Social context of contraceptive use transition among sexually active women in Zambia (1992-2018): A decomposition analysis.

BACKGROUND: Contraception is an important public health initiative for addressing maternal health outcomes associated with unplanned pregnancies, unsafe abortions and maternal deaths. Although contraceptive use has been on the rise globally, the observed increases in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are sub-optimal and vary among countries. In Zambia, drivers of contraceptive use transition are not well documented. Thus, this study examined the drivers of contraceptive use change among sexually active women in Zambia between 1992 and 2018. METHODS: Data came from the six Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys conducted between 1992 and 2018. A sample of 44,762 fecund sexually active women aged 15-49 years was analysed using multivariable Blinder Oaxaca decomposition regression analysis. Analysis took into account the complex survey design. Results were presented using adjusted coefficients, their 95% confidence intervals, and percentages. RESULTS: The prevalence of contraceptive use among sexually active women increased significantly by 30.8 percentage points from 14.2% (95% CI: 12.8, 15.6) to 45.0% (95% CI: 43.6, 46.4) during the period 1992 to 2018. The major share of the increase happened during the period 1992-1996 (10.2%) while the least increase occurred between 2013 and 2018 (0.2%). Overall, about 15% of the increase in the prevalence of contraceptive use was attributable to changes in the compositional characteristics of women. On the other hand, 85% of the increase was due to change in contraceptive behaviour of sexually active women. Changes in women's compositional characteristics such as secondary education (5.84%), fertility preference (5.63%), number of living children (3.30%) and experience of child mortality (7.68%) were associated with the increase in contraceptive use prevalence. CONCLUSION: Change in contraceptive behaviour of sexually active women contributed largely to the observed increase in contraceptive use prevalence in Zambia. Increase in the proportion of women attaining secondary education, decrease in the percentage of women who want large families and improvement in child survival were the major compositional factors driving the rise in contraceptive use. The findings imply that increasing investment in education sector and enhancing existing family planning programmes has the potential to further improve contraceptive use prevalence in Zambia.

Trends in prevalence and factors associated with unintended pregnancies in Zambia (2001-2018).

BACKGROUND: Unintended pregnancies can pose significant public health concerns for both maternal and child health because of their associated risks and implications. Experience of unintended pregnancies may lead to delay in seeking antenatal care, thus leading to increased risk of complications during pregnancy and childbirth. Globally, the prevalence of unintended pregnancies has declined. However, the problem remains acute in sub-Saharan Africa. This study was conducted to examine the factors associated with an experience of unintended pregnancy among women of reproductive ages in Zambia. METHODS: This study used secondary data from the Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys (ZDHSs) which were conducted between 2001 and 2018. A pooled weighted sample of 4,090 pregnant women of reproductive age 15-49 years at the time of the survey was included in the analysis. Multivariable binary logistic regression model was employed to examine the association between independent correlates and experience of unintended pregnancy. All statistical analyses were conducted using Stata software. RESULTS: Findings show that the proportion of women of reproductive age who experienced unintended pregnancy in Zambia declined from 50.4% (95% CI: 47.1, 53.8) in 2001 to 45.2% (95% CI: 40.5, 49.9) in 2018. The decline in the prevalence of unintended pregnancy is more pronounced among women age groups 25-29 years and 30-34 years. Increasing age was associated with an increased risk of experiencing unintended pregnancies. On the other hand, women who were living in rural areas (aOR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.58, 1.00) and those with tertiary education (aOR = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.26, 0.80) were less likely to experience an unintended pregnancy. Women who desired a large family (aOR = 0.45; 95% CI: 0.24, 0.85) and those who watched television (aOR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.59, 0.94) had lower odds of experiencing unintended pregnancies. CONCLUSIONS: The study has established that the prevalence of unintended pregnancy is still high in Zambia. Women's age, place of residence, level of education, desired family size and exposure to media were associated with the risk of experiencing an unintended pregnancy. Enhancing access to family planning services and commodities targeting women with low education levels will be key to further reduce unintended pregnancies.

Factors associated with fertility intentions among women living with and without human immunodeficiency virus in Zambia.

