Low Stroke Volume Predicts Deterioration in Intermediate-Risk Pulmonary Embolism: Prospective Study.

Introduction: Prognosis and management of patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) is challenging. We investigated whether stroke volume may be used to identify the subset of this population at increased risk of clinical deterioration or PE-related death. Our secondary objective was to compare echocardiographic measurements of patients who received escalated interventions vs anticoagulation monotherapy. Methods: We selected patients with intermediate-risk PE, who had comprehensive echocardiography within 18 hours of PE diagnosis and before any escalated interventions, from a PE registry populated by 11 emergency departments. Echocardiographers measured right ventricle (RV) size, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), and stroke volume (SV) using velocity time integral (VTI) by left ventricular (LV) outflow tract Doppler or two-dimensional method of discs (MOD). The primary outcome was a composite of PE-related death, cardiac arrest, catecholamine administration for sustained hypotension, or emergency respiratory intervention during the index hospitalization. Secondary outcome was escalated intervention with reperfusion or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy. Results: Of 370 intermediate-risk PE patients (mean age 64.0 ± 15.5 years, 38.1% male), 39 (10.5%) had the primary outcome. These 39 patients had lower mean SV regardless of measurement method than those without the primary outcome: SV MOD 36.2 vs 49.9 milliliters (mL), P < 0.001; SV Doppler 41.7 vs 57.2 mL, P = 0.003; VTI 13.6 vs 17.9 centimeters [cm], P = 0.003. Patients with primary outcome also had lower mean TAPSE than those without (1.54 vs 1.81 cm, P = 0.003). Multivariable models, selecting SV as predictor, had area under the receiver operating curve of 0.8 and Brier score 0.08. The best echocardiographic predictor of our primary outcome was SV MOD (odds ratio 0.72 [0.53, 0.94], P = 0.02). Patients who received escalated interventions had significantly lower SV or surrogate measurements, greater RV dilatation, and lower RV systolic function than patients who received anticoagulation monotherapy. Conclusion: Low stroke volume was a predictor of clinical deterioration and PE-related death. Low SV may be used to identify a subset of intermediate-risk PE patients, who are higher risk (intermediate-high risk), and for whom escalated interventions should be considered.

The relationship between body composition and left ventricular performance in women with breast, lymphoma, or sarcoma cancer.

BACKGROUND: To understand how body composition in those with elevated body mass index impacts left ventricular function decline during cancer treatment, we determined the association between baseline body mass index (BMI), intra-abdominal adipose tissue (IAT) and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) with baseline to 3-month left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) change among women receiving potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy for breast cancer, lymphoma, or sarcoma. METHODS: Women underwent potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy, such as doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, paclitaxel, and trastuzumab, for treatment of breast cancer, lymphoma, or sarcoma. We obtained magnetic resonance images (MRIs) of body composition and cardiac function prior to treatment, and then a repeat MRI for cardiac function assessment at three months into treatment. Analyses and assessment of abdominal adipose tissue volumes and LVEF outcomes were conducted by independent reviewers blinded to all patient identifiers. A general linear model was created to examine associations between adipose tissue depots, BMI, and 3-month LVEF change. RESULTS: Women (n = 210) aged 56 ± 11 years with breast cancer, lymphoma, and sarcoma were enrolled (n = 195, 14, 1 respectively). Baseline BMI, IAT, and SAT fat were independently associated with 3-month LVEF declines (p = 0.001 to 0.025 for all). After adjusting for baseline cardiovascular disease risk factors, BMI, IAT, and SAT, BMI remained the only variable associated with 3-month LVEF decline (p = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that factors other than abdominal adipose tissue or traditional cardiovascular risk factors may contribute to 3-month declines in LVEF among women with elevated BMI receiving potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy. Further investigation should be conducted on psychosocial stress, physical activity, sleep, or diet. TRIAL REGISTRATION: DETECTIV_NCT01719562, WF99112, & WF97415-NCT02791581.

Hypertension Severity and Declines in Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Among Women Receiving Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer (WF-97415 UPBEAT).

