Long-Term Risk of Breast Cancer after Diagnosis of Benign Breast Disease by Screening Mammography.

Assessing the long-term risk of breast cancer after diagnosis of benign breast disease by mammography is of utmost importance to design personalised screening strategies. We analysed individual-level data from 778,306 women aged 50-69 years with at least one mammographic screening participation in any of ten breast cancer screening centers in Spain from 1996 to 2015, and followed-up until 2017. We used Poisson regression to compare the rates of incident breast cancer among women with and without benign breast disease. During a median follow-up of 7.6 years, 11,708 (1.5%) women had an incident of breast cancer and 17,827 (2.3%) had a benign breast disease. The risk of breast cancer was 1.77 times higher among women with benign breast disease than among those without (95% CI: 1.61 to 1.95). The relative risk increased to 1.99 among women followed for less than four years, and remained elevated for two decades, with relative risk 1.96 (95% CI: 1.32 to 2.92) for those followed from 12 to 20 years. Benign breast disease is a long-term risk factor for breast cancer. Women with benign breast disease could benefit from closer surveillance and personalized screening strategies.

Mammographic features of benign breast lesions and risk of subsequent breast cancer in women attending breast cancer screening.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the mammographic features in women with benign breast disease (BBD) and the risk of subsequent breast cancer according to their mammographic findings. METHODS: We analyzed data from a Spanish cohort of women screened from 1995 to 2015 and followed up until December 2017 (median follow-up, 5.9 years). We included 10,650 women who had both histologically confirmed BBD and mammographic findings. We evaluated proliferative and nonproliferative BBD subtypes, and their mammographic features: architectural distortion, asymmetries, calcifications, masses, and multiple findings. The adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for breast cancer were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. We plotted the adjusted cumulative incidence curves. RESULTS: Calcifications were more frequent in proliferative disease with atypia (43.9%) than without atypia (36.8%) or nonproliferative disease (22.2%; p value < 0.05). Masses were more frequent in nonproliferative lesions (59.1%) than in proliferative lesions without atypia (35.1%) or with atypia (30.0%; p value < 0.05). Multiple findings and architectural distortion were more likely in proliferative disease (16.1% and 4.7%) than in nonproliferative disease (12.8% and 1.9%). Subsequent breast cancer occurred in 268 (2.5%) women. Compared with women who had masses, the highest risk of subsequent breast cancer was found in those with architectural distortions (aHR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.16-4.22), followed by those with multiple findings (aHR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.34-2.66), asymmetries (aHR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.84-3.28), and calcifications (aHR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.21-2.12). CONCLUSION: BBD subtypes showed distinct mammographic findings. The risk of subsequent breast cancer was high in those who have shown architectural distortion, multiple findings, asymmetries, and calcifications than in women with masses. KEY POINTS: • The presence of mammographic findings in women attending breast cancer screening helps clinicians to assess women with benign breast disease (BBD). • Calcifications were frequent in BBDs with atypia, which are the ones with a high breast cancer risk, while masses were common in low-risk BBDs. • The excess risk of subsequent breast cancer in women with BBD was higher in those who showed architectural distortion compared to those with masses.

Breast density, benign breast disease, and risk of breast cancer over time.

OBJECTIVES: Assessing the combined effect of mammographic density and benign breast disease is of utmost importance to design personalized screening strategies. METHODS: We analyzed individual-level data from 294,943 women aged 50-69 years with at least one mammographic screening participation in any of four areas of the Spanish Breast Cancer Screening Program from 1995 to 2015, and followed up until 2017. We used partly conditional Cox models to assess the association between benign breast disease, breast density, and the risk of breast cancer. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.0 years, 3697 (1.25%) women had a breast cancer diagnosis and 5941 (2.01%) had a benign breast disease. More than half of screened women had scattered fibroglandular density (55.0%). The risk of breast cancer independently increased with the presence of benign breast disease and with the increase in breast density (p for interaction = 0.84). Women with benign breast disease and extremely dense breasts had a threefold elevated risk of breast cancer compared with those with scattered fibroglandular density and without benign breast disease (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.07; 95%CI = 2.01-4.68). Heterogeneous density and benign breast disease was associated with nearly a 2.5 elevated risk (HR = 2.48; 95%CI = 1.66-3.70). Those with extremely dense breast without a benign breast disease had a 2.27 increased risk (95%CI = 2.07-2.49). CONCLUSIONS: Women with benign breast disease had an elevated risk for over 15 years independently of their breast density category. Women with benign breast disease and dense breasts are at high risk for future breast cancer. KEY POINTS: • Benign breast disease and breast density were independently associated with breast cancer. • Women with benign breast disease had an elevated risk for up to 15 years independently of their mammographic density category.

