Consideration of high-sensitivity troponin values below the 99th percentile at presentation: does it improve diagnostic accuracy?

BACKGROUND: The introduction of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays allows the assessment of clinical decision values below the 99th percentile. METHODS: Final diagnosis and one-year mortality were adjudicated in a multicenter, prospective cohort of 1181 patients presenting with acute chest pain to the emergency department. Hs-cTnT (Roche) and cTnI-ultra (Siemens) were measured in a blinded fashion. RESULTS: At presentation hs-cTnT and cTnI-ultra were below the limit of blank (LOB) in 201 (17%) and 549 (47%) patients, below the 75th percentile in 379 (32%) and 623 (53%) patients, below the 95th percentile in 603 (51%) and 808 (68%), and below the 99th percentile in 748 (63%) and 913 (77%), respectively. Sensitivities for the diagnosis of AMI were 100.0% and 96.8% respectively for hs-cTnT and cTnI-ultra (LOB as cut-off value), 99.5% and 96.2% (75th percentile), 96.8% and 93.0% (95th percentile), and 94.1% and 88.1% (99th percentile). The proportion of patients correctly classified as having or not AMI increased from 32.9% (LOB as cut-off value) to 47.8% (75th percentile), 65.9% (95th percentile) and 77.3% (99th percentile) for hs-cTnT and from 61.2% to 67.3%, 81.9% and 89.3% respectively for cTnI-ultra. At 1 year, all-cause mortality was very low and similar for patients below all of these cut-off levels (between 0.7% and 1.5%, p=0.748 for all-groups comparison). CONCLUSION: cTn should be considered as a continuous variable. Decision values below the 99th percentile (e.g. the 75th percentile) are associated with a very high NPV for the diagnosis of AMI, but have a lower accuracy than the 99th percentile.

Direct comparison of mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide with N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide in the diagnosis of patients with atrial fibrillation and dyspnoea.

OBJECTIVES: Due to different release mechanisms, mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR proANP) may be superior to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT proBNP) in the diagnosis of acute heart failure (AHF) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We compared MR proANP and NT proBNP for their diagnostic value in patients with AF and sinus rhythm (SR). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: University hospital, emergency department. PATIENTS: 632 consecutive patients presenting with acute dyspnoea. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: MR proANP and NT proBNP plasma levels were determined. The diagnosis of AHF was adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available data. Patients received long-term follow-up. RESULTS: AF was present in 151 patients (24%). MR proANP and NT proBNP levels were significantly higher in the AF group compared with the SR group (385 (258-598) versus 201 (89-375) pmol/l for MR proANP, p<0.001 and 4916 (2169-10285) versus 1177 (258-5166) pg/ml, p<0.001 for NT proBNP). Diagnostic accuracy in AF patients was similar for MR proANP (0.90, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.95) and NT proBNP (0.89, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.96). Optimal cut-off levels in AF patients were significantly higher compared with the optimal cut-off levels for patients in SR (MR proANP 240 vs 200 pmol/l; NT proBNP 2670 vs 1500 pg/ml respectively). After adjustment in multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, MR proANP strongly predicted one-year all-cause mortality (HR=1.13 (1.09-1.17), per 100 pmol/l increase, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: In AF patients, NT proBNP and MR proANP have similar diagnostic value for the diagnosis of AHF. The rhythm at presentation has to be taken into account because plasma levels of both peptides are significantly higher in patients with AF compared with SR.

One-hour rule-out and rule-in of acute myocardial infarction using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T.

BACKGROUND: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays seem to improve the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), but it is unknown how to best use them in clinical practice. Our objective was to develop and validate an algorithm for rapid rule-out and rule-in of AMI. METHODS: A prospective multicenter study enrolling 872 unselected patients with acute chest pain presenting to the emergency department. High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) was measured in a blinded fashion at presentation and after 1 hour. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. An hs-cTnT algorithm incorporating baseline values as well as absolute changes within the first hour was derived from 436 randomly selected patients and validated in the remaining 436 patients. The primary prognostic end point was death during 30 days of follow-up. RESULTS: Acute myocardial infarction was the final diagnosis in 17% of patients. After applying the hs-cTnT algorithm developed in the derivation cohort to the validation cohort, 259 patients (60%) could be classified as "rule-out," 76 patients (17%) as "rule-in," and 101 patients (23%) as in the "observational zone" within 1 hour. Overall, this resulted in a sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100% for rule-out, a specificity and positive predictive value of 97% and 84%, respectively, for rule-in, and a prevalence of AMI of 8% in the observational zone group. Cumulative 30-day survival was 99.8%, 98.6%, and 95.3% (P < .001) in patients classified as rule-out, observational zone, and rule-in, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using a simple algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT baseline values and absolute changes within the first hour allowed a safe rule-out as well as an accurate rule-in of AMI within 1 hour in 77% of unselected patients with acute chest pain. This novel strategy may obviate the need for prolonged monitoring and serial blood sampling in 3 of 4 patients.

Mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin in acute heart failure: a better biomarker or just another biomarker?

Circulating biomarkers have become increasingly important in diagnosing and risk-stratifying patients with heart failure (HF). While the natriuretic peptides have received much focus in the past decade, there is increasing interest in the role of other circulating biomarkers such as mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM), a stable peptide of the precursor of adrenomedullin (ADM), responsible for volume regulation and electrolyte homeostasis. Increased levels of MR-proADM are associated with an increased risk of mortality and morbidity in patients with HF, independent of natriuretic peptides. MR-proADM outperforms all other established markers in the identification of patients at highest risk of death, particularly death within 30 days. The prognostic superiority has consistently been shown for various cardiovascular disease states, including acute heart failure. In this article, we discuss the potential role of MR-proADM in the syndrome of acute heart failure and its implication on prognosis and risk stratification.

The effect of diabetes on the diagnostic and prognostic performance of mid-region pro-atrial natriuretic peptide and mid-region pro-adrenomedullin in patients with acute dyspnea.

Serum mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) and pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) are novel biomarkers for acute heart failure (AHF). Like other AFH biomarkers, the performance of these tests are affected by the presence of clinical variables such as renal failure and obesity. In a substudy of the Biomarkers from Acute Heart Failure Study, we show that diabetes did not influence the performance of these markers with regards to AHF diagnosis or 90-day all cause death. However, in patients without AHF, increased MR-proADM alone was associated with the presence of diabetes.

The novel marker LTBP2 predicts all-cause and pulmonary death in patients with acute dyspnoea.

The risk stratification in patients presenting with acute dyspnoea remains a challenge. We therefore conducted a prospective, observational cohort study enrolling 292 patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. A proteomic approach for antibody-free targeted protein quantification based on high-end MS was used to measure LTBP2 [latent TGF (transforming growth factor)-binding protein 2] levels. Final diagnosis and death during follow-up were adjudicated blinded to LTBP2 levels. AHF (acute heart failure) was the final diagnosis in 54% of patients. In both AHF (P<0.001) and non-AHF (P=0.015) patients, LTBP2 levels at presentation were significantly higher in non-survivors compared with survivors with differences on median levels being 2.2- and 1.5-fold respectively. When assessing the cause of death, LTBP2 levels were significantly higher in patients dying from pulmonary causes (P=0.0005). Overall, LTBP2 powerfully predicted early pulmonary death {AUC (area under the curve), 0.95 [95% CI (confidence interval), 0.91-0.98]}. In ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve analyses for the prediction of 1-year mortality LTBP2 achieved an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84); comparable with the predictive potential of NT-proBNP [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuruetic peptide; 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.82)]. Importantly, the predictive potential of LTBP2 persisted in patients with AHF as the cause of dypnea (AUC 0.78) and was independent of renal dysfunction (AUC 0.77). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, LTBP2 was the strongest independent predictor of death [HR (hazard ratio), 3.76 (95% CI, 2.13-6.64); P<0.0001]. In conclusion, plasma levels of LTBP2 present a novel and powerful predictor of all-cause mortality, and particularly pulmonary death. Cause-specific prediction of death would enable targeted prevention, e.g. with pre-emptive antibiotic therapy.

Use of procalcitonin for the diagnosis of pneumonia in patients presenting with a chief complaint of dyspnoea: results from the BACH (Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure) trial.

