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1.
Eur Heart J ; 43(48): 5020-5032, 2022 12 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36124729

RESUMO

AIMS: Post-infarction ventricular septal defect (PIVSD) is a mechanical complication of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with a poor prognosis. Surgical repair is the mainstay of treatment, although percutaneous closure is increasingly undertaken. METHODS AND RESUTS: Patients treated with surgical or percutaneous repair of PIVSD (2010-2021) were identified at 16 UK centres. Case note review was undertaken. The primary outcome was long-term mortality. Patient groups were allocated based upon initial management (percutaneous or surgical). Three-hundred sixty-two patients received 416 procedures (131 percutaneous, 231 surgery). 16.1% of percutaneous patients subsequently had surgery. 7.8% of surgical patients subsequently had percutaneous treatment. Times from AMI to treatment were similar [percutaneous 9 (6-14) vs. surgical 9 (4-22) days, P = 0.18]. Surgical patients were more likely to have cardiogenic shock (62.8% vs. 51.9%, P = 0.044). Percutaneous patients were substantially older [72 (64-77) vs. 67 (61-73) years, P < 0.001] and more likely to be discussed in a heart team setting. There was no difference in long-term mortality between patients (61.1% vs. 53.7%, P = 0.17). In-hospital mortality was lower in the surgical group (55.0% vs. 44.2%, P = 0.048) with no difference in mortality after hospital discharge (P = 0.65). Cardiogenic shock [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.97 (95% confidence interval 1.37-2.84), P < 0.001), percutaneous approach [aHR 1.44 (1.01-2.05), P = 0.042], and number of vessels with coronary artery disease [aHR 1.22 (1.01-1.47), P = 0.043] were independently associated with long-term mortality. CONCLUSION: Surgical and percutaneous repair are viable options for management of PIVSD. There was no difference in post-discharge long-term mortality between patients, although in-hospital mortality was lower for surgery.


Assuntos
Infarto Miocárdico de Parede Anterior , Comunicação Interventricular , Infarto do Miocárdio , Humanos , Choque Cardiogênico/etiologia , Assistência ao Convalescente , Resultado do Tratamento , Alta do Paciente , Comunicação Interventricular/cirurgia , Sistema de Registros , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
2.
R Soc Open Sci ; 4(10): 170785, 2017 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29134081

RESUMO

The 2003 Beagle 2 Mars lander has been identified in Isidis Planitia at 90.43° E, 11.53° N, close to the predicted target of 90.50° E, 11.53° N. Beagle 2 was an exobiology lander designed to look for isotopic and compositional signs of life on Mars, as part of the European Space Agency Mars Express (MEX) mission. The 2004 recalculation of the original landing ellipse from a 3-sigma major axis from 174 km to 57 km, and the acquisition of Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) imagery at 30 cm per pixel across the target region, led to the initial identification of the lander in 2014. Following this, more HiRISE images, giving a total of 15, including red and blue-green colours, were obtained over the area of interest and searched, which allowed sub-pixel imaging using super high-resolution techniques. The size (approx. 1.5 m), distinctive multilobed shape, high reflectivity relative to the local terrain, specular reflections, and location close to the centre of the planned landing ellipse led to the identification of the Beagle 2 lander. The shape of the imaged lander, although to some extent masked by the specular reflections in the various images, is consistent with deployment of the lander lid and then some or all solar panels. Failure to fully deploy the panels-which may have been caused by damage during landing-would have prohibited communication between the lander and MEX and commencement of science operations. This implies that the main part of the entry, descent and landing sequence, the ejection from MEX, atmospheric entry and parachute deployment, and landing worked as planned with perhaps only the final full panel deployment failing.

