A risk-differentiated, community-led intervention to strengthen uptake and engagement with HIV prevention and care cascades among female sex workers in Zimbabwe (AMETHIST): a cluster randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Female sex workers remain disproportionately affected by HIV. The aim of this study was to determine the effect of risk-differentiated, peer-led support for female sex workers in Zimbabwe on the risk of HIV acquisition and HIV transmission from sex among female sex workers. METHODS: In this cluster randomised, open-label, controlled study, 22 clinics dedicated to female sex workers co-located in government health facilities throughout Zimbabwe were allocated (1:1, through restricted randomisation) to usual care or AMETHIST intervention. Usual care comprised HIV testing, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), referral to government antiretroviral therapy (ART) services, contraception, condoms, syndromic management of sexually transmitted infections, health education, legal advice, and peer support. AMETHIST added peer-led microplanning tailored to individuals' risk and participatory self-help groups. All cisgender women (aged >18 years) who had sold sex within the past 30 days and lived or worked within trial cluster areas were eligible. Intervention status was not masked to programme implementers but was masked to survey teams and laboratory staff. After 28 months, a respondent-driven sampling (RDS) survey was done in the female sex worker population around each clinic, which measured the primary outcome, the combined proportion of female sex workers in the surveyed population at risk of transmitting HIV (ie, were HIV positive, not virally suppressed, and not consistently using condoms) or at risk of acquiring HIV (ie, were HIV negative and not consistently using condoms or PrEP). We report prespecified analyses of the disaggregated proportions of female sex workers in the surveyed population at risk of either transmission or acquisition of HIV. Analyses were prespecified, RDS-weighted, and age-adjusted. This trial is registered with the Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR202007818077777. FINDINGS: The AMETHIST intervention was started on May 15, 2019, and data were collected from June 1, 2019, until Dec 13, 2021. The RDS survey was done from Oct 18 to Dec 13, 2021, with 2137 women included in the usual care group (11 clusters) and 2131 in the AMETHIST intervention group (11 clusters) after excluding survey seeds (n=132) and women with missing key data (n=44). 1973 (46·2%) of the 4268 female sex workers surveyed were living with HIV; of these, 863 (93·5%; RDS-adjusted) of 931 women in the intervention group and 927 (88·8%) of 1042 in the usual care group were virologically suppressed. 287 (22·4%) of 1200 HIV-negative women in the intervention group and 194 (15·7%) of 1096 in the usual care group reported currently taking PrEP, of whom only two (0·4%) of 569 had protective tenofovir diphosphate concentrations in dried blood spots (>700 fmol/dried blood punch). There was no effect of the intervention on the primary endpoint of risk of both HIV transmission and acquisition (intervention group n=1156/2131, RDS-adjusted proportion 55·3%; usual care group n=1104/2137, RDS-adjusted proportion 52·7%; age-adjusted risk difference -0·9%, 95% CI -5·7% to 3·9%, p=0·70). For the secondary outcomes, the proportion of women living with HIV at risk of transmission was low and significantly reduced in the intervention group (n=63/931, RDS-adjusted proportion 5·8%) compared with the usual care group (103/1041, 10·4%), with an age-adjusted risk difference of -5·5% (95% CI -8·2% to -2·9%, p=0·0003). Risk of acquisition among HIV-negative women was similar in the intervention (n=1093/1200, RDS-adjusted proportion 92·1%) and the usual care group (1001/1096, 92·2%), with an age-adjusted risk difference of -0·6% (95% CI -4·6 to 3·4, p=0·74). INTERPRETATION: There was no overall benefit of the intervention on combined risk of transmission or acquisition. Viral load suppression in women living with HIV was high and appeared to be further improved by AMETHIST, suggesting potential for impressive uptake and adherence to ART in vulnerable and mobile populations. Sustaining treatment and reinvigorating prevention remain crucial. FUNDING: The Wellcome Trust and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. TRANSLATIONS: For the Shona and Ndebele translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

