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1.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 7625, 2023 Nov 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37993450

RESUMO

Carbon sequestration in grasslands has been proposed as an important means to offset greenhouse gas emissions from ruminant systems. To understand the potential and limitations of this strategy, we need to acknowledge that soil carbon sequestration is a time-limited benefit, and there are intrinsic differences between short- and long-lived greenhouse gases. Here, our analysis shows that one tonne of carbon sequestrated can offset radiative forcing of a continuous emission of 0.99 kg methane or 0.1 kg nitrous oxide per year over 100 years. About 135 gigatonnes of carbon is required to offset the continuous methane and nitrous oxide emissions from ruminant sector worldwide, nearly twice the current global carbon stock in managed grasslands. For various regions, grassland carbon stocks would need to increase by approximately 25% - 2,000%, indicating that solely relying on carbon sequestration in grasslands to offset warming effect of emissions from current ruminant systems is not feasible.

2.
Science ; 377(6611): eabm9267, 2022 09 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36074840

RESUMO

Tropical deforestation continues at alarming rates with profound impacts on ecosystems, climate, and livelihoods, prompting renewed commitments to halt its continuation. Although it is well established that agriculture is a dominant driver of deforestation, rates and mechanisms remain disputed and often lack a clear evidence base. We synthesize the best available pantropical evidence to provide clarity on how agriculture drives deforestation. Although most (90 to 99%) deforestation across the tropics 2011 to 2015 was driven by agriculture, only 45 to 65% of deforested land became productive agriculture within a few years. Therefore, ending deforestation likely requires combining measures to create deforestation-free supply chains with landscape governance interventions. We highlight key remaining evidence gaps including deforestation trends, commodity-specific land-use dynamics, and data from tropical dry forests and forests across Africa.


Assuntos
Agricultura , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Florestas , Clima Tropical
3.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1921, 2020 Dec 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33339531

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Problem gambling is a public health issue affecting both the gamblers, their families, their employers, and society as a whole. Recent law changes in Sweden oblige local and regional health authorities to invest more in prevention and treatment of problem gambling. The economic consequences of gambling, and thereby the potential economic consequences of policy changes in the area, are unknown, as the cost of problem gambling to society has remained largely unexplored in Sweden and similar settings. METHODS: A prevalence-based cost-of-illness study for Sweden for the year 2018 was conducted. A societal approach was chosen in order to include direct costs (such as health care and legal costs), indirect costs (such as lost productivity due to unemployment), and intangible costs (such as reduced quality of life due to emotional distress). Costs were estimated by combining epidemiological and unit cost data. RESULTS: The societal costs of problem gambling amounted to 1.42 billion euros in 2018, corresponding to 0.30% of the gross domestic product. Direct costs accounted only for 13% of the total costs. Indirect costs accounted for more than half (59%) of the total costs, while intangible costs accounted for 28%. The societal costs were more than twice as high as the tax revenue from gambling in 2018. Direct and indirect costs of problem gambling combined amounted to one third of the equivalent costs of smoking and one sixth of the costs of alcohol consumption in Sweden. CONCLUSIONS: Problem gambling is increasingly recognized as a public health issue. The societal costs of it are not negligible, also in relation to major public health issues of an addictive nature such as smoking and alcohol consumption. Direct costs for prevention and treatment are very low. A stronger focus on prevention and treatment might help to reduce many of the very high indirect and intangible costs in the future.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Jogo de Azar , Saúde Pública , Problemas Sociais , Feminino , Jogo de Azar/complicações , Jogo de Azar/economia , Jogo de Azar/terapia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Saúde Pública/economia , Qualidade de Vida , Problemas Sociais/economia , Estresse Psicológico , Suécia , Desemprego
4.
Br J Dermatol ; 182(4): 965-973, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31325318