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a risk factor for experiencing left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) declines during receipt of potentially cardiotoxic breast cancer (BC) treatment. We sought to determine whether the hypertension stage is associated with LVEF decline during BC treatment. METHODS: Across 24 centers, cardiac magnetic resonance measures of LVEF and brachial arterial blood pressure (BP) measurements were performed in women with stages I to III BC before and 3 months after initiating potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy. Using multivariable analysis, we assessed in a blinded fashion the association between 3-month ΔLVEF and precancer treatment American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology stages of hypertension. RESULTS: Among 204 women, age averaged 56±1 years with 75% being White and 20% of Black race. Participants received anthracycline (45.6%), trastuzumab (22.5%), cyclophosphamide (52.9%), or paclitaxel (50%). After accounting for pretreatment LVEF, diabetes status, tobacco use, age, the number of antihypertensive medications, and body mass index, those with stage II hypertension experienced an LVEF decline of -2.89% ([95% CI, -0.69% to -5.19%]; P=0.01) relative to individuals with normal BP. Other stages saw nonsignificant declines relative to normal BP to elevated BP (-1.63% [95% CI, -0.62% to 3.88%]; P=0.16) and stage I hypertension (-0.94% [95% CI, -0.90% to 2.78%]; P=0.32). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with women receiving treatment for BC with normal BP, there is a stronger association of decline in LVEF in women with stage II hypertension relative to women with other hypertension stages. This raises the possibility that stage along with hypertension presence may be associated with an increased risk for the LVEF decline among women receiving potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy for BC. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02791581 and NCT01719562.

Statins Do Not Significantly Affect Oxidative Nitrosative Stress Biomarkers in the PREVENT Randomized Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE: Preventing Anthracycline Cardiovascular Toxicity with Statins (PREVENT; NCT01988571) randomized patients with breast cancer or lymphoma receiving anthracyclines to atorvastatin 40 mg daily or placebo. We evaluated the effects of atorvastatin on oxidative and nitrosative stress biomarkers, and explored whether these biomarkers could explain the lack of effect of atorvastatin on LVEF (left ventricular ejection fraction) in PREVENT. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Blood samples were collected and cardiac MRI was performed before doxorubicin initiation and at 6 and 24 months. Thirteen biomarkers [arginine-nitric oxide metabolites, paraoxonase-1 (PON-1) activity, and myeloperoxidase] were measured. Dimensionality reduction using principal component analysis was used to define biomarker clusters. Linear mixed-effects models determined the changes in biomarkers over time according to treatment group. Mediation analysis determined whether biomarker clusters explained the lack of effect of atorvastatin on LVEF. RESULTS: Among 202 participants with available biomarkers, median age was 53 years; 86.6% had breast cancer; median LVEF was 62%. Cluster 1 levels, reflecting arginine methylation metabolites, were lower over time with atorvastatin, although this was not statistically significant (P = 0.081); Cluster 2 levels, reflecting PON-1 activity, were significantly lower with atorvastatin (P = 0.024). There were no significant changes in other biomarker clusters (P > 0.05). Biomarker clusters did not mediate an effect of atorvastatin on LVEF (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Atorvastatin demonstrated very modest effects on oxidative/nitrosative stress biomarkers in this low cardiovascular risk population. Our findings provide potential mechanistic insight into the lack of effect of atorvastatin on LVEF in the PREVENT trial.

Comparison of Treatment Approaches and Subsequent Outcomes within a Pulmonary Embolism Response Team Registry.

Objectives: To characterize the association between pulmonary embolism (PE) severity and bleeding risk with treatment approaches, outcomes, and complications. Methods: Secondary analysis of an 11-hospital registry of adult ED patients treated by a PE response team (August 2016-November 2022). Predictors were PE severity and bleeding risk. The primary outcome was treatment approach: anticoagulation monotherapy vs. advanced intervention (categorized as "immediate" or "delayed" based on whether the intervention was received within 12 hours of PE diagnosis or not). Secondary outcomes were death, clinical deterioration, and major bleeding. Results: Of the 1832 patients, 139 (7.6%), 977 (53.3%), and 9 (0.5%) were classified as high-risk, intermediate-high, intermediate-low, and low-risk severity, respectively. There were 94 deaths (5.1%) and 218 patients (11.9%) had one or more clinical deterioration events. Advanced interventions were administered to 86 (61.9%), 195 (27.6%), and 109 (11.2%) patients with high-risk, intermediate-high, and intermediate-low severity, respectively.Major bleeding occurred in 61/1440 (4.2%) on ACm versus 169/392 (7.6%) with advanced interventions (p <0.001): bleeding withcatheter-directed thrombolysiswas 19/145 (13.1%) versus 33/154(21.4%) with systemic thrombolysis,p= 0.07. High risk was twice as strong as intermediate-high risk for association with advanced intervention (OR: 5.3 (4.2 and 6.9) vs. 1.9 (1.6 and 2.2)). High risk (OR: 56.3 (32.0 and 99.2) and intermediate-high risk (OR: 2.6 (1.7 and 4.0)) were strong predictors of clinical deterioration. Major bleeding was significantly associated with advanced interventions (OR: 5.2 (3.5 and 7.8) for immediate, 3.3 (1.8 and 6.2)) for delayed, and high-risk PE severity (OR: 3.4 (1.9 and 5.8)). Conclusions: Advanced intervention use was associated with high-acuity patients experiencing death, clinical deterioration, and major bleeding with a trend towards less bleeding with catheter-directed interventions versus systemic thrombolysis.