BACKGROUND: Zambia is one of the countries in sub-Saharan Africa with a high prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus among women of reproductive age. Notably, the literature shows that human immunodeficiency virus status is one of the factors that influence fertility intention among women of reproductive age. With increased access, uptake and coverage of anti retroviral therapy, there is a need to understand the influence of human immunodeficiency virus status on fertility intentions of women of reproductive age in Zambia. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the fertility intentions of both mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus and mothers living without human immunodeficiency virus in Zambia. DESIGN: This study adopted a cross-sectional design using data collected by the Zambia Demographic and Health Survey conducted in 2018. The study sample comprised 7983 mothers in the reproductive age (15-49 years), of which 6704 were mothers living without human immunodeficiency virus and 1279 were mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus. METHODS: Here, we determined the fertility intentions of mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus and mothers living without human immunodeficiency virus using secondary data. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the association of individual and household socio-demographic factors on fertility intentions of mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus and mothers living without human immunodeficiency virus in Zambia. RESULTS: Fertility intention among mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus was 42.1% while that on mothers living without human immunodeficiency virus was 55.5%. Regardless of human immunodeficiency virus status, fertility intention reduced with increasing age. Mothers aged 35-49 years who were living with human immunodeficiency virus (adjusted odds ratio = 0.12, 95% confidence interval = 0.06-0.24) and mothers aged 35-49 years who were living without human immunodeficiency virus (adjusted odds ratio = 0.18, 95% confidence interval = 0.13-0.26) had lower odds of intention to have another child compared to mothers aged 15-24 years. Furthermore, married mothers living with human immunodeficiency virus and those living without human immunodeficiency virus had increased odds of intention of having another child (adjusted odds ratio = 2.52, 95% confidence interval = 1.36-4.66) and (adjusted odds ratio = 3.21, 95% confidence interval = 2.36-4.36), respectively. CONCLUSION: The study has established that age, marital status, parity and employment status were associated with fertility intention among women living with and without human immunodeficiency virus. The results necessitate the need for enhanced maternal health education for mothers regardless of human immunodeficiency virus status. Furthermore, there is a need for continuous counselling for both women living with human immunodeficiency virus and without human immunodeficiency virus during their routine human immunodeficiency virus care, to improve and enhance pregnancy outcomes.

Intersecting epidemics: COVID-19 and HIV in sub-Saharan Africa. A systematic review (2020-2022).

There has been significant progress with regards to winning the fight against HIV globally, particularly due to the introduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART). COVID-19 threatened to derail gains in the fight against HIV. As we have started to see with studies on COVID-19 and HIV, there is a need to 'provide an in-depth view' in understanding the dynamics between the two epidemics, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. We, therefore, undertook a systemic review of existing literature to synthesize the effects of COVID-19 on the utilization of HIV services in sub-Saharan Africa, the literature on the risks associated with HIV during the COVID-19 pandemic, and lastly, the innovations and strategies adopted to continue receiving treatment in sub-Saharan Africa. We conducted a systematic review of studies published between 2020 and April 2022. We searched for relevant sub-Saharan studies in the following databases: PubMed, Google Scholar, J-STOR, and Science Direct. The review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The search identified 647 papers, and after screening, 41 were in line with the inclusion criteria and were included in the review. There was evidence of the negative effects of COVID-19 on reducing HIV testing, ART treatment, and HIV prevention services. There is evidence pointing to the need for people living with HIV to be prioritized for COVID-19 vaccinations. Innovations and strategies implemented to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 on HIV services include community-based ART distribution, multi-month ART dispensing, the use of digital technologies, and the use of the already existing HIV infrastructure to fight COVID-19. It is still imperative that future studies explore the predictors of utilization of HIV services in the advent of COVID-19.

Intersecting Epidemics: The Predictors of Continued Utilization of HIV Care and Treatment Services During the COVID-19 Outbreak Among People Living with HIV in ZIMBABWE.

