ECG-guided non-invasive estimation of pulmonary congestion in patients with heart failure.

Quantifying hemodynamic severity in patients with heart failure (HF) is an integral part of clinical care. A key indicator of hemodynamic severity is the mean Pulmonary Capillary Wedge Pressure (mPCWP), which is ideally measured invasively. Accurate non-invasive estimates of the mPCWP in patients with heart failure would help identify individuals at the greatest risk of a HF exacerbation. We developed a deep learning model, HFNet, that uses the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) together with age and sex to identify when the mPCWP > 18 mmHg in patients who have a prior diagnosis of HF. The model was developed using retrospective data from the Massachusetts General Hospital and evaluated on both an internal test set and an independent external validation set, from another institution. We developed an uncertainty score that identifies when model performance is likely to be poor, thereby helping clinicians gauge when to trust a given model prediction. HFNet AUROC for the task of estimating mPCWP > 18 mmHg was 0.8 [Formula: see text] 0.01 and 0.[Formula: see text] 0.01 on the internal and external datasets, respectively. The AUROC on predictions with the highest uncertainty are 0.50 [Formula: see text] 0.02 (internal) and 0.[Formula: see text] 0.04 (external), while the AUROC on predictions with the lowest uncertainty were 0.86 ± 0.01 (internal) and 0.82 ± 0.01 (external). Using estimates of the prevalence of mPCWP > 18 mmHg in patients with reduced ventricular function, and a decision threshold corresponding to an 80% sensitivity, the calculated positive predictive value (PPV) is 0.[Formula: see text] 0.01when the corresponding chest x-ray (CXR) is consistent with interstitial edema HF. When the CXR is not consistent with interstitial edema, the estimated PPV is 0.[Formula: see text] 0.02, again at an 80% sensitivity threshold. HFNet can accurately predict elevated mPCWP in patients with HF using the 12-lead ECG and age/sex. The method also identifies cohorts in which the model is more/less likely to produce accurate outputs.

A Deep Learning Model for Inferring Elevated Pulmonary Capillary Wedge Pressures From the 12-Lead Electrocardiogram.

Background: Central hemodynamic parameters are typically measured via pulmonary artery catherization-an invasive procedure that involves some risk to the patient and is not routinely available in all settings. Objectives: This study sought to develop a noninvasive method to identify elevated mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (mPCWP). Methods: We leveraged data from 248,955 clinical records at the Massachusetts General Hospital to develop a deep learning model that can infer when the mPCWP >15 mmHg using the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Of these data, 242,216 records were used to pre-train a model that generates useful ECG representations. The remaining 6,739 records contain encounters with direct measurements of the mPCWP. Eighty percent of these data were used for model development and testing (5,390), and the remaining records comprise a holdout set (1,349) that was used to evaluate the model. We developed an associated unreliability score that identifies when model predictions are likely to be untrustworthy. Results: The model achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.80 ± 0.02 (test set) and 0.79 ± 0.01 (holdout set). Model performance varies as a function of the unreliability, where patients with high unreliability scores correspond to a subgroup where model performance is poor: for example, patients in the holdout set with unreliability scores in the highest decile have a reduced AUC of 0.70 ± 0.06. Conclusions: The mPCWP can be inferred from the ECG, and the reliability of this inference can be measured. When invasive monitoring cannot be expeditiously performed, deep learning models may provide information that can inform clinical care.

Assessment of medication self-administration using artificial intelligence.

Errors in medication self-administration (MSA) lead to poor treatment adherence, increased hospitalizations and higher healthcare costs. These errors are particularly common when medication delivery involves devices such as inhalers or insulin pens. We present a contactless and unobtrusive artificial intelligence (AI) framework that can detect and monitor MSA errors by analyzing the wireless signals in the patient's home, without the need for physical contact. The system was developed by observing self-administration conducted by volunteers and evaluated by comparing its prediction with human annotations. Findings from this study demonstrate that our approach can automatically detect when patients use their inhalers (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.992) or insulin pens (AUC = 0.967), and assess whether patients follow the appropriate steps for using these devices (AUC = 0.952). The work shows the potential of leveraging AI-based solutions to improve medication safety with minimal overhead for patients and health professionals.