Patient-Reported Adverse Events and Early Treatment Discontinuation Among Patients With Multiple Myeloma.

Importance: There is substantial interest in capturing cancer treatment tolerability from the patient's perspective using patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Objective: To examine whether a PRO question, item 5 from the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-General General Physical Wellbeing Scale (GP5), was associated with early treatment discontinuation (ETD) due to adverse events. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective survey study was conducted from February to April 2023. Among participants in the ECOG-ACRIN E1A11 trial (a phase 3, parallel design trial conducted between 2013 and 2019), patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma were randomized to receive bortezomib (VRd) or carfilzomib (KRd) plus lenalidomide and dexamethasone as induction therapy. The GP5 item was administered at baseline (pretreatment) and at 1 month, 2.8 months, and 5.5 months postbaseline. Eligible participants included patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma treated at community oncology practices or academic medical centers in the US. Exposures: GP5 response options were "very much," "quite a bit," "somewhat," "a little bit," and "not at all." Responses at each assessment while undergoing treatment (1 month, 2.8 months, and 5.5 months) were categorized as high adverse event bother (ie, "very much," and "quite a bit") and low adverse event bother (ie, "somewhat," "a little bit," or "not at all"). In addition, change from baseline to each assessment while undergoing treatment was calculated and categorized as worsening by 1 response category and 2 or more response categories. Main Outcome and Measure: ETD due to adverse events (yes vs no) was analyzed using logistic regression adjusting for treatment group, performance status, gender, race, and disease stage. Results: Of the 1087 participants in the original trial, 1058 (mean [SD] age 64 [9] years; 531 receiving VrD [50.2%]; 527 receiving KRd [49.8%]) responded to item GP5 and were included in the secondary analysis. A small proportion (142 patients [13.4%]) discontinued treatment early due to AEs. For those with high adverse-effect bother, GP5 while undergoing treatment was associated with ETD at 1 month (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.20; 95% CI, 1.25-3.89), 2.8 months (aOR, 3.41; 95% CI, 2.01-5.80), and 5.5 months (aOR, 4.66; 95% CI, 1.69-12.83). Worsening by 2 or more response categories on the GP5 was associated with ETD at 2.8 months (aOR, 3.02; 95% CI, 1.64-5.54) and 5.5 months (aOR, 5.49; 95% CI, 1.45-20.76). Conclusions and Relevance: In this survey study of the E1A11 trial, worse GP5 response was associated with ETD. These findings suggest that simple assessment of adverse-effect bother while receiving treatment is an efficient way to indicate treatment tolerability and ETD risk.

Risk of Obesity and Unhealthy Central Adiposity in Adolescents Born Preterm With Very Low Birthweight Compared to Term-Born Peers.

Background: Early-life factors such as preterm birth or very low birthweight (VLBW) are associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk. However, it remains unknown whether this is due to an increased risk of obesity (unhealthy central adiposity) because studies have predominantly defined obesity based on BMI, an imprecise adiposity measure. Objective: Investigate if adolescents born preterm with VLBW have a higher risk of unhealthy central adiposity compared to term-born peers. Study Design: Cross-sectional analysis of data from a prospective cohort study of 177 individuals born preterm with VLBW (<1500 g) and 51 term-born peers (birthweight ≥2500 g). Individuals with congenital anomalies, genetic syndromes, or major health conditions were excluded. Height, weight, waist circumference, skin fold thickness, and dual energy X-ray absorptiometry body composition were measured at age 14 years. We calculated BMI percentiles and defined overweight/obesity as BMI ≥85th percentile for age and sex. We estimated the preterm-term differences in overweight/obesity prevalence and adiposity distribution with multivariable generalized linear models. Results: There was no difference in small for gestational age status or overweight/obesity prevalence. Compared to term, youth born preterm with VLBW had lower BMI z-score [ß -0.38, 95% confidence limits (CL) -0.75 to -0.02] but no differences in adiposity apart from subscapular-to-triceps ratio (STR; ß 0.18, 95% CL 0.08 to 0.28). Conclusions: Adolescents born preterm with VLBW had smaller body size than their term-born peers and had no differences in central adiposity except greater STR.