3.
Exp Physiol ; 102(11): 1424-1434, 2017 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28804970

RESUMO

NEW FINDINGS: What is the central question of this study? Type 2 diabetes is associated with a higher rate of ventricular arrhythmias compared with the non-diabetic population, but the associated myocardial gene expression changes are unknown; furthermore, it is also unknown whether any changes are attributable to chronic hyperglycaemia or are a consequence of structural changes. What is the main finding and its importance? We found downregulation of left ventricular ERG gene expression and increased NCX1 gene expression in humans with type 2 diabetes compared with control patients with comparable left ventricular hypertrophy and possible myocardial fibrosis. This was associated with QT interval prolongation. Diabetes and associated chronic hyperglycaemia may therefore promote ventricular arrhythmogenesis independently of structural changes. Type 2 diabetes is associated with a higher rate of ventricular arrhythmias, and this is hypothesized to be independent of coronary artery disease or hypertension. To investigate further, we compared changes in left ventricular myocardial gene expression in type 2 diabetes patients with patients in a control group with left ventricular hypertrophy. Nine control patients and seven patients with type 2 diabetes with aortic stenosis undergoing aortic valve replacement had standard ECGs, signal-averaged ECGs and echocardiograms before surgery. During surgery, a left ventricular biopsy was taken, and mRNA expressions for genes relevant to the cardiac action potential were estimated by RT-PCR. Mathematical modelling of the action potential and calcium transient was undertaken using the O'Hara-Rudy model using scaled changes in gene expression. Echocardiography revealed similar values for left ventricular size, filling pressures and ejection fraction between groups. No difference was seen in positive signal-averaged ECGs between groups, but the standard ECG demonstrated a prolonged QT interval in the diabetes group. Gene expression of KCNH2 and KCNJ3 were lower in the diabetes group, whereas KCNJ2, KCNJ5 and SLC8A1 expression were higher. Modelling suggested that these changes would lead to prolongation of the action potential duration with generation of early after-depolarizations secondary to a reduction in density of the rapid delayed rectifier K+ current and increased Na+ -Ca2+ exchange current. These data suggest that diabetes leads to pro-arrythmogenic changes in myocardial gene expression independently of left ventricular hypertrophy or fibrosis in an elderly population.


Assuntos
Estenose da Valva Aórtica/genética , Arritmias Cardíacas/genética , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Hipertrofia Ventricular Esquerda/genética , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Remodelação Ventricular , Potenciais de Ação , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/complicações , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/fisiopatologia , Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Arritmias Cardíacas/etiologia , Arritmias Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatologia , Canal de Potássio ERG1/genética , Canal de Potássio ERG1/metabolismo , Feminino , Fibrose , Regulação da Expressão Gênica , Frequência Cardíaca , Humanos , Hipertrofia Ventricular Esquerda/diagnóstico , Hipertrofia Ventricular Esquerda/etiologia , Hipertrofia Ventricular Esquerda/fisiopatologia , Masculino , Modelos Cardiovasculares , Modelos Genéticos , Miocárdio/metabolismo , Miocárdio/patologia , Trocador de Sódio e Cálcio/genética , Trocador de Sódio e Cálcio/metabolismo
5.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 49(2): 701-3, 2016 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25792148

RESUMO

Differential diagnoses for cardiac left ventricular apical masses presenting following acute myocardial infarction include thrombi and cardiac tumours. We present two such cases and the multidisciplinary assessment that is required to assist with diagnosis.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Mixoma/diagnóstico , Trombose/diagnóstico , Idoso , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Feminino , Cardiopatias/diagnóstico , Cardiopatias/etiologia , Neoplasias Cardíacas/complicações , Ventrículos do Coração , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mixoma/complicações , Trombose/etiologia
6.
Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg ; 17(3): 479-84, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23760358

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Deep sternal wound infection (DSWI) is a devastating complication of cardiac surgery, with a historical incidence of 0.4-5%. Predicting which patients are at higher risk of infection may help instituting various preventive measures. Risk calculations for mortality have been used as surrogates to estimate the risk of deep sternal wound infection, with limited success. The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) 2008 Risk Calculator modelled the risk of DSWI for cardiac surgical patients, but it has not been validated since its publication. We sought to assess the external validity of the STS-estimated risk of DSWI in a United Kingdom (UK) population. METHODS: Using our prospectively captured database, we retrospectively calculated the risk of DSWI for 14 036 patients undergoing valve, coronary artery bypass grafts or combined procedures between February 2001 and March 2010. DSWI was identified according to the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention definition. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to test the performance of the model using the area under the ROC curve (AUROC). The calibration of the model was interrogated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test for Goodness of Fit. RESULTS: A total of 135 (0.95%) patients developed DSWI. Although there was a statistically significant difference in the calculated risk of patients who contracted DSWI (0.44% ± 0.01) vs those who did not (0.28% ± 0.00, P < 0.0001), the AUROC of 0.699 (95% confidence interval: 0.6522-0.7414) denoted a modest discriminatory power, with the Hosmer-Lemeshow Goodness of Fit statistic (P < 0.001) suggesting poor calibration. A risk-adjusted modifier improved the calibration (P = 0.08). CONCLUSIONS: The STS risk calculator lacks adequate discriminatory power for estimating the isolated risk of developing deep sternal wound infection in a UK population. The discrimination is similar to the tool's validation c-statistic and may have a place in an integrated calculator.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Esternotomia/efeitos adversos , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidade , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Análise Discriminante , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Valvas Cardíacas/cirurgia , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Sociedades Médicas , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/mortalidade , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
7.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 44(6): 999-1005; discussion 1005, 2013 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23462818