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) 90 is suggested to be the new standard endpoint for randomized controlled trials of biologics for psoriasis, whereas treatment guidelines often still refer to PASI 75. OBJECTIVES: To analyse in a real-world setting: firstly, what factors are associated with higher levels of treatment response to biologics; secondly, the health-related quality of life gains associated with different response levels in clinical practice. METHODS: Biologically naïve patients with PASI, Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) and EuroQol (EQ)-5D outcomes before (maximum 6 months) and after (3-12 months) switch to biologics during registration in the Swedish National Registry for Systemic Treatment of Psoriasis (PsoReg) were included (n = 515). Patient characteristics associated with higher treatment response were analysed by regression analyses. Improvements in absolute PASI, DLQI and EQ-5D were assessed in different PASI percentage response levels. RESULTS: High PASI percentage response was associated with higher PASI before switch and lower body mass index. DLQI and EQ-5D improved within all responder groups (P < 0·001). The magnitude of improvements in DLQI (P = 0·02) differed between responder groups. The mean (SD) DLQI improvements for PASI 75<90 responders, PASI 90<100 responders and patients achieving complete skin clearance (PASI 100) were 9·9 (7·4), 11·5 (7·0) and 8·0 (6·1), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: PASI percentage change is largely dependent on absolute PASI before switch. Patients in clinical practice lack 'baseline' PASI values as they may switch directly from one treatment to another or stay successfully treated for a longer time period. Treatment goals such as PASI 90 are thus not suitable for treatment guidelines or for follow-up in clinical practice. What's already known about this topic? Randomized clinical trials of biologics as well as treatment guidelines include treatment goals based on a percentage improvement compared with baseline Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI), such as PASI 75 or PASI 90. Few studies have assessed which factors are associated with high skin clearance rates, or health-related quality of life (HRQoL) improvements associated with different levels of skin clearance in clinical practice. What does this study add? A high absolute PASI before switch to biologics and low body mass index are associated with higher PASI percentage response. Few patients with baseline PASI >30 achieved complete skin clearance (CSC). All responder groups achieved significant HRQoL improvements. Patients achieving CSC (PASI 100) had lower absolute PASI before switch and lower improvements in absolute PASI and HRQoL than patients with almost cleared skin. What are the clinical implications of this work? Relative measures based on PASI percentage, such as PASI 75 or PASI 90, are not suitable for treatment guidelines or for follow-up in clinical practice.


Assuntos
Psoríase , Qualidade de Vida , Objetivos , Humanos , Psoríase/tratamento farmacológico , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Suécia , Resultado do Tratamento
6.
Eur J Health Econ ; 20(7): 1063-1077, 2019 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31172400

RESUMO

The value of a quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) and the value of a statistical injury (VSI) are important measures within health economics and transport economics. Several studies have, therefore, estimated people's willingness to pay (WTP) for these estimates, but most results show scale insensitivity. The 'original' chained approach (CA) is a method developed to mitigate this problem by combining the contingent valuation (CV) with standard gamble (SG). In contrast to the version of the CA applied by the previous research of the WTP for a QALY, the original version allows the value of major health gains to be estimated without having the respondents express their WTP directly. The objective of this study was to estimate the value of a QALY and VSI in the context of non-fatal road traffic accidents using the original CA to test if the approach, applied to a wide range of health gains, is able to derive valid estimates and a constant value of a QALY which the previous research has not been able to show. Data were collected from a total of 800 individuals in the Swedish adult general population using two web-based questionnaires. The values of a QALY based on trimmed estimates were close to constant at €300,000 irrespective of the size of the QALY gain. The study shows that the original CA method may be a valid method to estimate the value of a QALY and VSI for major health losses. It also supports the use of a higher threshold value for a QALY than that which is currently applied by several health technology assessment agencies in different countries.


Assuntos
Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Ferimentos e Lesões , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Financiamento Pessoal , Gastos em Saúde , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Suécia , Ferimentos e Lesões/classificação
7.
Eur J Health Econ ; 19(6): 807-820, 2018 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28803265

RESUMO

For the assessment of value of new therapies in healthcare, Health Technology Assessment (HTA) agencies often review the cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Some HTA agencies accept a higher cost per QALY gained when treatment is aimed at prolonging survival for patients with a short expected remaining lifetime, a so-called end-of-life (EoL) premium. The objective of this study is to elicit the existence and size of an EoL premium in cancer. Data was collected from 509 individuals in the Swedish general population 20-80 years old using a web-based questionnaire. Preferences were elicited using subjective risk estimation and the contingent valuation (CV) method. A split-sample design was applied to test for order bias. The mean value of a QALY was MSEK4.8 (€528,000), and there was an EoL premium of 4-10% at 6 months of expected remaining lifetime. Using subjective risk resulted in more robust and valid estimates of the value of a QALY. Order of scenarios did not have a significant impact on the WTP and the result showed scale sensitivity. Our result provides some support for the use of an EoL premium based on individual preferences when expected remaining lifetime is short and below 24 months. Furthermore, we find support for a value of a QALY that is above the current threshold of several HTA agencies.