Risk of breast cancer two years after a benign biopsy depends on the mammographic feature prompting recall.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to explore whether the type of mammographic feature prompting a false-positive recall (FPR) during mammography screening influences the risk and timing of breast cancer diagnosis, particularly if assessed with invasive procedures. STUDY DESIGN: We included information on women screened and recalled for further assessment in Spain between 1994 and 2015, with follow-up until 2017, categorizing FPRs by the assessment (noninvasive or invasive) and mammographic feature prompting the recall. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Breast cancer rates in the first two years after FPR (first period) and after two years (second period). RESULTS: The study included 99,825 women with FPRs. In both periods, the breast cancer rate was higher in the invasive assessment group than in the noninvasive group (first period 12 ‰ vs 1.9 ‰, p < 0.001; second period 4.4‰ vs 3.1‰, p < 0.001). During the first period, the invasive assessment group showed diverse breast cancer rates for each type of mammographic feature, with a higher rate for asymmetric density (31.9‰). When the second period was compared with the first, the breast cancer rate decreased in the invasive assessment group (from 12‰ to 4.4‰, p < 0.001) and increased in the noninvasive assessment group (from 1.9‰ to 3.1‰, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In the context of mammography screening, the risk of breast cancer diagnosis during the first two years after FPR was particularly high for women undergoing invasive assessment; importantly, the risk was modified by type of mammographic feature prompting the recall. This information could help to individualize follow-up after exclusion of malignancy.

Differences in breast cancer risk after benign breast disease by type of screening diagnosis.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to assess differences in breast cancer risk across benign breast disease diagnosed at prevalent or incident screens. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with data from 629,087 women participating in a long-standing population-based breast cancer screening program in Spain. Each benign breast disease was classified as non-proliferative, proliferative without atypia, or proliferative with atypia, and whether it was diagnosed in a prevalent or incident screen. We used partly conditional Cox hazard regression to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios of the risk of breast cancer. RESULTS: Compared with women without benign breast disease, the risk of breast cancer was significantly higher (p-value = 0.005) in women with benign breast disease diagnosed in an incident screen (aHR, 2.67; 95%CI: 2.24-3.19) than in those with benign breast disease diagnosed in a prevalent screen (aHR, 1.87; 95%CI: 1.57-2.24). The highest risk was found in women with a proliferative benign breast disease with atypia (aHR, 4.35; 95%CI: 2.09-9.08, and 3.35; 95%CI: 1.51-7.40 for those diagnosed at incident and prevalent screens, respectively), while the lowest was found in women with non-proliferative benign breast disease (aHR, 2.39; 95%CI: 1.95-2.93, and 1.63; 95%CI: 1.32-2.02 for those diagnosed at incident and prevalent screens, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the risk of breast cancer conferred by a benign breast disease differed according to type of screen (prevalent or incident). To our knowledge, this is the first study to analyse the impact of the screening type on benign breast disease prognosis.

Changes in mammographic density over time and the risk of breast cancer: An observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The effect of changes in mammographic density over time on the risk of breast cancer remains inconclusive. METHODS: We used information from four centres of the Breast Cancer Screening Program in Spain in the period 1996-2015. We analysed individual level data from 117,388 women first screened age 50-54, with at least two screening examinations. Breast density was determined using the BI-RADS classification (A to D in increasing order) at earliest and latest screening examination. Adjusted Poisson regression models were used to estimate the relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) of the association between changes in mammographic density and breast cancer risk over time. RESULTS: During an average 5.8 years of follow-up, 1592 (1.36%) women had a breast cancer diagnosis. An increase in density category increased breast cancer risk, and a decrease in density decreased the risk, compared with women who remained in the same BI-RADS category. Women whose density category increased from B to C or B to D had a RR of 1.55 (95%CI = 1.24-1.94) and 2.32 (95%CI = 1.48-3.63), respectively. The RR for women whose density increased from C to D was 1.51 (95%CI = 1.03-2.22). Changes in BI-RADS density were similarly associated with the risk for invasive cancer than for ductal carcinoma in situ. CONCLUSIONS: Although a modest proportion of women changed BI-RADS density category, mammographic density changes modulated the risk of breast cancer and identified women at a differential risk. Using two longitudinal measures of BI-RADS density could help target women for risk-based screening strategies.