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Risk stratification in cardiac surgery is uniquely detailed, led latterly by the EuroSCORE and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk calculators. The recently published EuroSCORE II (ES2) algorithms update estimated mortality in a broad spectrum of cardiac procedures. The 2008 STS tool, in comparison, predicts multiple outcomes for specific procedures. We sought to identify and compare the external validity of both contemporaneous tools in our population. METHODS: Data from our hospital database were collated for the period February 2001 to March 2010. Logistic regression coefficients from the risk calculations were applied to the data and the results presented as receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Statistical analyses were performed using the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test, with comparisons using the DeLong method. RESULTS: A total of 15 497 procedures were identified, of which 14 432 were appropriate for STS risk scoring (i.e. valve and/or graft procedures with no tricuspid valve operations etc.). For all procedures, ES2 and STS were equivalent (AUROC 0.818 vs 0.805, respectively, P = 0.343). For procedures appropriate for STS risk scoring, results were similar (AUROC ES2 vs STS, 0.816 vs 0.810, P = 0.714), whereas for procedures excluded by STS, the result was marginally worse (AUROC ES2 vs STS, 0.773 vs 0.784, P = 0.751). Goodness of fit in all cases was poor, primarily where risk was higher than 15% (H-L P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: EuroSCORE II and STS both provide equivalent discrimination in predicting mortality in a British population, including those undergoing procedures for which the STS does not normally predict. Accounting for decile-grouped Hosmer-Lemeshow tests not being ideal for the assessment of calibration, both tools show good calibration for patients with low to moderate risk, with divergence from ~15% predicted risk.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/métodos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidade , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/estatística & dados numéricos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Curva ROC
8.
Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg ; 15(1): 51-6, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22495507

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES Despite the seriousness of prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) as a postoperative complication, previously proposed risk prediction models were met with limited success. The purpose of this study was to identify perioperative variables associated with PMV in elective primary coronary bypass surgery. PMV was defined as the need for intubation and mechanical ventilation for >72 h, after completion of the operation. METHODS Between April 1997 and September 2010, 10 ,977 consecutive patients were retrospectively reviewed. A series of two multivariate logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify preoperative predictors of prolonged ventilation and the impact of operative variables. RESULTS PMV occurred in 215 (1.96%) patients; 119 (55.3%) of these underwent tracheostomy. At multivariate analysis, predictors included NYHA higher than class II (odds ratio [OR], 1.77; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.34-2.34), renal dialysis (OR, 5.5; 95% CI, 2.08-14.65), age at operation (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.06), reduced FEV(1) (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99), body mass index >35 kg/m(2) (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.14-2.63). On serial logistic regression analyses, operative variables added little to the discriminatory power of the model. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed reduced survival among PMV patients (P < 0.001) with an improved survival in the tracheostomy subgroup. CONCLUSIONS PMV after coronary bypass is associated with a reduction in early and mid-term survival. Risk modelling for PMV remains problematic even when examining a more homogenous lower risk group.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Intubação Intratraqueal , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Respiração Artificial , Idoso , Extubação , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Eletivos , Inglaterra , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Razão de Chances , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/cirurgia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Traqueostomia , Resultado do Tratamento
9.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 91(5): e81-2, 2011 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21524440

