Effect of Individual Patient Characteristics and Treatment Choices on Reliever Medication Use in Moderate-Severe Asthma: A Poisson Analysis of Randomised Clinical Trials.

INTRODUCTION: Even though increased use of reliever medication, including short-acting beta agonists (SABA), provides an indirect measure of symptom worsening, there have been limited efforts to assess how different patterns of reliever use correlate with symptom control and future risk of exacerbations. Here, we evaluate the effect of individual baseline characteristics on reliever use in patients with moderate-severe asthma on regular maintenance therapy with fluticasone propionate (FP) or combination therapy with fluticasone propionate/salmeterol (FP/SAL) or budesonide/formoterol (BUD/FOR). METHODS: A drug-disease model describing the number of 24-h puffs and overnight occasions was developed with data from five clinical studies (N = 6212). The model was implemented using a nonlinear mixed effects approach and a Poisson function, considering clinical and demographic baseline characteristics. Goodness of fit and model predictive performance were assessed. Heatmaps were created to summarise the effect of concurrent baseline factors on reliever utilisation. RESULTS: The final model accurately described individual patterns of reliever use, which is significantly increased with time since diagnosis, smoking, higher Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) score and higher body mass index (BMI) at baseline. Whilst the number of puffs decreases slowly after an initial drop relative to the start of treatment, exacerbating patients utilise significantly more reliever than those who do not exacerbate. The mean effect of FP/SAL (median dose: 250/50 µg BID) on reliever use was slightly higher than that of BUD/FOR (median dose: 160/4.5 µg BID), i.e. a 75.3% vs 69.3% reduction in reliever use, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The availability of individual-level patient data in conjunction with a parametric approach enabled the characterisation of interindividual differences in the patterns of reliever use in patients with moderate-severe asthma. Taken together, individual demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as exacerbation history, can be considered an indicator of the degree of asthma control. High SABA reliever use suggests suboptimal clinical management of patients on maintenance therapy.

In this study, we tried to understand how patients with moderate to severe asthma use their quick-relief inhalers (like albuterol), how it relates to their symptoms and the risk of having asthma attacks. To evaluate whether differences in reliever inhaler use between patients are associated with factors like smoking or their asthma symptoms at the beginning of treatment, we gathered data from five clinical studies (n = 6212 patients). These data allowed us to create a model that predicts how often patients use their reliever inhalers (expressed as number of puffs in 24 h) during maintenance therapy with inhaled corticosteroids alone or in combination with long-acting beta agonists. The final model showed that reliever inhaler use is higher in patients who have been diagnosed with asthma for > 10 years, are smokers, have higher asthma symptom scores, and are obese or extremely obese. Patients who had asthma attacks also used their reliever inhalers more often. In addition, to understand how relief inhalers are used in real-life situations, we also created heatmaps that include a wide range of patient characteristics. By using individual patient data together with this model, we have learned that smoking, asthma control, BMI, long history of asthma and previous asthma attacks significantly influence reliever use. This information can help physicians and healthcare professionals understand know how well someone's asthma is managed. A patient who uses their reliever inhaler often is likely not to have their asthma well controlled by their regular medications.

Understanding the Clinical Implications of Individual Patient Characteristics and Treatment Choice on the Risk of Exacerbation in Asthma Patients with Moderate-Severe Symptoms.

INTRODUCTION: The assessment of future risk has become an important feature in the management of patients with asthma. However, the contribution of patient-specific characteristics and treatment choices to the risk of exacerbation is poorly understood. Here we evaluated the effect of interindividual baseline differences on the risk of exacerbation and treatment performance in patients receiving regular maintenance doses of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) or ICS/long-acting beta-agonists (LABA) combination therapy. METHODS: Exacerbations and changes to asthma symptoms 5-item Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) were simulated over a 12-month period using a time-to-event and a longitudinal model developed from phase III/IV studies in patients with moderate-severe asthma (N = 16,282). Simulations were implemented to explore treatment performance across different scenarios, including randomised designs and real-world settings. Treatment options included regular dosing with ICS monotherapy [fluticasone propionate (FP)] and combination therapy [fluticasone propionate/salmeterol (FP/SAL) or budesonide/formoterol (BUD/FOR)]. Exacerbation rate was analysed using the log-rank test. The cumulative incidence of events was summarised stratified by treatment. RESULTS: Being a woman, smoker, having higher baseline ACQ-5 and body mass index (BMI) and lower forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) are associated with increased exacerbation risk (p < 0.01). This risk is bigger in winter because of the seasonal variation effect. Across the different scenarios, the use of FP/SAL resulted in a 10% lower annual incidence of exacerbations relative to FP or regular dosing BUD/FOR, independently of baseline characteristics. Similar differences in the annual incidence of exacerbations were also observed between treatments in obese patients (BMI ≥ 25-35 kg/m2) (p < 0.01) and in patients who do not achieve symptom control on FP monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Individual baseline characteristics and treatment choices affect future risk. Achieving comparable levels of symptom control whilst on treatment does not imply comparable risk reduction, as shown by the lower exacerbation rates in FP/SAL vs. BUD/FOR-treated patients. These factors should be considered as a basis for personalised clinical management of patients with moderate-severe asthma.

