Evaluation of the symbiosis level of the water-energy-food complex system based on the improved cloud model: a case study in Heilongjiang Province.

As the conflict between the supply and demand of resources intensifies, it is critical to deeply study the important relationships and symbiotic evolution mechanisms among water resource development and utilization, energy production, agriculture, and the socioeconomic system to promote multiresource synergy management. This study introduced symbiosis theory to build a regional water-energy-food complex system in which the water-energy-food nexus was the main body and the social-economic-natural system was the external environment. Then, a symbiosis evaluation index system was established from three dimensions, including the symbiotic unit, symbiotic relationship, and symbiotic environment. Using the improved cloud model, we judged the symbiosis level of the water-energy-food complex system in Heilongjiang Province from 2010 to 2019. The results indicated that (1) the symbiosis level of the provincial water-energy-food complex system, symbiotic unit, and symbiotic environment was on the rise from level II in 2010 to level IV in 2019, and the symbiosis level of the symbiotic unit fluctuated between level III and level IV. The system exhibited an overall strong symbiosis state. (2) The weights of the three criteria were ranked as symbiotic environment > symbiotic unit > symbiotic relationship. The state of the social-economic-natural system could be considered a "monitor" of the symbiosis level, the symbiotic unit was an important basis for the evolution of the complex system, and the symbiotic relationship was the shortcoming of the system symbiosis enhancement. (3) The trade-offs between food production and water savings constrained socioeconomic development in the province. The resource demands of the economic and social systems and the emissions to the natural system that occurred during the resource exploitation and utilization processes were important factors affecting the coordinated development of the studied system. Overall, the experimental results were consistent with the research subjects' actual situations, and the government should promote the regional three-way flow of social, natural, and economic resources to allow the targeted management of multiresource security.

A comprehensive evaluation of regional water safety systems based on a similarity cloud model.

Regional water safety systems are affected by social, economic, ecological, hydrological and other factors, and their effects are complicated and variable. Studying water safety systems is crucial to promoting the coordinated development of regional water safety systems and anthropogenic processes. Thus, a similarity cloud model is developed to simulate the evolution mechanisms of fuzzy and complex regional systems of water security and overcome the uncertainty that is associated with the indices that are used in water safety index systems. This cloud generator is used to reciprocally transform a qualitative cloud image with a quantitative cloud characteristic value, and the stochastic weight assignment method is used to determine the weight of the evaluation indices. The results of case studies show that Jiansanjiang's water safety systems were in a safe state in 2002-2011, but the water safety systems in the arid area of Yinchuan City were in a dangerous state in 2006-2007 because of climate factors and a lack of effective water and soil resource protection. The experimental results are consistent with the research subjects' actual situations, and the proposed model provides a tool for decision makers to better understand the security issues that are associated with regional water safety systems.