AIMS: Biomarkers have proven their ability in the evaluation of cardiopulmonary diseases. We investigated the utility of concentrations of the biomarker procalcitonin (PCT) alone and with clinical variables for the diagnosis of pneumonia in patients presenting to emergency departments (EDs) with a chief complaint of shortness of breath. METHODS AND RESULTS: The BACH trial was a prospective, international, study of 1641 patients presenting to EDs with dyspnoea. Blood samples were analysed for PCT and other biomarkers. Relevant clinical data were also captured. Patient outcomes were assessed at 90 days. The diagnosis of pneumonia was made using strictly validated guidelines. A model using PCT was more accurate [area under the curve (AUC) 72.3%] than any other individual clinical variable for the diagnosis of pneumonia in all patients, in those with obstructive lung disease, and in those with acute heart failure (AHF). Combining physician estimates of the probability of pneumonia with PCT values increased the accuracy to >86% for the diagnosis of pneumonia in all patients. Patients with a diagnosis of AHF and an elevated PCT concentration (>0.21 ng/mL) had a worse outcome if not treated with antibiotics (P = 0.046), while patients with low PCT values (<0.05 ng/mL) had a better outcome if they did not receive antibiotic therapy (P = 0.049). CONCLUSION: Procalcitonin may aid in the diagnosis of pneumonia, particularly in cases with high diagnostic uncertainty. Importantly, PCT may aid in the decision to administer antibiotic therapy to patients presenting with AHF in which clinical uncertainty exists regarding a superimposed bacterial infection.

Diagnostic and prognostic impact of copeptin and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in patients with pre-existing coronary artery disease and suspected acute myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE: The early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) can be particularly challenging in patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD) due to pre-existing ECG changes and chronic increases in cardiac troponin (cTn) levels. DESIGN: Of 1170 consecutive patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of AMI, 433 (37%) with pre-existing CAD were analysed in a prospective multicentre study and the diagnostic and prognostic impact of copeptin in combination with either fourth generation cardiac troponin T (cTnT) or high-sensitivity cTnT (hs-cTnT) was evaluated. RESULTS: AMI was the final diagnosis in 78 patients with pre-existing CAD (18%). Copeptin was significantly higher in patients with AMI than in those without (26 pmol/l (IQR 9-71) vs 7 pmol/l (IQR 4-16), p<0.001). The diagnostic accuracy for AMI as quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was significantly higher for the combination of copeptin and cTnT than for cTnT alone (0.94 vs 0.86, p<0.001). The combination of copeptin and hs-cTnT (0.94) was trending to superiority compared with hs-cTnT alone (0.92, p=0.11). The combination of copeptin and the cTn assays was able to improve the negative predictive value up to 99.5% to rule out AMI. Copeptin was a strong and independent predictor of 1-year mortality (HR 4.18-4.63). Irrespective of cTn levels, patients with low levels of copeptin had an excellent prognosis compared with patients with raised levels of both copeptin and cTn (360-day mortality 2.8-3.6% vs 23.1-33.8%, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: In patients with pre-existing CAD, copeptin significantly improves the diagnostic accuracy if used in addition to cTnT, but only trended to superiority compared with hs-cTnT alone. Copeptin provides independent prognostic information, largely by overcoming the challenging interpretation of mild increases in hs-cTnT. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials Gov number NCT00470587.

Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin for the prediction of acute kidney injury in acute heart failure.

INTRODUCTION: The accurate prediction of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) is an unmet clinical need. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is a novel sensitive and specific marker of AKI. METHODS: A total of 207 consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with AHF were enrolled. Plasma NGAL was measured in a blinded fashion at presentation and serially thereafter. The potential of plasma NGAL levels to predict AKI was assessed as the primary endpoint. We defined AKI according to the AKI Network classification. RESULTS: Overall 60 patients (29%) experienced AKI. These patients were more likely to suffer from pre-existing chronic cardiac or kidney disease. At presentation, creatinine (median 140 (interquartile range (IQR), 91 to 203) umol/L versus 97 (76 to 132) umol/L, P<0.01) and NGAL (114.5 (IQR, 67.1 to 201.5) ng/ml versus 74.5 (60 to 113.9) ng/ml, P<0.01) levels were significantly higher in AKI compared to non-AKI patients. The prognostic accuracy for measurements obtained at presentation, as quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was mediocre and comparable for the two markers (creatinine 0.69; 95%CI 0.59 to 0.79 versus NGAL 0.67; 95%CI 0.57 to 0.77). Serial measurements of NGAL did not further increase the prognostic accuracy for AKI. Creatinine, but not NGAL, remained an independent predictor of AKI (hazard ratio (HR) 1.12; 95%CI 1.00 to 1.25; P=0.04) in multivariable regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma NGAL levels do not adequately predict AKI in patients with AHF.

