Prediction of Survival after 48 Hours of Intensive Unit Care following Repair of Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm-Multicentric Study for External Validation of a New Prediction Score for 30-Day Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) remains a critical life-threatening condition. We aimed to evaluate rAAA management in our center focusing on predictors of mortality at 48 hr of intensive care unit (ICU) and to develop a new mortality prediction score considering data at 48 hr postprocedure. External validation of the modified score with patient data from independent vascular surgery centers was subsequently pursued. METHODS: Clinical data of all patients admitted in our center from January 2010 to December 2017 with the diagnosis of rAAA were retrospectively reviewed for the development of the mortality prediction score. Subsequently, clinical data from patients admitted at independent centers from January 2010 to December 2017 were reviewed for external validation of the score. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS Version 25. RESULTS: A total of 78 patients were included in the first part of the study: 21 endovascular aneurysm repairs (EVARs), 56 open repairs (ORs), and 1 case of conservative management. Intraoperative mortality in EVAR and OR groups was 0% vs. 24.6%, respectively (P = 0.012). Thirty-day mortality reached 50% and 33% in the OR and EVAR groups. For patients alive at 48 hr, 30-day mortality diminished to 27.6%. Several preoperative predictors of outcome were identified: smoking (P = 0.004), hemodynamic instability(P = 0.004), and elevated international normalized ratio (P < 0.0001). Dutch Aneurysm Score and Vascular Study Group of New England Score (VSGNE) were also significant predictors of outcome (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [ROC AUC] 0.89 and 0.79, respectively; P < 0.0001). At 48 hr of ICU stay, high lactate level, high Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, need for hemodyalitic technique, and hemodynamic instability were significant risk predictors for 30-day mortality (P < 0.05). VSGNE score was modified with the inclusion of 2 variables: hemodynamic instability and lactate level at 48 hr and a new score was attained-Postoperative Aneurysm Score (PAS). Comparing AUC for VSGNE and PAS for patients alive at 48 hr, the latter was significantly better (AUC 0.775 vs. 0.852, P = 0.039). The PAS was applied and validated in 3 independent vascular surgery centers (AUC VSGNE 0.782 vs. AUC PAS 0.820, P = 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: Despite recent evidence on preoperative predictors of survival in an era when both EVAR and OR are available, emergent decision to withhold life-saving treatment will always be extremely difficult. Therefore, the policy in our department is to try surgical repair in all cases. It remains important, however, to identify whether late deaths can be predicted, so that unnecessary prolonged treatment can be avoided. A PAS was delineated predicting 30-day mortality significantly better in patients alive at 48 hr. The score was externally applied and validated in independent centers, corroborating the score's usefulness.

Overview of evidence on emergency carotid stenting in patients with acute ischemic stroke due to tandem occlusions: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Endovascular intracranial thrombectomy (IT) has established itself as the standard of care in treating large-vessel anterior circulation acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis/occlusion hampers distal access and controversy about simultaneous emergency ICA stenting ensues. The purpose of this review was to evaluate the safety of emergency ICA stenting in combination with IT for AIS with tandem occlusions. To our knowledge this is the first meta-analysis to evaluate emergency ICA stenting in tandem occlusions, combining results from studies with a control group. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: A meta-analysis was conducted according to the recommendations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: A total of 649 potentially relevant articles were initially selected. After reviewing at title or abstract level, 87 articles were read in full and 23 were included. These studies recruited 1000 patients, 220 submitted to IT with no emergency ICA stenting and 780 to IT and emergency ICA stenting. Successful revascularization (Thrombolysis in cerebral infarction scale [TICI] ≥2b) was achieved in 48.6-100%. Good outcome (modified Rankin scale [mRS] ≤2) ranged from 18.2-100%. Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) ranged from 0-45.7% (overall N.=168; 17.2%). Mortality at 90 days ranged from 0-45.4% (overall N.=114; 11.7%). Time to recanalization was significantly longer in the stenting group with an overall mean difference of 1.76 (95% CI: 1.59-1.93). CONCLUSIONS: In this meta-analysis time to recanalization was significantly longer in the emergency ICA stenting group. There was no benefit from emergency stenting in parameters such as successful revascularization (TICI≥2b), clinical outcome (mRS≤2) or 90-day mortality. Data on sICH were scarce. Emergency ICA stenting appears to increase time to revascularization and increase the risk of complications with no demonstrated clinical benefit. Furthermore, no prospective, randomized controlled trials demonstrating relative efficacy and safety of concomitant ICA stenting have been published to date. Additional studies must be undertaken to define the role of angioplasty and stenting of the extracranial carotid arteries in the early management of acute stroke in tandem occlusions. Until then, we recommend that ICA stenting concomitant to thrombectomy in acute stroke patients should be avoided.