RESUMO
PURPOSE: Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) represents the most prevalent form of glaucoma and stands as a foremost contributor to irreversible vision impairment on a global scale. Despite notable strides made in comprehending the genetic underpinnings of POAG, investigations within the context of Russia remain constrained. METHODS: The study cohort comprised a total of 235 individuals, with 135 of them exhibiting various forms of glaucoma encompassing both POAG and (NTG, while the remaining 100 individuals served as control subjects. Each participant underwent a comprehensive ocular examination to ascertain their ocular health status. Genotyping of the relevant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) was carried out using the Taq Man genotyping assay. Specifically, the two SNPs under scrutiny were GNB3 rs5443 gene and ACE rs4646994. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate the association of these SNPs with glaucoma risk. RESULTS: The presence of the T allele of rs5443 was found to be associated with NTG (p = .004). However, no statistically significant correlation was identified between this SNP and POAG (p = .88). CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence of an association between the T allele of rs5443 and a reduced susceptibility NTG within the Russian population. These observations augment the comprehension of the genetic underpinnings of glaucoma and hold potential implications for the prospective development of targeted therapeutic interventions.
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Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto , Glaucoma , Humanos , Genótipo , Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto/genética , Pressão Intraocular , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate if education contributes to the risk of myopia because educational activities typically occur indoors or because of other factors, such as prolonged near viewing. Methods: This was a two-sample Mendelian randomization study. Participants were from the UK Biobank, Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, and Generation R. Genetic variants associated with years spent in education or time spent outdoors were used as instrumental variables. The main outcome measures were: (1) spherical equivalent refractive error attained by adulthood, and (2) risk of an early age-of-onset of spectacle wear (EAOSW), defined as an age-of-onset of 15 years or below. Results: Time spent outdoors was found to have a small genetic component (heritability 9.8%) that tracked from childhood to adulthood. A polygenic score for time outdoors was associated with children's time outdoors; a polygenic score for years spent in education was inversely associated with children's time outdoors. Accounting for the relationship between time spent outdoors and myopia in a multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis reduced the size of the causal effect of more years in education on myopia to -0.17 diopters (D) per additional year of formal education (95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.32 to -0.01) compared with the estimate from a univariable Mendelian randomization analysis of -0.27 D per year (95% CI = -0.41 to -0.13). Comparable results were obtained for the outcome EAOSW. Conclusions: Accounting for the effects of time outdoors reduced the estimated causal effect of education on myopia by 40%. These results suggest about half of the relationship between education and myopia may be mediated by children not being outdoors during schooling.
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Atividades de Lazer , Miopia , Adolescente , Criança , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Escolaridade , Estudos Longitudinais , Miopia/epidemiologia , Miopia/genética , Fatores de Risco , Análise da Randomização MendelianaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Observational studies have found some evidence of an association between elevated blood pressure and prostate cancer risk; however, the results are inconclusive. We tested whether systolic blood pressure (SBP) influences prostate cancer risk and evaluated the effect of calcium channel blockers (CCB) on the disease using Mendelian randomization (MR) approach. METHODS: We used 278 genetic variants associated with SBP and 16 genetic variants in CCB genes as instrumental variables. Effect estimates were obtained from the UK Biobank sample of 142,995 males and from PRACTICAL consortium (79,148 cases and 61,106 controls). RESULTS: For each 10 mm Hg increase in SBP the estimated effect was OR 0.96 (0.90-1.01) for overall prostate cancer; and OR 0.92 (0.85-0.99) for aggressive prostate cancer. The MR-estimated effect of a 10 mm Hg- SBP lowering through CCB genetic variants was OR 1.22 (1.06-1.42) for all prostate cancers and OR 1.49 (1.18-1.89) for aggressive prostate cancer. CONCLUSION: The results of our study did not support a causal relationship between SBP and prostate cancer; however, we found weak evidence of a protective effect of high SBP on aggressive prostate cancer and we found that blocking calcium channel receptors may increase prostate cancer risk.
