) and lower Short Form-36 Physical Component Summary scores (p = 0.02). Increased dyspnoea (WHO Class III/IV dyspnoea; OR3.6, 95 %CI1.4-9.2, p < 0.01) was also seen in those with impaired LV-GLS. CONCLUSIONS: Both overt and subclinical SSc-associated LV dysfunction are associated with worse survival and impaired physical function. The frequency of abnormal LV-GLS in those with consistently normal LVEF suggests an under-appreciated burden of subtle LV systolic dysfunction in SSc that has a significant impact on patient symptomatology.

Diagnosing and characterizing inflammatory myopathies at an Australian tertiary public hospital: Resource utilization and direct healthcare costs.

AIM: To determine the direct health service costs and resource utilization associated with diagnosing and characterizing idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs), and to assess for limitations and diagnostic delay in current practice. METHODS: A retrospective, single-center cohort analysis of all patients diagnosed with IIMs between January 2012 and December 2021 in a large tertiary public hospital was conducted. Demographics, resource utilization and costs associated with diagnosing IIM and characterizing disease manifestations were identified using the hospital's electronic medical record and Health Intelligence Unit, and the Medicare Benefits Schedule. RESULTS: Thirty-eight IIM patients were identified. IIM subtypes included dermatomyositis (34.2%), inclusion body myositis (18.4%), immune-mediated necrotizing myopathy (18.4%), polymyositis (15.8%), and anti-synthetase syndrome (13.2%). The median time from symptom onset to diagnosis was 212 days (IQR: 118-722), while the median time from hospital presentation to diagnosis was 30 days (8-120). Seventy-six percent of patients required emergent hospitalization during their diagnosis, with a median length of stay of 8 days (4-15). The average total cost of diagnosing IIM was $15 618 AUD (STD: 11331) per patient. Fifty percent of patients underwent both MRI and EMG to identify affected muscles, 10% underwent both pan-CT and PET-CT for malignancy detection, and 5% underwent both open surgical and percutaneous muscle biopsies. Autoimmune serology was unnecessarily repeated in 37% of patients. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of IIMs requires substantial and costly resource use; however, our study has identified potential limitations in current practice and highlighted the need for streamlined diagnostic algorithms to improve patient outcomes and reduce healthcare-related economic burden.

Quantifying the Need for Specialist Palliative Care Management in Patients With Systemic Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: The importance of early integration of palliative care in the management of complex multisystem diseases has been recognized. In this study, we aimed to quantify the need for specialist palliative care in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: Using data from 875 patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study, we defined the need for palliative care as a high symptom burden at two or more consecutive study visits, at ≥50% of overall study visits, or at the study visit immediately before death. Symptoms of interest included breathlessness, fatigue, pain, depression, anxiety, constipation, and diarrhea. Logistic regression analyses evaluated the association between individual symptoms and SSc manifestations. Linear regression analysis evaluated the relationship between palliative care needs and quality of life (QoL) and function. RESULTS: Almost three-quarters of patients (72.69%) met the threshold for specialist palliative care needs. Severe fatigue (54.17%) was most common, followed by breathlessness (23.66%) and severe constipation (21.14%). Concurrent severe symptoms were frequently observed. Severe breathlessness (coefficient [coef] -7.95, P < 0.01) and pain (coef -7.70, P < 0.01) were associated with the largest reductions in physical QoL. Severe mood symptoms were associated with the greatest reduction in mental QoL (coef -12.91, P < 0.01). Severe pain (coef 0.56, P < 0.01), breathlessness (coef 0.49, P < 0.01), and mood symptoms (coef 0.40, P < 0.01) had a significant impact on function. CONCLUSION: SSc is frequently associated with multiple severe symptoms that may be amenable to palliative care intervention. Given the strong association between symptom burden and impaired QoL targeted, effective symptom management in parallel with standard-of-care treatments may improve overall patient outcomes.