Assuntos
Neoplasias/terapia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Assistência Terminal/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Suécia , Adulto Jovem
8.
PLoS One ; 12(7): e0181202, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28704510

RESUMO

While we know that deforestation in the tropics is increasingly driven by commercial agriculture, most tropical countries still lack recent and spatially-explicit assessments of the relative importance of pasture and cropland expansion in causing forest loss. Here we present a spatially explicit quantification of the extent to which cultivated land and grassland expanded at the expense of forests across Latin America in 2001-2011, by combining two "state-of-the-art" global datasets (Global Forest Change forest loss and GlobeLand30-2010 land cover). We further evaluate some of the limitations and challenges in doing this. We find that this approach does capture some of the major patterns of land cover following deforestation, with GlobeLand30-2010's Grassland class (which we interpret as pasture) being the most common land cover replacing forests across Latin America. However, our analysis also reveals some major limitations to combining these land cover datasets for quantifying pasture and cropland expansion into forest. First, a simple one-to-one translation between GlobeLand30-2010's Cultivated land and Grassland classes into cropland and pasture respectively, should not be made without caution, as GlobeLand30-2010 defines its Cultivated land to include some pastures. Comparisons with the TerraClass dataset over the Brazilian Amazon and with previous literature indicates that Cultivated land in GlobeLand30-2010 includes notable amounts of pasture and other vegetation (e.g. in Paraguay and the Brazilian Amazon). This further suggests that the approach taken here generally leads to an underestimation (of up to ~60%) of the role of pasture in replacing forest. Second, a large share (~33%) of the Global Forest Change forest loss is found to still be forest according to GlobeLand30-2010 and our analysis suggests that the accuracy of the combined datasets, especially for areas with heterogeneous land cover and/or small-scale forest loss, is still too poor for deriving accurate quantifications of land cover following forest loss.


Assuntos
Agricultura/tendências , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/tendências , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Florestas , Mapeamento Geográfico , Brasil , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/estatística & dados numéricos , Pradaria , Humanos , América Latina , Paraguai , Árvores/crescimento & desenvolvimento
9.
PLoS One ; 12(1): e0171001, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28141827

RESUMO

This paper presents a spatially explicit method for making regional estimates of the potential for biogas production from crop residues and manure, accounting for key technical, biochemical, environmental and economic constraints. Methods for making such estimates are important as biofuels from agricultural residues are receiving increasing policy support from the EU and major biogas producers, such as Germany and Italy, in response to concerns over unintended negative environmental and social impacts of conventional biofuels. This analysis comprises a spatially explicit estimate of crop residue and manure production for the EU at 250 m resolution, and a biogas production model accounting for local constraints such as the sustainable removal of residues, transportation of substrates, and the substrates' biochemical suitability for anaerobic digestion. In our base scenario, the EU biogas production potential from crop residues and manure is about 0.7 EJ/year, nearly double the current EU production of biogas from agricultural substrates, most of which does not come from residues or manure. An extensive sensitivity analysis of the model shows that the potential could easily be 50% higher or lower, depending on the stringency of economic, technical and biochemical constraints. We find that the potential is particularly sensitive to constraints on the substrate mixtures' carbon-to-nitrogen ratio and dry matter concentration. Hence, the potential to produce biogas from crop residues and manure in the EU depends to large extent on the possibility to overcome the challenges associated with these substrates, either by complementing them with suitable co-substrates (e.g. household waste and energy crops), or through further development of biogas technology (e.g. pretreatment of substrates and recirculation of effluent).


