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1.
Accid Anal Prev ; 85: 157-69, 2015 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26432991

RESUMO

Crashes at highway-rail grade crossings can result in severe injuries and fatalities to vehicle occupants. Using a crash database from the Federal Railroad Administration (N=15,639 for 2004-2013), this study explores differences in safety outcomes from crashes between passive controls (Crossbucks and STOP signs) and active controls (flashing lights, gates, audible warnings and highway signals). To address missing data, an imputation model is developed, creating a complete dataset for estimation. Path analysis is used to quantify the direct and indirect associations of passive and active controls with pre-crash behaviors and crash outcomes in terms of injury severity. The framework untangles direct and indirect associations of controls by estimating two models, one for pre-crash driving behaviors (e.g., driving around active controls), and another model for injury severity. The results show that while the presence of gates is not directly associated with injury severity, the indirect effect through stopping behavior is statistically significant (95% confidence level) and substantial. Drivers are more likely to stop at gates that also have flashing lights and audible warnings, and stopping at gates is associated with lower injury severity. This indirect association lowers the chances of injury by 16%, compared with crashes at crossings without gates. Similar relationships between other controls and injury severity are explored. Generally, crashes occurring at active controls are less severe than crashes at passive controls. The results of study can be used to modify Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) to account for crash injury severity. The study contributes to enhancing the understanding of safety by incorporating pre-crash behaviors in a broader framework that quantifies correlates of crash injury severity at active and passive crossings.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Condução de Veículo/psicologia , Diretórios de Sinalização e Localização/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferrovias/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Probabilidade , Análise de Regressão , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma , Estados Unidos
2.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 22(1): 93, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24359483
3.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 22(2): 116-26, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24134451

RESUMO

To address the dilemma between the need for truck transportation and the costs related to truck-involved crashes, the key is to identify the risk factors that significantly affect truck-involved crashes. The objective of this research is to estimate the effects of the characteristics of traffic, driver, geometry, and environment on severity of truck-involved crashes. Based on four crash severity categories (fatal/incapacitating, non-incapacitating, possible injury, and no injury/property damage only), a multinomial logit model is conducted to identify the risk factors. The investigation of risk ratios indicates that lower traffic volume with higher truck percentage is associated with more serious traffic crash with fatal/incapacitating injury while a non-standard geometric design is the main cause of non-incapacitating crashes. The influences of weather are significant for the possible-injury crashes while driver condition is the principal cause of no-injury/property-damage-only crashes. In addition, the statistical results demonstrate that the influence of the truck percentage is significant. One-unit change in the truck percentage will cause more than one times probability of being in an injury.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/classificação , Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Veículos Automotores/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Dirigir sob a Influência , Planejamento Ambiental , Desenho de Equipamento , Feminino , Humanos , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Fatores de Risco , Assunção de Riscos , Fatores Sexuais , Tennessee , Tempo (Meteorologia)
4.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 21(2): 115-26, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23627789

RESUMO

The speed limit of 55 mph (88 km/h) is used typically on rural highways in the U.S. When curbs are installed, a lower speed limit is suggested because running into curbs at high speeds may cause significant vehicular damage and severe injuries. However, it has been argued that lowering the speed limit may cause confusion in drivers, who do not perceive the risk and tend to operate their vehicles at the same speed as before. To better understand driver behaviour on two-lane rural highways before and after curb installation, the authors conducted a series of experiments on a high-fidelity driving simulator in different posted speed limit, curb installation, lateral curb clearance, weather, visibility, and traffic conditions. Results of the study suggest that driver behaviours are influenced by the various factors in a complex and interrelated manner. It is likely that curbs have no influence on a driver's selection of speed. Drivers do perceive the risk from the curb or the opposing traffic when selecting their lane positions. The available space between the curb and the opposing traffic is crucial and has significant effects on driving behaviours. The subjective effects of drivers are found to be influential to driving behaviours.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo/psicologia , Comportamento , Planejamento Ambiental , Adulto , Idoso , Condução de Veículo/legislação & jurisprudência , Comportamento de Escolha , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , População Rural , Segurança , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Adulto Jovem
5.
Accid Anal Prev ; 62: 87-94, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24140813