Comparison of Attainment and Protective Effects of Lupus Low Disease Activity State In Patients With Newly Diagnosed Versus Established Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) attainment is associated with favorable outcomes in patients with recent onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Data from a 13-country longitudinal SLE cohort were collected prospectively between 2013 and 2020. An inception cohort was defined based on disease duration < 1 year at enrollment. Patient characteristics between inception and noninception cohorts were compared. Survival analyses were performed to examine the association between LLDAS attainment and damage accrual and flare. RESULTS: Of the total 4106 patients, 680 (16.6%) were recruited within 1 year of SLE diagnosis (inception cohort). Compared to the noninception cohort, inception cohort patients were significantly younger, had higher disease activity, and used more glucocorticoids, but had less organ damage at enrollment. Significantly fewer inception cohort patients were in LLDAS at enrollment than the noninception cohort (29.6% vs 52.3%, P < 0.001), but three-quarters of both groups achieved LLDAS at least once during follow-up. Limiting analysis only to patients not in LLDAS at enrollment, inception cohort patients were 60% more likely to attain LLDAS (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% CI 1.16-1.61, P < 0.001) than noninception cohort patients and attained LLDAS significantly faster. LLDAS attainment was significantly protective against flare in both the inception and noninception cohorts. A total of 88 (13.6%) inception cohort patients accrued organ damage during a median 2.2 years of follow-up. CONCLUSION: LLDAS attainment is protective from flare in recent onset SLE. Significant protection from damage accrual was not observed because of low rates of damage accrual in the first years after SLE diagnosis. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03138941).

Evaluation of the European Society of Cardiology Risk Assessment Score in Incident Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) may be stratified as low, intermediate, or high risk of 1-year mortality. In 2022, the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) updated and simplified its risk stratification tool, based on three variables: World Health Organization functional class, serum N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide and six-minute walk distance, applied at follow-up visits, intended to guide therapy over time. METHODS: We applied the 2022 ESC risk assessment tool at baseline and follow-up (within 2 years) to a multinational incident cohort of systemic sclerosis-associated PAH (SSc-PAH). Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox hazards regression, and accelerated failure time models were used to evaluate survival by risk score. RESULTS: At baseline (n = 260), the majority of SSc-PAH (72.2%) were graded as intermediate risk of death according to the 2022 tool. At follow-up, according to 2022 tool, half (55.5%) of the cohort were classified as low or intermediate-low risk. The 2022 risk model at follow-up was able to differentiate survival between risk strata. All three individual parameters (World Health Organization functional class, N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide, six-minute walk distance) were significantly associated with mortality at baseline and/or follow-up. CONCLUSION: The 2022 ESC risk assessment strategy applied at baseline and follow-up predicts survival in SSc-PAH. Treatment decisions for SSc-PAH should include risk assessments, aiming to achieve low-risk status according to the 2022 ESC guidelines.

Predictors and prognosis of pulmonary hypertension complicating interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify those with concurrent pulmonary hypertension (PH) and interstitial lung disease (ILD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and determine their disease severity, therapeutic approach, and survival. METHODS: Consecutive SSc patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) who were diagnosed on right heart catherisation with pulmonary hypertension were included. Logistic regression was used to determine the associations of ILD with PH hemodynamic parameters and therapeutic approach. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to estimate survival. RESULTS: Of 1,883 SSc patients, 164 (8.7%) developed incident PH over a median follow up of 4.3 (1.7-7.9) years. Of these, 43.9% had concurrent ILD at PH diagnosis (PH-ILD) and 56.1% had Group 1 PAH. Extensive ILD was present at PH diagnosis in 40.3%. Despite these distinct PH cohorts, a similar frequency of each PH cohort was treated with vasodilatory therapy at PH diagnosis, regardless of the presence or severity of ILD. The majority (87.5%) of those with extensive ILD and PH received upfront vasodilatory therapy at PH diagnosis with no difference in its tolerability or therapy cessation compared with Group 1 PAH. Although vasodilator therapy was not associated with a survival advantage in those with extensive ILD, its use was associated with an improvement in symptoms, physical function, and quality of life (QoL). CONCLUSION: Despite vasodilator therapy, survival in SSc-PH is poor, with the presence of concurrent ILD associated with worse survival. Although vasodilator therapy commenced at PH diagnosis does not portray an improved survival in PH with extensive ILD, it appears well tolerated and may improve symptoms, physical function, and QoL.

