Enhancing risk prediction capabilities in patients with carotid artery disease using a 2-level computational approach.

One of the main causes of death worldwide is carotid artery disease, which causes increasing arterial stenosis and may induce a stroke. To address this problem, the scientific community aims to improve our understanding of the underlying atherosclerotic mechanisms, as well as to make it possible to forecast the progression of atherosclerosis. Additionally, over the past several years, developments in the field of cardiovascular modeling have made it possible to create precise three-dimensional models of patient-specific main carotid arteries. The aforementioned 3D models are then implemented by computational models to forecast either the progression of atherosclerotic plaque or several flow-related metrics which are correlated to risk evaluation. A precise representation of both the blood flow and the fundamental atherosclerotic process within the arterial wall is made possible by computational models, therefore, allowing for the prediction of future lumen stenoses, plaque areas and risk prediction. This work presents an attempt to integrate the outcomes of a novel plaque growth model with advanced blood flow dynamics where the deformed luminal shape derived from the plaque growth model is compared to the actual patient-specific luminal model in terms of several hemodynamic metrics, to identify the prediction accuracy of the aforementioned model. Pressure drop ratios had a mean difference of <3%, whereas OSI-derived metrics were identical in 2/3 cases.Clinical Relevance-This establishes the accuracy of our plaque growth model in predicting the arterial geometry after the desired timeline.

Accurate adventitia reconstruction; significant or not in atherosclerotic plaque growth simulationsƒ A comparative study.

A reform in the diagnosis and treatment process is urgently required as carotid artery disease remains a leading cause of death in the world. To this purpose, all computational techniques are now being applied to enhancing the most cutting-edge diagnosis techniques. Computational modeling of plaque generation and evolution is being refined over the past years to forecast the atherosclerotic progression and the corresponding risk in patient-specific carotid arteries. A prerequisite to their implementation is the reconstruction of the precise three-dimensional models of patient-specific main carotid arteries. Even with the most sophisticated algorithms, accurate reconstruction of the arterial vessel is frequently difficult. Furthermore, there are several works of plaque growth modeling that ignore the reconstruction of the artery's outer layer in favor of a virtual one. In this paper, we investigate the importance of an accurate adventitia layer in plaque growth modeling. This is done as a comparative study by implementing a novel plaque growth model in two reconstructed carotid arterial segments using either their realistic or virtual adventitia layer as input. The results indicate that accurate adventitia reconstruction is of minor importance regarding species distributions and plaque growth in carotid segments, which initially did not contain any plaque regions.Clinical Relevance- The findings of this comparative study emphasize the importance of precise adventitia geometry in plaque growth modeling. As a result, this work sets a higher standard for publishing new plaque growth models.

A Machine Learning Model for the prediction of the progression of carotid arterial stenoses.

Atherosclerotic carotid plaque development results in a steady narrowing of the artery lumen, which may eventually trigger catastrophic plaque rupture leading to thromboembolism and stroke. The primary cause of ischemic stroke in the EU is carotid artery disease, which increases the demand for tools for risk stratification and patient management in carotid artery disease. Additionally, advancements in cardiovascular modeling over the past few years have made it possible to build accurate three-dimensional models of patient-specific primary carotid arteries. Computational models then incorporate the aforementioned 3D models to estimate either the development of atherosclerotic plaque or a number of flow-related parameters that are linked to risk assessment. This work presents an attempt to provide a carotid artery stenosis prognostic model, utilizing non-imaging and imaging data, as well as simulated hemodynamic data. The overall methodology was trained and tested on a dataset of 41 cases with 23 carotid arteries with stable stenosis and 18 carotids with increasing stenosis degree. The highest accuracy of 71% was achieved using a neural network classifier. The novel aspect of our work is the definition of the problem that is solved, as well as the amount of simulated data that are used as input for the prognostic model.Clinical Relevance-A prognostic model for the prediction of the trajectory of carotid artery atherosclerosis is proposed, which can support physicians in critical treatment decisions.

Prediction of the atherosclerotic plaque development in carotid arteries; the effect of T-cells.

The carotid artery disease is one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, as it leads to the progressive arterial stenosis that may result to stroke. To address this issue, the scientific community is attempting not only to enrich our knowledge on the underlying atherosclerotic mechanisms, but also to enable the prediction of the atherosclerotic progression. This study investigates the role of T-cells in the atherosclerotic plaque growth process through the implementation of a computational model in realistic geometries of carotid arteries. T-cells mediate in the inflammatory process by secreting interferon-y that enhances the activation of macrophages. In this analysis, we used 5 realistic human carotid arterial segments as input to the model. In particular, magnetic resonance imaging data, as well as, clinical data were collected from the patients at two time points. Using the baseline data, plaque growth was predicted and correlated to the follow-up arterial geometries. The results exhibited a very good agreement between them, presenting a high coefficient of determination R2=0.64.