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Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Pressão Sanguínea/genética , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio/uso terapêutico , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana/métodos , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/genética , Causalidade , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo ÚnicoRESUMO
The aim of the study was directed at studying the sex-specific features of the correlation between genome-wide association studies (GWAS)-noticeable polymorphisms and hypertension (HTN). In two groups of European subjects of Russia (n = 1405 in total), such as men (n = 821 in total: n = 564 HTN, n = 257 control) and women (n = 584 in total: n = 375 HTN, n = 209 control), the distribution of ten specially selected polymorphisms (they have confirmed associations of GWAS level with blood pressure (BP) parameters and/or HTN in Europeans) has been considered. The list of studied loci was as follows: (PLCE1) rs932764 A > G, (AC026703.1) rs1173771 G > A, (CERS5) rs7302981 G > A, (HFE) rs1799945 C > G, (OBFC1) rs4387287 C > A, (BAG6) rs805303 G > A, (RGL3) rs167479 T > G, (ARHGAP42) rs633185 C > G, (TBX2) rs8068318 T > C, and (ATP2B1) rs2681472 A > G. The contribution of individual loci and their inter-locus interactions to the HTN susceptibility with bioinformatic interpretation of associative links was evaluated separately in men's and women's cohorts. The men-women differences in involvement in the disease of the BP/HTN-associated GWAS SNPs were detected. Among women, the HTN risk has been associated with HFE rs1799945 C > G (genotype GG was risky; ORGG = 11.15 ppermGG = 0.014) and inter-locus interactions of all 10 examined SNPs as part of 26 intergenic interactions models. In men, the polymorphism BAG6 rs805303 G > A (genotype AA was protective; ORAA = 0.30 ppermAA = 0.0008) and inter-SNPs interactions of eight loci in only seven models have been founded as HTN-correlated. HTN-linked loci and strongly linked SNPs were characterized by pronounced polyvector functionality in both men and women, but at the same time, signaling pathways of HTN-linked genes/SNPs in women and men were similar and were represented mainly by immune mechanisms. As a result, the present study has demonstrated a more pronounced contribution of BP/HTN-associated GWAS SNPs to the HTN susceptibility (due to weightier intergenic interactions) in European women than in men.
Assuntos
Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Hipertensão , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , População Europeia , Genótipo , Hipertensão/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Chaperonas Moleculares/genética , ATPases Transportadoras de Cálcio da Membrana Plasmática/genéticaRESUMO
Purpose: To test for causality with regard to the association between blood pressure (BP) and intraocular pressure (IOP) and glaucoma. Methods: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with BP were identified in a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of 526,001 participants of European ancestry. These SNPs were used to assess the BP versus IOP relationship in a distinct sample (n = 70,832) whose corneal-compensated IOP (IOPcc) was measured. To evaluate the BP versus primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) relationship, additional Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were conducted using published GWAS summary statistics. Results: Observational analysis revealed a linear relationship between BP traits and IOPcc, with a +0.28 mm Hg increase in IOPcc per 10-mm Hg increase in systolic BP (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.29); for diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and pulse pressure (PP), these estimates were +0.41 mm Hg and +0.36 mm Hg, respectively. An inverse-variance weighted MR analysis did not support a causal relationship, as the estimated causal effect was +0.01 mm Hg IOPcc per 10-mm Hg increase in systolic blood pressure (SBP); +0.13 mm Hg IOPcc per 10-mm Hg increase in DBP; and +0.02 mm Hg IOPcc per 10-mm Hg increase in PP (all P > 0.05). With regard to the risk of POAG, MR analyse yielded causal effect estimate of odds ratio = 0.98 (95% CI, 0.92-1.04) per 10-mm Hg increase in SBP. Neither DBP nor PP demonstrated evidence of a causal effect on POAG. Conclusions: A range of different MR analysis methods provided evidence, in general, that the causal effect of BP on IOP (and POAG) was modest, or even zero. However, interpretation was complicated by SNPs associated with BP potentially having pleiotropic effects on IOP.