Frequency and implications of malnutrition in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the frequency and impact of malnutrition in systemic sclerosis (SSc), as diagnosed by the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria, based on weight loss, body mass index (BMI) and muscle atrophy. METHODS: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc with ≥1 concurrent weight and height measurement were included. Chi-squared tests, two-sample t-tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used for between-group comparison as appropriate. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to establish the determinants of malnutrition diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analyses, based on malnutrition diagnosis, and individual GLIM criteria (% weight loss, BMI thresholds and presence of muscle atrophy). RESULTS: In this study of 1903 participants, 43% were diagnosed with malnutrition according to GLIM criteria, of whom 33% had severe malnutrition. Participants diagnosed with malnutrition were older, and more likely to have dcSSc, higher SSc severity scores and RNA polymerase-3 positivity. Gastrointestinal (GI) involvement, multimorbidity, cardiopulmonary disease, raised inflammatory markers, hypoalbuminaemia and anaemia were more common in malnourished participants (p< 0.01). Multimorbidity (OR1.6, 95%CI1.2-2.0, p< 0.01), pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR2.1, 95%CI1.4-2.0, p< 0.01) and upper GI symptoms (OR1.6, 95%CI1.3-2.0, p< 0.01) were all associated with malnutrition.Health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) and physical function were poorer in malnourished participants. Survival was worse in those with malnutrition after adjusting for age, sex and dcSSc (HR 1.4, 95%CI1.1-1.7, p< 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Malnutrition is common in SSc and confers poorer survival, HRQoL and physical function.

Inflammatory Arthritis in Systemic Sclerosis: Its Epidemiology, Associations, and Morbidity.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology, associations, and impact of inflammatory arthritis (IA) in systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: Patients with SSc prospectively enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were included. IA was defined clinically as the presence of synovitis on examination. Logistic regression was used to determine the associations of IA with SSc manifestations and serological parameters. Patient-reported outcome measures were used to capture physical function and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). RESULTS: IA was a common SSc manifestation affecting one-third (33.3%) of patients over a median follow-up of 4.3 (1.7-8.4) years. Associations of IA included diffuse SSc (odds ratio [OR] 1.33, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.01-1.74, P = 0.042), concurrent musculoskeletal manifestations (joint contractures and tendon friction rubs, OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.34-2.15, P < 0.001); myositis (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.39-3.20, P < 0.001), and sicca symptoms (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.14-2.16, P = 0.006), whereas IA was negatively associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.35-0.78, P = 0.002). Neither the presence of rheumatoid factor nor U1 small nuclear RNP were associated with IA (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.88-1.44, P = 0.331, OR 1.46, 95% CI 0.89-2.39, P = 0.129 respectively). Positive anticyclic citrullinated protein antibodies, although at low frequency, were more common in those with IA compared with those without IA (7.5% vs 1.5%, P < 0.001). IA was associated with significantly lower HRQoL score (P < 0.001) and more physical disability than in those without IA (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: IA is a common disease manifestation that is more frquently seen in diffuse disease. IA is associated with poor HRQoL and physical disability. Further research is needed into the effective management of IA in SSc.

