Emergence and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 genetic variants during the Cuban epidemic.

The SARS CoV-2 D614G variant circulated in Cuba in 2020. New viral variants were detected after the opening of the border in November 2020. We show the results of the genomic surveillance in Cuba from December 28, 2020, to September 28, 2021 and their relationship to the epidemiological situation in the country. A total of 1,406 nasopharyngeal exudates from COVID-19 patients were processed for RNA extraction and the 1836 bp fragment of the spike gene was amplified and sequenced. The mutations present were determined using the GISAID database. Prevalence ratios were estimated by fitting Poisson univariate and multivariate regression models to investigate associations between SARS-CoV-2 variant group (VOC, non-VOC) and disease outcome. Seventeen genetic variants were detected including VOC Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta, one variant of interest (VOI) (Lambda) and two previous VOI (A.2.5.1 and Zeta/P.2). Beta (34.77%), Delta (24.89%) and D614G (19%) variants were the most frequently detected. By June, Delta increased in frequency, displacing Beta. Disease severity increased significantly with age and VOC (PR =1.98, IC 95%: 1.33-3.05, p <0.05). Genomic surveillance allowed us to identify the upsurge of novel variants. Coinciding with the higher epidemic period, multiple variants were co-circulating. Although we cannot rule out that failure in the transmission containment measures occurred, the increase in the number of cases associated with the circulation of several variants, particularly the Beta and Delta variants is highly suggestive. A greater association of Beta variant with clinical severity and Delta variant with a greater transmissibility was observed.

Correction: Cuban history of CRF19 recombinant subtype of HIV-1.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1009786.].

Cuban history of CRF19 recombinant subtype of HIV-1.

CRF19 is a recombinant form of HIV-1 subtypes D, A1 and G, which was first sampled in Cuba in 1999, but was already present there in 1980s. CRF19 was reported almost uniquely in Cuba, where it accounts for ∼25% of new HIV-positive patients and causes rapid progression to AIDS (∼3 years). We analyzed a large data set comprising ∼350 pol and env sequences sampled in Cuba over the last 15 years and ∼350 from Los Alamos database. This data set contained both CRF19 (∼315), and A1, D and G sequences. We performed and combined analyses for the three A1, G and D regions, using fast maximum likelihood approaches, including: (1) phylogeny reconstruction, (2) spatio-temporal analysis of the virus spread, and ancestral character reconstruction for (3) transmission mode and (4) drug resistance mutations (DRMs). We verified these results with a Bayesian approach. This allowed us to acquire new insights on the CRF19 origin and transmission patterns. We showed that CRF19 recombined between 1966 and 1977, most likely in Cuban community stationed in Congo region. We further investigated CRF19 spread on the Cuban province level, and discovered that the epidemic started in 1970s, most probably in Villa Clara, that it was at first carried by heterosexual transmissions, and then quickly spread in the 1980s within the "men having sex with men" (MSM) community, with multiple transmissions back to heterosexuals. The analysis of the transmission patterns of common DRMs found very few resistance transmission clusters. Our results show a very early introduction of CRF19 in Cuba, which could explain its local epidemiological success. Ignited by a major founder event, the epidemic then followed a similar pattern as other subtypes and CRFs in Cuba. The reason for the short time to AIDS remains to be understood and requires specific surveillance, in Cuba and elsewhere.