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1.
J Appl Stat ; 50(13): 2760-2776, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37720245

RESUMO

The meta-analysis of two trials is valuable in many practical situations, such as studies of rare and/or orphan diseases focussed on a single intervention. In this context, additional concerns, like small sample size and/or heterogeneity in the results obtained, might make standard frequentist and Bayesian techniques inappropriate. In a meta-analysis, moreover, the presence of between-sample heterogeneity adds model uncertainty, which must be taken into consideration when drawing inferences. We suggest that the most appropriate way to measure this heterogeneity is by clustering the samples and then determining the posterior probability of the cluster models. The meta-inference is obtained as a mixture of all the meta-inferences for the cluster models, where the mixing distribution is the posterior model probability. We present a simple two-component form of Bayesian model averaging that is unaffected by characteristics such as small study size or zero-cell counts, and which is capable of incorporating uncertainties into the estimation process. Illustrative examples are given and analysed, using real sparse binomial data.

2.
Thorax ; 70(4): 346-52, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25766689

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether follow-up of patients with obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) undergoing CPAP treatment could be performed in primary care (PC) settings. DESIGN: Non-inferiority, randomised, prospective controlled study. SETTINGS: Sleep unit (SU) at the University Hospital and in 8 PC units in Lleida, Spain. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with OSA were randomised to be followed up at the SU or PC units over a 6-month period. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURED: The primary outcome was CPAP compliance at 6 months. The secondary outcomes were Epworth Sleep Scale (ESS) score, EuroQoL, patient satisfaction, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure and cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: We included 101 patients in PC ((mean±SD) apnoea-hypopnoea index (AHI) 50.8±22.9/h, age 56.2±11 years, 74% male) and 109 in the SU (AHI 51.4±24.4/h, age 55.8±11 years, 77% male)). The CPAP compliance was (mean (95% CI) 4.94 (4.47 to 5.5) vs 5.23 (4.79 to 5.66) h, p=0.18) in PC and SU groups, respectively. In the SU group, there were greater improvements in ESS scores (mean change 1.79, 95% CI +0.05 to +3.53, p=0.04) and patient satisfaction (-1.49, 95% CI -2.22 to -0.76); there was a significant mean difference in BMI between the groups (0.57, 95% CI +0.01 to +1.13, p=0.04). In the PC setting, there was a cost saving of 60%, with similar effectiveness, as well as a decrease in systolic blood pressure (-5.32; 95% CI -10.91 to +0.28, p=0.06). CONCLUSIONS: For patients with OSA, treatment provided in a PC setting did not result in worse CPAP compliance compared with a specialist model and was shown to be a cost-effective alternative. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Clinical Trials NCT01918449.


Assuntos
Pressão Positiva Contínua nas Vias Aéreas/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Pressão Positiva Contínua nas Vias Aéreas/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Atenção à Saúde/economia , Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Feminino , Seguimentos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Assistência de Longa Duração/organização & administração , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Apneia Obstrutiva do Sono/economia , Espanha
3.
Stat Med ; 33(21): 3676-92, 2014 Sep 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24710961

RESUMO

This paper presents a Bayesian model for meta-analysis of sparse discrete binomial data, which are out of the scope of the usual hierarchical normal random-effect models. Treatment effectiveness data are often of this type. The crucial linking distribution between the effectiveness conditional on the healthcare center and the unconditional effectiveness is constructed from specific bivariate classes of distributions with given marginals. This assures coherency between the marginal and conditional prior distributions utilized in the analysis. Further, we impose a bivariate class of priors that is able to accommodate a wide range of heterogeneity degrees between the multicenter clinical trials involved. Applications to real multicenter data are given and compared with previous meta-analysis.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Metanálise como Assunto , Modelos Estatísticos , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Resultado do Tratamento , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiologia , Diabetes Gestacional , Epilepsia/tratamento farmacológico , Feminino , Terapia de Reposição Hormonal , Humanos , Gravidez , Rosiglitazona , Tiazolidinedionas/toxicidade , Ácido gama-Aminobutírico/análogos & derivados , Ácido gama-Aminobutírico/uso terapêutico
4.
Health Econ ; 14(6): 545-57, 2005 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15497202

RESUMO

As part of their practice, policymakers have to make economic evaluations using clinical trial data. Recent interest has been expressed in determining how cost-effectiveness analysis can be undertaken in a regression framework. In this respect, published research basically provides a general method for prognostic factor adjustment in the presence of imbalance, emphasizing sub-group analysis. In this paper, we present an alternative method from a Bayesian approach. We propose the use of covariates in Bayesian health technology assessment in order to reduce uncertainty about the effect of treatments. We show its advantages by comparison with another published method that do not adjust for covariates using simulated data.


Assuntos
Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/economia , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise Custo-Benefício/métodos , Teorema de Bayes , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Espanha
6.
Avian Dis ; 42(3): 523-35, 1998.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9777153

RESUMO

Reference values for some hematologic parameters in 19 species and plasma chemical values in 11 species of Psittacine birds, including cockatoos, parrots, amazons, macaws, conures, and lories, were established for use in veterinary medicine. The following parameters were studied: hematocrit, hemoglobin concentration, erythrocyte number, mean corpuscular volume, mean corpuscular hemoglobin, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration, erythrocyte dimensions, leukocyte number and differential leukocyte count, glucose, urea, uric acid, cholesterol, triglycerides, creatinine, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, creatinine phosphokinase, lactic dehydrogenase, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase, total plasma protein, albumin, globulins, albumin-globulin ratio, sodium, potassium, calcium, magnesium, total phosphorus, chloride, and osmolality. Hematologically, the Psittacine is a very homogeneous avian group, with small differences between species. They are, however, different from other groups of birds.


Assuntos
Psittaciformes/sangue , Animais , Análise Química do Sangue , Papagaios/sangue , Valores de Referência
7.
Avian Pathol ; 21(1): 55-64, 1992.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18670915

RESUMO

Reference values for some haematological and plasma chemical values in four species of clinically normal adult flamingos were established for use in avian medicine. The following variables were studied in rosy, greater, Chilean and lesser flamingos: haematocrit, haemoglobin concentration, erythrocyte and leucocyte counts, haematimetric indices, erythrocyte dimensions, glucose, urea, uric acid, cholesterol, creatinine, total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, creatinine, phosphokinase, lactic dehydrogenase, total phosphorus, chloride, total plasma protein, albumin, globulins, albumin-globulin ratio, sodium, potassium, calcium, magnesium and osmolality.

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