Importance of Low- and Moderate-Grade Adverse Events in Patients' Treatment Experience and Treatment Discontinuation: An Analysis of the E1912 Trial.

PURPOSE: Despite defined grades of 1 to 5 for adverse events (AEs) on the basis of Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events criteria, mild (G1) and moderate (G2) AEs are often not reported in phase III trials. This under-reporting may inhibit our ability to understand patient toxicity burden. We analyze the relationship between the grades of AEs experienced with patient side-effect bother and treatment discontinuation. METHODS: We analyzed a phase III Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-American College of Radiology Imaging Network trial with comprehensive AE data. The Likert response Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-GP5 item, "I am bothered by side effects of treatment" was used to define side-effect bother. Bayesian mixed models were used to assess the impact of G1 and G2 AE counts on patient side-effect bother and treatment discontinuation. AEs were further analyzed on the basis of symptomatology (symptomatic or asymptomatic). The results are given as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% credible interval (CrI). RESULTS: Each additional G1 and G2 AEs experienced during a treatment cycle increased the odds of increased self-reported patient side-effect bother by 13% (95% CrI, 1.06 to 1.21) and 35% (95% CrI, 1.19 to 1.54), respectively. Furthermore, only AEs defined as symptomatic were associated with increased side-effect bother, with asymptomatic AEs showing no association regardless of grade. Count of G2 AEs increased the odds of treatment discontinuation by 59% (95% CrI, 1.32 to 1.95), with symptomatic G2 AEs showing a stronger association (OR, 1.75; 95% CrI, 1.28 to 2.39) relative to asymptomatic G2 AEs (OR, 1.45; 95% CrI, 1.12 to 1.89). CONCLUSION: Low- and moderate-grade AEs are related to increased odds of increased patient side-effect bother and treatment discontinuation, with symptomatic AEs demonstrating greater magnitude of association than asymptomatic. Our findings suggest that limiting AE capture to grade 3+ misses important contributors to treatment side-effect bother and discontinuation.

Patient Characteristics Associated with Telemedicine Use for Diabetes Mellitus Care: Experience of a University Health System.

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to understand the characteristics of patients who used telemedicine for diabetes management to inform future implementation of telemedicine. METHODS: We examined patient characteristics associated with telemedicine use for diabetes mellitus (DM) care between March 1, 2020 and April 1, 2021 (the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic period) in a large university health system when telemedicine visits increased rapidly. Logistic regression models assessed patient characteristics associated with telemedicine visits and delays in DM process measures (hemoglobin A1c checks, nephropathy, and retinopathy evaluations) during the pandemic period after adjusting for potential confounders and corresponding values before the pandemic period (March 1, 2019-February 29, 2020). RESULTS: A total of 45,159 patients were seen from 987,791 visits during the pandemic period. The number of visits averaged one visit less during the pandemic period than before the pandemic period. Approximately 5.4% of patients used telemedicine during the pandemic period from 42,750 visits. The mean (standard deviation) telemedicine visit was 1.28 (0.91). Men, Asian, Black, and other race (vs White), having Medicare or uninsured (vs private insurance), were less likely to use telemedicine. Patients with more visits before the pandemic period were more likely to use telemedicine and less likely to experience a delay in DM process measures during the pandemic period. Telemedicine users were 18% less likely to experience a delay in nephropathy visits than nonusers, but without difference for other process measures. CONCLUSIONS: Race, sex, insurance, and prepandemic in-person visits were associated with telemedicine use for DM management in a large health system. Telemedicine use was not associated with delays in hemoglobin A1c testing, nephropathy, and retinopathy assessments. Understanding reasons for not using telemedicine is important to be able to deliver equitable DM care.

Cardiovascular impact of near complete estrogen deprivation in premenopausal women with breast cancer: The CROWN study.

