Prognostic Significance of Incidental Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients with Cancer Presenting with Incidental Pulmonary Embolism.

In symptomatic acute pulmonary embolism (PE), the presence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a risk factor for 30- and 90-day mortality. In patients with cancer and incidental PE, the prognostic effect of concomitant incidental DVT is unknown. In this retrospective study, we examined the effect of incidental DVT on all-cause mortality in such patients. Adjusted Cox multivariate regression analysis was used for relevant covariates. From January 2010 to March 2018, we included 200 patients (mean age, 65.3 ± 12.4 years) who were followed up for 12.5 months (interquartile range 7.4-19.4 months). Of these patients, 62% had metastases, 31% had concomitant incidental DVT, and 40.1% (n = 81) died during follow-up. All-cause mortality did not increase in patients with DVT (hazard ratio [HR] 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-2.75, p = 0.855). On multivariate analysis, weight (adjusted HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-0.99, p = 0.032), and metastasis (adjusted HR 10.26, 95% CI 2.35-44.9, p = 0.002) were predictors of all-cause mortality. In conclusion, low weight and presence of metastases were associated with all-cause mortality, while presence of concomitant DVT was unrelated to poorer survival.

Riesgo de recurrencia tras retirada de la anticoagulación en pacientes con enfermedad tromboembólica venosa no provocada: validación externa del nomograma de Viena y del modelo predictivo DASH / Risk Of Recurrence After Withdrawal Of Anticoagulation In Patients With Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism: External Validation Of The Vienna Nomogram And The Dash Prediction Score

Introducción: Las escalas predictivas de recurrencias de ETV son útiles para decidir la duración del tratamiento anticoagulante. Aunque hay varias escalas, desconocemos la aplicabilidad de las mismas en nuestro medio. Por ello nos planteamos validar el modelo predictivo DASH y el nomograma de Viena a 12 meses. Métodos: Estudio retrospectivo de pacientes consecutivos no seleccionados con ETV no provocada desde 2006 hasta 2014. Comparamos la capacidad de predecir recurrencias de ETV de la escala DASH y el nomograma de Viena. La validación se realizó estratificando a los pacientes como de bajo o alto riesgo, según cada escala (discriminación) y comparando las recurrencias observadas frente a las esperadas (calibración). Resultados: De 353 pacientes evaluados, se analizaron 195, con una edad media de 53,5+/-19 años. Hubo 21 recurrencias a 1 año (10,8%, IC95%: 6,8-16%). Según la escala DASH, fueron catalogados de bajo riesgo el 42%, observando ETV recurrente en el grupo de bajo fue del 4,9% (IC95%: 1,3-12%) vs. el grupo de alto riesgo en que fue del 15% (IC95%: 9-23%) (p < 0,05). Según el nomograma de Viena, fueron catalogados de bajo riesgo el 30%, observando ETV recurrente en el grupo de bajo vs. alto riesgo en el 4,2% (IC95%: 0,5-14%) vs. 16,2% (IC95%: 9,9-24,4%) (p < 0,05). Conclusiones: Nuestro estudio valida la escala DASH y el nomograma de Viena en nuestra población. El modelo predictivo DASH sería el más aconsejable, tanto por su sencillez como por la capacidad de identificar a más pacientes de bajo riesgo frente al nomograma de Viena (42% vs. 30%)

Introduction: Scales for predicting venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence are useful for deciding the duration of the anticoagulant treatment. Although there are several scales, the most appropriate for our setting has not been identified. For this reason, we aimed to validate the DASH prediction score and the Vienna nomogram at 12 months. Methods: This was a retrospective study of unselected consecutive VTE patients seen between 2006 and 2014. We compared the ability of the DASH score and the Vienna nomogram to predict recurrences of VTE. The validation was performed by stratifying patients as low-risk or high-risk, according to each scale (discrimination) and comparing the observed recurrence with the expected rate (calibration). Results: Of 353 patients evaluated, 195 were analyzed, with an average age of 53.5 ± 19 years. There were 21 recurrences in 1 year (10.8%, 95% CI: 6.8%-16%). According to the DASH score, 42% were classified as low risk, and the rate of VTE recurrence in this group was 4.9% (95% CI: 1.3%-12%) vs. the high-risk group that was 15% (95% CI: 9%-23%) (p <.05). According to the Vienna nomogram, 30% were classified as low risk, and the rate of VTE recurrence in the low risk group vs. the high risk group was 4.2% (95% CI:0.5%-14%) vs. 16.2% (95% CI: 9.9%-24.4%) (p <.05). Conclusions: Our study validates the DASH score and the Vienna nomogram in our population. The DASH prediction score may be the most advisable, both because of its simplicity and its ability to identify more low-risk patients than the Vienna nomogram (42% vs. 30%)

Risk Of Recurrence After Withdrawal Of Anticoagulation In Patients With Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism: External Validation Of The Vienna Nomogram And The Dash Prediction Score. / Riesgo de recurrencia tras retirada de la anticoagulación en pacientes con enfermedad tromboembólica venosa no provocada: validación externa del nomograma de Viena y del modelo predictivo DASH.

INTRODUCTION: Scales for predicting venous thromboembolism (VTE) recurrence are useful for deciding the duration of the anticoagulant treatment. Although there are several scales, the most appropriate for our setting has not been identified. For this reason, we aimed to validate the DASH prediction score and the Vienna nomogram at 12 months. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of unselected consecutive VTE patients seen between 2006 and 2014. We compared the ability of the DASH score and the Vienna nomogram to predict recurrences of VTE. The validation was performed by stratifying patients as low-risk or high-risk, according to each scale (discrimination) and comparing the observed recurrence with the expected rate (calibration). RESULTS: Of 353 patients evaluated, 195 were analyzed, with an average age of 53.5 ± 19 years. There were 21 recurrences in 1 year (10.8%, 95% CI: 6.8%-16%). According to the DASH score, 42% were classified as low risk, and the rate of VTE recurrence in this group was 4.9% (95% CI: 1.3%-12%) vs. the high-risk group that was 15% (95% CI: 9%-23%) (p <.05). According to the Vienna nomogram, 30% were classified as low risk, and the rate of VTE recurrence in the low risk group vs. the high risk group was 4.2% (95% CI:0.5%-14%) vs. 16.2% (95% CI: 9.9%-24.4%) (p <.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our study validates the DASH score and the Vienna nomogram in our population. The DASH prediction score may be the most advisable, both because of its simplicity and its ability to identify more low-risk patients than the Vienna nomogram (42% vs. 30%).