RESUMO

The influence of intersection features on safety has been examined extensively because intersections experience a relatively large proportion of motor vehicle conflicts and crashes. Although there are distinct differences between passenger cars and large trucks-size, operating characteristics, dimensions, and weight-modeling crash counts across vehicle types is rarely addressed. This paper develops and presents a multivariate regression model of crash frequencies by collision vehicle type using crash data for urban signalized intersections in Tennessee. In addition, the performance of univariate Poisson-lognormal (UVPLN), multivariate Poisson (MVP), and multivariate Poisson-lognormal (MVPLN) regression models in establishing the relationship between crashes, traffic factors, and geometric design of roadway intersections is investigated. Bayesian methods are used to estimate the unknown parameters of these models. The evaluation results suggest that the MVPLN model possesses most of the desirable statistical properties in developing the relationships. Compared to the UVPLN and MVP models, the MVPLN model better identifies significant factors and predicts crash frequencies. The findings suggest that traffic volume, truck percentage, lighting condition, and intersection angle significantly affect intersection safety. Important differences in car, car-truck, and truck crash frequencies with respect to various risk factors were found to exist between models. The paper provides some new or more comprehensive observations that have not been covered in previous studies.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Condução de Veículo/estatística & dados numéricos , Automóveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Planejamento de Cidades , Planejamento Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Veículos Automotores/estatística & dados numéricos , Teorema de Bayes , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise Multivariada , Distribuição de Poisson , Análise de Regressão , Tennessee
6.
Accid Anal Prev ; 50: 1289-97, 2013 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23084096

RESUMO

The speed limit of 55mph (88km/h) is typically used on rural highways in the U.S. For locations where curbs are installed along these roadways, some transportation agencies have suggested the use of a lower 45mph (72km/h) speed limit because, according to AASHTO, running into curbs at high speeds may cause significant vehicular damage and even severe injuries. However, it has also been argued that lowering the speed limit after the installation of curbs may cause confusion in drivers, who do not perceive the risk associated with the newly installed curbs and tend to operate their vehicles at the same speed as before. To better understand driver behavior on rural highways before and after curb installation, and with different speed limits, researchers at the University of Tennessee conducted a series of experiments in two-lane and four-lane highways on a high-fidelity driving simulator. This paper mainly presents the findings from the four-lane study, and compares the results from the previous two-lane study. The scenario matrix consists of several dimensions including posted speed limit (45 and 55mph, or 72 and 88km/h), curb installation, lateral clearance between the edge of travel lane and the curb (2ft, 6ft, and no-curb, or 0.6m, 1.8m, and no-curb), weather (clear and fog), traffic conditions in the next lane (1400veh/h and 400veh/h), etc. For each subject under different experimental scenarios, detailed driving parameters, such as driving speed and vehicle position in the travel lane, were recorded and analyzed subsequently. Results of the study suggest that driver behaviors are influenced by the various factors in a complex and interrelated manner. It is likely that drivers do not perceive the risk from the curb in determining their speed on four-lane rural highways. However, it is found that curbs may provide certain guidance to drivers, especially in selecting lane position. Compared to the previous research in two-lane conditions, it is found that drivers are more likely to choose driving speeds according to posted speed limits, rather than lane configurations. It is also found that the relative speed between driver's vehicle and ambient traffic or curbs is an important factor determining drivers' perception of risk and thus their driving behavior. The influence of subjective effects of these factors to their driving behavior is also observed in the study.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Condução de Veículo , Simulação por Computador , Planejamento Ambiental , Adulto , Análise de Variância , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Medição de Risco , População Rural , Segurança , Inquéritos e Questionários
7.
Traffic Inj Prev ; 12(4): 412-21, 2011 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21823949

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Curbs are commonly used on roadways for drainage management, access control, and other positive functions. However, curbs may also bring about unfavorable effects on drivers' behavior and vehicle stability when hitting curbs, especially for high-speed roadways. The objective of this article is to investigate whether the presence of curbs along outside shoulders has produced adverse effects on traffic safety on high-speed roadways and whether increasing speed limits has created any further harmful effects. METHODS: In this study, the Illinois Highway Safety Database from 2003 to 2007 was selected to evaluate the effects of curbs over traffic safety on 2-lane and 4-lane non-freeways with speed limits of 45, 50, and 55 mph. Wilcoxon/Kruskal-Wallis nonparametric tests were conducted to compare the road-segment crash rates between 3 types of outside shoulders (curbed shoulder, soft flush shoulder, and hard flush shoulder) and 3 speed limits. In addition, the zero-inflated negative binomial models were developed for all of the roadway segments combined, as well as the curbed outside shoulder-only segments. The models were used to estimate the influences of curbed outside shoulder, speed limit level, as well as other roadway characteristics on crash frequency. RESULTS: It was found that road segments with different types of outside shoulders were from different populations in terms of the distribution of crash rates, so did segments with different speed limits. Further, the crash frequency analysis indicates that the curbed outside shoulders did not induce a higher crash frequency compared to the other 2 types of outside shoulders. In addition, there was no evidence that a decrease in speed limit results in reduction in crash frequencies for road segments with curbed outside shoulders. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study suggest that the employment of curbed outside shoulders on high-speed roadways would not pose any significantly harmful effect on the occurrence of crashes, and on high-speed roadways with curbed outside shoulders, reducing the speed limit from 55 to 45 mph would not achieve any safety benefit.


Assuntos
Aceleração , Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Condução de Veículo/legislação & jurisprudência , Planejamento Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Segurança , Aceleração/efeitos adversos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Bases de Dados Factuais , Humanos , Illinois , Modelos Estatísticos
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