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Importance: Given the high number of opioid overdose deaths in the US and the complex epidemiology of opioid use disorder (OUD), systems models can serve as a tool to identify opportunities for public health interventions. Objective: To estimate the projected 3-year association between public health interventions and opioid overdose-related outcomes among persons with OUD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This decision analytical model used a simulation model of the estimated US population aged 12 years and older with OUD that was developed and analyzed between January 2019 and December 2023. The model was parameterized and calibrated using 2019 to 2020 data and used to estimate the relative change in outcomes associated with simulated public health interventions implemented between 2021 and 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Projected OUD and medications for OUD (MOUD) prevalence in 2023 and number of nonfatal and fatal opioid-involved overdoses among persons with OUD between 2021 and 2023. Results: In a baseline scenario assuming parameters calibrated using 2019 to 2020 data remained constant, the model projected more than 16 million persons with OUD not receiving MOUD treatment and nearly 1.7 million persons receiving MOUD treatment in 2023. Additionally, the model projected over 5 million nonfatal and over 145â¯000 fatal opioid-involved overdoses among persons with OUD between 2021 and 2023. When simulating combinations of interventions that involved reducing overdose rates by 50%, the model projected decreases of up to 35.2% in nonfatal and 36.6% in fatal opioid-involved overdoses among persons with OUD. Interventions specific to persons with OUD not currently receiving MOUD treatment demonstrated the greatest reduction in numbers of nonfatal and fatal overdoses. Combinations of interventions that increased MOUD initiation and decreased OUD recurrence were projected to reduce OUD prevalence by up to 23.4%, increase MOUD prevalence by up to 137.1%, and reduce nonfatal and fatal opioid-involved overdoses among persons with OUD by 6.7% and 3.5%, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In this decision analytical model study of persons with OUD, findings suggested that expansion of evidence-based interventions that directly reduce the risk of overdose fatality among persons with OUD, such as through harm reduction efforts, could engender the highest reductions in fatal overdoses in the short-term. Interventions aimed at increasing MOUD initiation and retention of persons in treatment projected considerable improvement in MOUD and OUD prevalence but could require a longer time horizon for substantial reductions in opioid-involved overdoses.
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Overdose de Drogas , Overdose de Opiáceos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides , Humanos , Overdose de Opiáceos/epidemiologia , Saúde Pública , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Stigma associated with substance use and addiction is a major barrier to overdose prevention. Although stigma reduction is a key goal of federal strategies to prevent overdose, there is limited data to assess progress made in reducing use of stigmatizing language about addiction. METHODS: Using language guidelines published by the federal National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), we examined trends in use of stigmatizing terms about addiction across four popular public communication modalities: news articles, blogs, Twitter, and Reddit. We calculate percent changes in the rates of articles/posts using stigmatizing terms over a five-year period (2017-2021) by fitting a linear trendline and assess statistically significant trends using the Mann-Kendall test. RESULTS: The rate of articles containing stigmatizing language decreased over the past five years for news articles (-68.2 %, p < 0.001) and blogs (-33.6 %, p < 0.001). Among social media platforms, the rate of posts using stigmatizing language increased (Twitter [43.5 %, p = 0.01]) or remained stable (Reddit [3.1 %, p = 0.29]). In absolute terms, news articles had the highest rate of articles containing stigmatizing terms over the five-year period (324.9 articles per million) compared to 132.3, 18.3, and 138.6 posts per million for blogs, Twitter, and Reddit, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Use of stigmatizing language about addiction appears to have decreased across more traditional, longer-format communication modalities such as news articles. Additional work is needed to reduce use of stigmatizing language on social media.