The effect on HIV transmission and cost-effectiveness of programmes for female sex workers in East, Central, and Southern Africa: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: HIV prevalence and incidence has declined in East, Central, and Southern Africa (ECSA), but remains high among female sex workers (FSWs). Sex worker programmes have the potential to considerably increase access to HIV testing, prevention, and treatment. We aimed to quantify these improvements by modelling the potential effect of sex worker programmes at two different intensities on HIV incidence and key health outcomes, and assessed the programmes' potential cost-effectiveness in order to help inform HIV policy decisions. METHODS: Using a model previously used to review policy decisions in ECSA, we assumed a low-intensity sex worker programme had run from 2010 until 2023; this resulted in care disadvantages among FSWs being reduced, and also increased testing, condom use, and willingness to take pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). After 2023, three policy options were considered: discontinuation, continuation, and a scale-up of the programme to high-intensity, which would have a broader reach, and higher influences on condom use, antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence, testing, and PrEP use. Outputs of the key outcomes (the percentage of FSWs who were diagnosed with HIV, on ART, and virally suppressed; the percentage of FSWs with zero condomless partners, and HIV incidence) were compared in 2030. The maximum cost for a sex worker programme to be cost-effective was calculated over a 50-year time period and in the context of 10 million adults. The cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted from a health-care perspective; costs and disability-adjusted life-years were both discounted to present US$ values at 3% per annum. FINDINGS: Compared with continuing a low-intensity sex worker programme until 2030, discontinuation of the programme was calculated to result in a lower percentage of FSWs diagnosed (median 88·75% vs 91·37%; median difference compared to continuation of a low-intensity programme [90% range] 2·03 [-4·49 to 10·98]), a lower percentage of those diagnosed currently taking ART (86·35% vs 88·89%; 2·38 [-3·69 to 13·42]), and a lower percentage of FSWs on ART with viral suppression (87·49% vs 88·96%; 1·17 [-6·81 to 11·53]). Discontinuation of a low-intensity programme also resulted in an increase in HIV incidence among FSWs from 5·06 per 100 person-years (100 p-y; 90% range 0·52 to 22·21) to 4·05 per 100 p-y (0·21 to 21·15). Conversely, comparing a high-intensity sex worker programme until 2030 with discontinuation of the programme resulted in a higher percentage of FSWs diagnosed (median 95·81% vs 88·75; median difference compared to discontinuation [90% range] 6·36 [0·60 to 18·63]), on ART (93·93 vs 86.35%; median difference 7·13 [-0·65 to 26·48]), and with viral suppression (93·21% vs 87·49; median difference 7·13 [-0·65 to 26·48]). A high-intensity programme also resulted in HIV incidence in FSWs declining to 2·23 per 100 p-y (0·00 to 14·44), from 5·06 per 100 p-y (0·52 to 22·21) if the programme was discontinued. In the context of 10 million adults over a 50-year time period and a cost-effectiveness threshold of US$500 per disability-adjusted life-year averted, $34 million per year can be spent for a high-intensity programme to be cost-effective. INTERPRETATION: A sex worker programme, even with low-level interventions, has a positive effect on key outputs for FSWs. A high-intensity programme has a considerably higher effect; HIV incidence among FSW and in the general population can be substantially reduced, and should be considered for implementation by policy makers. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust.

A Protocol to Determine Circadian Phase by At-Home Salivary Dim Light Melatonin Onset Assessment.

Internal circadian phase assessment is increasingly acknowledged as a critical clinical tool for the diagnosis, monitoring, and treatment of circadian rhythm sleep-wake disorders and for investigating circadian timing in other medical disorders. The widespread use of in-laboratory circadian phase assessments in routine practice has been limited, most likely because circadian phase assessment is not required by formal diagnostic nosologies, and is not generally covered by insurance. At-home assessment of salivary dim light melatonin onset (DLMO, a validated circadian phase marker) is an increasingly accepted approach to assess circadian phase. This approach may help meet the increased demand for assessments and has the advantages of lower cost and greater patient convenience. We reviewed the literature describing at-home salivary DLMO assessment methods and identified factors deemed to be important to successful implementation. Here, we provide specific protocol recommendations for conducting at-home salivary DLMO assessments to facilitate a standardized approach for clinical and research purposes. Key factors include control of lighting, sampling rate, and timing, and measures of patient compliance. We include findings from implementation of an optimization algorithm to determine the most efficient number and timing of samples in patients with Delayed Sleep-Wake Phase Disorder. We also provide recommendations for assay methods and interpretation. Providing definitive criteria for each factor, along with detailed instructions for protocol implementation, will enable more widespread adoption of at-home circadian phase assessments as a standardized clinical diagnostic, monitoring, and treatment tool.

Using economic analysis to inform health resource allocation: lessons from Malawi.