Assuntos
Biocombustíveis/análise , Produtos Agrícolas/química , União Europeia , Esterco/análise , Modelos Teóricos , Animais , Biomassa , Carbono/análise , Nitrogênio/análise
10.
J Dermatolog Treat ; 28(6): 500-504, 2017 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28132580

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although biologics introduced a new era in psoriasis care when available a decade ago, it is unclear to what extent the available systemic treatments treat patients adequately. OBJECTIVE: To analyse the clinical severity and quality of life of the psoriasis population in Sweden treated with systemics. METHODS: Data included 2646 patients from the Swedish Registry for Systemic Treatment of Psoriasis. Average Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI), Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) and EQ-5D were reported. A subgroup of persisting moderate-to-severe psoriasis as defined by PASI ≥10 and/or DLQI ≥10 after >12 weeks treatment was analysed. RESULTS: Mean (SD) PASI, DLQI and EQ-5D were 4.12 (4.57), 4.11 (5.24) and 0.79 (0.22). Eighteen percent had persisting moderate-to-severe psoriasis (n = 472). These patients were younger, had higher BMI, had psoriasis arthritis and were smoking to a larger extent (p < 0.01) compared with lower-severity patients (n = 2174). Mean (SD) EQ-5D was also considerably lower 0.63 (0.29) vs. 0.82 (0.19) (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Almost one in every five patients had persisting moderate-to-severe psoriasis, despite ongoing systemic treatment. Both comorbidities and life style factors were associated with persisting moderate-to-severe psoriasis. The considerably lower generic quality of life in these patients demonstrates an unmet need. Subsequently, improved access to biologics and continuous drug development is needed in psoriasis.


Assuntos
Psoríase/patologia , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adalimumab/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Fármacos Dermatológicos/uso terapêutico , Esquema de Medicação , Etanercepte/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Metotrexato/uso terapêutico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Psoríase/tratamento farmacológico , Qualidade de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Ustekinumab
11.
PLoS One ; 11(11): e0159152, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27806043

RESUMO

The PLOS ONE Collection "Measuring forest conservation effectiveness" brings together a series of studies that evaluate the effectiveness of tropical forest conservation policies and programs with the goal of measuring conservation success and associated co-benefits. This overview piece describes the geographic and methodological scope of these studies, as well as the policy instruments covered in the Collection as of June 2016. Focusing on forest cover change, we systematically compare the conservation effects estimated by the studies and discuss them in the light of previous findings in the literature. Nine studies estimated that annual conservation impacts on forest cover were below one percent, with two exceptions in Mexico and Indonesia. Differences in effect sizes are not only driven by the choice of conservation measures. One key lesson from the studies is the need to move beyond the current scientific focus of estimating average effects of undifferentiated conservation programs. The specific elements of the program design and the implementation context are equally important factors for understanding the effectiveness of conservation programs. Particularly critical will be a better understanding of the causal mechanisms through which conservation programs have impacts. To achieve this understanding we need advances in both theory and methods.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Florestas , Clima Tropical , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/legislação & jurisprudência , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Pesquisa/tendências
12.
Eur J Health Econ ; 17 Suppl 1: 79-87, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27086322

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the economic burden from a societal perspective and the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) in Europe. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients with JIA from Germany, Italy, Spain, France, the United Kingdom, Bulgaria, and Sweden. Data on demographic characteristics, healthcare resource utilization, informal care, labor productivity losses, and HRQOL were collected from the questionnaires completed by patients or their caregivers. HRQOL was measured with the EuroQol 5-domain (EQ-5D-5L) questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 162 patients (67 Germany, 34 Sweden, 33 Italy, 23 United Kingdom, 4 France, and 1 Bulgaria) completed the questionnaire. Excluding Bulgarian results, due to small sample size, country-specific annual health care costs ranged from €18,913 to €36,396 (reference year: 2012). Estimated direct healthcare costs ranged from €11,068 to €22,138; direct non-healthcare costs ranged from €7837 to €14,155 and labor productivity losses ranged from €0 to €8715. Costs are also shown to differ between children and adults. The mean EQ-5D index score for JIA patients was estimated at between 0.44 and 0.88, and the mean EQ-5D visual analogue scale score was estimated at between 62 and 79. CONCLUSIONS: JIA patients incur considerable societal costs and experience substantial deterioration in HRQOL in some countries. Compared with previous studies, our results show a remarkable increase in annual healthcare costs for JIA patients. Reasons for the increase are the inclusion of non-professional caregiver costs, a wider use of biologics, and longer hospital stays.