Assuntos
Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto , Hipertensão , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto/genética , Humanos , Pressão Intraocular , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Estudos Observacionais como AssuntoRESUMO
PURPOSE: To replicate associations between polymorphisms in the WRB and TSPAN10 genes and strabismus in an independent Finnish cohort and to calculate their population attributable risk. METHODS: Polymorphisms in the WRB (rs2244352) and TSPAN10 (rs6420484) genes were investigated in individuals from the FinnGen study group who had one of three categories of strabismus, with clinical diagnoses of (1) "strabismus-all subtypes" (3,515 cases and 173,384 controls), (2) "convergent concomitant strabismus" (ICD-10 code H50.0; 737 cases and 170,976 controls), and (3) "divergent concomitant strabismus" (ICD-10 code H50.1; 1,059 cases and 170,976 controls). RESULTS: The WRB polymorphism was associated with "all subtypes" of strabismus (OR = 1.08; P = 0.008) and divergent strabismus (OR = 1.11; P = 0.046) but not with convergent strabismus (P = 0.41). The WRB polymorphism had a population attributable risk of 3.4% for all strabismus subtypes and 4.7% for divergent strabismus. The TSPAN10 polymorphism was associated with all three strabismus phenotypes: "all subtypes" (OR = 1.08; P = 0.002), convergent strabismus (OR = 1.19; P = 0.001) and divergent strabismus (OR = 1.20; P =7.21E-05). The population attributable risk for the TSPAN10 polymorphism was 6.0% for any strabismus, 13.3% for convergent strabismus, and 13.9% for divergent strabismus. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic association with strabismus was replicated in a Finnish cohort for two common polymorphisms. Under the assumption that these polymorphisms are independent of other risk factors, they are responsible for up to 20% of isolated cases of strabismus in Finland, similar to estimates in other European populations.
Assuntos
Esotropia , Exotropia , Estrabismo , Finlândia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Polimorfismo Genético , Estrabismo/genéticaRESUMO
Purpose: Emmetropization requires coordinated scaling of the major ocular components, corneal curvature and axial length. This coordination is achieved in part through a shared set of genetic variants that regulate eye size. Poorly coordinated scaling of corneal curvature and axial length results in refractive error. We tested the hypothesis that genetic variants regulating eye size in emmetropic eyes are distinct from those conferring susceptibility to refractive error. Methods: A genome-wide association study (GWAS) for corneal curvature in 22,180 adult emmetropic individuals was performed as a proxy for a GWAS for eye size. A polygenic score created using lead GWAS variants was tested for association with corneal curvature and axial length in an independent sample: 437 classified as emmetropic and 637 as ametropic. The genetic correlation between eye size and refractive error was calculated using linkage disequilibrium score regression for approximately 1 million genetic variants. Results: The GWAS for corneal curvature in emmetropes identified 32 independent genetic variants (P < 5.0e-08). A polygenic score created using these 32 genetic markers explained 3.5% (P < 0.001) and 2.0% (P = 0.001) of the variance in corneal curvature and axial length, respectively, in the independent sample of emmetropic individuals but was not predictive of these traits in ametropic individuals. The genetic correlation between eye size and refractive error was close to zero (rg = 0.00; SE = 0.06; P = 0.95). Conclusions: These results support the hypothesis that genetic variants regulating eye size in emmetropic eyes do not overlap with those conferring susceptibility to myopia. This suggests that distinct biological pathways regulate normal eye growth and myopia development.
Assuntos
Comprimento Axial do Olho/diagnóstico por imagem , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla/métodos , Miopia/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Refração Ocular/fisiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Desequilíbrio de Ligação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miopia/diagnóstico , Miopia/fisiopatologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Purpose: Hyperopia (farsightedness) has been associated with a deficit in children's educational attainment in some studies. We aimed to investigate the causality of the relationship between refractive error and educational attainment. Methods: Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis in 74,463 UK Biobank participants was used to estimate the causal effect of refractive error on years spent in full-time education, which was taken as a measure of educational attainment. A polygenic score for refractive error derived from 129 genetic variants was used as the instrumental variable. Both linear and nonlinear (allowing for a nonlinear relationship between refractive error and educational attainment) MR analyses were performed. Results: Assuming a linear relationship between refractive error and educational attainment, the causal effect of refractive error on years spent in full-time education was estimated as -0.01 yr/D (95% confidence interval, -0.04 to +0.02; P = 0.52), suggesting minimal evidence for a non-zero causal effect. Nonlinear MR supported the hypothesis of the nonlinearity of the relationship (I2 = 80.3%; Cochran's Q = 28.2; P = 8.8e-05) but did not suggest that hyperopia was associated with a major deficit in years spent in education. Conclusions: This work suggested that the causal relationship between refractive error and educational attainment was nonlinear but found no evidence that moderate hyperopia caused a major deficit in educational attainment. Importantly, however, because statistical power was limited and some participants with moderate hyperopia would have worn spectacles as children, modest adverse effects may have gone undetected. Translational Relevance: These findings suggest that moderate hyperopia does not cause a major deficit in educational attainment.