Despite making remarkable strides in improving health outcomes, Malawi faces concerns about sustaining the progress achieved due to limited fiscal space and donor dependency. The imperative for efficient health spending becomes evident, necessitating strategic allocation of resources to areas with the greatest impact on mortality and morbidity. Health benefits packages hold promise in supporting efficient resource allocation. However, despite defining these packages over the last two decades, their development and implementation have posed significant challenges for Malawi. In response, the Malawian government, in collaboration with the Thanzi la Onse Programme, has developed a set of tools and frameworks, primarily based on cost-effectiveness analysis, to guide the design of health benefits packages likely to achieve national health objectives. This review provides an overview of these tools and frameworks, accompanied by other related analyses, aiming to better align health financing with health benefits package prioritization. The paper is organized around five key policy questions facing decision-makers: (i) What interventions should the health system deliver? (ii) How should resources be allocated geographically? (iii) How should investments in health system inputs be prioritized? (iv) How should equity considerations be incorporated into resource allocation decisions? and (v) How should evidence generation be prioritized to support resource allocation decisions (guiding research)? The tools and frameworks presented here are intended to be compatible for use in diverse and often complex healthcare systems across Africa, supporting the health resource allocation process as countries pursue Universal Health Coverage.

Association Between Accelerometer-Measured Irregular Sleep Duration and Type 2 Diabetes Risk: A Prospective Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between irregular sleep duration and incident diabetes in a U.K. population over 7 years of follow-up. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Among 84,421 UK Biobank participants (mean age: 62 years) who were free of diabetes at the time of providing accelerometer data in 2013-2015 and prospectively followed until May 2022, sleep duration variability was quantified by the within-person SD of 7-night accelerometer-measured sleep duration. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for incident diabetes (identified from medical records, death register, and/or self-reported diagnosis) according to categories of sleep duration SD. RESULTS: There were 2,058 incident diabetes cases over 622,080 person-years of follow-up. Compared with sleep duration SD ≤ 30 min, the HR (95% CI) was 1.15 (0.99, 1.33) for 31-45 min, 1.28 (1.10, 1.48) for 46-60 min, 1.54 (1.32, 1.80) for 61-90 min, and 1.59 (1.33, 1.90) for ≥91 min, after adjusting for age, sex, and race. We found a nonlinear relationship (p nonlinearity 0.0002), with individuals with a sleep duration SD of >60 vs. ≤60 min having 34% higher diabetes risk (95% CI 1.22, 1.47). Further adjustment for lifestyle, comorbidities, environmental factors, and adiposity attenuated the association (HR comparing sleep duration SD of >60 vs. ≤60 min: 1.11; 95% CI 1.01, 1.22). The association was stronger among individuals with lower diabetes polygenic risk score (PRS; P interaction ≤ 0.0264) and longer sleep duration (P interaction ≤ 0.0009). CONCLUSIONS: Irregular sleep duration was associated with higher diabetes risk, particularly in individuals with a lower diabetes PRS and longer sleep duration.

Higher central circadian temperature amplitude is associated with greater metabolite rhythmicity in humans.

Robust circadian rhythms are essential for optimal health. The central circadian clock controls temperature rhythms, which are known to organize the timing of peripheral circadian rhythms in rodents. In humans, however, it is unknown whether temperature rhythms relate to the organization of circadian rhythms throughout the body. We assessed core body temperature amplitude and the rhythmicity of 929 blood plasma metabolites across a 40-h constant routine protocol, controlling for behavioral and environmental factors that mask endogenous temperature rhythms, in 23 healthy individuals (mean [± SD] age = 25.4 ± 5.7 years, 5 women). Valid core body temperature data were available in 17/23 (mean [± SD] age = 25.6 ± 6.3 years, 1 woman). Individuals with higher core body temperature amplitude had a greater number of metabolites exhibiting circadian rhythms (R2 = 0.37, p = .009). Higher core body temperature amplitude was also associated with less variability in the free-fitted periods of metabolite rhythms within an individual (R2 = 0.47, p = .002). These findings indicate that a more robust central circadian clock is associated with greater organization of circadian metabolite rhythms in humans. Metabolite rhythms may therefore provide a window into the strength of the central circadian clock.

Greater sensitivity of the circadian system of women to bright light, but not dim-to-moderate light.

