Obesity, Inflammation, and Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

CONTEXT: Obesity is a risk factor for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related outcomes; however, the mechanism remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this analysis was to determine whether inflammation mediates the association between obesity and COVID-19 outcomes. DESIGN: The International Study of Inflammation in Covid-19 (ISIC): A Prospective Multi-Center Observational Study Examining the Role of Biomarkers of Inflammation in Predicting Covid-19 Related Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients. SETTING: Ten hospitals in the United States and Europe. PARTICIPANTS: Adults hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 between February 1, 2020, through October 19, 2022. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Inflammatory biomarkers, including soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), were measured at admission. Associations were examined between body-mass index (BMI, kg/m2) and a composite of death, need for mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy, stratified by pre- and post-Omicron variants. The contribution of inflammation to the relationship between obesity and outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: Among 4644 participants (mean age 59.3, 45.6% male, 21.8% BMI≥35), those with BMI>40 (n=485) had 55% higher odds of the composite outcome (95% CI[1.21 to 1.98]) compared to non-obese individuals (BMI<30, n=2358) in multivariable analysis. In multiple mediation analysis, only suPAR remained a significant mediator between BMI and composite outcome. Associations were amplified for participants younger than 65 years and with pre-Omicron variants. CONCLUSION: Obesity is associated with worse outcomes in COVID-19, notably in younger participants and in the pre-Omicron era. Inflammation, as measured by suPAR, is a significant mediator of the association between obesity and COVID-19 outcomes.

SuPAR, biomarkers of inflammation, and severe outcomes in patients hospitalized for COVID-19: The International Study of Inflammation in COVID-19.

Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a hyperinflammatory syndrome. The biomarkers of inflammation best suited to triage patients with COVID-19 are unknown. We conducted a prospective multicenter observational study of adult patients hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 from February 1, 2020 to October 19, 2022. Biomarkers measured included soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, procalcitonin, ferritin, and D-dimer. In-hospital outcomes examined include death and the need for mechanical ventilation. Patients admitted in the United States (US, n = 1962) were used to compute area under the curves (AUCs) and identify biomarker cutoffs. The combined European cohorts (n = 1137) were used to validate the biomarker cutoffs. In the US cohort, 356 patients met the composite outcome of death (n = 197) or need for mechanical ventilation (n = 290). SuPAR was the most important predictor of the composite outcome and had the highest AUC (0.712) followed by CRP (0.642), ferritin (0.619), IL-6 (0.614), D-dimer (0.606), and lastly procalcitonin (0.596). Inclusion of other biomarkers did not improve discrimination. A suPAR cutoff of 4.0 ng/mL demonstrated a sensitivity of 95.4% (95% CI: 92.4%-98.0%) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 92.5% (95% CI: 87.5%-96.9%) for the composite outcome. Patients with suPAR < 4.0 ng/mL comprised 10.6% of the cohort and had a 0.8% probability of the composite outcome. Applying this cutoff to the validation cohort yielded a sensitivity of 93.8% (90.4%-96.7%) and NPV of 95.5% (93.1%-97.8%) for the composite outcome. Among commonly measured biomarkers, suPAR offered stronger discriminatory ability and may be useful in triaging low-risk patients with COVID-19.

Cardiovascular Risk Stratification of Patients Undergoing Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation: The CARE-BMT Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Evidence guiding the pre-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) cardiovascular evaluation is limited. We sought to derive and validate a pre-HSCT score for the cardiovascular risk stratification of HSCT candidates. METHODS AND RESULTS: We leveraged the CARE-BMT (Cardiovascular Registry in Bone Marrow Transplantation) study, a contemporary multicenter observational study of adult patients who underwent autologous or allogeneic HSCT between 2008 and 2019 (N=2435; mean age at transplant of 55 years; 4.9% Black). We identified the subset of variables most predictive of post-HSCT cardiovascular events, defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, atrial fibrillation or flutter, and sustained ventricular tachycardia. We then developed a point-based risk score using the hazard ratios obtained from Cox proportional hazards modeling. The score was externally validated in a separate cohort of 919 HSCT recipients (mean age at transplant 54 years; 20.4% Black). The risk score included age, transplant type, race, coronary artery disease, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, creatinine, triglycerides, and prior anthracycline dose. Risk scores were grouped as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, with the 5-year cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events being 4.0%, 10.3%, and 22.4%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating curves for predicting cardiovascular events at 100 days, 5 and 10 years post-HSCT were 0.65 (95% CI, 0.59-0.70), 0.73 (95% CI, 0.69-0.76), and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.81), respectively. The model performed equally well in autologous and allogeneic recipients, as well as in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The CARE-BMT risk score is easy to calculate and could help guide referrals of high-risk HSCT recipients to cardiovascular specialists before transplant and guide long-term monitoring.

Thymus alterations and susceptibility to immune checkpoint inhibitor myocarditis.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have transformed the therapeutic landscape in oncology. However, ICI can induce uncommon life-threatening autoimmune T-cell-mediated myotoxicities, including myocarditis and myositis. The thymus plays a critical role in T cell maturation. Here we demonstrate that thymic alterations are associated with increased incidence and severity of ICI myotoxicities. First, using the international pharmacovigilance database VigiBase, the Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris-Sorbonne University data warehouse (Paris, France) and a meta-analysis of clinical trials, we show that ICI treatment of thymic epithelial tumors (TET, and particularly thymoma) was more frequently associated with ICI myotoxicities than other ICI-treated cancers. Second, in an international ICI myocarditis registry, we established that myocarditis occurred earlier after ICI initiation in patients with TET (including active or prior history of TET) compared to other cancers and was more severe in terms of life-threatening arrythmias and concurrent myositis, leading to respiratory muscle failure and death. Lastly, we show that presence of anti-acetylcholine-receptor antibodies (a biological proxy of thymic-associated autoimmunity) was more prevalent in patients with ICI myocarditis than in ICI-treated control patients. Altogether, our results highlight that thymic alterations are associated with incidence and seriousness of ICI myotoxicities. Clinico-radio-biological workup evaluating the thymus may help in predicting ICI myotoxicities.