Projected effects of ocean warming on an iconic pelagic fish and its fishery.

Increasing sea temperature is a driver of change for many fish traits, particularly for fast-growing epipelagic species with short life spans. With warming, altered spawning phenology and faster growth may produce substantially larger body sizes of the new cohort, affecting fishery productivity. We present an individual-based model (IBM) that predicts the distribution of fish length at catch under observed and projected thermal scenarios, accounting for mortality, temperature-dependent spawning phenology, temperature- and photoperiod- dependent growth. This IBM was demonstrated with Coryphaena hippurus (common dolphinfish), a circumglobally-distributed and highly thermophilic species sustaining commercial and recreational fisheries where it is present. The model projected a 13.2% increase in the average length at catch under marine heatwave conditions compared to the current thermal regime (1995-2005 average). Projections under RCP scenarios 4.5 and 8.5 by the end of the century led to 5.1% and 12.8% increase in average length, respectively. Furthermore, these thermal scenarios affected spawning phenology differently, producing higher variance in body size under RCP 8.5 scenario with respect to marine heatwave conditions. This study highlights how the environmental effects of climate change can alter the distribution of species length at catch.

Are the shells of Scrobicularia plana useful for monitoring trace metal pollution events?

The rupture of a mine dam in Aznalcóllar (SW Spain) in April 1998 entailed the contamination of Guadalquivir River and its estuary. To study the ability of bivalve shells to monitor the temporal changes on metal composition in the area, two year old Scrobicularia plana were obtained from two different locations of the estuary (Pantalan highly influenced and Pantoca less influenced) during the year 2000 and 2007. Co, Hg, Mo, Ni and Zn content was measured in shell and soft tissue of S. plana. Metal composition in shells sampled by micromilling and corresponding to the years 1999, 2000, 2006 and 2007 was higher in Pantalan (Co: 5.88 +/- 2.7 microg g(-1); Hg: 0.04 +/- 0.03 microg g(-1); Mo: 0.41 +/- 7.90 microg g(-1); Ni: 37.66 +/- 25.56 microg g(-1) and Zn: 9.19 +/- 8.88 microg g(-1)) than in Pantoca (Co: 3.64 +/- 0.50 microg g(-1); Hg: 0.02 +/- 0.02 microg g(-1); Mo: 4.70 +/- 1.20 microg g(-1); Ni: 7.21 +/- 13.60 microg g(-1) and Zn: 3.90 +/- 1.89 microg g(-1)). A marked temporal decrease was observed for all metals in Pantalan station with concentrations of Co, Hg, Mo, Ni and Zn varying respectively from 7.35 +/- 3.02, 0.05 +/- 0.03, 19.90 +/- 2.40, 70.58 +/- 21.94 and 18.04 +/- 0.98 microg g(-1), in 1999 to 3.07 +/- 1.08, 0.009 +/- 0.001, 2.40 +/- 1.43, 10.11 +/- 3.80 and 1.11 +/- 0.33 microg g(-1) in 2007, indicating that the effect of the mine accident had diminished significantly. Metal content in soft tissues did not follow the same decreasing trend indicating that soft tissues present a different capacity to accumulate metals from the environment. Our results confirm that micromilling shells are a suitable tool to assess bioaccumulation ofcontaminants during the entire life-span of bivalves.