Globally, there have been considerable achievements towards HIV care and treatment. AIDS-related deaths have been reduced by 60% since the peak in 2004. Potentially, the fight against the HIV epidemic was made more difficult with the outbreak of COVID-19. Thus, this study examined the implications of COVID-19 in the utilization of HIV care and treatment services among people living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Zimbabwe. The study aimed to identify the critical factors defining the utilization of HIV services at the advent of COVID-19 using the fifth revision of the Anderson Behavioral Model of Healthcare Utilization. The study utilized a concurrent triangulation design of which only one data collection phase was used. The quantitative data was collected from 2,157 people living with HIV on antiretroviral viral therapy through a structured interviewer-administered questionnaire. On the other hand, qualitative data was collected through in-depth interviews. Regarding accessing ART refills, the study findings revealed that adolescents aged 15-19 (aOR = 2.16; 95% CI: 1.18-3.96) had higher odds of utilizing ART refills compared to their counterparts who were aged 20-24. Living in a rural area was associated with higher odds of utilizing the ART refill service (aOR = 2.20; 95% CI: 1.49-3.24). Regarding accessing viral load monitoring adults aged 25-39 (aOR = 0.41; 95% CI: 0.26-0.66) were less likely to utilize viral load monitoring compared to young people aged 20-24. Being vaccinated for COVID-19 was significantly associated with higher odds of utilizing the viral load monitoring service (aOR = 1.97; 95% CI: 1.36-2.87) than those not yet vaccinated. Living in a rural area was associated with higher odds of utilizing viral load monitoring (aOR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.09-2.08). Regarding tuberculosis preventative therapy, adults aged 25-39 (aOR = 0.30; 95% CI: 0.20-0.47) were less likely to utilize tuberculosis preventative therapy compared to young people aged 20-24. Being vaccinated for COVID-19 was significantly associated with higher odds of utilizing tuberculosis preventative therapy (aOR = 1.59; 95% CI: 1.12-2.25) than those not yet vaccinated. Living in a rural area was associated with higher odds of utilizing tuberculosis preventive therapy (aOR = 1.58; 95% CI: 1.19-2.08). Regarding tuberculosis screening being vaccinated for COVID-19 was significantly associated with higher odds of utilizing tuberculosis screening services (aOR = 1.89; 95% CI: 1.41-2.54) than those not yet vaccinated. Although the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic has dwindled, COVID-19 appears to come and go in waves, and a few countries are still recording relatively high cases. It is therefore likely that the factors associated with utilization of HIV services identified by the study such as age, residence, type of health facility, vaccination of COVID-19 and fear of contracting COVID-19, among others, need to be included when planning to improve access to health utilization.

Prevalence of HIV testing uptake among the never-married young men (15-24) in sub-Saharan Africa: An analysis of demographic and health survey data (2015-2020).

BACKGROUND: In sub-Saharan Africa, HIV and AIDS remain a major public health concern among adolescents and young men. HIV testing is the first critical step for linking infected individuals to HIV treatment and prevention. However, HIV-testing uptake among sexually active young men remains low in the region. This study was conducted to assess the HIV testing rates among unmarried young men in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: Using data from the most recent country Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) conducted between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020, in 18 sub-Saharan African countries, an Inverse Heterogeneity model (IVhet) using MetaXL software was used to estimate country, regional and sub-regional pooled estimates of HIV testing uptake among sexually active unmarried young men in sub-Saharan Africa. Furthermore, multivariable binary logistic regression was conducted to examine the factors associated with HIV testing uptake among unmarried young men. RESULTS: The overall pooled prevalence estimate of HIV testing uptake among sexually active unmarried young men in sub-Saharan Africa was 33.0% (95% CI: 21-45, I2 = 99%, p <0.001). There was variation in the prevalence across countries ranging from 7% (95% CI: 5-9) in Guinea to 77% (95% CI: 74-80) in Cameroon. Central Africa had the highest prevalence of HIV testing among unmarried young men, at 47% (95% CI:0-100) while West Africa had the lowest prevalence at 11% (95% CI:2-23). Results further show that young men aged 15-19 (aOR = 0.59, 95% CI 0.52-0.66) were less likely to test for HIV. Young men who spent 8 to 12 years in school (aOR = 3.26 95% CI 2.21-4.79) or 13 years and above (aOR = 3.56 95% CI 2.35-5.37) had increased odds of undertaking an HIV test. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of HIV testing among sexually active unmarried young men remains low in sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, the results suggest that health policymakers should consider re-evaluating the current HIV prevention policies and programmes with the view of redesigning the present HIV testing campaigns to enhance the uptake among young people.

Perceived ideal number of children among adolescent girls in sub-Saharan Africa: does exposure to family planning messages matter?

BACKGROUND: Even though evidence shows that fertility transition has begun almost everywhere in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the decline has been slower than in other parts of the world. Research shows that there is a positive relationship between fertility levels and fertility preference. Therefore, many countries in the region are implementing family planning education campaigns targeting at influencing reproductive behavior of women. Thus, this study aimed to examine the extent to which exposure to family planning communication influences fertility preferences of adolescent girls in SSA. METHODS: This study used data extracted from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey datasets for 28 countries in SSA. Analyses were conducted on a pooled sample of 87,950 female adolescents' aged 15-19 years who were captured in respective country's survey. Multivariable binary logistic regression model was fitted in Stata version 17 software to examine the association between exposure to family planning communication and fertility preference among adolescent girls in SSA. RESULTS: The average fertility preference among adolescent girls in SSA was 4.6 children (95% CI: 4.5, 4.7). Findings show that regardless of the country, adolescents who had exposure to family planning messages [aOR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.72-0.80] were less likely to prefer 4 or more children. On average, fertility preference among adolescents who had exposure to family planning communication was (3.8 children compared to 4.5 children; p < 0.001) among those with no exposure. Furthermore, results show that married adolescents in SSA who had exposure to family planning message had a higher average preferred family size compared to those who were not married (4.8 versus 3.8; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Exposure to family planning communication has shown the potential to influence adolescents' fertility preference in sub-Saharan Africa. Adolescents with exposure to family planning messages preferred a small family size. Therefore, there is a need to scale-up family planning education programmes in order to reduce fertility further in SSA.