Women typically sleep and wake earlier than men and have been shown to have earlier circadian timing relative to the light/dark cycle that synchronizes the clock. A potential mechanism for earlier timing in women is an altered response of the circadian system to evening light. We characterized individual-level dose-response curves for light-induced melatonin suppression using a within-subjects protocol. Fifty-six participants (29 women, 27 men; aged 18-30 years) were exposed to a range of light illuminances (10, 30, 50, 100, 200, 400, and 2000 lux) using melatonin suppression relative to a dim control (<1 lux) as a marker of light sensitivity. Women were free from hormonal contraception. To examine the potential influence of sex hormones, estradiol and progesterone was examined in women and testosterone was examined in a subset of men. Menstrual phase was monitored using self-reports and estradiol and progesterone levels. Women exhibited significantly greater melatonin suppression than men under the 400-lux and 2000-lux conditions, but not under lower light conditions (10-200 lux). Light sensitivity did not differ by menstrual phase, nor was it associated with levels of estradiol, progesterone, or testosterone, suggesting the sex differences in light sensitivity were not acutely driven by circulating levels of sex hormones. These results suggest that sex differences in circadian timing are not due to differences in the response to dim/moderate light exposures typically experienced in the evening. The finding of increased bright light sensitivity in women suggests that sex differences in circadian timing could plausibly instead be driven by a greater sensitivity to phase-advancing effects of bright morning light.

Personal light exposure patterns and incidence of type 2 diabetes: analysis of 13 million hours of light sensor data and 670,000 person-years of prospective observation.

Background: Light at night disrupts circadian rhythms, and circadian disruption is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Whether personal light exposure predicts diabetes risk has not been demonstrated in a large prospective cohort. We therefore assessed whether personal light exposure patterns predicted risk of incident type 2 diabetes in UK Biobank participants, using ∼13 million hours of light sensor data. Methods: Participants (N = 84,790, age (M ± SD) = 62.3 ± 7.9 years, 58% female) wore light sensors for one week, recording day and night light exposure. Circadian amplitude and phase were modeled from weekly light data. Incident type 2 diabetes was recorded (1997 cases; 7.9 ± 1.2 years follow-up; excluding diabetes cases prior to light-tracking). Risk of incident type 2 diabetes was assessed as a function of day and night light, circadian phase, and circadian amplitude, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic and lifestyle factors, and polygenic risk. Findings: Compared to people with dark nights (0-50th percentiles), diabetes risk was incrementally higher across brighter night light exposure percentiles (50-70th: multivariable-adjusted HR = 1.29 [1.14-1.46]; 70-90th: 1.39 [1.24-1.57]; and 90-100th: 1.53 [1.32-1.77]). Diabetes risk was higher in people with lower modeled circadian amplitude (aHR = 1.07 [1.03-1.10] per SD), and with early or late circadian phase (aHR range: 1.06-1.26). Night light and polygenic risk independently predicted higher diabetes risk. The difference in diabetes risk between people with bright and dark nights was similar to the difference between people with low and moderate genetic risk. Interpretation: Type 2 diabetes risk was higher in people exposed to brighter night light, and in people exposed to light patterns that may disrupt circadian rhythms. Avoidance of light at night could be a simple and cost-effective recommendation that mitigates risk of diabetes, even in those with high genetic risk. Funding: Australian Government Research Training Program.

Long-Term Clinical and Radiographic Outcomes of Meniscus Allograft Transplant.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To reduce pain, improve function and possibly mitigate the risk for development of osteoarthritis in patients with functionally deficient meniscus pathology, meniscal allograft transplantation (MAT) can be used to restore native joint biomechanics and increase knee joint longevity. This review explores the senior author's preferred bridge-in-slot technique and recently published long-term clinical and radiographic outcomes following MAT. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent literature demonstrates MAT to be a safe and largely successful procedure for patients with functional meniscus deficiency. A majority of patients reach established minimal clinically important difference (MCID) values. Graft survivorship is approximately 80% at 10 years, significantly delaying and in some cases, preventing the need for future joint reconstruction procedures in these young patients. Return to sport rates are over 70%, revealing meniscal allografts can withstand high impact activities. Cartilage damage at the time of MAT increases the risk for graft and clinical failure, though this may be mitigated with a concomitant cartilage restoration procedure. Meniscal allograft transplantation can provide a durable and effective long-term solution to meniscal deficiency in symptomatic patients who wish to decrease the risk of symptomatic progression and possibly further osteoarthritis and continue activities of daily life and sports with less pain and more function. By restoring more normal joint biomechanics, MAT can mitigate the potential need for future knee arthroplasty in this young active patient population.

Editorial Commentary: The Entry Point-Trochlear Groove Angle Measures Lateralization of the Proximal Trochlear Entry Point in Patients With Patellar Instability.