The goal of this project was to demonstrate that individual baseline characteristics can affect the risk of exacerbation as well as the overall treatment response in patients receiving regular maintenance doses of inhaled corticosteroids, given as monotherapy or in combination with long-acting beta-agonists. Using computer simulations based on a drug­disease model previously developed from a large pool of patients with moderate­severe asthma symptoms (N = 16,282), we describe how demographic and clinical baseline patient characteristics at the time of treatment start correlate with the risk of exacerbation. Our results indicate that poor symptom control, limited lung function, obesity, smoking and sex are associated with significant increase in the incidence of asthma attacks. Such an effect is augmented in winter because of the contribution of seasonal variation. This analysis also allowed us to assess how different treatments modify or reduce the annual incidence of moderate to severe attacks. In addition, simulated scenarios showed that combination therapy with fluticasone propionate/salmeterol results in 10% fewer asthma attacks relative to budesonide/formoterol combination therapy. Such a difference may be associated with corticosteroid-specific properties, which vary between inhaled corticosteroids. Consequently, even though comparable level of immediate relief and symptom control may be achieved whilst on treatment, these effects do not imply the same long-term reduction in the risk of exacerbation. These factors should be considered as a basis for personalised clinical management of patients with moderate­severe asthma.

Modelling ASthma TrEatment Responses (MASTER): Effect of individual patient characteristics on the risk of exacerbation in moderate or severe asthma: A time-to-event analysis of randomized clinical trials.

AIMS: There is limited understanding of how clinical and demographic characteristics are associated with exacerbation risk in patients with moderate-to-severe asthma, and how these factors correlate with symptom control and treatment response. Here we assess the relationship between baseline characteristics and exacerbation risk during regular dosing with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) monotherapy or in combination with long-acting beta2-agonists (ICS/LABA) in clinical trial patients with varying levels of symptom control, as assessed by the asthma control questionnaire (ACQ-5). METHODS: A time-to-event model was developed using pooled patient data (N = 16 282) from nine clinical studies [Correction added on 26 July 2023, after first online publication: The N value in the preceding sentence has been corrected in this version.]. A parametric hazard function was used to describe the time-to-first exacerbation. Covariate analysis included the assessment of the effect of seasonal variation, clinical and demographic baseline characteristics on baseline hazard. Predictive performance was evaluated by standard graphical and statistical methods. RESULTS: An exponential hazard model best described the time-to-first exacerbation in moderate-to-severe asthma patients. Body mass index, smoking status, sex, ACQ-5, % predicted forced expiratory volume over 1 s (FEV1 p) and season were identified as statistically significant covariates affecting baseline hazard irrespective of ICS or ICS/LABA use. Fluticasone propionate/salmeterol (FP/SAL) combination therapy resulted in a significant reduction in the baseline hazard (30.8%) relative to FP monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Interindividual differences at baseline and seasonal variation affect the exacerbation risk independently from drug treatment. Moreover, it appears that even when a comparable level of symptom control is achieved in a group of patients, each individual may have a different exacerbation risk, depending on their baseline characteristics and time of the year. These findings highlight the importance of personalized interventions in moderate-to-severe asthma patients.

Cardiac sodium channel inhibition by lamotrigine: In vitro characterization and clinical implications.