Patterns and correlates of intention to use contraceptives among fecund sexually active women in developing countries.

BACKGROUND: Understanding a woman's future contraceptive needs and enhancing her chances of putting those needs into action depend heavily on her intentions to use contraceptive methods. However, there is little information about global perspectives of intention to utilise contraceptives among fecund sexually active women. OBJECTIVES: This study examines the patterns and determinants of contraception intention of fecund sexually active women. METHODS: The most recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) from 59 countries were used for secondary data analysis. The DHSs applied a cross-sectional survey design to collect data from women between the ages of 15 and 49. The study comprises a sample of 697,590 fecund sexually active women in the reproductive ages. The desire to utilise contraceptive methods was examined using a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis. All analyses were weighted to allow for a complex survey design. RESULTS: A pooled prevalence of intention to utilise contraception was 42.8% (95% CI: 42.5, 43.1) at the global level. Eastern and Southern Europe had the lowest prevalence, 17.3% (95% CI: 16.4, 18.2), and the highest prevalence was observed in countries from Latin America and the Caribbean, 68.0% (95% CI: 67.5, 69.9). Attaining secondary-level education (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.68; 95% CI: 1.62-1.72) or higher (aOR = 1.71; 95% CI: 1.63-1.80), working (aOR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.18-1.24), experience of a pregnancy loss (aOR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03-1.09), or being exposed to media family planning messages (aOR = 1.51; 95% CI: 1.48-1.55) were factors associated with an increased likelihood of intent to use contraceptives. CONCLUSIONS: The study has established that contraceptive use intention was low in many developing countries. Education, age, employment status, fertility preference, and exposure to family planning messages influenced contraceptive use intention. Health policy-makers ought to consider these factors when designing sexual and reproductive health strategies in developing countries.

Integrating the rights-based and capability approaches in the analysis of maternal healthcare utilization in sub-Saharan Africa: A multilevel modelling study.

The rights-based and capability approaches received increased attention relative to maternal health in the aftermath of the 2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). This may be in view of the sub-optimal progress gained in reducing maternal and child mortality, especially in developing countries. Despite the combined potential of these approaches, there are limited empirical studies testing their viability in aiding our understanding of maternal healthcare utilization in developing countries. This is what this study sought to accomplish. We combined several datasets, including the Demographic Health Surveys (DHS), World Development Indicators, the World Governance Indicators and Freedom House. Bayesian multilevel logistic regression models were applied on three indicators of maternal healthcare utilization (antenatal care visits, institutional delivery, and postnatal check-ups) in relation to selected variables representing right-based and capability approaches. After controlling for relevant individual and community-level factors, the results show that living in countries with high freedom status (POR = 1.19) and higher female secondary school enrolments (POR = 1.54) increases the odds of adequate antenatal care. Residence in countries with high freedom status (POR = 1.33) and higher voice and accountability (POR = 1.72) has a positive influence on institutional delivery. Similar results are reported for postnatal care where country freedom status (POR = 1.89), voice and accountability (POR = 1.25) and female school enrolment (POR = 1.41) are significant predictors. The results imply that the rights-based and capability approaches have the potential to enhance maternal healthcare utilization in sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, policy strategies emphasizing on freedoms, accountability, and individual capability functionings should be encouraged in the pursuit of partly achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) number 3.

Prevalence and factors associated with early childbearing in sub-saharan Africa: evidence from demographic and health surveys of 31 countries.

BACKGROUND: Early childbearing remains a public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) because it has substantial implications for women's and children's health and population control. However, little is known about recent changes in early childbearing in the region following the implementation of the Family Planning 2020 initiative (FP2020) national-level interventions. Thus, this study examined factors associated with early childbearing among women in SSA. METHODS: The study used data from the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in 31 countries in sub-Saharan Africa between 2010 and 2021. The analysis included a pooled sample of 54,671 parous young women aged 20-24 years. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to examine the association between early childbearing and individual and household-level factors. All analyses were weighted to account for complex survey design. RESULTS: The study shows that the mean prevalence of early childbearing was high in SSA at 39% (95% CI: 35, 43). Chad had the highest prevalence of early childbearing, 62% (95% CI: 60, 64) while Rwanda had the lowest prevalence of 13% (95% CI: 11, 15). Completing secondary school (aOR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.52, 0.62) or attaining tertiary level education (aOR = 0.32; 95% CI: 0.22, 0.45), first sexual debut in the age range 15-24 years (aOR = 0.15; 95% CI: 0.14, 0.16) and desire for a small family size (aOR = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.58, 0.69) were associated with reduced odds of early childbearing among young women in SSA. CONCLUSION: The study has established that the prevalence of early childbearing is high in SSA. Level of education, age at first sexual debut, household size, and desired family size are associated with early childbearing in SSA. Governments of SSA countries should enhance sexual and reproductive health interventions to change reproductive behaviour, particularly in adolescents and young women.

