Response to Glucocorticoid Therapy in Patients with Mild to Moderate Coronavirus Disease 2019 at a Japanese Care Facility.

The fifth wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by delta variant infection depleted medical resources, and the Japanese government announced glucocorticoid use for outpatients. An appropriate outpatient-glucocorticoid treatment for COVID-19 has not been established; therefore, we created treatment manuals with indications for glucocorticoid administration in a care facility adequately equipped to manage patients with mild to moderate COVID-19. Thirty-eight patients (24 males, 14 females; mean age 40.5 ± 11.8 years) were treated with glucocorticoids from August 1 to October 1, 2021 [COVID-19 staging, mild (n = 1), moderate I (n = 19), and moderate II (n = 18)]. Patients were treated with 6.6 mg/day d.i.v. or 6 mg/day p.o. dexamethasone, or 20-30 mg/day p.o. prednisolone. The median (25th-75th percentile) number of days from the date of onset to glucocorticoid administration was 8.0 days (7.0-11.25 days). While 24 patients were hospitalized, the condition of 14 improved without hospitalization. The median number of days from glucocorticoid administration to hospitalization was 1.0 day (range, 1.0-1.0 day). In the non-hospitalized patients, the median number of days of glucocorticoid administration was 5.0 days (5.0-5.25 days). The mean number of days from glucocorticoid administration to discharge from the care facility for non-hospitalized patients was 8.4 ± 3.3 days. The adverse reactions among non-hospitalized patients included insomnia (n = 1) and mild liver dysfunction (n = 3). The present method of glucocorticoid administration can be safely used for patients with COVID-19 in care facilities.

Model-based analysis on social acceptability and feasibility of a focused protection strategy against the COVID-19 pandemic.

This paper studies the social acceptability and feasibility of a focused protection strategy against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We propose a control scheme to develop herd immunity while satisfying the following two basic requirements for a viable policy option. The first requirement is social acceptability: the overall deaths should be minimized for social acceptance. The second is feasibility: the healthcare system should not be overwhelmed to avoid various adverse effects. To exploit the fact that the disease severity increases considerably with age and comorbidities, we assume that some focused protection measures for those high-risk individuals are implemented and the disease does not spread within the high-risk population. Because the protected population has higher severity ratios than the unprotected population by definition, the protective measure can substantially reduce mortality in the whole population and also avoid the collapse of the healthcare system. Based on a simple susceptible-infected-recovered model, social acceptability and feasibility of the proposed strategy are summarized into two easily computable conditions. The proposed framework can be applied to various populations for studying the viability of herd immunity strategies against COVID-19. For Japan, herd immunity may be developed by the proposed scheme if [Formula: see text] and the severity rates of the disease are 1/10 times smaller than the previously reported value, although as high mortality as seasonal influenza is expected.