Patellar instability is a complex orthopaedic condition, occurring at an incidence of 23.2 per 100,000 person-years and resulting from a combination of osseous and soft-tissue factors. Osseous abnormalities associated with patellar instability include trochlear dysplasia and a lateralized tibial tubercle. Evaluation of these factors includes dysplasia evaluation using the Dejour classification and the tibial-tubercle-to-trochlear-groove distance (TT-TG) to evaluate relative lateralization of the tibial tubercle. Three-dimensional modeling has advanced the evaluation of complex trochlea geometry and patellar tracking. Evaluation of the TT-TG distance through flexion, dubbed the radial TT-TG distance, shows that radial TT-TG distances are notably larger than traditional TT-TG measurements, with increasing grade of dysplasia associated with a more pronounced difference between measurements. The entry point-trochlear groove angle may help more accurately describe the morphology of the proximal trochlea and aid in planning or assessing osseous correction with a trochleoplasty. The entry point-trochlear groove angle may also be of use as a variable to determine when an isolated medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction may fail and require osseous correction. A lateralized proximal trochlea entry point is associated with recurrent patellar instability.

Isolated Medial Patellofemoral Ligament Reconstruction Results in Lower Failure and Complication Rates Than Isolated Trochleoplasty and Tibial Tubercle Osteotomy: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: To evaluate outcomes and complications of isolated medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction (MPFLR), tibial tubercle osteotomy (TTO), and trochleoplasty for management of patellar instability. METHODS: A query of Scopus, PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane CENTRAL Register of Controlled Trials, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews was performed in accordance with 2020 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Included studies reported clinical outcome data after isolated MPFLR, TTO, or trochleoplasty for patellar instability with a minimum 12-month follow-up. Meta-analysis and data aggregation was not performed. RESULTS: Thirty-six studies (5 trochleoplasty, 14 TTO, and 18 MPFLR) consisting of 1,389 patients (114 trochleoplasty, 374 TTO, and 1,001 MPFLR) were included. Risk of bias was assessed with the Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies score, which ranged from 11 to 12 in trochleoplasty, 10 to 18 in TTO, and 8 to 18 in MPFLR studies. Patient-reported outcome measures, including Lysholm score (trochleoplasty: 51.1-71 to 71-95; TTO: 57-63.3 to 84-98; MPFLR: 37.4-59.1 to 74-92.5), Kujala score (trochleoplasty: 56-71 to 78-92; TTO: 48.6-68 to 78-92; MPFLR: 53.3-60 to 81.5-92), visual analog scale for pain (trochleoplasty: 52-25; TTO: 54-76 to 14-27; MPFLR: 29 to 17, out of 100), and Tegner score (TTO: 3-4 to 3-4; MPFLR: 2.5-6 to 4.9-5), improved after all surgeries. Failure rates ranged from 0% to 33.3% after MPFLR, 0% to 30.8% after TTO, and 5.3% to 40% after trochleoplasty. Complication rates ranged from 0% to 14.7% after MPFLR, 1.6% to 58.3% after TTO, and 8% to 26.3% after trochleoplasty. CONCLUSIONS: Isolated MPFLR, TTO, or trochleoplasty may be effective treatment options for patellar stabilization. Although failure rates were highest after isolated trochleoplasty and complication rates were highest after TTO, these procedures are not interchangeable as each addresses a specific pathology. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, systematic review of Level II to IV studies.

Long-term impact of immediate versus deferred antiretroviral therapy on kidney health in people with HIV.

People with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD) due to HIV and antiretroviral therapy (ART) nephrotoxicity. Immediate ART initiation reduces mortality and is now the standard of care, but the long-term impact of prolonged ART exposure on CKD is unknown. To evaluate this, the Strategic Timing of Antiretroviral Treatment (START) trial randomized 4,684 ART-naïve adults with CD4 cell count under 500 cells/mm3 to immediate versus deferred ART. We previously reported a small but statistically significantly greater decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over a median of 2.1 years in participants randomized to deferred versus immediate ART. Here, we compare the incidence of CKD events and changes in eGFR and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) in participants randomized to immediate versus deferred ART during extended follow-up. Over a median of 9.3 years, eight participants experienced kidney failure or kidney-related death, three in the immediate and five in the deferred ART arms, respectively. Over a median of five years of more comprehensive follow-up, the annual rate of eGFR decline was 1.19 mL/min/1.73m2/year, with no significant difference between treatment arms (difference deferred - immediate arm 0.055; 95% confidence interval -0.106, 0.217 mL/min/1.73m2). Results were similar in models adjusted for baseline covariates associated with CKD, including UACR and APOL1 genotype. Similarly, there was no significant difference between treatment arms in incidence of confirmed UACR 30 mg/g or more (odds ratio 1.13; 95% confidence interval 0.85, 1.51). Thus, our findings provide the most definitive evidence to date in support of the long-term safety of early ART with respect to kidney health.