Determinants of spousal physical violence against women in Zambia: a multilevel analysis.

BACKGROUND: Violence against women and girls is a major public health issue, a violation of human rights, and is linked to a number of harmful effects on one's physical, mental, sexual, and reproductive health. Studies conducted in other parts of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) suggest that there is an association between contextual factors and experience of intimate partner violence. However, in Zambia, this association is not well documented. Thus, this study was conducted to examine how individual and community-level characteristics influence spousal violence against women in Zambia. METHODS: Data from the most recent Zambia Demographic and Health Survey conducted in 2018 was used. A sample of 7,358 ever-married women aged 15-49 years was used in the analysis. Two level multilevel binary logistic regression models were employed to examine the association between individual and contextual-level factors and experience of spousal violence. RESULTS: The prevalence of spousal physical violence against women in Zambia was 21.1% [95% CI, 19.8, 22.5]. Women aged 15-19 [aOR = 2.36, 95% CI = 1.34-4.14] and 20-24 [aOR = 2.11, 95% CI = 1.38-3.22], who did not own mobile phone [aOR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.10-1.69], and had low decision making autonomy [aOR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.01-1.54] were more likely experience spousal physical violence. Furthermore, communities which had a low proportion of women with decision making power [aOR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.26-2.19] were more likely experience spousal physical violence. Additionally, women whose partners' drank alcohol [aOR = 2.81, 95% CI = 2.30-3.45] and those whose partners exhibited jealous behaviour [aOR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.88-3.21] were more likely to experience spousal physical violence. CONCLUSION: Both individual and community-level factors influenced spousal physical violence in Zambia. Integrating community level factors when designing interventions to address gender-based would be key to reduce women's vulnerability to gender based violence in the country. There is need to re-evaluate and re-strategize current strategies being implemented to address gender based violence in the country to make them context specific.

Understanding factors associated with rural-urban disparities of stunting among under-five children in Rwanda: A decomposition analysis approach.

Childhood stunting in its moderate and severe forms is a major global problem and an important indicator of child health. Rwanda has made progress in reducing the prevalence of stunting. However, the burden of stunting and its geographical disparities have precipitated the need to investigate its spatial clusters and attributable factors. Here, we assessed the determinants of under-5 stunting and mapped its prevalence to identify areas where interventions can be directed. Using three combined rounds of the nationally representative Rwanda Demographic and Health Surveys of 2010, 2015 and 2020, we employed the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis and the hotspot and cluster analyses to quantify the contributions of key determinants of stunting. Overall, there was a 7.9% and 10.3% points reduction in moderate stunting among urban and rural areas, respectively, and a 2.8% and 8.3% points reduction in severe stunting in urban and rural areas, respectively. Child age, wealth index, maternal education and the number of antenatal care visits were key determinants for the reduction of moderate and severe stunting. Over time, persistent statistically significant hotspots for moderate and severe stunting were observed in Northern and Western parts of the country. There is a need for an adaptive scaling approach when implementing national nutritional interventions by targeting high-burden regions. Stunting hotspots in Western and Northern provinces underscore the need for coordinated subnational initiatives and strategies such as empowering the rural poor, enhancing antenatal health care, and improving maternal health and education levels to sustain the gains made in reducing childhood stunting.

Unmet need for family planning among married women in sub-Saharan Africa: a meta-analysis of DHS data (1995 - 2020).