Influence of age, race, sex, and body mass index on interpretation of midregional pro atrial natriuretic peptide for the diagnosis of acute heart failure: results from the BACH multinational study.

AIMS: Midregional pro atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) is useful for diagnosing acute heart failure (HF) in patients presenting to the Emergency Department with dyspnoea. Optimal interpretation of MR-proANP requires understanding of how various demographic variables influence its levels and performance as a diagnostic marker. We sought to determine how age, race, sex, and body mass index (BMI) affect the levels and interpretation of MR-proANP for the diagnosis of acute HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure (BACH) study was an international 15-centre study of 1641 patients presenting to the Emergency Department with acute dyspnoea. Of these, 1352 had complete information on age, race, sex, and BMI. MR-proANP levels increased with age and were higher in men and in patients with lower BMI. MR-proANP performed better as a diagnostic marker in younger individuals and in blacks compared with whites. Despite this, MR-proANP at the recommended cut-off point of 120 pmol/L was >90 % sensitive in ruling out the diagnosis of acute HF in all subgroups of patients except white subjects <50 years old. CONCLUSION: Age, race, sex, and BMI affect MR-proANP levels to various degrees. However, the diagnostic performance of the recommended cut-off point of 120 pmol/L to rule out acute HF was robust across most subgroups. Although both sex and BMI affected MR-proANP levels, they did not alter its overall diagnostic performance. Lower cut-off points for MR-proANP could be considered in younger patients and in patients with a higher BMI, to optimize diagnostic sensitivity.

Quantifying cardiac hemodynamic stress and cardiomyocyte damage in ischemic and nonischemic acute heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The early and noninvasive differentiation of ischemic and nonischemic acute heart failure (AHF) in the emergency department (ED) is an unmet clinical need. METHODS AND RESULTS: We quantified cardiac hemodynamic stress using B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and cardiomyocyte damage using 2 different cardiac troponin assays in 718 consecutive patients presenting to the ED with AHF (derivation cohort). The diagnosis of ischemic AHF was adjudicated using all information, including coronary angiography. Findings were validated in a second independent multicenter cohort (326 AHF patients). Among the 718 patients, 400 (56%) were adjudicated to have ischemic AHF. BNP levels were significantly higher in ischemic compared with nonischemic AHF (1097 [604-1525] pg/mL versus 800 [427-1317] pg/mL; P<0.001). Cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and sensitive cardiac troponin I (s-cTnI) were also significantly higher in ischemic compared with nonischemic AHF patients (0.040 [0.010-0.306] µg/L versus 0.018 [0.010-0.060] µg/L [P<0.001]; 0.024 [0.008-0.106] µg/L versus 0.016 [0.004-0.044 ] µg/L [P=0.002]). The diagnostic accuracy of BNP, cTnT, and s-cTnI for the diagnosis of ischemic AHF, as quantified by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, was low (0.58 [95% CI, 0.54-0.63], 0.61 [95% CI, 0.57-0.66], and 0.59 [95% CI,0.54-0.65], respectively). These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: At presentation to the ED, patients with ischemic AHF exhibit more extensive hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte damage than patients with nonischemic AHF. However, the overlap is substantial, resulting in poor diagnostic accuracy.

Risk stratification for 1-year mortality in acute heart failure: classification and regression tree analysis.