RESUMO

The optimum method of intraoperative monitoring in patients undergoing off-pump coronary bypass remains debatable. Using capnography and end-tidal carbon dioxide pressure may be a helpful method of monitoring cardiac output trends, especially when grafting posterior and lateral vessels. After repositioning the heart, End-tidal carbon dioxide pressures that continue to trend down usually indicate decreased cardiac output and precede hemodynamic and electrical instability. The advantages of this method include simplicity, universal availability, and a short response time to changes in cardiac output.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono/metabolismo , Débito Cardíaco/fisiologia , Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/métodos , Estenose Coronária/cirurgia , Monitorização Intraoperatória/métodos , Capnografia , Angiografia Coronária , Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/efeitos adversos , Estenose Coronária/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Pressão , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
10.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 90(3): 996-7, 2010 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20732531

RESUMO

Wegener's granulomatosis is an autoimmune condition resulting in the granulomatous vasculitis of small-to-medium-sized vessels, and is characterized by granulomatous lesions in the renal and respiratory systems. Cardiac involvement in Wegener's granulomatosis has been previously reported. However, involvement of cardiac valves is extremely rare. We present a patient with Wegener's granulomatosis with an extensive mitral mass extending to the aortic valve.


Assuntos
Granulomatose com Poliangiite/complicações , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/etiologia , Valva Mitral , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
11.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 37(2): 261-6, 2010 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19773181

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Left-ventricular function has been shown to be an important prognostic factor in estimating operative risk in cardiac surgery. As such, left-ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is included in the EuroSCORE. However, left-ventricular function is more comprehensively assessed by measures of both systolic and diastolic dysfunction. We hypothesised that end-diastolic dysfunction is an additional independent indicator for predicting outcome following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). METHODS: We retrospectively assessed all patients undergoing isolated off-pump CABG between October 2000 and September 2004 by two surgeons. Left-ventricular end-diastolic pressure (LVEDP), measured during cardiac catheterisation, was used as a measure of left-ventricular diastolic dysfunction. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between LVEDP (a continuous and dichotomous variable) and mortality, while adjusting for EuroSCORE. RESULTS: A total of 925 patients with complete LVEDP data were identified and stratified as follows: group 1 (LVEF >30% and LVEDP <20 mmHg), group 2 (LVEF <30% and LVEDP <20 mmHg), group 3 (LVEF >30% and LVEDP >20 mmHg) and group 4 (LVEF <30% and LVEDP >20 mmHg). Mortality increased progressively from group 2 (1.9%, odds ratio (OR) 1.22, RR 1.21, p 0.58) to group 3 (5.6%, OR 3.81, RR 3.66, p 0.07) and was highest in group 4 (7.4%, OR 5.18, RR 4.87, p 0.08). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve c-characteristic improved from 0.7 to 0.78 when EuroSCORE was combined with LVEDP, identifying LVEDP as an independent predictor of mortality after adjusting for EuroSCORE. Logistic equation: odds of death = exp(-6.3283+[EuroSCORE x 0.1813]+[EDP x 0.0954]). CONCLUSIONS: LVEDP as a marker of diastolic dysfunction seems an important variable in predicting patient-specific risk and should be considered for incorporation in future risk models.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/métodos , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/complicações , Idoso , Cateterismo Cardíaco , Diástole , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios/métodos , Prognóstico , Volume Sistólico , Resultado do Tratamento , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/fisiopatologia
12.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 84(2): 528-36, 2007 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17643630