Lamotrigine, approved for use as an antiseizure medication as well as the treatment of bipolar disorder, inhibits sodium channels in the brain to reduce repetitive neuronal firing and pathological release of glutamate. The shared homology of sodium channels and lack of selectivity associated with channel blocking agents can cause slowing of cardiac conduction and increased proarrhythmic potential. The Vaughan-Williams classification system differentiates sodium channel blockers using biophysical properties of binding. As such, Class Ib inhibitors, including mexiletine, do not slow cardiac conduction as measured by the electrocardiogram, at therapeutically relevant exposure. Our goal was to characterize the biophysical properties of NaV 1.5 block and to support the observed clinical safety of lamotrigine. We used HEK-293 cells stably expressing the hNaV 1.5 channel and voltage clamp electrophysiology to quantify the potency (half-maximal inhibitory concentration) against peak and late channel current, on-/off-rate binding kinetics, voltage-dependence, and tonic block of the cardiac sodium channel by lamotrigine; and compared to clinically relevant Class Ia (quinidine), Ib (mexiletine), and Ic (flecainide) inhibitors. Lamotrigine blocked peak and late NaV 1.5 current at therapeutically relevant exposure, with rapid kinetics and biophysical properties similar to the class Ib inhibitor mexiletine. However, no clinically meaningful prolongation in QRS or PR interval was observed in healthy subjects in a new analysis of a previously reported thorough QT clinical trial (SCA104648). In conclusion, the weak NaV 1.5 block and rapid kinetics do not translate into clinically relevant conduction slowing at therapeutic exposure and support the clinical safety of lamotrigine in patients suffering from epilepsy and bipolar disorder.

Characterisation of individual ferritin response in patients receiving chelation therapy.

AIMS: To develop a drug-disease model describing iron overload and its effect on ferritin response in patients affected by transfusion-dependent haemoglobinopathies and investigate the contribution of interindividual differences in demographic and clinical factors on chelation therapy with deferiprone or deferasirox. METHODS: Individual and mean serum ferritin data were retrieved from 13 published studies in patients affected by haemoglobinopathies receiving deferiprone or deferasirox. A nonlinear mixed effects modelling approach was used to characterise iron homeostasis and serum ferritin production taking into account annual blood consumption, baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. The effect of chelation therapy was parameterised as an increase in the iron elimination rate. Internal and external validation procedures were used to assess model performance across different study populations. RESULTS: An indirect response model was identified, including baseline ferritin concentrations and annual blood consumption as covariates. The effect of chelation on iron elimination rate was characterised by a linear function, with different slopes for each drug (0.0109 [90% CI: 0.0079-0.0131] vs. 0.0013 [90% CI: 0.0008-0.0018] L/mg mo). In addition to drug-specific differences in the magnitude of the ferritin response, simulation scenarios indicate that ferritin elimination rates depend on ferritin concentrations at baseline. CONCLUSION: Modelling of serum ferritin following chronic blood transfusion enabled the evaluation of drug-induced changes in iron elimination rate and ferritin production. The use of a semi-mechanistic parameterisation allowed us to disentangle disease-specific factors from drug-specific properties. Despite comparable chelation mechanisms, deferiprone appears to have a significantly larger effect on the iron elimination rate than deferasirox.

Population pharmacokinetics of raxibacumab in healthy adult subjects.

AIMS: Raxibacumab is a fully humanized monoclonal antibody that blocks the interaction of Bacillus anthracis toxins, thereby protecting target cells from its effects. Raxibacumab is approved in the USA for the treatment of adults and children with inhalational anthrax in combination with antibiotics, and for prophylaxis of inhalational anthrax. The aim of this investigation was to characterise the population pharmacokinetics and assess the effect of baseline demographic covariates on the disposition of raxibacumab. METHODS: The data used for this analysis were obtained from 3 clinical trials and include 2229 blood samples from 322 healthy subjects who were randomised to receive a 40 mg/kg intravenous dose of raxibacumab over a period of 2.25 hours. Population pharmacokinetic modelling was performed using a nonlinear mixed effects approach. Secondary parameters of interest were the area under the curve, maximum concentration and the time of serum raxibacumab concentrations greater than or equimolar to the highest serum protective antigen concentrations observed for at least 28 days in any monkey challenged with B. anthracis that died. RESULTS: Raxibacumab exposure in healthy subjects was described by a 2-compartment model. Interindividual variability was estimated for all model parameters, whilst residual variability was described by a proportional and additive error model. Weight was the only influential covariate with significant effect on disposition parameters. CONCLUSIONS: A dose of 40 mg/kg provided comparable exposure across the overall healthy subject population. Interindividual variability in raxibacumab vs. time profiles could partially be accounted for by differences in body weight.

Extrapolation and dosing recommendations for raxibacumab in children from birth to age <18 years.