BACKGROUND: Closing the gap of unmet needs for family planning (FP) in sub-Saharan Africa remains critical in improving maternal and child health outcomes. Determining the prevalence of unmet needs for family planning among married women in the reproductive age is vital for designing effective sexual reproductive health interventions and programmes. Here, we use nationally representative data drawn from sub-Saharan countries to estimate and examine heterogeneity of unmet needs for family planning among currently married women of reproductive age. METHODS: This study used secondary data from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) conducted between January 1, 1995 to December 31, 2020 from 37 countries in sub-Saharan African. An Inverse Heterogeneity model (IVhet) in MetaXL application was used to estimate country and sub-regional level pooled estimates and confidence intervals of unmet needs for FP in SSA. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of unmet need for family planning among married women of reproductive age in the sub-region for the period under study was 22.9% (95% CI: 20.9-25.0). The prevalence varied across countries from 10% (95% CI: 10-11%) in Zimbabwe to 38% (95% CI: 35-40) and 38 (95% CI: 37-39) (I2 = 99.8% and p-value < 0.0001) in Sao Tome and Principe and Angola, respectively. Unmet needs due to limiting ranged from 6%; (95% CI: 3-9) in Central Africa to 9%; (95% CI: 8-11) in East Africa. On the other hand, the prevalence of unmet needs due to spacing was highest in Central Africa (Prev: 18; 95% CI: 16-21) and lowest in Southern Africa (Prev: 12%; 95% CI: 8-16). Our study indicates that there was no publication bias because the Luis Furuya-Kanamori index (0.79) was within the symmetry range of -1 and + 1. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of unmet need for FP remains high in sub-Saharan Africa suggesting the need for health policymakers to consider re-evaluating the current SRH policies and programmes with the view of redesigning the present successful strategies to address the problem.

A multilevel analysis of trends and predictors associated with teenage pregnancy in Zambia (2001-2018).

BACKGROUND: Teenage pregnancy remains a major social and public health challenge in developing countries especially sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where prevalence rates are still increasing. Even if considerable effort has been made over the years to study determining factors of teenage pregnancy in SSA, few studies have looked at the trends and associated factors over a longer period. Furthermore, no known study has focussed on both individual and contextual factors influencing teenage pregnancy in Zambia. This study, thus sought to fill this gap in knowledge by simultaneously investigating trends of teenage pregnancy as well as its individual and contextual determining factors. METHODS: A total pooled weighted sample of 10,010 teenagers (in the age group 15-19) from four waves of the Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys were extracted. Using bivariate analysis, we investigated the trends of teenage pregnancy between 2001 and 2018. Separate multilevel logistic regression models were fitted on pooled teenage pregnancy data in relation to several individual and contextual level factors. Both fixed and random effects were produced. Bayesian parameter estimates were produced using lme4 package in R statistical programming environment. RESULTS: Results of the trends of teenage pregnancy in Zambia have shown an overall decrease of 2% between 2001 and 2018. Almost all the socioeconomic and demographic variables were consistently associated with teenage pregnancy (p < 0.001) in a bivariate analysis across the four survey. In multilevel analysis, the odds of being pregnant were higher for teenagers who were employed (aOR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.02-1.42), married (aOR = 7.71, 95% CI: 6.31-9.52) and those with knowledge of ovulation period (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.34-1.90). On the other hand, belonging to households in high wealth quintiles, being literate, exposure to mass-media family planning messages and delayed sexual debut were associated with decreased odds of teenage pregnancy. CONCLUSION: The study shows that teenage pregnancy remains a social and public health challenge in Zambia as the country has seen little decrease in the prevalence over the years under consideration. Factors associated with teenage pregnancy include marital status, and employment, knowledge of ovulation period, wealth quintile, sexual debut and exposure to mass-media family planning messaging. Concerted effort must be made to improve literacy levels, reduce poverty and enhance sexual health promotion through the mass media in view of cultural norms, which may prevent parents and children from discussion sexual education topics thus exacerbate the vice.

Teenage pregnancy continues to be a major social and public health challenge in developing countries, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where prevalence rates are on the rise. Even if considerable effort has been made over the years to study determining factors of teenage pregnancy in SSA, few studies have looked at the trends and associated factors over a longer period. This study in Zambia, thus sought to fill this gap in knowledge by simultaneously investigating trends of teenage pregnancy as well as its individual and contextual determining factors. Here, we used a pooled dataset from Zambia's 2001 to 2018 DHS to run separate multilevel logistic regression models to examine several individual and contextual level factors influencing teenage pregnancy. Findings show that trends of teenage pregnancy in Zambia have shown an overall decrease of only 2% between 2001 and 2018. Almost all the socioeconomic and demographic variables were consistently associated with teenage pregnancy. The study shows that teenage pregnancy remains a social and public health challenge in Zambia as the country has seen little decrease in the prevalence over the years under consideration. Concerted effort must be made to improve literacy levels, reduce poverty and enhance sexual health promotion through the mass media in view of cultural norms, which may prevent parents and children from discussion sexual education topics thus exacerbate the vice.

Individual and Community-level factors associated with early marriage in Zambia: a mixed effect analysis.