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Comportamento Aditivo , Overdose de Drogas , Mídias Sociais , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Humanos , Idioma , Estigma Social , ComunicaçãoRESUMO
CONTEXT: Public health and public safety collaborations can strengthen and improve efforts to address the worsening drug overdose crisis. PROGRAM: The Overdose Response Strategy is addressing this need through a national public health and public safety program designed to foster the cross-sector sharing of timely data, pertinent intelligence, and evidence-based and innovative strategies to prevent and respond to drug overdose. IMPLEMENTATION: Since 2015, the Overdose Response Strategy has been implemented by state-based public health and public safety teams who work together to prevent and respond to drug overdoses within and across sectors, states, and territories. The public health and public safety teams share data systems to inform rapid and effective community overdose prevention efforts; support immediate, evidence-based response efforts that can directly reduce overdose deaths; design and use promising strategies at the intersection of public health and public safety; and use effective and efficient primary prevention strategies that can reduce substance use and overdose long term. Implementation of the Overdose Response Strategy aligns with the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Strategic Partnering Framework. EVALUATION: The evaluation of the Overdose Response Strategy, which is currently underway, is based on 2 evaluation approaches: Collective Impact and Organizational Network Analysis. These approaches provide a way to look at the strength of the relationship between public health and public safety and the way the relationship is leveraged to advance program goals and objectives. DISCUSSION: The Overdose Response Strategy serves as a strategic partnership model that can potentially be applied to other issues, such as gun violence, that may benefit from public health and public safety collaboration.
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Overdose de Drogas , Saúde Pública , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , HumanosRESUMO
The Martinsburg Initiative (TMI) is a community-based model developed in Martinsburg, West Virginia, that implements a comprehensive approach to adverse childhood experiences and substance use prevention and mitigation by leveraging partnerships in public health and health care, public safety, and education. TMI receives coordinated federal funding and technical assistance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Washington-Baltimore High Intensity Drug Trafficking Agency, and the National Association of County and City Health Officials to integrate evidence-based and promising strategies. It advances such strategies by translating them for implementation within the community, evaluating the reach and potential impact of the model, and by engaging key stakeholders. Preliminary results describing program reach and short-term outcomes collected for a subset of the interventions during implementation are presented. The model uses touchpoints across multiple community sectors in the city of Martinsburg to break the cycle of trauma and substance use across the life span.
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Saúde Pública , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Humanos , Instituições Acadêmicas , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/prevenção & controle , Estados UnidosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence suggests the composition of local illicit drug markets varies over time and the availability and relative lethality of illicit drugs may contribute to temporal trends in overdose mortality. Law enforcement drug seizures represent a unique opportunity to sample the makeup of local drug markets. Prior research has associated shifts in the types of drugs seized and trends in unintentional drug overdose mortality. The present report builds on this work by demonstrating a novel methodology, the Street-Drug Lethality Index, which may serve as a low-lag predictor of unintentional overdose deaths. METHODS: Data included administrative records of law enforcement drug seizures and unintentional drug overdose deaths in Ohio from 2009 -to- 2018. Death records and lab results from drug seizures occurring during the calendar year 2017 were transformed via the described procedure to create lethality indices for individual drugs. These indices were then summed annually to create the independent variable for a linear regression model predicting unintentional overdose deaths for all years during the study period. RESULTS: The regression model explained 93 % of the year-to-year variance in unintentional overdose fatalities (slope = 0.009480; CI = 0.007369 to 0.011590; t10 = 10.355942; P = 0.000007; Y = 11.808982 + 0.009480X, r2 = 0.931). CONCLUSION: These findings contribute to a growing body of evidence that changes in the composition of the drug supply may predict trends in unintentional overdose mortality. The proposed methodology might inform future overdose prevention and response efforts as well as research.
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Overdose de Drogas/diagnóstico , Overdose de Drogas/mortalidade , Drogas Ilícitas/efeitos adversos , Aplicação da Lei/métodos , Vigilância da População/métodos , Adulto , Cromatografia Gasosa/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Ohio/epidemiologia , Valor Preditivo dos TestesAssuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/intoxicação , Overdose de Drogas/mortalidade , Epidemia de Opioides/tendências , Medicamentos Sintéticos/intoxicação , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , Fentanila/intoxicação , Humanos , Epidemia de Opioides/mortalidade , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/terapia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Rates of fatal overdose (OD) from synthetic opioids rose nearly 60 % from 2016 to 2018. 911 Good Samaritan Laws (GSLs) are an evidenced-based strategy for preventing OD fatality. This study describes patrol officers' knowledge of their state's GSL, experience with OD response, and their perspectives on strategies to prevent and respond to opioid OD. METHODS: An electronic survey assessed officers' knowledge of state GSLs and experiences responding to OD. Descriptive statistics and hierarchical linear modeling were generated to examine differences in knowledge, preparedness, and endorsement of OD response efforts by experience with OD response. RESULTS: 2,829 officers responded to the survey. Among those who had responded to an OD call in the past six months (n = 1,946), 37 % reported administering naloxone on scene and 36 % reported making an arrest. Most (91 %) correctly reported whether their state had a GSL in effect. Only 26 % correctly reported whether that law provides limited immunity from arrest. Fifteen percent of officers who had responded to an OD work in departments that do not carry naloxone. Compared with officers who had not responded to any OD calls, those who reported responding OD calls at least monthly and at least weekly, were significantly less likely to endorse OD response efforts. CONCLUSION: Officers who respond to OD calls are generally receiving training and naloxone supplies to respond, but knowledge gaps and additional training needs persist. Additional training and strategies to relieve compassion fatigue among those who have more experience with OD response efforts may be indicated.