BACKGROUND: Simple tools for risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) are an unmet clinical need, particularly regarding long-term mortality. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 610 consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with AHF. The diagnosis of AHF was adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. The classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was used to develop a simple risk algorithm. This was internally validated by cross-validation. RESULTS: One-year follow-up was complete in all patients (100%). A total of 201 patients (33%) died within 360 days. The CART analysis identified blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and age as the best single predictors of 1-year mortality and patients were categorised to three risk groups: high risk group (BUN >27.5 mg/dl and age >86 years), intermediate risk group (BUN >27.5 mg/dl and age ≤ 86 years) and low risk group (BUN ≤ 27.5 mg/dl). The Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significant increase in mortality in the high risk group compared with the lower risk groups (log-rank test p <0.001). The hazard ratio regarding 1-year mortality between patients identified as low and high risk was 2.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.7-2.4), with statistically significant differences between all risk groups (p <0.001). The likelihood-based 95%-confidence set for the age- and the urea-threshold is contained in the rectangular set defined by 25 mg/dl ≤ urea threshold ≤30.6 mg/dl and 76 years ≤ age threshold ≤96 years. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that AHF patients at low, intermediate and high risk for death within 360 days can be easily identified using patient's demographics and laboratory data obtained at presentation. Application of this simple risk stratification algorithm may help to improve the management of these patients.

Midregion prohormone adrenomedullin and prognosis in patients presenting with acute dyspnea: results from the BACH (Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure) trial.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic utility of midregion proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) in all patients, cardiac and noncardiac, presenting with acute shortness of breath. BACKGROUND: The recently published BACH (Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure) study demonstrated that MR-proADM had superior accuracy for predicting 90-day mortality compared with B-type natriuretic peptide (area under the curve: 0.674 vs. 0.606, respectively, p < 0.001) in acute heart failure. METHODS: The BACH trial was a prospective, 15-center, international study of 1,641 patients presenting to the emergency department with dyspnea. Using this dataset, the prognostic accuracy of MR-proADM was evaluated in all patients enrolled for predicting 90-day mortality with respect to other biomarkers, the added value in addition to clinical variables, as well as the added value of additional measurements during hospital admission. RESULTS: Compared with B-type natriuretic peptide or troponin, MR-proADM was superior for predicting 90-day all-cause mortality in patients presenting with acute dyspnea (c index = 0.755, p < 0.0001). Furthermore, MR-proADM added significantly to all clinical variables (all adjusted hazard ratios: >3.28), and it was also superior to all other biomarkers. MR-proADM added significantly to the best clinical model (bootstrap-corrected c index increase: 0.775 to 0.807; adjusted standardized hazard ratio: 2.59; 95% confidence interval: 1.91 to 3.50; p < 0.0001). Within the model, MR-proADM was the biggest contributor to the predictive performance, with a net reclassification improvement of 8.9%. Serial evaluation of MR-proADM performed in patients admitted provided a significant added value compared with a model with admission values only (p = 0.0005). More than one-third of patients originally at high risk could be identified by the biomarker evaluation at discharge as low-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: MR-proADM identifies patients with high 90-day mortality and adds prognostic value to natriuretic peptides in patients presenting with acute shortness of breath. Serial measurement of this biomarker may also prove useful for monitoring, although further studies will be required. (Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure [BACH]; NCT00537628).

Increased 90-day mortality in patients with acute heart failure with elevated copeptin: secondary results from the Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure (BACH) study.

BACKGROUND: In patients with heart failure (HF), increased arginine vasopressin concentrations are associated with more severe disease, making arginine vasopressin an attractive target for therapy. However, AVP is difficult to measure due to its in vitro instability and rapid clearance. Copeptin, the C-terminal segment of preprovasopressin, is a stable and reliable surrogate biomarker for serum arginine vasopressin concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure (BACH) trial was a 15-center, diagnostic and prognostic study of 1641 patients with acute dyspnea; 557 patients with acute HF were included in this analysis. Copeptin and other biomarker measurements were performed by a core laboratory at the University of Maryland. Patients were followed for up to 90 days after initial evaluation for the primary end point of all-cause mortality, HF-related readmissions, and HF-related emergency department visits. Patients with copeptin concentrations in the highest quartile had increased 90-day mortality (P<0.001; hazard ratio, 3.85). Mortality was significantly increased in patients with elevated copeptin and hyponatremia (P<0.001; hazard ratio, 7.36). Combined end points of mortality, readmissions, and emergency department visits were significantly increased in patients with elevated copeptin. There was no correlation between copeptin and sodium (r=0.047). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed significantly increased 90-day mortality, readmissions, and emergency department visits in patients with elevated copeptin, especially in those with hyponatremia. Copeptin was highly prognostic for 90-day adverse events in patients with acute HF, adding prognostic value to clinical predictors, ser um sodium, and natriuretic peptides. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00537628.

