Unusual early peaks of airborne ragweed (Ambrosia L.) pollen in the Pannonian Biogeographical Region.

Early peaks of airborne ragweed (Ambrosia L.) pollen concentrations were observed at several monitoring stations in Hungary in June 2017 and 2018, one month before the usual start of the pollen season at the end of July. Backward trajectories were calculated to simulate potential sources of pollen collected at different locations in the Pannonian Biogeographical Region. In a collaboration between aerobiological and phenological networks, a nationwide campaign was conducted to collect field data of ragweed blooming. During field surveys, ragweed plants having extremely early blooming were found most abundantly in a rural site near Vaja (North-East Hungary) and other locations in Hungary. Field observations matched with source areas identified by trajectory analyses; i.e., early-flowering ragweed plants were found at some of these locations. Although similar peaks of airborne pollen concentrations were not detected in other years (e.g., 2016, 2019-2021), alarming results suggest the possibility of expanding seasons of ragweed allergy.

European all-cause excess and influenza-attributable mortality in the 2017/18 season: should the burden of influenza B be reconsidered?

OBJECTIVES: Weekly monitoring of European all-cause excess mortality, the EuroMOMO network, observed high excess mortality during the influenza B/Yamagata dominated 2017/18 winter season, especially among elderly. We describe all-cause excess and influenza-attributable mortality during the season 2017/18 in Europe. METHODS: Based on weekly reporting of mortality from 24 European countries or sub-national regions, representing 60% of the European population excluding the Russian and Turkish parts of Europe, we estimated age stratified all-cause excess morality using the EuroMOMO model. In addition, age stratified all-cause influenza-attributable mortality was estimated using the FluMOMO algorithm, incorporating influenza activity based on clinical and virological surveillance data, and adjusting for extreme temperatures. RESULTS: Excess mortality was mainly attributable to influenza activity from December 2017 to April 2018, but also due to exceptionally low temperatures in February-March 2018. The pattern and extent of mortality excess was similar to the previous A(H3N2) dominated seasons, 2014/15 and 2016/17. The 2017/18 overall all-cause influenza-attributable mortality was estimated to be 25.4 (95%CI 25.0-25.8) per 100,000 population; 118.2 (116.4-119.9) for persons aged 65. Extending to the European population this translates into over-all 152,000 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The high mortality among elderly was unexpected in an influenza B dominated season, which commonly are considered to cause mild illness, mainly among children. Even though A(H3N2) also circulated in the 2017/18 season and may have contributed to the excess mortality among the elderly, the common perception of influenza B only having a modest impact on excess mortality in the older population may need to be reconsidered.

Spatial and temporal variations in airborne Ambrosia pollen in Europe.

The European Commission Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) Action FA1203 "SMARTER" aims to make recommendations for the sustainable management of Ambrosia across Europe and for monitoring its efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The goal of the present study is to provide a baseline for spatial and temporal variations in airborne Ambrosia pollen in Europe that can be used for the management and evaluation of this noxious plant. The study covers the full range of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. distribution over Europe (39°N-60°N; 2°W-45°E). Airborne Ambrosia pollen data for the principal flowering period of Ambrosia (August-September) recorded during a 10-year period (2004-2013) were obtained from 242 monitoring sites. The mean sum of daily average airborne Ambrosia pollen and the number of days that Ambrosia pollen was recorded in the air were analysed. The mean and standard deviation (SD) were calculated regardless of the number of years included in the study period, while trends are based on those time series with 8 or more years of data. Trends were considered significant at p < 0.05. There were few significant trends in the magnitude and frequency of atmospheric Ambrosia pollen (only 8% for the mean sum of daily average Ambrosia pollen concentrations and 14% for the mean number of days Ambrosia pollen were recorded in the air). The direction of any trends varied locally and reflected changes in sources of the pollen, either in size or in distance from the monitoring station. Pollen monitoring is important for providing an early warning of the expansion of this invasive and noxious plant.

Excess mortality among the elderly in European countries, December 2014 to February 2015.

Since December 2014 and up to February 2015, the weekly number of excess deaths from all-causes among individuals ≥ 65 years of age in 14 European countries have been significantly higher than in the four previous winter seasons. The rise in unspecified excess mortality coincides with increased proportion of influenza detection in the European influenza surveillance schemes with a main predominance of influenza A (H3N2) viruses seen throughout Europe in the current season, though cold snaps and other respiratory infections may also have had an effect.

The paradox of the binomial Ixodes ricinus activity and the observed unimodal Lyme borreliosis season in Hungary.

