[Nomograma prediction of the surgical treatment in triad of elbow].

OBJECTIVE: To establish an individualized Nomogram prediction model for predicting the postoperative recovery of patients with triad of elbow (TE) by analyzing risk factors of triad of elbow joint. METHODS: From January 2012 to December 2018, 116 patients with TE who met the criteria were collected. The independent risk factors were screened by univariate Logistic regression analysis. The statistically significant risk factors were included in the multivariate Logistic regression model. The R software was used to establish the Nomogram diagram model to predict the postoperative recovery of TE patients. C index was used to verify the discrimination, Calibration plot of the model, and the decision curve (decision curve analysis, DCA) to verify the net clinical benefit rate of the model. RESULTS: Forty-four of the 116 patients with TE developed symptoms after operation, with an incidence of 37.93%. Age (OR=1.930, 95% CI 1.418 to 2.764), work (OR=6.153, 95%CI 1.466 to 31.362), smoking(OR=4.463, 95%CI 1.041 to 2.291), the Mason of radial head(OR=1.348, 95%CI 2.309 to 9.348), the Regan-Morrey of coronal process (OR=4.424, 95%CI 1.751 to 2.426) and postoperative elbow immobilization time(OR=7.665, 95%CI 1.056 to 5.100) were independent risk factors for postoperative recovery of TE (P<0.05). The C-index of Nomogram plot was 0.716. Calibration plot showed that the predictive model was consistent, and the DCA curve showed satisfactory clinical net benefit. CONCLUSION: The Nomogram for predicting postoperative results of TE patients based on six independent risk factors:age, work, smoking, Mason classification of radial head, Regan-Morrey classification of coronal process and immobilization time of elbow joint after operation, has good distinguishing capacity and consistency. Thepredictive model could help clinicians to identify high risk population and establish appropriate intervention strategies.

[Analysis on complications of elastic nail treating children's long bone fractures].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the reasons on complications of treatment with elastic nail in children's long bone fracture. METHODS: Sixty-six cases (75 parts of long bone fratures) were treated by elastic nail including 49 male and 17 female. The age ranged from 3 to 17 years, mean 7.8 years. There were 35 femur fractures (2 cases were hibateral), 20 tibia and fibula fractures (12 cases were tibia fractures), 8 radial fractures (1 case was ulna fracture) and 3 humerus fractures. The cases included 4 open fractures and 62 closed fractures. All cases were fresh fractures, no multi-segmental fractures. Three cases associated with brain and chest injuries. These cases were treated by open or closed reduction and internal fixaion with elastic nail. A cast or brace had been used after operation for a month. Following-up included the function of the joint,the bottom of the nail and the callus. Complications were timely recorded. RESULTS: All the patients were followed-up for 12 to 29 months, averaged 17 months. The cases occurrenced compilications including 2 cases of nonunion, 2 of new fracture, 1 of displacment, 4 of joint dysfunction, 3 of irritation of the bottom of the nail and 1 malunion. CONCLUSION: Strict indication, well design,canonical operation is a good way to avoid compliacations. At the same time,early treatment can reduce the sequela.

[The therapeutic strategy of humeral supracondylar fracture with never injury in children].

OBJECTIVE: To determine the clinical features and therapeutic strategy of humeral supracondylar fractures with nerve injuries in children. METHODS: From June 2000 to December 2006,28 patients of humeral supracondylar fracture (Gartlang III) with never injuries were analyzed. Twenty-four patients were close injuries and the others were open. Sixteen cases (group A)were treated with close reduction and K-wires fixation. Twelve cases (group B)were treated with open reduction and nerve exploration, among them, contusive nerve injuries in 8 cases, incarceration in 3, complete neurotmesis in 1. RESULTS: The symptoms of nerve injuries of 28 cases recovered completely within 4 to 6 weeks in 13 cases, 8 to 10 weeks in 2 cases and 12 weeks in 1 case in group A, meanwhile, within 4 to 6 weeks in 6 cases, 8 to 10 weeks in 3 cases and 12 to 16 weeks in 3 cases in group B. CONCLUSION: Most nerve injuries in humeral supracondylar fractures in children can be cured after close reduction of the fracture. Sometimes, open reduction and nerve exploration are necessary, which has important practical significance.