Investigation of crimping effects on the stent deployment through in silico modeling.

Atherosclerosis is one of the most mortal diseases that affects the arterial vessels, due to accumulation of plaque, altering the hemodynamic environment of the artery by preventing the sufficient delivery of blood to other organs. Stents are expandable tubular wires, used as a treatment option. In silico studies have been extensively exploited towards examining the performance of such devices by employing Finite Element Modeling. This study models the crimping stage during stent implantation to examine the effect of inclusion of pre-stress state of the stent. The results show that modeling of the crimping stress state of the stent prior to the deployment results in under-expansion of the stent, due to the indirect inclusion of strain-induced hardening effects. As a result, it is evident that the compressive stent stress configuration is important to be considered in the computational modeling approaches of stent deployment.

Investigation of the drug release time from the biodegrading coating of an everolimus eluting stent.

This case-study examines the release time of the everolimus drug from an experimental biodegrading coating of a Rontis corp. drug eluting stent (DES). The controlled drug release is achieved by the degradation of the coating, which consists of a mixture of polylactic co-glycolic acid (PLGA) and everolimus (55:45). In our analysis, we used the outcome of another study, which contains the geometry of an in-silico deployed Rontis corp. stent in a 3D reconstructed coney arterial segment. Using this geometry as input, the everolimus release was simulated using a computational model that includes: i) modeling of the blood flow dynamics, ii) modeling of PLGA degradation, and iii) modeling of the everolimus advection and diffusion towards both the lumen and the arterial wall. The results show the rapid release of everolimus. This is justified due to the high porosity of the coating, which is caused by the initial high concentration of everolimus in the coating.Clinical Relevance - The methodology presented in this work is an additional step towards predicting accurately drug release from DES. Also, the results of our work prove that high drug concentration in the coating causes its rapid release, which could be used as input in the design of new DES.

Error Propagation in the Simulation of Atherosclerotic Plaque Growth and the Prediction of Atherosclerotic Disease Progression.

Assessments of coronary artery disease can be achieved using non-invasive computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA). CTCA can be further used for the 3D reconstruction of the coronary arteries and the development of computational models. However, image acquisition and arterial reconstruction introduce an error which can be propagated, affecting the computational results and the accuracy of diagnostic and prognostic models. In this work, we investigate the effect of an imaging error, propagated to a diagnostic index calculated using computational modelling of blood flow and then to prognostic models based on plaque growth modelling or binary logistic predictive modelling. The analysis was performed utilizing data from 20 patients collected at two time points with interscan period of six years. The collected data includes clinical and risk factors, biological and biohumoral data, and CTCA imaging. The results demonstrated that the error propagated and may have significantly affected some of the final outcomes. The calculated propagated error seemed to be minor for shear stress, but was major for some variables of the plaque growth model. In parallel, in the current analysis SmartFFR was not considerably affected, with the limitation of only one case located into the gray zone.

Computational modeling of atherosclerotic plaque progression in carotid lesions with moderate degree of stenosis.

Carotid atherosclerotic plaque growth leads to the progressive luminal stenosis of the vessel, which may erode or rupture causing thromboembolism and cerebral infarction, manifested as stroke. Carotid atherosclerosis is considered the major cause of ischemic stroke in Europe and thus new imaging-based computational tools that can improve risk stratification and management of carotid artery disease patients are needed. In this work, we present a new computational approach for modeling atherosclerotic plaque progression in real patient-carotid lesions, with moderate to severe degree of stenosis (>50%). The model incorporates for the first time, the baseline 3D geometry of the plaque tissue components (e.g. Lipid Core) identified by MR imaging, in which the major biological processes of atherosclerosis are simulated in time. The simulated plaque tissue production results in the inward remodeling of the vessel wall promoting luminal stenosis which in turn predicts the region of the actual stenosis progression observed at the follow-up visit. The model aims to support clinical decision making, by identifying regions prone to plaque formation, predict carotid stenosis and plaque burden progression, and provide advice on the optimal time for patient follow-up screening.

Investigation of Drug Eluting Stents performance in human atherosclerotic artery through in silico modeling.

Atherosclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease associated with heart attack and stroke. It causes the growth of atherosclerotic plaques inside the arterial vessels, which in turn results to the reduction of the blood flow to the different organs. Drug-Eluting Stents (DES) are mesh-like wires, carrying pharmaceutical coating, designed to dilate and support the arterial vessel, restore blood flow and through the controlled local drug delivery inhibit neo-intimal thickening. In silico modeling is an efficient method of accurately predicting and assessing the performance of the stenting procedure. The present in silico study investigates the performance of two different stents (Bare Metal Stent, Drug-Eluting Stent) in a patient-specific coronary artery and assesses the effect of stent coating, considering that the same procedural approach is followed by the interventional cardiologist. The results demonstrate that even if small differences are obtained in the two models, the incorporation of the stent coatings (in DES) does not significantly affect the outcomes of the stent deployment, the stresses and strains in the scaffold and the arterial tissue. Nevertheless, it is suggested that regarding the DES expansion, higher pressure should be applied at the inner surface of the stent.

A Novel Approach to Generate a Virtual Population of Human Coronary Arteries for In Silico Clinical Trials of Stent Design.

Goal: To develop a cardiovascular virtual population using statistical modeling and computational biomechanics. Methods: A clinical data augmentation algorithm is implemented to efficiently generate virtual clinical data using a real clinical dataset. An atherosclerotic plaque growth model is employed to 3D reconstructed coronary arterial segments to generate virtual coronary arterial geometries (geometrical data). Last, the combination of the virtual clinical and geometrical data is achieved using a methodology that allows for the generation of a realistic virtual population which can be used in in silico clinical trials. Results: The results show good agreement between real and virtual clinical data presenting a mean gof 0.1 ± 0.08. 400 virtual coronary arteries were generated, while the final virtual population includes 10,000 patients. Conclusions: The virtual arterial geometries are efficiently matched to the generated clinical data, both increasing and complementing the variability of the virtual population.

Prediction of the development of coronary atherosclerotic plaques using computational modeling in 3D reconstructed coronary arteries.

In this work we present a novel method for the prediction and generation of atherosclerotic plaques. This is performed in a two-step approach, by employing first a multilevel computational plaque growth model and second a correlation between the model's results and the 3D reconstructed follow-up plaques. In particular, computer tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) data and blood tests were collected from patients at two time points. Using the baseline data, the plaque growth is simulated using a multi-level computational model which includes: i) modeling of the blood flow dynamics, ii) modeling of low and high density lipoproteins and monocytes' infiltration in the arterial wall, and the species reactions during the atherosclerotic process, and iii) modeling of the arterial wall thickening. The correlation between the followup plaques and the simulated plaque density distribution resulted to the extraction of a threshold of the plaque density, that can be used to identify plaque areas.Clinical Relevance- The methodology presented in this work is a first step to the prediction of the plaque shape and location of patients with atherosclerosis and could be used as an additional tool for patient-specific risk stratification.

Simulation of atherosclerotic plaque growth using computational biomechanics and patient-specific data.

Atherosclerosis is the one of the major causes of mortality worldwide, urging the need for prevention strategies. In this work, a novel computational model is developed, which is used for simulation of plaque growth to 94 realistic 3D reconstructed coronary arteries. This model considers several factors of the atherosclerotic process even mechanical factors such as the effect of endothelial shear stress, responsible for the initiation of atherosclerosis, and biological factors such as the accumulation of low and high density lipoproteins (LDL and HDL), monocytes, macrophages, cytokines, nitric oxide and formation of foams cells or proliferation of contractile and synthetic smooth muscle cells (SMCs). The model is validated using the serial imaging of CTCA comparing the simulated geometries with the real follow-up arteries. Additionally, we examine the predictive capability of the model to identify regions prone of disease progression. The results presented good correlation between the simulated lumen area (P < 0.0001), plaque area (P < 0.0001) and plaque burden (P < 0.0001) with the realistic ones. Finally, disease progression is achieved with 80% accuracy with many of the computational results being independent predictors.

A computational multi-level atherosclerotic plaque growth model for coronary arteries.

In this work, we present a novel computational approach for the prediction of atherosclerotic plaque growth. In particular, patient-specific coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) data were collected from 60 patients at two time points. Additionally, blood samples were collected for biochemical analysis. The CCTA data were used for 3D reconstruction of the coronary arteries, which were then used for computational modeling of plaque growth. The model of plaque growth is based on a multi-level approach: i) the blood flow is modeled in the lumen and the arterial wall, ii) the low and high density lipoprotein and monocytes transport is included, and iii) the major atherosclerotic processes are modeled including the foam cells formation, the proliferation of smooth muscle cells and the formation of atherosclerotic plaque. Validation of the model was performed using the follow-up CCTA. The results show a correlation of the simulated follow-up arterial wall area to be correlated with the corresponding realistic follow-up with r2=0.49, P<; 0.0001.