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Fadiga de Compaixão/psicologia , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Overdose de Opiáceos/prevenção & controle , Overdose de Opiáceos/psicologia , Polícia/psicologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Fadiga de Compaixão/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , Overdose de Drogas/psicologia , Feminino , Humanos , Aplicação da Lei/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Naloxona/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas de Entorpecentes/uso terapêutico , Overdose de Opiáceos/epidemiologia , Polícia/educaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Expanding access to treatment and recovery services is key to reducing substance use-related harms. Fundamental to expanding such services is better understanding the populations identifying themselves as in recovery. This study uses nationally representative data to estimate prevalence and correlates of recovery in the U.S. METHODS: Data are from the 43,026 adults (aged 18 or older) participating in the 2018 National Survey on Drug Use and Health. Based on self-reported data, we estimate prevalence of ever having a substance use problem, the percentage in recovery among those with a substance use problem, and a multivariable logistic regression model to explore associations of recovery status with demographic characteristics and lifetime mental health problems. Among adults reporting a substance use problem, we compare prevalence of substance use by recovery status, followed by a multivariable model examining associations between each substance used and being in recovery. RESULTS: More than 1 in 10 adults (27.5 million) in the U.S. reported ever having a substance use problem, and, among those with a problem, nearly 75 % (20.5 million) reported being in recovery. Reporting lower prevalence of using substances in the past year and having received treatment for their substance use problem were associated with being in recovery. Ever having a mental health problem was highly prevalent among those reporting a substance use problem. CONCLUSIONS: The provision and expansion of substance use treatment services continues to be important to reduce harms related to substance use, especially for those with both substance use and mental health disorders.
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Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Intoxicação Alcoólica , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaAssuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/intoxicação , Overdose de Drogas/mortalidade , Fentanila/intoxicação , Drogas Ilícitas/intoxicação , Overdose de Drogas/tratamento farmacológico , Dependência de Heroína/epidemiologia , Dependência de Heroína/mortalidade , Humanos , Mortalidade/tendências , Naloxona/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas de Entorpecentes/uso terapêutico , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/mortalidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Injury and violence prevention strategies have greater potential for impact when they are based on scientific evidence. Systematic reviews of the scientific evidence can contribute key information about which policies and programs might have the greatest impact when implemented. However, systematic reviews have limitations, such as lack of implementation guidance and contextual information, that can limit the application of knowledge. "Technical packages," developed by knowledge brokers such as the federal government, nonprofit agencies, and academic institutions, have the potential to be an efficient mechanism for making information from systematic reviews actionable. Technical packages provide information about specific evidence-based prevention strategies, along with the estimated costs and impacts, and include accompanying implementation and evaluation guidance to facilitate adoption, implementation, and performance measurement. We describe how systematic reviews can inform the development of technical packages for practitioners, provide examples of technical packages in injury and violence prevention, and explain how enhancing review methods and reporting could facilitate the use and applicability of scientific evidence.
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To address the opioid overdose epidemic in the United States, states have implemented policies to reduce inappropriate opioid prescribing. These policies could affect the coincident heroin overdose epidemic by either driving the substitution of heroin for opioids or reducing simultaneous use of both substances. We used IMS Health's National Prescription Audit and government mortality data to examine the effect of these policies on opioid prescribing and on prescription opioid and heroin overdose death rates in the United States during 2006-13. The analysis revealed that combined implementation of mandated provider review of state-run prescription drug monitoring program data and pain clinic laws reduced opioid amounts prescribed by 8 percent and prescription opioid overdose death rates by 12 percent. We also observed relatively large but statistically insignificant reductions in heroin overdose death rates after implementation of these policies. This combination of policies was effective, but broader approaches to address these coincident epidemics are needed.