The change of ambient temperature plays a key role in determining the run of the annual Lyme season. Our aim was to explain the apparent contradiction between the annual unimodal Lyme borreliosis incidence and the bimodal Ixodes ricinus tick activity run--both observed in Hungary--by distinguishing the temperature-dependent seasonal human and tick activity, the temperature-independent factors, and the multiplicative effect of human outdoor activity in summer holiday, using data from Hungary in the period of 1998-2012. This separation was verified by modeling the Lyme incidence based on the separated factors, and comparing the run of the observed and modeled incidence. We demonstrated the bimodality of tick season by using the originally unimodal Lyme incidence data. To model the outdoor human activity, the amount of camping guest nights was used, which showed an irregular run from mid-June to September. The human outdoor activity showed a similar exponential correlation with ambient temperature to that what the relative incidence did. It was proved that summer holiday has great influence on Lyme incidence.

Pooling European all-cause mortality: methodology and findings for the seasons 2008/2009 to 2010/2011.

Several European countries have timely all-cause mortality monitoring. However, small changes in mortality may not give rise to signals at the national level. Pooling data across countries may overcome this, particularly if changes in mortality occur simultaneously. Additionally, pooling may increase the power of monitoring populations with small numbers of expected deaths, e.g. younger age groups or fertile women. Finally, pooled analyses may reveal patterns of diseases across Europe. We describe a pooled analysis of all-cause mortality across 16 European countries. Two approaches were explored. In the 'summarized' approach, data across countries were summarized and analysed as one overall country. In the 'stratified' approach, heterogeneities between countries were taken into account. Pooling using the 'stratified' approach was the most appropriate as it reflects variations in mortality. Excess mortality was observed in all winter seasons albeit slightly higher in 2008/09 than 2009/10 and 2010/11. In the 2008/09 season, excess mortality was mainly in elderly adults. In 2009/10, when pandemic influenza A(H1N1) dominated, excess mortality was mainly in children. The 2010/11 season reflected a similar pattern, although increased mortality in children came later. These patterns were less clear in analyses based on data from individual countries. We have demonstrated that with stratified pooling we can combine local mortality monitoring systems and enhance monitoring of mortality across Europe.

Excess mortality among the elderly in 12 European countries, February and March 2012.

In February and March 2012, excess deaths among the elderly have been observed in 12 European countries that carry out weekly monitoring of all-cause mortality. These preliminary data indicate that the impact of influenza in Europe differs from the recent pandemic and post-pandemic seasons. The current excess mortality among the elderly may be related to the return of influenza A(H3N2) virus, potentially with added effects of a cold snap.

The temporal pattern of mortality responses to ambient ozone in the APHEA project.

BACKGROUND: The temporal pattern of effects of summertime ozone (O(3)) in total, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality were investigated in 21 European cities participating in the APHEA-2 (Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach) project, which is fundamental in determining the importance of the effect in terms of life loss. METHODS: Data from each city were analysed separately using distributed lag models with up to 21 lags. City-specific air pollution estimates were regressed on city-specific covariates to obtain overall estimates and to explore sources of possible heterogeneity. RESULTS: Stronger effects on respiratory mortality that extend to a period of 2 weeks were found. A 10 microg/m(3) increase in O(3) was associated with a 0.36% (95% CI -0.21% to 0.94%) increase in respiratory deaths for lag 0 and with 3.35% (95% CI 1.90% to 4.83%) for lags 0-20. Significant adverse health effects were found of summer O(3) (June-August) on total and cardiovascular mortality that persist up to a week, but are counterbalanced by negative effects thereafter. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that studies on acute health effects of O(3) using single-day exposures may have overestimated the effects on total and cardiovascular mortality, but underestimated the effects on respiratory mortality.

Short-term effects of ambient particles on mortality in the elderly: results from 28 cities in the APHEA2 project.

Within the framework of the APHEA2 (Air Pollution on Health: a European Approach) project, the effects of ambient particles on mortality among persons > or = 65 yrs were investigated. Daily measurements for particles with a 50% cut-off aerodynamic diameter of 10 microm (PM10) and black smoke (BS), as well as the daily number of deaths among persons > or = 65 yrs of age, from 29 European cities, have been collected. Data on other pollutants and meteorological variables, to adjust for confounding effects and data on city characteristics, to investigate potential effect modification, were also recorded. For individual city analysis, generalised additive models extending Poisson regression, using a locally weighted regression (LOESS) smoother to control for seasonal effects, were applied. To combine individual city results and explore effect modification, second stage regression models were applied. The per cent increase (95% confidence intervals), associated with a 10 microg x m(-3) increase in PM10, in the elderly daily number of deaths was 0.8%, (0.7-0.9%) and the corresponding number for BS was 0.6%, (0.5-0.8%). The effect size was modified by the long-term average levels of nitrogen dioxide (higher levels were associated with larger effects), temperature (larger effects were observed in warmer countries), and by the proportion of the elderly in each city (a larger proportion was associated with higher effects). These results indicate that ambient particles have effects on mortality among the elderly, with relative risks comparable or slightly higher than those observed for total mortality and similar effect modification patterns. The effects among the older persons are of particular importance, since the attributable number of events will be much larger, compared to the number of deaths among the younger population.