Factors associated with medical consumable availability in level 1 facilities in Malawi: a secondary analysis of a facility census.

BACKGROUND: Medical consumable stock-outs negatively affect health outcomes not only by impeding or delaying the effective delivery of services but also by discouraging patients from seeking care. Consequently, supply chain strengthening is being adopted as a key component of national health strategies. However, evidence on the factors associated with increased consumable availability is limited. METHODS: In this study, we used the 2018-19 Harmonised Health Facility Assessment data from Malawi to identify the factors associated with the availability of consumables in level 1 facilities, ie, rural hospitals or health centres with a small number of beds and a sparsely equipped operating room for minor procedures. We estimate a multilevel logistic regression model with a binary outcome variable representing consumable availability (of 130 consumables across 940 facilities) and explanatory variables chosen based on current evidence. Further subgroup analyses are carried out to assess the presence of effect modification by level of care, facility ownership, and a categorisation of consumables by public health or disease programme, Malawi's Essential Medicine List classification, whether the consumable is a drug or not, and level of average national availability. FINDINGS: Our results suggest that the following characteristics had a positive association with consumable availability-level 1b facilities or community hospitals had 64% (odds ratio [OR] 1·64, 95% CI 1·37-1·97) higher odds of consumable availability than level 1a facilities or health centres, Christian Health Association of Malawi and private-for-profit ownership had 63% (1·63, 1·40-1·89) and 49% (1·49, 1·24-1·80) higher odds respectively than government-owned facilities, the availability of a computer had 46% (1·46, 1·32-1·62) higher odds than in its absence, pharmacists managing drug orders had 85% (1·85, 1·40-2·44) higher odds than a drug store clerk, proximity to the corresponding regional administrative office (facilities greater than 75 km away had 21% lower odds [0·79, 0·63-0·98] than facilities within 10 km of the district health office), and having three drug order fulfilments in the 3 months before the survey had 14% (1·14, 1·02-1·27) higher odds than one fulfilment in 3 months. Further, consumables categorised as vital in Malawi's Essential Medicine List performed considerably better with 235% (OR 3·35, 95% CI 1·60-7·05) higher odds than other essential or non-essential consumables and drugs performed worse with 79% (0·21, 0·08-0·51) lower odds than other medical consumables in terms of availability across facilities. INTERPRETATION: Our results provide evidence on the areas of intervention with potential to improve consumable availability. Further exploration of the health and resource consequences of the strategies discussed will be useful in guiding investments into supply chain strengthening. FUNDING: UK Research and Innovation as part of the Global Challenges Research Fund (Thanzi La Onse; reference MR/P028004/1), the Wellcome Trust (Thanzi La Mawa; reference 223120/Z/21/Z), the UK Medical Research Council, the UK Department for International Development, and the EU (reference MR/R015600/1).

Stacked mutations in wheat homologues of rice SEMI-DWARF1 confer a novel semi-dwarf phenotype.

BACKGROUND: Semi-dwarfing alleles are used widely in cereals to confer improved lodging resistance and assimilate partitioning. The most widely deployed semi-dwarfing alleles in rice and barley encode the gibberellin (GA)-biosynthetic enzyme GA 20-OXIDASE2 (GA20OX2). The hexaploid wheat genome carries three homoeologous copies of GA20OX2, and because of functional redundancy, loss-of-function alleles of a single homoeologue would not be selected in wheat breeding programmes. Instead, approximately 70% of wheat cultivars carry gain-of-function mutations in REDUCED HEIGHT 1 (RHT1) genes that encode negative growth regulators and are degraded in response to GA. Semi-dwarf Rht-B1b or Rht-D1b alleles encode proteins that are insensitive to GA-mediated degradation. However, because RHT1 is expressed ubiquitously these alleles have pleiotropic effects that confer undesirable traits in some environments. RESULTS: We have applied reverse genetics to combine loss-of-function alleles in all three homoeologues of wheat GA20OX2 and its paralogue GA20OX1 and evaluated their performance in three years of field trials. ga20ox1 mutants exhibited a mild height reduction (approximately 3%) suggesting GA20OX1 plays a minor role in stem elongation in wheat. ga20ox2 mutants have reduced GA1 content and are 12-32% shorter than their wild-type segregants, comparable to the effect of the Rht-D1b 'Green Revolution' allele. The ga20ox2 mutants showed no significant negative effects on yield components in the spring wheat variety 'Cadenza'. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that chemical mutagenesis can expand genetic variation in polyploid crops to uncover novel alleles despite the difficulty in identifying appropriate mutations for some target genes and the negative effects of background mutations. Field experiments demonstrate that mutations in GA20OX2 reduce height in wheat, but it will be necessary to evaluate the effect of these alleles in different genetic backgrounds and environments to determine their value in wheat breeding as alternative semi-dwarfing alleles.