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to develop a multivariate risk prediction model for prolonged ventilation after adult cardiac surgery. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on 12,662 consecutive patients undergoing adult cardiac surgery between April 1997 and March 2005. Data were randomly split into a development dataset (n = 6,000) and a validation dataset (n = 6,662). A multivariate logistic regression analysis was undertaken using a forward stepwise technique to identify independent risk factors for prolonged ventilation (defined as ventilation greater than 48 hours). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit statistic were calculated to assess the performance and calibration of the model, respectively. Patients were split into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups based on their predicted probability of prolonged ventilation. RESULTS: Three hundred thirty-three patients had prolonged ventilation (5.5%). Independent variables, identified with prolonged ventilation, are shown with relevant coefficient values and p values as follows: (1) age 65 to 75 years, 0.7831, p < 0.001; (2) age 75 to 80 years, 1.5605, p < 0.001; (3) age greater than 80 years, 1.7115, p < 0.001; (4) forced expiratory volume less than 70% predicted, 0.3707, p = 0.013; (5) current smoker, 0.5315, p = 0.001; (6) serum creatinine 125 to 175 micromol/L, 0.6371, p < 0.001; (7) serum creatinine greater than 175 micromol/L, 1.3817, p < 0.001; (8) peripheral vascular disease, 0.6212, p < 0.001; (9) ejection fraction less than 0.30, 0.7839, p < 0.001; (10) myocardial infraction less than 90 days, 0.7415, p < 0.001; (11) preoperative ventilation, 1.3540, p = 0.004; (12) prior cardiac surgery, 0.8946, p < 0.001; (13) urgent surgery, 0.4414, p = 0.004; (14) emergency surgery, 0.7421, p = 0.005; (15) mitral valve surgery, 0.7715, p < 0.001; (16) aortic surgery, 1.7043, p < 0.001; and (17) use of cardiopulmonary bypass, 0.4052, p = 0.025; intercept, -4.7666. The ROC curve for the predicted probability of prolonged ventilation was 0.79, indicating a good discrimination power. The prediction equation was well-calibrated, predicting well at all levels of risk. A simplified additive scoring system was also developed. In the validation dataset, 5.1% of patients had prolonged ventilation compared with 5.4% expected. The ROC curve for the validation dataset was 0.75. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a contemporaneous multivariate prediction model for prolonged ventilation after cardiac surgery. This tool can be used in day-to-day practice to calculate patient-specific risk by the logistic equation or a simple scoring system with an equivalent predicted risk.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/estatística & dados numéricos , Respiração Artificial/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Índice de Massa Corporal , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Cardiopatias/classificação , Cardiopatias/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Organização e Administração , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/classificação , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco
14.
J Cardiothorac Surg ; 1: 14, 2006 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16737548

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Patients who have prolonged stay in intensive care unit (ICU) are associated with adverse outcomes. Such patients have cost implications and can lead to shortage of ICU beds. We aimed to develop a preoperative risk prediction tool for prolonged ICU stay following coronary artery surgery (CABG). METHODS: 5,186 patients who underwent CABG between 1st April 1997 and 31st March 2002 were analysed in a development dataset. Logistic regression was used with forward stepwise technique to identify preoperative risk factors for prolonged ICU stay; defined as patients staying longer than 3 days on ICU. Variables examined included presentation history, co-morbidities, catheter and demographic details. The use of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) was also recorded. The prediction tool was tested on validation dataset (1197 CABG patients between 1st April 2003 and 31st March 2004). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to assess the performance of the prediction tool. RESULTS: 475 (9.2%) patients had a prolonged ICU stay in the development dataset. Variables identified as risk factors for a prolonged ICU stay included renal dysfunction, unstable angina, poor ejection fraction, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, increasing age, smoking, diabetes, priority, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension, and use of CPB. In the validation dataset, 8.1% patients had a prolonged ICU stay compared to 8.7% expected. The ROC curve for the development and validation datasets was 0.72 and 0.74 respectively. CONCLUSION: A prediction tool has been developed which is reliable and valid. The tool is being piloted at our institution to aid resource management.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Medição de Risco , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
16.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 80(1): 136-42, 2005 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15975355

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recent publications have shown coronary surgery is safe and effective in patients with critical left main stem stenosis when using off-pump coronary surgery techniques. However, these studies were small and did not adjust for differences in case mix. METHODS: Between April 1997 and March 2003, 1,197 consecutive patients with critical left main stem stenosis (> 50%) underwent coronary surgery. Two hundred and fifty-nine (21.6%) of these patients had off-pump coronary surgery, while 938 (78.4%) received on-pump coronary surgery. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to assess the effect of off-pump coronary surgery on outcomes, while adjusting for patient characteristics (treatment selection bias). Treatment selection bias was controlled by constructing a propensity score from core patient characteristics. The propensity score was the probability of receiving off-pump coronary surgery and was included along with the comparison variable in the multivariable analyses of outcome. RESULTS: After adjusting for the propensity score, the requirement for inotropic support (22.4% versus 35.3%; p < 0.001) or a prolonged length of stay (5.3% versus 9.3%; p = 0.034) were significantly reduced after receiving off-pump coronary surgery. There was a trend to suggest that off-pump patients had a lower incidence of stroke and chest infection. The adjusted freedom from death in off-pump patients at 2 years was 94.6% compared with 93.6% for on-pump patients (p = 0.54). CONCLUSIONS: After risk adjustment, patients with critical left main stem stenosis can undergo off-pump coronary surgery safely, with results comparable with on-pump coronary surgery.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Estenose Coronária/cirurgia , Idoso , Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento
17.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 27(1): 94-8, 2005 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15621478