AIMS: The US Food and Drug Administration's Animal Rule allows for the approval of drugs when human efficacy studies are not ethical. While the therapeutic doses of raxibacumab, a monoclonal antibody for the prophylaxis and treatment of inhalational anthrax, have been based on pharmacokinetic data from adult subjects, its disposition in children has not been investigated in clinical trials. Here we evaluate the effect of demographic covariates and maturation processes on the pharmacokinetics of raxibacumab and explore opportunities for the optimisation of paediatric doses. METHODS: A population pharmacokinetic model was used as basis for the extrapolation of raxibacumab disposition from adults to children. Different extrapolation scenarios, including weight-banded dosing regimens, were considered to assess the effect of growth and maturation on the pharmacokinetic parameters of interest. Area under the concentration-time curve, maximum plasma concentration and the time of serum raxibacumab concentrations greater than or equimolar to the highest serum protective antigen concentrations observed for at least 28 days in any monkey challenged with Bacillus anthracis that died were derived and compared with the currently approved US doses. RESULTS: Based on practical considerations, a weight-banded dosing regimen consisting of 4 dose levels (75 mg/kg for individuals ≤1.5 kg, 55 mg/kg for individuals <10 kg, 45 mg/kg for individuals <50 kg, 40 mg/kg for all individuals >50 kg) was required to optimise target exposure across the paediatric population. CONCLUSIONS: Age-related maturation processes may affect raxibacumab clearance in very young patients. The proposed dosing regimens take into account effects of body weight and maturation processes on the elimination of raxibacumab.

A Phase 2 Study of AMO-02 (Tideglusib) in Congenital and Childhood-Onset Myotonic Dystrophy Type 1 (DM1).

BACKGROUND: GSK3ß is an intracellular regulatory kinase that is dysregulated in multiple tissues in type 1 myotonic dystrophy, a rare neuromuscular disorder that manifests at any age. AMO-02 (tideglusib) inhibits GSK3ß activity in preclinical models of type 1 myotonic dystrophy and promotes cellular maturation as well as normalizes aberrant molecular and behavioral phenotypes. This phase 2 study assessed the pharmacokinetics, safety and tolerability, and preliminary efficacy of AMO-02 in adolescents and adults with congenital and childhood-onset type 1 myotonic dystrophy. METHODS: Sixteen subjects (aged 13 to 34 years) with congenital and childhood-onset type 1 myotonic dystrophy received 12 weeks of single-blind fixed-dose oral treatment with either 400 mg (n = 8) or 1000 mg (n = 8) AMO-02 (NCT02858908). Blood samples were obtained for pharmacokinetic assessment. Safety assessments, such as laboratory tests and electrocardiograms, as well as efficacy assessments of syndromal, cognitive, and muscular functioning, were obtained. RESULTS: AMO-02 plasma concentrations conformed to a two-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination, and dose-dependent increases in exposure (area under the curve) were observed. AMO-02 was generally safe and well-tolerated. No early discontinuations due to adverse events or dose adjustments of AMO-02 occurred. The majority of subjects manifested clinical improvement in their central nervous system and neuromuscular symptoms after 12 weeks of treatment compared with the placebo baseline, with a larger response noted at the 1000 mg/day dose level. AMO-02 exposure (cumulative area under the curve) was significantly correlated (P < 0.01) with change from baseline on several key efficacy assessments. CONCLUSION: AMO-02 has favorable pharmacokinetic and clinical risk/benefit profiles meriting further study as a potential treatment for congenital and childhood-onset type 1 myotonic dystrophy.

Use of prior knowledge and extrapolation in paediatric drug development: A case study with deferasirox.

The characterisation of pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and dose-exposure-response relationships requires data arising from well-designed study protocols and a relatively large sample from the target patient population. Such a prerequisite is unrealistic for paediatric rare diseases, where the patient population is often vulnerable and very small. In such cases, different sources of data and knowledge need to be considered to ensure trial designs are truly informative and oncoming data can be analysed efficiently. Here, we use clinical trial simulations to assess the contribution of historical data for (1) the analysis of sparse samples from a limited number of children and (2) the optimisation of study design when an increase in the number of subjects is not feasible. The evaluation of the pharmacokinetics of deferasirox in paediatric patients affected by haemoglobinopathies was used as case study. Our investigation shows that the incorporation of prior knowledge increases parameter precision and probability of successful convergence from only 12% with no priors to 56% and 75% for weakly and highly informative priors, respectively. In addition, results suggest that even when only one sample is collected per subject, as implemented in the original trial and in many other examples in clinical research, there is a 60% probability of biased parameter estimates (>25%). In conjunction with adult prior information and optimisation techniques, the probability of bias could be limited to <20% by increasing the number of samples/subject from 1 to 3. The methodology described here can be easily applied to other studies in small populations.