Characterization of patient population receiving bioactive glass bone graft substitute as intraoperative treatment for orthopaedic trauma fractures.

Background: Bioactive glass synthetic bone grafts are used to treat osseous defects in orthopaedic surgery. Characterization of the clinical scenarios associated with bioactive glass use in the context of orthopaedic trauma, are not well established. This study aims to characterize population demographics, operative variables, as well as postoperative variables, for patients who required bone grafting for treatment of traumatic orthopaedic injuries and received a bioactive glass bone substitute intraoperatively. Methods: The electronic medical record at a large Level I trauma center was queried for fracture patients between January 1st, 2019, and April 30th, 2022. Our retrospective cohort included fracture patients who received Fibergraft Matrix or Fibergraft Putty intraoperatively, and their respective control groups. This study ascertained patient demographic variables, operative variables, and postoperative variables. Differences in categorical variables were tested with Fischer's Exact Tests, while differences in continuous variables were tested with ANOVA. Statistical significance was determined as P < 0.05. If the overall Group model was significant for a given variable, post-hoc Fischer's Exact or Tukey HSD tests were used to assess pairwise significance between individual Group pairs. Results: A total of four categories across our analysis of demographic, operative, and postoperative variables displayed significant differences amongst subject Groups (P ≤ 0.03). Individual groups were compared such that significant differences between subject groups could be appreciated for a specific variable. FM subjects had greater length of surgery, billable costs, and vitamin D supplementation at the time of surgery compared to FM controls. Similarly, FP subjects had greater length of surgery, billable cost, and implants used intraoperatively compared to FP controls. Conclusion: This analysis revealed Fibergraft patients to have greater length of surgery and billable cost, with respect to their matched controls. These data suggest that Fibergraft patients had more severe orthopaedic fractures compared to matched controls.

Influence of a change in activity regime on femoral bone architecture and failure behaviour.

The incidence and morbidity of femoral fractures increases drastically with age. Femoral architecture and associated fracture risk are strongly influenced by loading during physical activities and it has been shown that the rate of loss of bone mineral density is significantly lower for active individuals than inactive. The objective of this work is to evaluate the impact of a cessation of some physical activities on elderly femoral structure and fracture behaviour. The authors previously established a biofidelic finite element model of the femur considered as a structure optimised to loading associated with daily activities. The same structural optimisation algorithm was used here to quantify the changes in bone architecture following cessation of stair climbing and sit-to-stand. Side fall fracture simulations were run on the adapted bone structures using a damage elasticity formulation. Total cortical and trabecular bone volume and failure load reduced in all cases of activity cessation. Bone loss distribution was strongly heterogeneous, with some locations even showing increased bone volume. This work suggests that maintaining the physical activities involved in the daily routine of a young healthy adult would help reduce the risk of femoral fracture in the elderly population by preventing bone loss.

Daily Associations between Salivary Cortisol and EEG-Assessed Sleep: A 15-Day Intensive Longitudinal Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Current evidence suggests that cortisol levels are bi-directionally associated with sleep. However, the daily, naturalistic cortisol-sleep associations remain unclear, as current evidence is mostly cross-sectional. This study tested whether pre-sleep cortisol predicts sleep duration and quality, and whether these sleep parameters predict the following day's diurnal cortisol slope using a 15-day intensive longitudinal design with electroencephalographic measures and saliva sampling. METHODS: Ninety-five young adults (Mage=20.48±1.59 years) provided saliva samples at awakening and pre-sleep over 14 consecutive days, providing 2,345 samples (85% viable). The Z-Machine Insight+ was used to record over 900 nights of total sleep time (TST) and sleep efficiency (SE). Multilevel models tested these data at the between- and within-person levels. RESULTS: Higher pre-sleep cortisol predicted shorter TST (p<.001) and lower SE (p<.001) at the within-person level. Individuals with shorter average TST (p =.007) or lower average SE (p<.001) had flatter diurnal cortisol slope, compared to those with longer average TST or higher average SE. Follow up analyses showed that individuals with shorter average TST (vs. longer average TST) had higher pre-sleep cortisol levels (p=.01). CONCLUSION: Our findings provide evidence that pre-sleep cortisol is associated with sleep duration and quality at the within-individual level. Furthermore, individuals with short or poor sleep had flatter diurnal cortisol slope. Although the effect sizes are small, these findings show the naturalistic associations between sleep and cortisol in a relatively healthy sample. These findings suggest that sleep maintains the regulation of the stress-response system, which is protective against mental and physical disorders.