Risk of flare and damage accrual after tapering glucocorticoids in modified serologically active clinically quiescent patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a multinational observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the risk of flare and damage accrual after tapering glucocorticoids (GCs) in modified serologically active clinically quiescent (mSACQ) patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Data from a 12-country longitudinal SLE cohort, collected prospectively between 2013 and 2020, were analysed. SLE patients with mSACQ defined as the state with serological activity (increased anti-dsDNA and/or hypocomplementemia) but without clinical activity, treated with ≤7.5 mg/day of prednisolone-equivalent GCs and not-considering duration, were studied. The risk of subsequent flare or damage accrual per 1 mg decrease of prednisolone was assessed using Cox proportional hazard models while adjusting for confounders. Observation periods were 2 years and censored if each event occurred. RESULTS: Data from 1850 mSACQ patients were analysed: 742, 271 and 180 patients experienced overall flare, severe flare and damage accrual, respectively. Tapering GCs by 1 mg/day of prednisolone was not associated with increased risk of overall or severe flare: adjusted HRs 1.02 (95% CI, 0.99 to 1.05) and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.96 to 1.004), respectively. Antimalarial use was associated with decreased flare risk. Tapering GCs was associated with decreased risk of damage accrual (adjusted HR 0.96, 95% CI, 0.93 to 0.99) in the patients whose initial prednisolone dosages were >5 mg/day. CONCLUSIONS: In mSACQ patients, tapering GCs was not associated with increased flare risk. Antimalarial use was associated with decreased flare risk. Tapering GCs protected mSACQ patients treated with >5 mg/day of prednisolone against damage accrual. These findings suggest that cautious GC tapering is feasible and can reduce GC use in mSACQ patients.

Multiple serum biomarkers associate with mortality and interstitial lung disease progression in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognostic utility of 28 serum biomarkers in systemic sclerosis (SSc), SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) and clinically relevant disease subgroups. METHODS: Participants with sera, high-resolution computed tomography, and lung function within 12 months of baseline were identified from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study. Baseline was the time of serum collection. 27 of the prespecified 28 serum biomarkers were analysed and biomarker associations with mortality and ILD progression were investigated in univariable and multivariable analyses, including within disease subgroups and combined with established risk factors for poorer prognosis in SSc. RESULTS: 407 participants were identified, 252 (61.9%) with SSc-ILD. The median follow up after biomarker measurement was 6.31 (3.11-9.22) years. 16 biomarkers were associated with increased mortality. High levels of VCAM-1 were most strongly associated with mortality (HR 3.55; 95%CI 2.37-5.33; p< 0.001). Five additional biomarkers had a HR > 2: SP-D (2.28, 1.57-3.31; p< 0.001), E-selectin (2.19; 1.53-3.14; p< 0.001), IL-6 (2.15 1.50-3.09; p< 0.001), MMP3 (1.42-2.95; p< 0.001) and ET-1 (2.03, 1.40-2.92; p< 0.001). 11 biomarkers were independently associated with mortality following adjustment for sex, age and baseline forced vital capacity (FVC%predicted). Three biomarkers were associated with ILD progression at one year follow up: CXCL4 (OR 2.67, 1.46-4.88; p= 0.001), MMP-1 (2.56, 1.43-4.59; p= 0.002) and ET-1 (2.18, 1.24-3.83; p= 0.007). CONCLUSION: Multiple biomarkers, especially VCAM-1, E-Selectin, SP-D and CXCL4, provide prognostic utility beyond that of established risk factors for patients with SSc.

