Mitoxantrone, etoposide and cytarabine following epigenetic priming with decitabine in adults with relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia or other high-grade myeloid neoplasms: a phase 1/2 study.

DNA methyltransferase inhibitors sensitize leukemia cells to chemotherapeutics. We therefore conducted a phase 1/2 study of mitoxantrone, etoposide and cytarabine following 'priming' with 5-10 days of decitabine (dec/MEC) in 52 adults (median age 55 (range: 19-72) years) with relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or other high-grade myeloid neoplasms. During dose escalation in cohorts of 6-12 patients, all dose levels were well tolerated. As response rates appeared similar with 7 and 10 days of decitabine, a 7-day course was defined as the recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D). Among 46 patients treated at/above the RP2D, 10 (22%) achieved a complete remission (CR), 8 without measurable residual disease; five additional patients achieved CR with incomplete platelet recovery, for an overall response rate of 33%. Seven patients (15%) died within 28 days of treatment initiation. Infection/neutropenic fever, nausea and mucositis were the most common adverse events. While the CR rate compared favorably to a matched historic control population (observed/expected CR ratio=1.77), CR rate and survival were similar to two contemporary salvage regimens used at our institution (G-CLAC (granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF); clofarabine; cytarabine) and G-CLAM (G-CSF; cladribine; cytarabine; mitoxantrone)). Thus, while meeting the prespecified efficacy goal, we found no evidence that dec/MEC is substantially better than other cytarabine-based regimens currently used for relapsed/refractory AML.

Assessing treatment efficacy in the subset of responders in a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Durability of response is a clinically relevant dimension of the treatment effect in randomized clinical trials; it is often measured by comparing among the responders the duration of response between the treatment arms. However, since the comparison groups are defined by response (a post-randomization event), it is subject to analysis-by-responder bias, especially if the proportion of responders differs between the arms. METHODS: Two simple methods are developed that use tumor shrinkage measurements in order to lessen analysis-by-responder bias by generating more comparable patient subsets in the control and experimental arms of the trial. These subsets are then used to estimate between-arm differences in response duration. In the subtraction method, responding patients with the least tumor shrinkage in the treatment arm with more responders are removed from the patient subset for that arm. In the addition method, non-responding patients with the most tumor shrinkage in the treatment arm with fewer responders are added to the patient subset for that arm. In both methods, the numbers of patients subtracted or added are such that the proportion of patients in the modified patient subset is the same as the proportion of responders in the other treatment arm. RESULTS: The methods are demonstrated on a hypothetical dataset where they are shown to eliminate analysis-by-responder bias, and on two published analyses of randomized trials that compared the duration of response between the treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed methods can lessen the analysis-by-responder bias. These methods to compare duration of response between treatment arms may provide a useful exploratory analysis to measure treatment efficacy among responders.

Pre- and post-transplant quantification of measurable ('minimal') residual disease via multiparameter flow cytometry in adult acute myeloid leukemia.

Measurable ('minimal') residual disease (MRD) before or after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) identifies adults with AML at risk of poor outcomes. Here, we studied whether peri-transplant MRD dynamics can refine risk assessment. We analyzed 279 adults receiving myeloablative allogeneic HCT in first or second remission who survived at least 35 days and underwent 10-color multiparametric flow cytometry (MFC) analyses of marrow aspirates before and 28±7 days after transplantation. MFC-detectable MRD before (n=63) or after (n=16) transplantation identified patients with high relapse risk and poor survival. Forty-nine patients cleared MRD with HCT conditioning, whereas two patients developed new evidence of disease. The 214 MRD(neg)/MRD(neg) patients had excellent outcomes, whereas both MRD(neg)/MRD(pos) patients died within 100 days following transplantation. For patients with pre-HCT MRD, outcomes were poor regardless of post-HCT MRD status, although survival beyond 3 years was only observed among the 58 patients with decreasing but not the seven patients with increasing peri-HCT MRD levels. In multivariable models, pre-HCT but not post-HCT MRD was independently associated with overall survival and risk of relapse. These data indicate that MRD(pos) patients before transplantation have a high relapse risk regardless of whether or not they clear MFC-detectable disease with conditioning and should be considered for pre-emptive therapeutic strategies.

Resistance prediction in AML: analysis of 4601 patients from MRC/NCRI, HOVON/SAKK, SWOG and MD Anderson Cancer Center.