Power Analysis for Human Melatonin Suppression Experiments.

In humans, the nocturnal secretion of melatonin by the pineal gland is suppressed by ocular exposure to light. In the laboratory, melatonin suppression is a biomarker for this neuroendocrine pathway. Recent work has found that individuals differ substantially in their melatonin-suppressive response to light, with the most sensitive individuals being up to 60 times more sensitive than the least sensitive individuals. Planning experiments with melatonin suppression as an outcome needs to incorporate these individual differences, particularly in common resource-limited scenarios where running within-subjects studies at multiple light levels is costly and resource-intensive and may not be feasible with respect to participant compliance. Here, we present a novel framework for virtual laboratory melatonin suppression experiments, incorporating a Bayesian statistical model. We provide a Shiny web app for power analyses that allows users to modify various experimental parameters (sample size, individual-level heterogeneity, statistical significance threshold, light levels), and simulate a systematic shift in sensitivity (e.g., due to a pharmacological or other intervention). Our framework helps experimenters to design compelling and robust studies, offering novel insights into the underlying biological variability in melatonin suppression relevant for practical applications.

Regular follow-up with cervical cytology is of questionable value following surgical treatment of microinvasive cervical cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the follow-up smears and their outcomes of patients with conservatively managed early-stage cervical cancer as per UK guidelines within our service. To evaluate whether intensive follow-up can detect pre-cancer early compared to the standard 3 yearly follow-up. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective review. METHODS: All patients treated for early stage (stage 1A1 and 1A2) with cervical cancer from 01/2002 to 01/2020 at University Hospitals of Derby and Burton were included. Patients who had initial hysterectomy were excluded from our analysis. Review conducted using electronic patient records for treatment, histology, and follow-up smears. Number of abnormal follow-up smears and number of recurrent cervical cancers were considered the main outcome measures. RESULTS: 98 cases were identified. 81 (82.65 %) were stage 1A1 and 17 (17.35 %) were stage 1A2. 74 (75.51 %) patients had squamous histology and 24 (24.49 %) had adenocarcinomas. Median follow-up was 11.08 years (4043 days). 510 follow-up smears were performed, of which 33 (6.47 %) were abnormal. 5 of these abnormal smears showed low grade dyskaryosis (0.98 %) and 2 smears showed high grade dyskaryosis (0.39 %). The positive predictive value of follow-up smears to detect pre-cancerous changes was 5.71 %. There were no recurrent cancers detected. CONCLUSIONS: Microinvasive cervical cancer is effectively managed with conservative surgery. There were no recurrent cancers detected in our cohort during follow-up and there were only 2 high grade dyskaryoses detected (n = 2/510, 0.39 %). We therefore believe that reducing the intensity of follow up of these patients should be considered.

Hybrid Immunity and SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies: Results of the HEROES-RECOVER Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on whether hybrid immunity differs by count and order of immunity-conferring events (infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2] or vaccination against coronavirus disease 2019 [COVID-19]). From a multi-site cohort of frontline workers, we examined the heterogeneity of the effect of hybrid immunity on SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels. METHODS: Exposures included event count and event order, categorized into 7 permutations. Outcome was level of serum antibodies against receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the ancestral SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (total RBD-binding immunoglobulin). Means were examined up to 365 days after each of the first to seventh events. RESULTS: Analysis included 5793 participants measured from 7 August 2020 to 15 April 2023. Hybrid immunity from infection before 1 or 2 vaccine doses elicited modestly superior antibody responses after the second and third events (compared with infections or vaccine doses alone). This superiority was not repeated after additional events. Among adults infected before vaccination, adjusted geometric mean ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) of anti-RBD early response (versus vaccinated only) were 1.23 (1.14-1.33), 1.09 (1.03-1.14), 0.87 (.81-.94), and 0.99 (.85-1.15) after the second to fifth events, respectively. Post-vaccination infections elicited superior responses; adjusted geometric mean ratios (95% CI) of anti-RBD early response (versus vaccinated only) were 0.93 (.75-1.17), 1.11 (1.06-1.16), 1.17 (1.11-1.24), and 1.20 (1.07-1.34) after the second to fifth events, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence of heterogeneity in antibody levels by permutations of infection and vaccination history could inform COVID-19 vaccination policy.