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The combination of total arterial revascularisation and avoidance of cardiopulmonary bypass may provide additional benefits to patients receiving complete arterial grafting with cardiopulmonary bypass. We performed a propensity-matched cohort study of complete arterial off-pump and on-pump coronary surgery and examined differences in in-hospital mortality and morbidity. METHODS: Three hundred and sixty patients who underwent off-pump coronary surgery with complete arterial grafting between April 1997 and September 2002 were matched to 360 patients who received coronary surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass and complete arterial grafting. To match off-pump with unique on-pump patients, logistic regression was used to develop a propensity score for off-pump surgery. The C statistic for this model was 0.79. Off-pump patients were matched to unique on-pump patients with an identical 5-digit propensity score. If this could not be done, we then proceeded to a 4-, 3-, 2-, or 1-digit match. RESULTS: Patient characteristics were well matched. There was no difference in in-hospital mortality between the groups. Off-pump patients were less likely to develop sternal wound infections compared to the on-pump group (2.5 versus 5.8%; P=0.03), and had significantly lower blood loss (675 versus 780 ml; P<0.001), red blood cell unit transfusion (8.6 versus 38.9%; P<0.001), enzyme rises (13 versus 23 U/l; P<0.001), inotrope support (11.9 versus 28.9%; P<0.001), and ventilation times (5 versus 8 h; P<0.001). Intensive care unit and hospital stay were also significantly lower in the off-pump patients. CONCLUSIONS: Off-pump coronary surgery with complete arterial revascularisation can significantly reduce in-hospital morbidity and lengths of stay compared to conventional on-pump coronary surgery.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Revascularização Miocárdica/métodos , Idoso , Prótese Vascular , Estudos de Coortes , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/métodos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/métodos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária sem Circulação Extracorpórea/mortalidade , Vasos Coronários/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Artéria Torácica Interna/transplante , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Reoperação , Fatores de Risco , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Resultado do Tratamento
18.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 78(2): 527-34; discussion 534, 2004 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15276512

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: We aimed to identify risk factors for reexploration for bleeding after surgical revascularization in our practice. We also looked at the impact of resternotomy and the effect of time delay on mortality and other in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: In all, 2,898 consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting between April 1999 and March 2002 were retrospectively analyzed from our cardiac surgery registry. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for reexploration for bleeding. To assess the effect of preoperative aspirin and heparin, reexploration patients were propensity matched with unique patients not requiring reexploration. We carried out a casenote review to ascertain the timing and causes for bleeding in patients undergoing resternotomy. RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients (3.1%) underwent reexploration for bleeding. Multivariate analysis revealed smaller body mass index (p = 0.003), nonelective surgery (p = 0.022), 5 or more distal anastomoses (p = 0.035), and increased age (p = 0.041) to have increased risks. Propensity-matched analysis showed that preoperative use of aspirin (p = 0.004) and heparin (p = 0.001) were associated with increased risk in the on-pump coronary surgery group only. Patients requiring resternotomy had a significantly greater need for inotropic agents (p < 0.001), and longer intensive care unit stay (p < 0.001) and postoperative stay (p < 0.001) than their propensity-matched controls. However, there was no significant difference in the mortality rate. Adverse outcomes were significantly higher when patients waited more than 12 hours after return to the intensive care unit for resternotomy. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for reexploration for bleeding after coronary artery bypass grafting include older age, smaller body mass index, nonelective cases, and 5 or more distal anastomoses. Preoperative aspirin and heparin were risk factors for the on-pump coronary artery surgery group. Patients needing reexploration are at higher risk of complications if the time to reexploration is prolonged. Policies that promote early return to the operating theater for reexploration should be encouraged.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Hemorragia Pós-Operatória/cirurgia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Aspirina/efeitos adversos , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Índice de Massa Corporal , Cardiotônicos/uso terapêutico , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Heparina/efeitos adversos , Heparina/uso terapêutico , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteotomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Hemorragia Pós-Operatória/induzido quimicamente , Reoperação/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Esterno/cirurgia , Resultado do Tratamento
19.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 77(4): 1245-9, 2004 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15063245