Proximal weakness and creatine kinase elevation in systemic sclerosis: Clinical correlates, prognosis and functional implications.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the frequency, clinical correlates and implications of clinical evidence of muscle disease in systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants with ≥1 creatine kinase (CK) and proximal power assessment were subdivided according to presence of proximal weakness (PW: proximal muscle power<5/5) and CK elevation(≥140IU/L). Participants were assigned to one of four groups: concurrent PW&CK elevation, PW alone, CK elevation alone or neither. Between-group comparisons were made with chi-squared, ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis tests. Survival analysis was performed using time-varying-covariate Cox regression modelling. Longitudinal data were modelled using multinomial logistic and linear regression. RESULTS: Of 1786 participants, 4 % had concurrent PW&CK elevation, 15 % PW alone, 24 % CK elevation and 57 % neither. Participants with PW&CK elevation displayed a severe, inflammatory SSc phenotype, with more frequent dcSSc(p < 0.01), tendon friction rubs(p < 0.01), synovitis(p < 0.01) and digital ulceration(p = 0.03). Multimorbidity(p < 0.01) and cardiopulmonary disease, including ischaemic heart disease(p < 0.01) and pulmonary arterial hypertension(p < 0.01), were most common in those with PW, with and without CK elevation. Men with anti-Scl70 positivity most frequently had CK elevation alone, without other significant clinical differences. Multivariable modelling demonstrated 3.6-fold increased mortality in those with PW&CK elevation (95 %CI 1.9-6.6, p < 0.01) and 2.1-fold increased mortality in PW alone (95 %CI 1.4-3.0, p < 0.01) compared to those without PW or CK elevation. CK elevation alone conferred better survival (HR 0.7, 95 %CI 0.4-1.1, p = 0.09) compared to those with no PW or CK elevation. PW regardless of CK elevation was associated with impaired physical function, with reduced six-minute-walk-distance (p < 0.01), higher HAQ-DI scores (p < 0.01) and increased patient-reported dyspnoea (p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: Clinical features of myopathy are highly prevalent in SSc, affecting almost half of our study cohort. Detection of PW and elevated CK alone, even without imaging or histopathological identification of SSc-myopathy, identified important clinical associations and are associated with poorer function and overall prognosis.

OMERACT 2023 Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Special Interest Group: Winnowing and Binning Preliminary Candidate Domains for the Core Outcome Set.

BACKGROUND: The Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) Working Group held a Special Interest Group (SIG) at the OMERACT 2023 conference in Colorado Springs where SLE collaborators reviewed domain sub-themes generated through qualitative research and literature review. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the SIG and the subsequent meetings of the SLE Working Group was to begin the winnowing and binning of candidate domain sub-themes into a preliminary list of candidate domains that will proceed to the consensus Delphi exercise for the SLE COS. METHODS: Four breakout groups at the SLE SIG in Colorado Springs winnowed and binned 132 domain sub-themes into candidate domains, which was continued with a series of virtual meetings by an advisory group of SLE patient research partners (PRPs), members of the OMERACT SLE Working Group Steering Committee, and other collaborators. RESULTS: The 132 domain sub-themes were reduced to a preliminary list of 20 candidate domains based on their clinical and research relevance for clinical trials and research studies. CONCLUSION: A meaningful and substantial winnowing and binning of candidate domains for the SLE COS was achieved resulting in a preliminary list of 20 candidate domains.

Contribution of Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction to Survival and Breathlessness in Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effect of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD), and to investigate SSc-specific associations and clinical correlates of LVDD. METHODS: There were 102 Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants with definite SSc and radiographic ILD included. Diastolic function was classified as normal, indeterminate, or abnormal according to 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging guidelines for assessment of LV diastolic function. Associations between clinical features and patient- and physician-reported dyspnea were evaluated using logistic regression. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and Cox regression modeling. RESULTS: LVDD was identified in 26% of participants, whereas 19% had indeterminate and 55% had normal diastolic function. Those with ILD and LVDD had increased mortality (hazard ratio 2.4, 95% CI 1.0-5.7; P = 0.05). After adjusting for age and sex, those with ILD and LVDD were more likely to have severe dyspnea on the Borg Dyspnoea Scale (odds ratio [OR] 2.6, 95% CI 1.0-6.6; P = 0.05) and numerically more likely to record World Health Organization Function Class II or higher dyspnea (OR 4.2, 95% CI 0.9-20.0; P = 0.08). Older age (95% CI 1.0-6.4; P = 0.05), hypertension (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.8-13.8; P < 0.01), and ischemic heart disease (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.5-15.7; P < 0.01) were all associated with LVDD, as was proximal muscle atrophy (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.9-13.6; P < 0.01) and multimorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ≥ 4, OR 3.0, 95% CI 1.1-8.7; P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: LVDD in SSc-ILD is more strongly associated with traditional LVDD risk factors than SSc-specific factors. LVDD is associated with worse dyspnea and survival in those with SSc-ILD.