Survival with operable breast cancer has improved markedly in recent decades, however, treatment-related cardiovascular toxicities threaten to offset these gains. Ovarian function suppression paired with aromatase inhibition, for premenopausal women with hormone receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer, is a newer widely adopted therapy with the potential for significant long-term cardiovascular toxicity. Abrupt estrogen deprivation for non-cancer reasons is associated with accelerated coronary artery disease. Women with breast cancer treated with aromatase inhibition in addition to ovarian function suppression experience a dual hit with regards to estrogen exposure. The CaRdiac Outcomes With Near-complete estrogen deprivation (CROWN) study seeks to understand the early, subclinical natural history of cardiovascular compromise in young women undergoing near-complete estrogen deprivation (NCED) therapy. It is critical to understand the early subclinical development of cardiovascular disease to identify a window for therapeutic intervention before overt cardiovascular events occur. This three-site regional study (Atrium Health Wake Forest, Duke, and Virginia Commonwealth University) uses serial stress cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging and cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA) obtained during the initial two years of NCED therapy to study myocardial prefusion reserve (MPR), large cardiovascular vessel changes, left ventricular function, and other cardiovascular parameters. The CROWN cohort will consist of 90 premenopausal women with breast cancer, 67 with HR-positive disease receiving NCED and 23 comparators with HR-negative disease. Participants will undergo three annual CMR scans and 2 CCTA scans during the 2-year study period. After initial activation hurdles, accrual has been brisk, and the study is expected to complete accrual in December 2024. Efforts are in place to encourage participant retention with the study primary outcome, change in MPR between the two groups, to be reported in 2026 to 2027. The results of this study will enable premenopausal women with breast cancer to balance the health burdens of cancer at a young age and treatment-related cardiovascular morbidity. Finally, the tools developed here can be utilized to study cardiovascular risk across a range of cancer types and cancer therapies with the ultimate goals of both developing generalizable risk stratification tools as well as validating interventions which prevent overt cardiovascular compromise.

Duration of Simultaneous Exposure to High-Risk and Lower-Risk Nephrotoxic Antimicrobials in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) and Future Adolescent Kidney Health.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether greater duration of simultaneous exposure to antimicrobials with high nephrotoxicity risk combined with lower-risk antimicrobials (simultaneous exposure) in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) is associated with worse later kidney health in adolescents born preterm with very low birth weight (VLBW). STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of participants born preterm with VLBW (<1500 g) as singletons between January 1, 1992, and June 30, 1996. We defined simultaneous exposure as a high-risk antimicrobial, such as vancomycin, administered with a lower-risk antimicrobial on the same date in the NICU. Outcomes were serum creatinine, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and first-morning urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) at age 14 years. We fit multivariable linear regression models with days of simultaneous exposure and days of nonsimultaneous exposure as main effects, adjusting for gestational age, birth weight, and birth weight z-score. RESULTS: Of the 147 out of 177 participants who had exposure data, 97% received simultaneous antimicrobials for mean duration 7.2 days (SD 5.6). No participant had eGFR <90 ml/min/1.73 m2. The mean ACR was 15.2 mg/g (SD 38.7) and 7% had albuminuria (ACR >30 mg/g). Each day of simultaneous exposure was associated only with a 1.04-mg/g higher ACR (95% CI 1.01 to 1.06). CONCLUSIONS: Despite frequent simultaneous exposure to high-risk combined with lower-risk nephrotoxic antimicrobials in the NICU, there were no clinically relevant associations with worse kidney health identified in adolescence. Although future studies are needed, these findings may provide reassurance in a population thought to be at increased risk of chronic kidney disease.

A single-center survey on physical activity barriers, behaviors and preferences in adults with epilepsy.

BACKGROUND: Improved understanding of physical activity barriersand preferences in people with epilepsyis needed to successfully design and perform larger, more robust effectivenesstrials. METHODS: Adult patients at a single tertiary epilepsy center between January and April 2020 were surveyed. The survey included a validated physical activity questionnaire (Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly) plus 15 items aimed to address 1) perceptions and beliefs regarding physical activity, 2) barriers to routine physical activity, and 3) willingness and ability to participate in a physical activity intervention and 4) current physical abilities, activities, and preferences. RESULTS: 95 participants with epilepsy (age 42 ± 16.2, 59 % female) completed the survey. Sixty-five participants (68.4 %) reported that they believe that physical activity could improve their seizure frequency. However, 40 % of those surveyed said their neurologist had never talked to them about physical activity. The most commonly reported barriers to physical activity were lack of time (24.7 %) and fear of having a seizure (19.7 %), while barriers to intervention participation included being unable to come to in-person sessions (53 % of those willing to participate),living far away (39.3 %), time constraints (28.6 %), and lack of transportation (21.4 %). CONCLUSION: Future physical activity studies in people with epilepsy should focus on using tailored interventions that accommodate their unique beliefs and barriers.