Confounding and effect modification in the short-term effects of ambient particles on total mortality: results from 29 European cities within the APHEA2 project.

We present the results of the Air Pollution and Health: A European Approach 2 (APHEA2) project on short-term effects of ambient particles on mortality with emphasis on effect modification. We used daily measurements for particulate matter less than 10 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) and/or black smoke from 29 European cities. We considered confounding from other pollutants as well as meteorologic and chronologic variables. We investigated several variables describing the cities' pollution, climate, population, and geography as potential effect modifiers. For the individual city analysis, generalized additive models extending Poisson regression, using a smoother to control for seasonal patterns, were applied. To provide quantitative summaries of the results and explain remaining heterogeneity, we applied second-stage regression models. The estimated increase in the daily number of deaths for all ages for a 10 microg/m3 increase in daily PM10 or black smoke concentrations was 0.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.4-0.8%], whereas for the elderly it was slightly higher. We found important effect modification for several of the variables studied. Thus, in a city with low average NO2, the estimated increase in daily mortality for an increase of 10 microg/m3 in PM10 was 0.19 (95% CI = 0.00-0.41), whereas in a city with high average NO2 it was 0.80% (95% CI = 0.67-0.93%); in a relatively cold climate the corresponding effect was 0.29% (95% CI = 0.16-0.42), whereas in a warm climate it was 0.82% (95% CI = 0.69-0.96); in a city with low standardized mortality rate it was 0.80% (95% CI = 0.65-0.95%), and in one with a high rate it was 0.43% (95% CI = 0.24-0.62). Our results confirm those previously reported on the effects of ambient particles on mortality. Furthermore, they show that the heterogeneity found in the effect parameters among cities reflects real effect modification, which is explained by specific city characteristics.

[Spatial differences in mortality and morbidity from cancer of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx in Hungary] / Az ajak, szájüreg és garat rosszindulatú daganatos betegsége miatti halálozás valamint a morbiditás területi különbségei Magyarországon.

In evaluating the health state of the population one of the most reliable parameter is mortality. The development of statistical and spatial analytical methods gave a tool for evaluating mortality and morbidity in small areas. GIS mapping helps in the assessment of health state of small areas, to investigate causal relationship and create plans of intervention. Within the frames of the National Environmental Health Action Programme (NEHAP, 1996) a spatial statistical information system was elaborated. By the help of this system, mortality from cancer of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx (ICD-X.: C00-C14) was analysed for 1986-1997 and morbidity for 1997-1999 by computing standardised mortality and morbidity ratio. Regions with unfavourable mortality and morbidity were defined, statistical significance was tested. After age and gender stratification, a cluster analysis was also carried out. An international comparison of mortality was done as well. According to our data, mortality - most frequent in both sexes according to the international comparison - as well as morbidity showed a typical spatial distribution. An excess in mortality and morbidity is observable in the central part of the country, as well as in the Northern part and in traditional wine producing areas. The spatial accumulation of mortality is very similar to that of mortality from chronic liver diseases (ICD-X.: K70). In the primary prevention of oral cancer smoking cessation and the decrease of alcohol consumption is of great importance. Screening activity of GPs and dental doctors is of major importance in secondary prevention.

Association between the clastogenic effect in peripheral lymphocytes and human exposure to arsenic through drinking water.

We describe the association between structural chromosome aberrations (CAs) and parameters of exposure to arsenic among 42 individuals exposed to arsenic through well waters in Finland. The median concentration of arsenic in the wells was 410 microg/l, the total arsenic concentrations in urine (As-tot) was 180 microg/l, and in hair 1.3 microg/g, for current users (n = 32) of contaminated wells. Urinary arsenic species and CAs were also analyzed in eight control individuals from the same village who consumed water which contained arsenic <1.0 microg/l (detection limit). Increased arsenic exposure, indicated best by increased concentrations of arsenic species (inorganic arsenic, methylarsonic acid (MMA), dimethylarsinic acid (DMA)) in urine, was associated with increased frequency of CAs. The increased urinary ratio of MMA/As-tot and the decreased ratio of DMA/As-tot were associated with increased CAs when all aberration types, including gaps, were considered. Associations between CAs and arsenic exposure indicators were stronger among current users than among persons who had stopped using the contaminated well water for 2-4 months before sampling (ex-users, n = 10). Furthermore, there was a positive but not statistically significant association between CAs and arsenic in hair among the current users, but not among the ex-users, who still had relatively high arsenic concentrations in hair. The results suggest that the effect observed in the present study reflects relatively recent arsenic exposure.