Value of arterial blood gas analysis in patients with acute dyspnea: an observational study.

INTRODUCTION: The diagnostic and prognostic value of arterial blood gas analysis (ABGA) parameters in unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the Emergency Department (ED) is largely unknown. METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of two different prospective studies to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic value of ABGA parameters in patients presenting to the ED with acute dyspnea. RESULTS: We enrolled 530 patients (median age 74 years). ABGA parameters were neither useful to distinguish between patients with pulmonary disorders and other causes of dyspnea nor to identify specific disorders responsible for dyspnea. Only in patients with hyperventilation from anxiety disorder, the diagnostic accuracy of pH and hypoxemia rendered valuable with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.86. Patients in the lowest pH tertile more often required admission to intensive care unit (28% vs 12% in the first tertile, P < 0.001) and had higher in-hospital (14% vs 5%, P = 0.003) and 30-day mortality (17% vs 7%, P = 0.002). Cumulative mortality rate was higher in the first (37%), than in the second (28%), and the third tertile (23%, P = 0.005) during 12 months follow-up. pH at presentation was an independent predictor of 12-month mortality in multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis both for patients with pulmonary (P = 0.043) and non-pulmonary disorders (P = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: ABGA parameters provide limited diagnostic value in patients with acute dyspnea, but pH is an independent predictor of 12 months mortality.

Utility of absolute and relative changes in cardiac troponin concentrations in the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), among other criteria, also require a rise and/or fall in cardiac troponin (cTn) levels. It is unknown whether absolute or relative changes in cTn have higher diagnostic accuracy and should therefore be preferred. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective, observational, multicenter study, we analyzed the diagnostic accuracy of absolute (Δ) and relative (Δ%) changes in cTn in 836 patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of AMI. Blood samples for the determination of high-sensitive cTn T and cTn I ultra were collected at presentation and after 1 and 2 hours in a blinded fashion. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for diagnosing AMI was significantly higher for 2-hour absolute (Δ) versus 2-hour relative (Δ%) cTn changes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [95% confidence interval], high-sensitivity cTn T: 0.95 [0.92 to 0.98] versus 0.76 [0.70 to 0.83], P<0.001; cTn I ultra: 0.95 [0.91 to 0.99] versus 0.72 [0.66 to 0.79], P<0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve-derived cutoff value for 2-hour absolute (Δ) change was 0.007 µg/L for high-sensitivity cTn T and 0.020 µg/L for cTn I ultra (both cutoff levels are half of the 99th percentile of the respective cTn assay). Absolute changes were superior to relative changes in patients with both low and elevated baseline cTn levels. CONCLUSIONS: Absolute changes of cTn levels have a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy for AMI than relative changes, and seem therefore to be the preferred criteria to distinguish AMI from other causes of cTn elevations. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. UNIQUE IDENTIFIER: NCT00470587.

Effect and clinical prediction of worsening renal function in acute decompensated heart failure.

We aimed to establish the prevalence and effect of worsening renal function (WRF) on survival among patients with acute decompensated heart failure. Furthermore, we sought to establish a risk score for the prediction of WRF and externally validate the previously established Forman risk score. A total of 657 consecutive patients with acute decompensated heart failure presenting to the emergency department and undergoing serial creatinine measurements were enrolled. The potential of the clinical parameters at admission to predict WRF was assessed as the primary end point. The secondary end point was all-cause mortality at 360 days. Of the 657 patients, 136 (21%) developed WRF, and 220 patients had died during the first year. WRF was more common in the nonsurvivors (30% vs 41%, p = 0.03). Multivariate regression analysis found WRF to independently predict mortality (hazard ratio 1.92, p <0.01). In a single parameter model, previously diagnosed chronic kidney disease was the only independent predictor of WRF and achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.60. After the inclusion of the blood gas analysis parameters into the model history of chronic kidney disease (hazard ratio 2.13, p = 0.03), outpatient diuretics (hazard ratio 5.75, p <0.01), and bicarbonate (hazard ratio 0.91, p <0.01) were all predictive of WRF. A risk score was developed using these predictors. On receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the Forman and Basel prediction rules achieved an area under the curve of 0.65 and 0.71, respectively. In conclusion, WRF was common in patients with acute decompensated heart failure and was linked to significantly worse outcomes. However, the clinical parameters failed to adequately predict its occurrence, making a tailored therapy approach impossible.