Incidence, severity and detection of blood pressure and heart rate perturbations in postoperative ward patients after noncardiac surgery.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine changes in continuous mean and systolic blood pressure and heart rate in a cohort of non-cardiac surgical patients recovering on the postoperative ward. Furthermore, we estimated the proportion of vital signs changes that would remain undetected with intermittent vital signs checks. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Post-operative general ward. PATIENTS: 14,623 adults recovering from non-cardiac surgical procedures. INTERVENTIONS & MEASUREMENTS: Using a wireless, noninvasive monitor, we recorded postoperative blood pressure and heart rate at 15-s intervals and encouraged nursing intervention as clinically indicated. MAIN RESULTS: 7% of our cohort of 14,623 patients spent >15 sustained minutes with a MAP <65 mmHg, and 23% had MAP <75 mmHg for 15 sustained minutes. Hypertension was more common, with 67% of patients spending at least 60 sustained minutes with MAP >110 mmHg. Systolic pressures <90 mmHg were present for 15 sustained minutes in about a fifth of all patients, and 40% of patients had pressures >160 mmHg sustained for 30 min. 40% of patients were tachycardic with heart rates >100 beats/min for at least continuous 15 min and 15% of patients were bradycardic at a threshold of <50 beats/min for 5 sustained minutes. Conventional vital sign assessments at 4-h intervals would have missed 54% of mean pressure episodes <65 mmHg sustained >15 min, 20% of episodes of mean pressures >130 mmHg sustained >30 min, 36% of episodes of heart rate > 120 beats/min sustained <10 min, and 68% of episodes of heart rate sustained <40 beats per minute for >3 min. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial hemodynamic disturbances persisted despite implementing continuous portable ward monitoring coupled with nursing alarms and interventions. A significant proportion of these changes would have gone undetected using traditional intermittent monitoring. Better understanding of effective responses to alarms and appropriate interventions on hospital wards remains necessary.

Comparing predictive performance of pulmonary embolism risk stratification tools for acute clinical deterioration.

Objectives: Existing pulmonary embolism (PE) risk scores were developed to predict death within weeks, but not more proximate adverse events. We determined the ability of 3 PE risk stratification tools (simplified pulmonary embolism severity index [sPESI], 2019 European Society of Cardiology guidelines [ESC], and PE short-term clinical outcomes risk estimation [PE-SCORE]) to predict 5-day clinical deterioration after emergency department (ED) diagnosis of PE. Methods: We analyzed data from six EDs on ED patients with confirmed PE. Clinical deterioration was defined as death, respiratory failure, cardiac arrest, new dysrhythmia, sustained hypotension requiring vasopressors or volume resuscitation, or escalated intervention within 5 days of PE diagnosis. We determined sensitivity and specificity of sPESI, ESC, and PE-SCORE for predicting clinical deterioration. Results: Of 1569 patients, 24.5% had clinical deterioration within 5 days. sPESI, ESC, and PE-SCORE classifications were low-risk in 558 (35.6%), 167 (10.6%), and 309 (19.6%), respectively. Sensitivities of sPESI, ESC, and PE-SCORE for clinical deterioration were 81.8 (78, 85.7), 98.7 (97.6, 99.8), and 96.1 (94.2, 98), respectively. Specificities of sPESI, ESC, and PE-SCORE for clinical deterioration were 41.2 (38.4, 44), 13.7 (11.7, 15.6), and 24.8 (22.4, 27.3). Areas under the curve were 61.5 (59.1, 63.9), 56.2 (55.1, 57.3), and 60.5 (58.9, 62.0). Negative predictive values were 87.5 (84.7, 90.2), 97 (94.4, 99.6), and 95.1 (92.7, 97.5). Conclusions: ESC and PE-SCORE were better than sPESI for detecting clinical deterioration within 5 days after PE diagnosis.