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: An increasing number of patients with peripheral vascular disease are undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. Such patients have an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Our aim was to quantify the effect of avoiding cardiopulmonary bypass in this group of patients. METHODS: Between April 1997 and March 2002, 3,771 consecutive patients underwent coronary artery bypass grafting performed by five surgeons. Four hundred and twenty-two (11.2%) had peripheral vascular disease and of these, 211 (50%) received off-pump surgery. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to assess the effect of off-pump surgery on in-hospital mortality and morbidity, while adjusting for treatment selection bias. Treatment selection bias was controlled for by constructing a propensity score, which was the probability of receiving off-pump surgery and included core patient characteristics. The C statistic for this model was 0.8. RESULTS: Off-pump patients were more likely to have preoperative renal dysfunction, previous gastrointestinal surgery, and less extensive disease. The left internal mammary artery was used more in off-pump compared to on-pump cases (90.1% vs 82.9%; p = 0.033). In the univariate analyses, off-pump patients were less likely to have a postoperative stroke (p = 0.007), and had shorter postoperative hospital stays (p < 0.001). However, the incidence of new atrial arrhythmia was higher (p = 0.028). After adjustment for differences in case-mix (propensity score), avoidance of cardiopulmonary bypass was still associated with a significant reduction in postoperative stroke (adjusted odds ratio 0.09 [95% confidence interval 0.02 to 0.50]; p = 0.005), and shorter postoperative hospital stay (p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Off-pump coronary surgery is safe in patients with peripheral vascular disease, with acceptable results. The incidence of postoperative stroke is substantially reduced when avoiding cardiopulmonary bypass in patients with peripheral vascular disease.


Assuntos
Ponte Cardiopulmonar/efeitos adversos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Doenças Vasculares Periféricas , Idoso , Doença das Coronárias/complicações , Doença das Coronárias/cirurgia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças Vasculares Periféricas/complicações , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia
20.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 24(1): 66-71, 2003 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12853047

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Non-elective coronary artery surgery (emergent/salvage or urgent) carries an increased risk in most risk-stratification models. Off-pump coronary surgery is increasingly used in non-elective cases. We aimed to investigate the effect of avoiding cardiopulmonary bypass on outcomes following non-elective coronary surgery. METHODS: Of the 3771 consecutive coronary artery bypass procedures performed by five surgeons between April 1997 and March 2002, 828 (22%) were non-elective and 417 (50.4%) of these patients had off-pump surgery. Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess the effect of off-pump on in-hospital outcomes, while adjusting for treatment selection bias. Treatment selection bias was controlled for by constructing a propensity score from core patient characteristics, which was the probability of avoiding cardiopulmonary bypass. The C statistic for this model was 0.8. RESULTS: Off-pump patients were more likely to be hypertensive, stable, had less extensive disease and better left ventricular function. The left internal mammary artery was used in 91.8% (n=383) of off-pump patients compared to 79.3% (n=326) of on-pump cases (P<0.001). After adjusting for the propensity score, no difference in in-hospital mortality was observed between off-pump and on-pump (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 0.83 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.36-1.93); P=0.667). Off-pump patients were less likely to require intra-aortic balloon pump support (adjusted OR 0.44 (95% CI 0.21-0.96); P=0.039), less likely to have renal failure (adjusted OR 0.44 (95% CI 0.22-0.90); P=0.025), and have shorter lengths of stay (adjusted OR 0.51 (95% CI 0.37-0.70); P<0.001). Other morbidity outcomes were similar in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this experience, off-pump coronary surgery in non-elective patients is safe with acceptable results. Non-elective off-pump patients have a significantly reduced incidence of renal failure, and shorter post-operative stays compared to on-pump coronary artery bypass surgery.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária/métodos , Doença das Coronárias/cirurgia , Tratamento de Emergência , Idoso , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Feminino , Máquina Coração-Pulmão , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Morbidade , Insuficiência Renal/etiologia , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , Resultado do Tratamento
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