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Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , Causas de Morte/tendências , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Prescrição Inadequada/prevenção & controle , Clínicas de Dor/legislação & jurisprudência , Epidemias , Humanos , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Uso Indevido de Medicamentos sob Prescrição , Estados UnidosRESUMO
The current investigation examined the interactive effect of dysfunctional dating attitudes and religiosity on substance use in a large sample of youth (N = 1,357) from the YouthStyles survey. Based on past research, we explored the possibility that religiosity buffered the association between dysfunctional dating attitudes and substance use. Because age was significantly associated with all study variables, we included age in our analyses. In support of our hypothesis we found an attitude by religiosity by age interaction among youth with moderate levels of dysfunctional dating attitudes. Among these youth, the buffering effect of religiosity increased with age. For youth with low and high dysfunctional dating attitudes, religiosity did not buffer the association. The results of this study are in line with past work that suggests that the association between relationship characteristics and substance use is complex. It also identifies religiosity as a protective factor for the effect of dating attitudes on substance use but suggests that these effects may be the most important for youth with moderate levels of dysfunctional dating attitudes.
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BACKGROUND: Falls are a leading cause of unintentional injury among adults age 65 years and older. Loose, unsecured rugs and damaged carpets with curled edges, are recognized environmental hazards that may contribute to falls. To characterize nonfatal, unintentional fall-related injuries associated with rugs and carpets in adults aged 65 years and older. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of surveillance data of injuries treated in hospital emergency departments (EDs) during 2001-2008. We used the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System-All Injury Program, which collects data from a nationally representative stratified probability sample of 66 U.S. hospital EDs. Sample weights were used to make national estimates. RESULTS: Annually, an estimated 37,991 adults age 65 years or older were treated in U.S. EDs for falls associated with carpets (54.2%) and rugs (45.8%). Most falls (72.8%) occurred at home. Women represented 80.2% of fall injuries. The most common location for fall injuries in the home was the bathroom (35.7%). Frequent fall injuries occurred at the transition between carpet/rug and non-carpet/rug, on wet carpets or rugs, and while hurrying to the bathroom. CONCLUSIONS: Fall injuries associated with rugs and carpets are common and may cause potentially severe injuries. Older adults, their caregivers, and emergency and primary care physicians should be aware of the significant risk for fall injuries and of environmental modifications that may reduce that risk.
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Acidentes por Quedas , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Pisos e Cobertura de Pisos/normas , Ferimentos e Lesões , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/classificação , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/etiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/psicologiaRESUMO
The establishment of the National Center for Injury Prevention and Control (NCIPC or Injury Center) in 1992 as part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) firmly established the Injury Center as the lead federal agency for non-occupational injury prevention and control (Sleet et al., 2012). Since then, it has provided leadership and a strong scientific base for intramural and extramural-investigator funded injury research. The Injury Center's scientific mission encompasses efforts from primary prevention to treatment and rehabilitation. Early CDC efforts were primarily focused on describing the extent of the problem, identifying risk and protective factors that affect the extent of violence and injury in our society, and gaining visibility for violence and injury as a major public health problem. Efforts such as the development of injury-based surveillance systems provided population-based surveillance data regarding the extent and distribution of fatal and non-fatal injuries, helped to identify demographic characteristics for those who were most at risk, and identified risk and protective factors that influence that risk. Celebrating the Injury Center's 20th anniversary presents an opportunity not only to reflect on past accomplishments but also to look ahead at what still needs to be done.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S./organização & administração , Violência/prevenção & controle , Ferimentos e Lesões/prevenção & controle , Aniversários e Eventos Especiais , Humanos , Liderança , Vigilância da População , Saúde Pública , Pesquisa , Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/reabilitaçãoRESUMO
This article presents what the authors consider to be among the top 20 practice innovations since the inception of the National Center for Injury Prevention and Control in 1992. The innovations embody various characteristics of successful public health programs and have contributed to declines in violence, motor vehicle, residential fire, and other injury rates over the past 20 years. Taken together, these innovations have reduced the burden of violence and injury and have influenced current practice and practitioners in the United States and worldwide.