Assuntos
Artrite Juvenil/economia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Qualidade de Vida , Adolescente , Adulto , Artrite Juvenil/psicologia , Cuidadores , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Assistência ao Paciente/economia , Licença Médica/economia , Perfil de Impacto da Doença , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Reino Unido , Adulto Jovem
13.
Scand J Med Sci Sports ; 26(4): 413-20, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25913546

RESUMO

Hamstring injury is prevalent with persistently high reinjury rates. We aim to inform hamstring rehabilitation by exploring the electromyographic and kinematic characteristics of running in athletes with previous hamstring injury. Nine elite male Gaelic games athletes who had returned to sport after hamstring injury and eight closely matched controls sprinted while lower limb kinematics and muscle activity of the previously injured biceps femoris, bilateral gluteus maximus, lumbar erector spinae, rectus femoris, and external oblique were recorded. Intergroup comparisons of muscle activation ratios and kinematics were performed. Previously injured athletes demonstrated significantly reduced biceps femoris muscle activation ratios with respect to ipsilateral gluteus maximus (maximum difference -12.5%, P = 0.03), ipsilateral erector spinae (maximum difference -12.5%, P = 0.01), ipsilateral external oblique (maximum difference -23%, P = 0.01), and contralateral rectus femoris (maximum difference -22%, P = 0.02) in the late swing phase. We also detected sagittal asymmetry in hip flexion (maximum 8°, P = 0.01), pelvic tilt (maximum 4°, P = 0.02), and medial rotation of the knee (maximum 6°, P = 0.03) effectively putting the hamstrings in a lengthened position just before heel strike. Previous hamstring injury is associated with altered biceps femoris associated muscle activity and potentially injurious kinematics. These deficits should be considered and addressed during rehabilitation.


Assuntos
Desempenho Atlético/fisiologia , Traumatismos da Perna , Músculo Esquelético/lesões , Músculo Esquelético/fisiologia , Corrida/fisiologia , Adulto , Atletas , Fenômenos Biomecânicos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Eletromiografia , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Jovem
14.
Glob Chang Biol ; 20(11): 3482-91, 2014 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24838193

RESUMO

The world's agricultural system has come under increasing scrutiny recently as an important driver of global climate change, creating a demand for indicators that estimate the climatic impacts of agricultural commodities. Such carbon footprints, however, have in most cases excluded emissions from land-use change and the proposed methodologies for including this significant emissions source suffer from different shortcomings. Here, we propose a new methodology for calculating land-use change carbon footprints for agricultural commodities and illustrate this methodology by applying it to three of the most prominent agricultural commodities driving tropical deforestation: Brazilian beef and soybeans, and Indonesian palm oil. We estimate land-use change carbon footprints in 2010 to be 66 tCO2 /t meat (carcass weight) for Brazilian beef, 0.89 tCO2 /t for Brazilian soybeans, and 7.5 tCO2 /t for Indonesian palm oil, using a 10 year amortization period. The main advantage of the proposed methodology is its flexibility: it can be applied in a tiered approach, using detailed data where it is available while still allowing for estimation of footprints for a broad set of countries and agricultural commodities; it can be applied at different scales, estimating both national and subnational footprints; it can be adopted to account both for direct (proximate) and indirect drivers of land-use change. It is argued that with an increasing commercialization and globalization of the drivers of land-use change, the proposed carbon footprint methodology could help leverage the power needed to alter environmentally destructive land-use practices within the global agricultural system by providing a tool for assessing the environmental impacts of production, thereby informing consumers about the impacts of consumption and incentivizing producers to become more environmentally responsible.