Therapeutic resistance remains the principal problem in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We used area under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) to quantify our ability to predict therapeutic resistance in individual patients, where AUC=1.0 denotes perfect prediction and AUC=0.5 denotes a coin flip, using data from 4601 patients with newly diagnosed AML given induction therapy with 3+7 or more intense standard regimens in UK Medical Research Council/National Cancer Research Institute, Dutch-Belgian Cooperative Trial Group for Hematology/Oncology/Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research, US cooperative group SWOG and MD Anderson Cancer Center studies. Age, performance status, white blood cell count, secondary disease, cytogenetic risk and FLT3-ITD/NPM1 mutation status were each independently associated with failure to achieve complete remission despite no early death ('primary refractoriness'). However, the AUC of a bootstrap-corrected multivariable model predicting this outcome was only 0.78, indicating only fair predictive ability. Removal of FLT3-ITD and NPM1 information only slightly decreased the AUC (0.76). Prediction of resistance, defined as primary refractoriness or short relapse-free survival, was even more difficult. Our limited ability to forecast resistance based on routinely available pretreatment covariates provides a rationale for continued randomization between standard and new therapies and supports further examination of genetic and posttreatment data to optimize resistance prediction in AML.

Heterogeneity of clonal expansion and maturation-linked mutation acquisition in hematopoietic progenitors in human acute myeloid leukemia.

Recent technological advances led to an appreciation of the genetic complexity of human acute myeloid leukemia (AML), but underlying progenitor cells remain poorly understood because their rarity precludes direct study. We developed a co-culture method integrating hypoxia, aryl hydrocarbon receptor inhibition and micro-environmental support via human endothelial cells to isolate these cells. X-chromosome inactivation studies of the least mature precursors derived following prolonged culture of CD34(+)/CD33(-) cells revealed polyclonal growth in highly curable AMLs, suggesting that mutations necessary for clonal expansion were acquired in more mature progenitors. Consistently, in core-binding factor (CBF) leukemias with known complementing mutations, immature precursors derived following prolonged culture of CD34(+)/CD33(-) cells harbored neither mutation or the CBF mutation alone, whereas more mature precursors often carried both mutations. These results were in contrast to those with leukemias with poor prognosis that showed clonal dominance in the least mature precursors. These data indicate heterogeneity among progenitors in human AML that may have prognostic and therapeutic implications.

Declining rates of treatment-related mortality in patients with newly diagnosed AML given 'intense' induction regimens: a report from SWOG and MD Anderson.

Less-intense remission induction regimens for adults with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) aim to reduce treatment-related mortality (TRM), here defined as death within 4 weeks after starting induction therapy. This assumes that TRM rates are similar to the 15-20% observed 20 years ago. Herein we test this assumption. We examined TRM rates in 1409 patients treated on SWOG (Southwest Oncology Group) trials and 1942 patients treated at MD Anderson (MDA) from 1991 to 2009. Eighty-eight percent of SWOG patients received '3+7' or regimens of similar intensity while 92% of the MDA patients received ara-C at 1.5-2.0 g/m(2) daily × 3-5 days+other cytotoxic agents. We examined the relationship between time and TRM rates after accounting for other covariates. TRM rates between 1991 and 2009 decreased from 18-3% in SWOG and 16-4% at MDA. Multivariate analyses showed a significant decrease in TRM over time (P=0.001). The decrease in TRM was not limited to younger patients, those with a better performance status or a lower white blood cell count. Though our observations are limited to patients treated with intensive therapy at SWOG institutions and MDA, the decrease in TRM with time emphasizes the problem with historical controls and could be considered when selecting AML induction therapy.

Development and validation of a model predictive of occult nipple involvement in women undergoing mastectomy.

BACKGROUND: This prospective study aimed to build a predictive model using preoperative information to aid selection for nipple-sparing mastectomy. METHODS: Two hundred consecutive skin-sparing mastectomy specimens without overt nipple involvement were evaluated. Demographic, preoperative pathology and imaging information was collected. Nipple specimens (2 x 2 x 2 cm) were sectioned at 3-mm intervals. Haematoxylin and eosin-stained slides were examined by a breast pathologist for involvement by tumour. Logistic regression analyses of 65 therapeutic procedures identified factors associated with occult involvement and created a predictive model. This was tested on specimens from a further 65 therapeutic procedures. RESULTS: Occult nipple involvement was noted in 32 (24.6 per cent) of 130 mastectomy specimens. In the training set, imaging diameter of the lesion and its distance from the nipple predicted nipple involvement on univariable analysis (P = 0.011 and P = 0.014 respectively). The multivariable logistic regression model was validated in the test set. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were 0.824 and 0.709 for the training and test sets respectively. CONCLUSION: Three-quarters of women undergoing mastectomy did not have occult nipple involvement. A clinical tool including tumour size and distance from the nipple has been developed to improve patient selection for nipple-sparing mastectomy.