Double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study of trofinetide in pediatric Rett syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To determine safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics of trofinetide and evaluate its efficacy in female children/adolescents with Rett syndrome (RTT), a debilitating neurodevelopmental condition for which no pharmacotherapies directed at core features are available. METHODS: This was a phase 2, multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study, in which safety/tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and clinical response to trofinetide were characterized in 82 children/adolescents with RTT, aged 5 to 15 years. Sixty-two participants were randomized 1:1:1:1 to receive placebo twice a day (bid) for 14 days, followed by placebo, 50, 100, or 200 mg/kg bid of trofinetide for 42 days. Following blinded safety data review, 20 additional participants were randomized 1:1 to the 200 mg/kg or placebo bid groups. Safety assessments included adverse events, clinical laboratory tests, physical examinations, and concomitant medications. Clinician- and caregiver-based efficacy measurements assessed clinically relevant, phenotypic dimensions of impairment of RTT. RESULTS: All dose levels were well tolerated and generally safe. Trofinetide at 200 mg/kg bid showed statistically significant and clinically relevant improvements relative to placebo on the Rett Syndrome Behaviour Questionnaire, RTT-Clinician Domain Specific Concerns-Visual Analog Scale, and Clinical Global Impression Scale-Improvement. Exploratory analyses suggested that observed changes correlated with trofinetide exposure. CONCLUSION: These results, together with those from a previous adolescent/adult trial, indicate trofinetide's potential for treating core RTT symptoms and support further trials. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class I evidence that for children/adolescents with RTT, trofinetide was safe, well-tolerated, and demonstrated improvement over placebo at 200 mg/kg bid in functionally important dimensions of RTT.

Population pharmacokinetics of NNZ-2566 in healthy subjects.

NNZ-2566 is a novel, small molecule being developed as a treatment for cognitive impairment in different CNS conditions, including Rett and Fragile-X syndrome, both of which are associated with moderate to severe neurodevelopmental disorder. In the current study we characterise the population pharmacokinetics of NNZ-2566 after administration of single and repeated ascending doses to healthy subjects. A meta-analytical approach was used to analyse pharmacokinetic data from 3 different studies, in which a total of 61 healthy subjects (median age: 23years, range: 19 to 38) were treated with NNZ-2566. Doses of NNZ-2566 ranged from 6.0 to 100mg/kg after oral administration and from 0.1 to 30mg/kg after intravenous administration. A two-compartment model with first order absorption and elimination was found to best describe the pharmacokinetics of NNZ-2566. Inter-individual variability was identified in clearance, absorption rate, central volume of distribution, peripheral volume of distribution and inter-compartmental clearance. Population predicted clearance and central volume of distribution were 10.35L/h and 20.23L, respectively. Dose proportionality was observed across the dose range evaluated in healthy subjects. No accumulation, metabolic inhibition or induction was observed during the course of treatment. In addition, oral bioavailability appeared to vary with food intake. The relatively short half-life of 1.4h suggests the need for a twice or three times daily regimen to maintain relevant blood levels of NNZ-2566.

Biomarker exposure-response relationships as the basis for rational dose selection: Lessons from a simulation exercise using a selective COX-2 inhibitor.

An exposure-response model was used to characterize the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationship of GW406381, a COX-2 inhibitor, based on data from ex vivo prostaglandin E2 inhibition collected in a phase 1 study in healthy subjects. The final model was then used to simulate a proof-of-concept study and to explore suitable dosing ranges in case of hepatic dysfunction or metabolic induction. Trough concentrations in the range of IC80 to IC95 were used as target therapeutic concentrations. Symptom relief in a subsequent phase 2b study in 400 patients with rheumatoid arthritis receiving GW406381 was then analysed to support the design of a phase 3 study in which doses in the range between 10 to 400 mg were explored. The exercise also allowed the evaluation of correlations between the biomarker and clinical end point. A 2-compartment model described the pharmacokinetics of GW406381, whereas the pharmacodynamics was described by an Imax model. In patients with normal organ function, the predicted median therapeutic dose was between 100 and 150 mg. The time course of symptom relief was fitted by a Weibull model, with an Imax model describing the drug effect. Simulations showed that dose-response discrimination occurred at doses higher than 150 mg, with predicted 60%-80% target engagement in the dose range of 150-400 mg.