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Programas Governamentais/tendências , Violência/prevenção & controle , Ferimentos e Lesões/prevenção & controle , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Saúde Pública/história , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Expect Respect support groups, a selective prevention strategy, are designed to prevent and reduce dating violence among at-risk middle and high school students. This preliminary, uncontrolled evaluation examined changes in healthy relationship skills and emotionally and physically abusive behaviors in participants' peer and dating relationships. Self-reports (N = 144) showed significant increases in healthy relationship skills from baseline to program completion, whereas levels of victimization and perpetration remained unchanged. A subgroup of students who reported baseline levels of victimization and perpetration with means at least one standard deviation above the group mean reported significantly less victimization and perpetration at program completion.
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Corte/psicologia , Grupos de Autoajuda , Violência/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Comportamento do Adolescente/psicologia , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Assunção de Riscos , Parceiros Sexuais/psicologia , Estudantes/psicologiaRESUMO
Public health is currently faced with an array of critical challenges and disconnects. Research and evaluation have identified a number of evidence-based strategies for effecting behavior change at individual, group, organizational, and environmental levels, all of which hold promise for leading to substantial reductions in morbidity and mortality, and increased quality of life. Unfortunately, there is huge variability across the public health system in awareness of the value of using evidence to inform decision making, let alone in capacity to locate, assess, compare, select, justify, adapt, implement, and evaluate evidence-based strategies, or to participate in building the evidence base for practice-based innovations. As a result, many communities may not be benefitting from research-tested and practice-based strategies that could help them to meet their public health goals more efficiently and effectively. CDC's Interactive Systems Framework for Dissemination and Implementation (ISF), released in 2008, was designed to help close this gap between research and practice. This commentary identifies the ways in which the ISF framework is useful in addressing the research practice gap; revisits the elements of the framework that have continued to guide research and practice in fruitful ways; and highlights areas that need further development to meet current public health challenges.
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Prática Clínica Baseada em Evidências/métodos , Disseminação de Informação/métodos , Desenvolvimento de Programas/métodos , Saúde Pública/métodos , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Humanos , Modelos Organizacionais , Estados UnidosRESUMO
Various dimensions of parenting have been associated with youth risk behaviors, such as substance use and dating violence. These associations have spawned many prevention strategies that focus on parenting. However, it is unclear which characteristics of parent-youth relationships, and thus, which parent-focused prevention strategies, may be most influential in youth risk behaviors and, thus, which should be targeted in prevention. Using responses from the YouthStyles 2007 survey (N = 1,357), this study identified three youth-reported parent-youth relationship characteristics: communication about risk behaviors, closeness/respect, and rules/monitoring. The authors examined the associations among these characteristics and youths' demographics, attitudes supporting controlling dating relationships, and use of alcohol, marijuana, and tobacco. Results suggested risk behavior communication was more frequently reported by girls and was more frequent among older youth. Closeness/respect and rules/monitoring were more frequent among younger youth. Regressions suggested communication about risk behaviors was not a predictor of attitudes supporting controlling dating relationships but was a significant predictor of substance use, closeness/respect and rules/monitoring predicted substance nonuse and attitudes unsupportive of controlling dating relationships. The findings suggest that parental communication alone may not be sufficient to influence youth risk taking, but that parental monitoring and the establishment of respectful, close relationships with children may be important elements of parent-focused health promotion efforts.
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Atitude , Relações Pais-Filho , Assunção de Riscos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Comunicação , Coleta de Dados , Feminino , Humanos , MasculinoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: To make an impact on the public's health, evidence-based interventions must be disseminated broadly, supported by training and technical assistance, adopted widely, and implemented as designed. Many effective older adult fall prevention interventions have been identified, but too few have gained wide community acceptance and little is known about the best ways to encourage their broader use. Therefore, as in many other fields, fall prevention suffers from a wide gap between scientific discoveries and their everyday use. METHOD: This article articulates the key activities embedded in Step 4 of the public health model-specifically translation and dissemination to ensure widespread adoption and use-in order to illuminate critical research needs in older adult fall prevention. CONCLUSIONS: These needs, if addressed, will help close the gap between research and practice.