Assuntos
Hiperopia , Erros de Refração , Criança , Escolaridade , Óculos , Humanos , Hiperopia/epidemiologia , Hiperopia/genética , Análise da Randomização MendelianaRESUMO
Purpose: Cross-sectional and longitudinal studies have consistently reported an association between education and myopia. However, conventional observational studies are at risk of bias due to confounding by factors such as socioeconomic position and parental educational attainment. The current study aimed to estimate the causal effect of education on refractive error using regression discontinuity analysis. Methods: Regression discontinuity analysis was applied to assess the influence on refractive error of the raising of the school leaving age (ROSLA) from 15 to 16 years introduced in England and Wales in 1972. For comparison, a conventional ordinary least squares (OLS) analysis was performed. The analysis sample comprised 21,548 UK Biobank participants born in a nine-year interval centered on September 1957, the date of birth of those first affected by ROSLA. Results: In OLS analysis, the ROSLA 1972 reform was associated with a -0.29 D (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.36 to -0.21, P < 0.001) more negative refractive error. In other words, the refractive error of the study sample became more negative by -0.29 D during the transition from a minimum school leaving age of 15 to 16 years of age. Regression discontinuity analysis estimated the causal effect of the ROSLA 1972 reform on refractive error as -0.77 D (95% CI: -1.53 to -0.02, P = 0.04). Conclusions: Additional compulsory schooling due to the ROSLA 1972 reform was associated with a more negative refractive error, providing additional support for a causal relationship between education and myopia.
Assuntos
Miopia/etiologia , Refração Ocular/fisiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Progressão da Doença , Escolaridade , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miopia/epidemiologia , Miopia/fisiopatologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Reino Unido/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Purpose: To test the hypothesis that emmetropization buffers against genetic and environmental risk factors for myopia by investigating whether risk factor effect sizes vary depending on children's position in the refractive error distribution. Methods: Refractive error was assessed in participants from two birth cohorts: Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) (noncycloplegic autorefraction) and Generation R (cycloplegic autorefraction). A genetic risk score for myopia was calculated from genotypes at 146 loci. Time spent reading, time outdoors, and parental myopia were ascertained from parent-completed questionnaires. Risk factors were coded as binary variables (0 = low, 1 = high risk). Associations between refractive error and each risk factor were estimated using either ordinary least squares (OLS) regression or quantile regression. Results: Quantile regression: effects associated with all risk factors (genetic risk, parental myopia, high time spent reading, low time outdoors) were larger for children in the extremes of the refractive error distribution than for emmetropes and low ametropes in the center of the distribution. For example, the effect associated with having a myopic parent for children in quantile 0.05 vs. 0.50 was as follows: ALSPAC: age 15, -1.19 D (95% CI -1.75 to -0.63) vs. -0.13 D (-0.19 to -0.06), P = 0.001; Generation R: age 9, -1.31 D (-1.80 to -0.82) vs. -0.19 D (-0.26 to -0.11), P < 0.001. Effect sizes for OLS regression were intermediate to those for quantiles 0.05 and 0.50. Conclusions: Risk factors for myopia were associated with much larger effects in children in the extremes of the refractive error distribution, providing indirect evidence that emmetropization buffers against both genetic and environmental risk factors.
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Emetropia/fisiologia , Interação Gene-Ambiente , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Miopia/etiologia , Erros de Refração/etiologia , Adolescente , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Miopia/genética , Erros de Refração/genética , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pathological myopia is one of the leading causes of blindness globally. Lower birth weight (BW) within the normal range has been reported to increase the risk of myopia, although findings conflict. We sought to estimate the causal effect of BW on refractive error using Mendelian randomisation (MR), under the assumption of a linear relationship. METHODS: Genetic variants associated with BW were identified from meta-analysis of a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for self-reported BW in 162 039 UK Biobank participants and a published Early Growth Genetics (EGG) consortium GWAS (n=26 836). We performed a one-sample MR analysis in 39 658 unrelated, adult UK Biobank participants (independent of the GWAS sample) using an allele score for BW as instrumental variable. A two-sample MR sensitivity analysis and conventional ordinary least squares (OLS) regression analyses were also undertaken. RESULTS: In OLS analysis, BW showed a small, positive association with refractive error: +0.04 D per SD increase in BW (95% CI 0.02 to 0.07; p=0.002). The one-sample MR-estimated causal effect of BW on refractive error was higher, at +0.28 D per SD increase in BW (95% CI 0.05 to 0.52, p=0.02). A two-sample MR analysis provided similar causal effect estimates, with minimal evidence of directional pleiotropy. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests lower BW within the normal range is causally associated with a more myopic refractive error. However, the impact of the causal effect was modest (range 1.00 D covering approximately 95% of the population).