Assuntos
Agricultura/métodos , Pegada de Carbono , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Carne , Óleos de Plantas , Brasil , Mudança Climática , Indonésia , Óleo de Palmeira , Glycine max
16.
J Psychiatr Ment Health Nurs ; 20(4): 336-44, 2013 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22591326

RESUMO

ACCESSIBLE SUMMARY: • A primary aim of suicide research is to gain a profound knowledge of the suicidal individual so preventive strategy can be formulated. • Time-geographic life charting used in combination with the pattern of coping strategies may be helpful when assessing risk of suicidal behaviour. • It can also be a therapeutic intervention to look back and to reflect coping styles. ABSTRACT: The aim of this study is to explore whether a time-geographic life charting, combined with a survey of a person's coping capacities over time, elucidates the pathway to suicidal behaviour, and therefore could be useful in suicide prevention. Twenty-three patients were recruited shortly after a suicide attempt. A time-geographic life charting and COPE inventory ratings were used separately and in combination. According to COPE ratings, the participants could be divided into three groups using different coping strategies: (1) adaptive, (2) maladaptive, and (3) both adaptive and maladaptive coping. Within these subgroups, three different pathways to suicidal behaviour were described and illustrated. We conclude that time-geographic life charting used in combination with the pattern of coping strategies may be helpful when assessing risk of suicidal behaviour, because this approach strengthens the comprehensive picture of the patient's life situation.


Assuntos
Adaptação Psicológica/classificação , Tentativa de Suicídio/classificação , Adulto , Humanos , Acontecimentos que Mudam a Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tentativa de Suicídio/prevenção & controle , Tentativa de Suicídio/psicologia , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
17.
Scand J Surg ; 101(3): 190-7, 2012.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22968243

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The recent substantial increase in the number of obese surgeries performed in Sweden has raised concerns about the budget impact. OBJECTIVE: Our aim in this paper is to present an assessment of the budgetary impact of different policies for surgical intervention for obese and overweight subjects from a healthcare perspective in Sweden. METHODS: The model simulates the annual expected treatment costs of obesity related diseases and surgery in patients of different sex, age and Body Mass Index (BMI). Costs evaluated are costs of surgery plus the excess treatment costs that an obese patient has over and above the treatment costs of a normal-weight patient. The diagnoses that are included for costs assessment are diabetes and cardiovascular disease since these diagnoses are the principal diagnoses associated with obesity. Four different scenarios over the number of surgical operations performed each year are simulated and compared: (1) no surgical operation, (2) 3 000 surgical operations in persons with BMI > 40, (3) 4 000 (BMI > 40), and (4) 5 000 (expanded to BMI > 38). RESULTS: Comparing Scenario 2 with Scenario 1 results in a net budget impact of on average SEK 121 million per annum or SEK 40 000 per patient. This implies that 55 percent of the cost of surgery, set equal to SEK 90 000 for each patient, has been offset by a reduction in the excess treatment costs of obesity related diseases. Expanding annual surgery from 3000 to 4000 the cost-offset increased to 58%. By expanding annual surgery further from 4000 to 5000 and at the same time expanding the indication for surgery from BMI > 40 to BMI > 38, no cost-offset is obtained. CONCLUSION: A cost-minimization strategy for bariatric surgery in Sweden should not expand indication, but rather increase the number of surgeries within the currently accepted indication.


Assuntos
Cirurgia Bariátrica/economia , Obesidade/cirurgia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Índice de Massa Corporal , Orçamentos , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/economia , Obesidade/mortalidade , Suécia , Adulto Jovem
18.
J Environ Manage ; 100: 29-40, 2012 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22361108