BACKGROUND: Child marriage has long been a public health concern around the world, because it has the potential to deprive adolescent girls of their sexual reproductive health rights and limits their ability to reach their full potential in life. The prevalence of child marriage has been consistently higher in sub-Saharan Africa than elsewhere. However, fewer studies have explored the influence of both individual and community-level influences on early marriage in sub-Saharan Africa. This study, therefore, examined individual and community-level factors associated with child marriages in Zambia. METHODS: Data came from the Zambia Demographic and Health Surveys (ZDHS) conducted in 2007, 2013-14 and 2018. A pooled weighted sample of 9990 women aged 20-29 years was used in the analysis. Stata software version 17 was used to perform statistical analysis, taking into account complex survey design. The association between individual- and community- level factors and early marital behavior was assessed using multilevel logistic regression models. RESULTS: The prevalence of child marriage among women aged 20-29 was 44.4 percent (95% CI: 42.1, 46.7) in 2018, declining from 51.5 percent (95% CI: 48.9, 54.0) in 2007. Women with secondary or higher level of education [aOR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.26-0.49] and [aOR = 0.07, 95% CI = 0.03-0.18] and those whose age at first birth was (15-19 year) or (20-29 years) were associated with less likelihood of experiencing child marriage. Communities with a high percentage of women who gave birth at a young age [aOR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.15-1.62] were more likely to experience child marriage. Individual and community-level characteristics accounted for 35% of the overall variations in communities' likelihood of experiencing early marriage. Even after controlling for both individual and community-level influences, the intra-class correlation revealed that around 4.5 percent of the overall variations remained unexplained. CONCLUSION: Prevalence of child marriage has reduced over the years but is still high in Zambia. Both individual and community- level factors influenced child marriage in Zambia. There is a need to strengthen strategies that keep girls in school to delay their exposure to early sexual debut and child marriage. Designing of reproductive health interventions in the country should consider integration of community factors such as economic insecurity and access to reproductive health information.

Trends and socio-demographic components of modern contraceptive use among sexually active women in Rwanda: a multivariate decomposition analysis.

BACKGROUND: The attainment of targets set for modern contraceptive use remains a challenge in sub-Saharan Africa. Rwanda, in its new Family Planning and Adolescent Sexual Reproductive Health/Family Planning (FP/ASRH) Strategic Plan 2018-2024 has set the attainment of a contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) of 60% by 2024. To achieve this, identifying factors that enhance modern contraceptive use among sexually active women is critical. METHODS: We used three Rwanda Demographic Health Surveys (RDHS) datasets collected in 2010, 2015, and 2019/2020 in a multivariable decomposition analysis technique to describe trends and identify factors influencing change in modern contraceptive use among sexually active women aged 15-49 years. Results presented as coefficients and percentages took into consideration the complex survey design weighted using StataSE 17. RESULTS: Modern contraceptive use increased from 40% in 2010 to 52.4% in 2020 among sexually active women. About 23.7% of the overall percentage change in modern contraceptive use was attributable to women's characteristics which included women's education levels, number of living children, and being told about family planning at health facilities. Coefficients contributed 76.26% to the change in modern contraceptive use. This change was attributed to modern contraceptive use among young women between the age of 20-24 years, women's education level, the number of living children, changes in family size, and being visited by community health workers. CONCLUSION: Rwanda remains on course to archive its 2024 family planning targets. However, there is a need to enhance programs that target sexually active adolescents and young adults, and women from rural areas to sustain the gains made. Furthermore, continuous support of community health workers will be key in exceeding the set targets of modern contraceptive use among sexually active women in Rwanda.

Modern contraceptive use has been observed to improve the health of women and accelerate the attainment of health rights and gender equity. Sustaining and enhancing the uptake of modern contraceptives is essential in designing sexual reproductive health programs for all sexually active women to reduce the risks of unplanned pregnancies. This paper identified and reports changes in modern contraceptives among all sexually active women aged between 15 and 49 years old for the period 2010­2020. The manuscript used Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (RDHS) data that is collected every after five years to track changes in the health and demographics of the citizens. The study found that a change in the behaviour of women towards contraceptive use is key to improving modern contraceptive use among sexually active women. Therefore, focusing on these behavioural components will enhance modern contraceptive use and contribute to improving women's sexual and reproductive health.