Air pollution and childrens' respiratory morbidity in the Tata area, Hungary.

Air pollution represents one of the most important environmental health hazards in Hungary. Irritant gases, like SO2 and NO2 levels exceed national and international standards in many settlements. Tata, a small town, situated in a basin, is one of the most polluted areas in Hungary. Longitudinal and cross-sectional studies have been conducted in children in the winter period of 1993/1994, with respect to SO2 and NO2 concentration. Average SO2 levels exceeded the national standard levels and daily peaks as high as 450 micrograms/m were recorded. Excessive NO2 levels were also found but they were not as high as those of SO2. Acute respiratory morbidity, based on a uniform protocol was recorded daily and evaluated on a daily and weekly basis. A statistically significant correlation with SO2 levels was observed in relation to the frequency of acute daily respiratory morbidity. Other health parameters, like pulmonary function, haematology and sensory performance were also tested. Although no statistically significant correlations were observed, the tendency in all parameters demonstrated impairment, in relation with ambient air pollution. Smoking history of the family did not alter significantly the pulmonary functions of other parameters.

Pesticide use related to cancer incidence as studied in a rural district of Hungary.

General mortality analysis showed an increasing tendency of circulatory diseases in two villages examined. Respiratory diseases and suicide were more frequent in the village with greater pesticide use (village I). The relative risk (RR) of gastric cancer for men is significantly higher in village I (high rate of pesticide use) than in the county as a whole (RR, 1.65; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.96-2.83) and also in relation to the national data (RR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.91-5.36). Since the nitrate concentration in the drinking water, the drug consumption, smoking and eating habits are similar in the two villages, and since alcohol consumption is higher in village II (moderate rate of pesticide use), it seems that nitrosable pesticides may play a role in the etiology of stomach cancer. This is supported by the fact that a higher number of gastric cancer cases was found where larger quantities of nitrosable pesticides had been used.

Cytogenetic studies on rural populations exposed to pesticides.

The authors have carried out cytological analysis of 72 h lymphocyte cultures from peripheral blood and internal examinations of 80 workers professionally exposed to a complex of pesticides and that of 24 control persons. There was a significant increase of chromosome aberrations in relation to the duration of exposure. The additive role of alcohol consumption and smoking in evoking aberrations was also studied with inconclusive results because of the limited number of cases. Internal examinations revealed a more frequent occurrence of acute as well as chronic diseases among the workers aged 21-40 years.

[The action of phenylmercuriacetate and nitrate in combined application in rats: the thyroid gland, liver enzymes and morphologic findings in the brain and kidney]. / Zur Wirkung von Phenylquecksilberacetat und Nitrat bei kombinierter Verabreichung an Ratten: Schilddrüse, Enzyme der Leber, morphologische Befunde an Gehirn und Nieren.

Rats were exposed to nitrate (NO3-) in drinking water, to phenylmercuryacetate (PMA) by gavage and to NO3- and PMA together during 4 different experiments. PMA impaired kidneys, NO3- thyroid gland, and NO3- and PMA together both organs. In the last case a synergistic effect on the thyroid gland was shown. The lowest effective concentration of NO3- was 40 mg/l. It resulted in histomorphological changes of the thyroid epithelial cells. That low effective dose of NO3- and possible synergistic effects should give a further impulse to take into consideration not only a low iodide intake but also goitrogenic environmental chemicals when evaluating the endemic goitre prevalence.

The effects of five weeks treatment with dinitro-o-cresol- or trifluralin-containing pesticides on the germ cells of male mice.

The effects of two pesticides, the insecticide-herbicide Krezonit E, which contains 50% dinitro-o-cresol, and the herbicide Olitref, which contains 26% trifluralin (2,6-dinitro-N,N-dipropyl-4-trifluoromethylaniline), on the gonads and germ cells of male mice were studied. The pesticides were given twice a week for 5 weeks in i.p. doses of 0.6 mg kg-1 for Krezonit E and 6.0 mg kg-1 for Olitref. These doses are 1% of the i.p. LD50. Cytogenic analysis of germ cells carried out from 3 weeks onwards after the last treatment day showed that Olitref significantly increased the frequency of germinal chromosomal abnormalities at 6-7 weeks after treatment. This pesticide increased the frequency of autosomal univalents X/Y separations at meiotic metaphase and multivalent configurations. Krezonit E did not increase significantly the number of chromosomal abnormalities, although there was some increase at 3 weeks, mainly in the form of autosomal univalents.