Assuntos
Peso ao Nascer , Erros de Refração/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Peso ao Nascer/genética , Feminino , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Genótipo , Humanos , Masculino , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Erros de Refração/genética , Reino Unido/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Importance: Myopia is a leading cause of untreatable visual impairment and is increasing in prevalence worldwide. Interventions for slowing childhood myopia progression have shown success in randomized clinical trials; hence, there is a need to identify which children would benefit most from treatment intervention. Objectives: To examine whether genetic information alone can identify children at risk of myopia development and whether including a child's genetic predisposition to educational attainment is associated with improved genetic prediction of the risk of myopia. Design, Setting, and Participants: Meta-analysis of 3 genome-wide association studies (GWAS) including a total of 711 984 individuals. These were a published GWAS for educational attainment and 2 GWAS for refractive error in the UK Biobank, which is a multisite cohort study that recruited participants between January 2006 and October 2010. A polygenic risk score was applied in a population-based validation sample examined between September 1998 and September 2000 (Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children [ALSPAC] mothers). Data analysis was performed from February 2018 to May 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) in analyses for predicting myopia, using noncycloplegic autorefraction measurements for myopia severity levels of less than or equal to -0.75 diopter (D) (any), less than or equal to -3.00 D (moderate), or less than or equal to -5.00 D (high). The predictor variable was a polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from genome-wide association study data for refractive error (n = 95â¯619), age of onset of spectacle wear (n = 287â¯448), and educational attainment (n = 328â¯917). Results: A total of 383 067 adults aged 40 to 69 years from the UK Biobank were included in the new GWAS analyses. The PRS was evaluated in 1516 adults aged 24 to 51 years from the ALSPAC mothers cohort. The PRS had an AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.65-0.70) for myopia, 0.75 (95% CI, 0.70-0.79) for moderate myopia, and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.66-0.80) for high myopia. Inclusion in the PRS of information associated with genetic predisposition to educational attainment marginally improved the AUROC for myopia (AUROC, 0.674 vs 0.668; P = .02), but not those for moderate and high myopia. Individuals with a PRS in the top 10% were at 6.1-fold higher risk (95% CI, 3.4-10.9) of high myopia. Conclusions and Relevance: A personalized medicine approach may be feasible for detecting very young children at risk of myopia. However, accuracy must improve further to merit uptake in clinical practice; currently, cycloplegic autorefraction remains a better indicator of myopia risk (AUROC, 0.87).
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Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Miopia/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Testes Genéticos , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Miopia/diagnóstico , Miopia/epidemiologia , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco , Reino Unido/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Strabismus refers to an abnormal alignment of the eyes leading to the loss of central binocular vision. Concomitant strabismus occurs when the angle of deviation is constant in all positions of gaze and often manifests in early childhood when it is considered to be a neurodevelopmental disorder of the visual system. As such, it is inherited as a complex genetic trait, affecting 2-4% of the population. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) for self-reported strabismus (1345 cases and 65,349 controls from UK Biobank) revealed a single genome-wide significant locus on chromosome 17q25. Approximately 20 variants across the NPLOC4-TSPAN10-PDE6G gene cluster and in almost perfect linkage disequilibrium (LD) were most strongly associated (lead variant: rs75078292, OR = 1.26, p = 2.24E-08). A recessive model provided a better fit to the data than an additive model. Association with strabismus was independent of refractive error, and the degree of association with strabismus was minimally attenuated after adjustment for amblyopia. The association with strabismus was replicated in an independent cohort of clinician-diagnosed children aged 7 years old (116 cases and 5084 controls; OR = 1.85, p = 0.009). The associated variants included 2 strong candidate causal variants predicted to have functional effects: rs6420484, which substitutes tyrosine for a conserved cysteine (C177Y) in the TSPAN10 gene, and a 4-bp deletion variant, rs397693108, predicted to cause a frameshift in TSPAN10. The population-attributable risk for the locus was approximately 8.4%, indicating an important role in conferring susceptibility to strabismus.