Contextual factors and spatial trends of childhood malnutrition in Zambia.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the national burden and epidemiological profile of childhood malnutrition is central to achieving both national and global health priorities. However, national estimates of malnutrition often conceal large geographical disparities. This study examined the prevalence of childhood malnutrition across provinces in Zambia, changes over time, and identified factors associated with the changes. METHODS: We analyzed data from the 2013/4 and 2018 Zambia demographic and health surveys (ZDHS) to examine the spatial heterogeneity and mesoscale correlates of the dual burden of malnutrition in children in Zambia. Maps illustrating the provincial variation of childhood malnutrition were constructed. Socio-demographic and clinical factors associated with childhood malnutrition in 2013 and 2018 were assessed independently using a multivariate logistic model. RESULTS: Between 2013/4 and 2018, the average prevalence of stunting decreased from 40.1% (95% CI: 39.2-40.9) to 34.6% (95% CI:33.6-35.5), wasting decreased from 6.0% (95% CI: 5.6-6.5) to 4.2% (95% CI: 3.8-4.7), underweight decreased from 14.8% (95% CI: 14.1-15.4) to 11.8% (95% CI: 11.2-12.5) and overweight decreased from 5.7% (95% CI: 5.3-6.2) to 5.2% (95% CI: 4.8-5.7). High variability in the prevalence of childhood malnutrition across the provinces were observed. Specifically, stunting and underweight in Northern and Luapula provinces were observed in 2013/14, whereas Lusaka province had a higher degree of variability over the two survey periods. CONCLUSION: The study points to key sub-populations at greater risk and provinces where malnutrition was prevalent in Zambia. Overall, these results have important implications for nutrition policy and program efforts to reduce the double burden of malnutrition in Zambia.

Examining differentials in HIV transmission risk behaviour and its associated factors among men in Southern African countries.

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), particularly Southern and East Africa, has the highest AIDS deaths and HIV-infected people in the world. Even though considerable effort has been made over the years to study HIV transmission risk behaviours of different population groups in SSA, there is little evidence of studies that have looked at pooled effects of associated HIV risk factors among men, particularly in Southern Africa. Thus, this study sought to fill this gap in knowledge by investigating the variations in HIV risk behaviours among men in the region. The study analysed cross-sectional data based on the most recent country Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) for six countries, namely Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The study employed multivariate logistic regression models on a pooled dataset and individual country data to examine the relative risk of education and other factors on HIV risk behaviour indicators. It considered: (i) condom use during high risk-sex, (ii) multiple sexual partnerships, and (iii) HIV testing among men aged 15-59 years. Findings show that the proportion of men who engaged in HIV transmission risk behaviour was high in Southern Africa. Two-thirds of men reported non-use of a condom during last sex with most recent partners while 22% engaged in multiple sexual partnerships. The percentage of men who used condoms during sex with most recent partners ranged from 18% in Mozambique to 58% in Namibia. Age, residence, marital status and household wealth status were associated with HIV risk factors in the region. The study has established country variations in terms of how individual factors influence HIV transmission risk behaviour among men. Results show that the level of education was associated with increased use of condoms, only in Zambia and Mozambique. Delay in starting a sexual debut was associated with reduced odds of having multiple sexual partnerships in the region. Suggesting the need to strengthen comprehensive sexuality education among young men in school, to promote social behaviour change during adolescence age. The study presents important results to inform direct health policy, programme and government action to address HIV prevalence in the Southern region of Africa.

Unmet need for family planning among married women in Zambia: lessons from the 2018 Demographic and Health Survey.

BACKGROUND: Unmet need for family planning among married women is still a public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa. In Zambia, one in every five married women had an unmet need for family planning in 2018. Unmet need for family planning has the potential to increase the number of unintended pregnancies and unsafe abortions. These factors can increase the proportion of women of child bearing age, who are at high risk of birth complications. This study was therefore conducted to understand the determinants of unmet need for family planning among married women in Zambia based on recent cross-sectional data. METHODS: The study analysed data extracted from the Zambia Demographic and Health Survey, which was a representative cross-sectional survey conducted in 2018. The analysis was done on a sample of 7598 currently married women aged 15-49 years. Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine determinants of unmet need for family planning in Zambia. The analyses was weighted to account for complex sample design. RESULTS: Prevalence of unmet need for family planning is still high in Zambia at 20%. Women in the age groups 25-34 and 35-49 were less likely to have total unmet need for family planning (AOR = 0.61; 95% CI 0.47, 0.78) and (AOR = 0.63; 95% CI 0.45, 0.86) respectively, compared with those aged 15-24 years. Age of a woman, parity, household wealth and exposure to media-based family planning messages were found to be significantly associated with unmet need for family planning among married women. CONCLUSION: There were significant differences in unmet need for family planning based on a woman's age, number of children ever born, wealth level, and exposure to media-based family planning messaging. Improving access to family planning messages and addressing underlying structural factors that improve the wealth status, particularly among young women, may help to reduce unmet need for family planning in Zambia.