SMART-SLE: serology monitoring and repeat testing in systemic lupus erythematosus-an analysis of anti-double-stranded DNA monitoring.

OBJECTIVE: Disease activity monitoring in SLE includes serial measurement of anti-double stranded-DNA (dsDNA) antibodies, but in patients who are persistently anti-dsDNA positive, the utility of repeated measurement is unclear. We investigated the usefulness of serial anti-dsDNA testing in predicting flare in SLE patients who are persistently anti-dsDNA positive. METHODS: Data were analysed from patients in a multinational longitudinal cohort with known anti-dsDNA results from 2013 to 2021. Patients were categorized based on their anti-dsDNA results as persistently negative, fluctuating or persistently positive. Cox regression models were used to examine longitudinal associations of anti-dsDNA results with flare. RESULTS: Data from 37 582 visits of 3484 patients were analysed. Of the patients 1029 (29.5%) had persistently positive anti-dsDNA and 1195 (34.3%) had fluctuating results. Anti-dsDNA expressed as a ratio to the normal cut-off was associated with the risk of subsequent flare, including in the persistently positive cohort (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.56; 95% CI: 1.30, 1.87; P < 0.001) and fluctuating cohort (adjusted HR 1.46; 95% CI: 1.28, 1.66), both for a ratio >3. Both increases and decreases in anti-dsDNA more than 2-fold compared with the previous visit were associated with increased risk of flare in the fluctuating cohort (adjusted HR 1.33; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.65; P = 0.008) and the persistently positive cohort (adjusted HR 1.36; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.71; P = 0.009). CONCLUSION: Absolute value and change in anti-dsDNA titres predict flares, including in persistently anti-dsDNA positive patients. This indicates that repeat monitoring of dsDNA has value in routine testing.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Health Care Access and Diagnosis of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Among Patients With Systemic Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Regular clinical assessment for complications of systemic sclerosis (SSc) such as pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is essential for early institution of therapy and improved outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic-related restrictions on health care access of patients with SSc, including screening for PAH. METHODS: South Australian and Victorian patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were surveyed about their perceptions of the impact of the pandemic on mental well-being, access to medications, investigations, and management of SSc. Frequency of annual rheumatology assessments, pulmonary function tests (PFT), and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) to screen for PAH were compared with rates from before the pandemic. RESULTS: A total of 312 of 810 patients with SSc responded (38.5% response); 273 were female (87.5%), the median age was 64.7 years, 77.2% had limited disease, the median illness duration was 15.6 years, 15.7% were immunosuppressed, 32.1% had interstitial lung disease, and 6.4% had PAH. A total of 65.7% of consultations were by telehealth, of which 81.2% were by telephone. Compared with respondents in South Australia (n = 109), Victorian respondents (n = 203) experiencing prolonged lockdown, reported reduced access to their rheumatologist (49.3% vs 27.9%; P = 0.004), greater use of consultation by video (17.3% vs 2.1%; P = 0.008), greater health care disruption (49.0% vs 23.2%; P < 0.001), and worse mental health (P = 0.002). Respondents reported reduced access to PFT and TTE (31.7% and 22.5%, respectively). Annual visits, PFT, TTE, and new diagnoses of PAH were reduced in 2020 to 2022 compared with 2011 to 2019. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic-related disruption to health care for patients with SSc was associated with worse mental health and reduced screening and diagnosis of PAH, which may impact long-term outcomes.