Assuntos
Nucleotídeo Cíclico Fosfodiesterase do Tipo 6/genética , Mutação , Proteínas Nucleares/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Estrabismo/genética , Estrabismo/patologia , Tetraspaninas/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Animais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Estudos de Coortes , Nucleotídeo Cíclico Fosfodiesterase do Tipo 6/metabolismo , Feminino , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Humanos , Masculino , Camundongos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Família Multigênica , Proteínas Nucleares/metabolismo , Retina/metabolismo , Fatores de Risco , Estrabismo/metabolismo , Tetraspaninas/metabolismo , Acuidade VisualRESUMO
PURPOSE: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) allow reliable causal inferences to be drawn regarding the effectiveness of specific interventions. However, they are expensive to carry out, and not all exposure-outcome relationships can be tested in an RCT framework: for example, it would be unethical to deliberately expose participants to a putative risk factor, or the time-scale involved may be prohibitive. Mendelian randomisation (MR) has been proposed as an alternative approach for drawing causal inferences, with the major advantage that the method can often be applied to existing, cross-sectional study datasets. Therefore, results from an MR study can be obtained much more quickly and cheaply than through an RCT. RECENT FINDINGS: The validity of causal inferences from an MR study are dependent on two key assumptions, neither of which can be tested fully. Nevertheless, several approaches have been proposed in the last 3 years that either highlight questionable results, or provide valid causal inference if the necessary assumptions are met only in part. Compared to certain other areas of clinical practice, the ophthalmic research community has been slow to adopt MR. SUMMARY: An MR study cannot match an RCT in its strength of evidence for a claim of causality. However, MR still has much to offer. In some circumstances, an MR study can provide causal insight into research questions that cannot be addressed by an RCT, while more generally, an MR study can be used to evaluate the supporting evidence before deciding to embark on a lengthy and costly RCT.
Assuntos
Oftalmopatias/genética , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana/métodos , Estudos Observacionais como Assunto/métodos , Genótipo , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos TestesRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether more years spent in education is a causal risk factor for myopia, or whether myopia is a causal risk factor for more years in education. DESIGN: Bidirectional, two sample mendelian randomisation study. SETTING: Publically available genetic data from two consortiums applied to a large, independent population cohort. Genetic variants used as proxies for myopia and years of education were derived from two large genome wide association studies: 23andMe and Social Science Genetic Association Consortium (SSGAC), respectively. PARTICIPANTS: 67 798 men and women from England, Scotland, and Wales in the UK Biobank cohort with available information for years of completed education and refractive error. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mendelian randomisation analyses were performed in two directions: the first exposure was the genetic predisposition to myopia, measured with 44 genetic variants strongly associated with myopia in 23andMe, and the outcome was years in education; and the second exposure was the genetic predisposition to higher levels of education, measured with 69 genetic variants from SSGAC, and the outcome was refractive error. RESULTS: Conventional regression analyses of the observational data suggested that every additional year of education was associated with a more myopic refractive error of -0.18 dioptres/y (95% confidence interval -0.19 to -0.17; P<2e-16). Mendelian randomisation analyses suggested the true causal effect was even stronger: -0.27 dioptres/y (-0.37 to -0.17; P=4e-8). By contrast, there was little evidence to suggest myopia affected education (years in education per dioptre of refractive error -0.008 y/dioptre, 95% confidence interval -0.041 to 0.025, P=0.6). Thus, the cumulative effect of more years in education on refractive error means that a university graduate from the United Kingdom with 17 years of education would, on average, be at least -1 dioptre more myopic than someone who left school at age 16 (with 12 years of education). Myopia of this magnitude would be sufficient to necessitate the use of glasses for driving. Sensitivity analyses showed minimal evidence for genetic confounding that could have biased the causal effect estimates. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that exposure to more years in education contributes to the rising prevalence of myopia. Increasing the length of time spent in education may inadvertently increase the prevalence of myopia and potential future visual disability.