RESUMO

Any system to compensate countries for reduced emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) requires a historical reference level against which future performance can be measured. Here we examine the possibilities Sri Lanka, a small forest country with limited data on forest carbon stocks, has to get ready for REDD+. We construct a historical reference level using available forest inventory data combined with updated 2008 and 2009 in situ carbon density data for Sri Lankan forests. Furthermore, we use a combination of qualitative and quantitative data to attribute the clearing of Sri Lankan forests in the latest years for which national forest inventory data are available, 1992-1996, to various proximate drivers and to estimate the opportunity cost of forest conservation. We estimate that baseline deforestation emissions in Sri Lanka amounted to 17MtCO(2)yr(-1) in the 1992-1996 period, but conclude that it is challenging for Sri Lanka to produce a robust and accurate reference level due to the lack of nationally based inventories. We find that the majority of forest clearing (87%) is due to small-scale, rainfed farming, with the two other major drivers being rice and tea cultivation. Further, Sri Lankan revenues from REDD+ participation could be substantial, but they are sensitive to REDD+ policy transaction cost, highly uncertain timber revenues, and particularly the carbon price paid for emission reductions. The latter needs to be higher than $5-10/tCO(2) if there are to be substantial incentives for Sri Lanka to participate in REDD+. There is, however, a large gap in the knowledge of deforestation drivers that needs to be filled if Sri Lanka is to formulate an effective policy response to forest degradation in REDD+. For successful REDD+ implementation in Sri Lanka to happen, technological assistance, readiness assistance, and continued political momentum are crucial.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Árvores , Ecossistema , Sri Lanka
19.
Br J Dermatol ; 166(4): 797-802, 2012 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22182212

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As moderate to severe psoriasis is a systemic disease with large effects on health-related quality of life, generic measures that include overall health, not only skin involvement, are necessary. Knowledge about the relationship between the generic preference-based EuroQol 5D (EQ-5D) and dermatology-specific measures in psoriasis is limited. OBJECTIVES: To analyse EQ-5D, the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) and the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) in patients with moderate to severe psoriasis in Swedish clinical practice by demographic characteristics, to compare EQ-5D among patients vs. Swedish population values, and to analyse the relationships between EQ-5D, DLQI and PASI. METHODS: This observational cohort study was based on PsoReg, the Swedish National Registry for Systemic Treatment of Psoriasis. EQ-5D was compared among patients with psoriasis vs. a defined general population in Sweden, retrieved from a previous study. Relationships between measures were examined with correlation tests and regression analysis. RESULTS: In total, 2450 patients (1479 men and 971 women) were included. Median EQ-5D, DLQI and PASI scores were 0·769, 4 and 4·7, respectively. Patients with psoriasis had a significantly lower EQ-5D compared with the defined general population. EQ-5D correlated moderately with DLQI (-0·55) and weakly with PASI (-0·25) (P < 0·001). CONCLUSIONS: When assessing psoriasis treatments and making decisions about treatment guidelines and resource allocation, EQ-5D, DLQI and PASI provide a useful set of complementary tools, answering to different needs. If EQ-5D is not included in the original trial the second-best option in cost-effectiveness studies is to use mapping between DLQI and EQ-5D.


Assuntos
Psoríase/terapia , Qualidade de Vida , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Adulto Jovem
20.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 125(2): 142-7, 2012 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21470194

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic neurodegenerative disease expected to cause great costs. The aim of this study was to calculate drug and treatment costs in patients with PD in Sweden. METHOD: All healthcare contacts of patients with PD in Stockholm County, Sweden, were extracted from registers together with information on reimbursements from the authorities to the caregivers. PD-related costs were calculated together with non-PD-related costs. Cost per patient was calculated and extrapolated to the whole Swedish population, taking population demographics into consideration. In addition, nationwide PD drug sales statistics were included. RESULTS: The PD prevalence of Stockholm County was estimated to 196 per 100,000 inhabitants, resulting in an estimated total of about 22,000 patients with PD in Sweden. The cost per patient was estimated to SEK 76,000 of which drug costs accounted for SEK 15,880. The annual direct costs in patients with PD in Sweden were SEK 1.7 billion in 2009. CONCLUSION: Our study estimates high direct costs in patients with PD in Sweden, SEK 1.7 billion, 52% for inpatient care, 27% for outpatient care and 21% for drugs. With an ageing population and the medical progress, the financial burden on society will most probably increase in the future. This study might initiate and provide information for discussions about future cost allocations and healthcare priorities.


Assuntos
Antiparkinsonianos/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença de Parkinson/economia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Custos e Análise de Custo , Atenção à Saúde/economia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença de Parkinson/tratamento farmacológico , Doença de Parkinson/terapia , Suécia , Adulto Jovem
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