Direct comparison of serial B-type natriuretic peptide and NT-proBNP levels for prediction of short- and long-term outcome in acute decompensated heart failure.

INTRODUCTION: Monitoring treatment efficacy and assessing outcome by serial measurements of natriuretic peptides in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients may help to improve outcome. METHODS: This was a prospective multi-center study of 171 consecutive patients (mean age 80 73-85 years) presenting to the emergency department with ADHF. Measurement of BNP and NT-proBNP was performed at presentation, 24 hours, 48 hours and at discharge. The primary endpoint was one-year all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints were 30-days all-cause mortality and one-year heart failure (HF) readmission. RESULTS: During one-year follow-up, a total of 60 (35%) patients died. BNP and NT-proBNP levels were higher in non-survivors at all time points (all P < 0.001). In survivors, treatment reduced BNP and NT-proBNP levels by more than 50% (P < 0.001), while in non-survivors treatment did not lower BNP and NT-proBNP levels. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the prediction of one-year mortality increased during the course of hospitalization for BNP (AUC presentation: 0.67; AUC 24 h: 0.77; AUC 48 h: 0.78; AUC discharge: 0.78) and NT-proBNP (AUC presentation: 0.67; AUC 24 h: 0.73; AUC 48 h: 0.75; AUC discharge: 0.77). In multivariate analysis, BNP at 24 h (1.02 [1.01-1.04], P = 0.003), 48 h (1.04 [1.02-1.06], P < 0.001) and discharge (1.02 [1.01-1.03], P < 0.001) independently predicted one-year mortality, while only pre-discharge NT-proBNP was predictive (1.07 [1.01-1.13], P = 0.016). Comparable results could be obtained for the secondary endpoint 30-days mortality but not for one-year HF readmissions. CONCLUSIONS: BNP and NT-proBNP reliably predict one-year mortality in patients with ADHF. Prognostic accuracy of both biomarker increases during the course of hospitalization. In survivors BNP levels decline more rapidly than NT-proBNP levels and thus seem to allow earlier assessment of treatment efficacy. Ability to predict one-year HF readmission was poor for BNP and NT-proBNP. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00514384.

Determinants of absolute and relative exercise-induced changes in B-type natriuretic peptides.

BACKGROUND: Exercise is associated with changes in circulating B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal-proBNP (NT-proBNP). However, the biological relevance of this phenomenon is poorly examined. We sought to assess determinants of absolute (Δ) and relative (Δ%) exercise-induced changes in BNP and NT-proBNP. METHODS: BNP (n = 418) and NT-proBNP (n = 478) at rest and peak exercise were measured in patients undergoing symptom-limited cycle ergometer tests. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of high ΔBNP/ΔNT-proBNP and high ΔBNP/Δ%NT-proBNP defined as their highest quartiles (Q4). RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) ΔBNP and ΔNT-proBNP was 12 (0-28) pg/ml and 7 (2-21) pg/ml respectively, and Δ%BNP and Δ%NT-proBNP was 21 (0-46) % and 7 (3-12) % respectively. Higher BNP [odds ratio (OR) 3.92 per ln unit; p < 0.001] or NT-proBNP [OR 4.88 per ln unit; p<0.001] at rest was the strongest predictor of ΔBNP in Q4 (≥ 28 pg/ml) or ΔNT-proBNP in Q4 (≥ 21 pg/ml). In contrast, higher maximal work rate expressed as the percentage of the predicted value (OR 1.015 per %; p = 0.007) was the only independent predictor of Δ%BNP in Q4 (≥ 46%), and lower resting heart rate (OR 0.97 per bpm; p = 0.001) and lower age (OR 0.95 per year; p = 0.001) were the only independent predictors of Δ%NT-proBNP in Q4 (≥ 12%). CONCLUSIONS: Higher ΔBNP and ΔNT-proBNP primarily reflected higher BNP and NT-proBNP plasma levels at rest. In contrast, higher Δ%BNP and Δ%NT-proBNP were associated with several prognostically favorable features, indicating that higher Δ%BNP and Δ%NT-proBNP may be markers of health rather than disease.