Predictors of premature termination of cardiac surgery trials: insights from the Clinicaltrial.gov database.

OBJECTIVES: Clinical trials that are terminated prematurely may generate incomplete and potentially biased data and the reasons for premature trials termination are poorly understood. Our objective was to describe the incidence of premature trial termination and identify factors associated with it. METHODS: We performed a systematic search on ClinicalTrials.gov to identify all cardiac surgery trials from 1991 to 2023. Trials that were terminated prematurely were identified. Factors independently associated with premature termination were identified using multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 746 clinical trials were included; of them 577 were completed and 169 (22.6%) were terminated prematurely. Most of the trials originated from North America [294 (39.4%)], Europe [264 (35.4%)] or Asia [141 (18.9%)]. Fourteen of the trials terminated prematurely (8.3%) were phase 1, 75 (44.4%) phase 2, 49 (29.0%) phase 3 and 31 (18.3%) phase 4. Fifty (29.6%) trials were terminated because of slow recruitment, 20 (11.8%) because of sponsor decision and 12 (7.1%) because of lack of funding. Left ventricular assist device trials [odds ratio (OR) 3.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.65-8.00) P = 0.001], valve surgery trials [OR 4.30, 95% CI (2.33-8.00) P < 0.001], aortic surgery trials [OR 2.86 95% CI (1.22-6.43) P = 0.012], phase 2 [OR 3.02, 95% CI (1.31-7.93) P = 0.015] and phase 4 trials [OR 3.62, 95% CI (1.43-10.23) P = 0.010] were at higher risk of premature termination while trials performed in Asia [OR 0.18, 95% CI (0.07-0.39) P ≤ 0.001] and Europe [OR 0.49, 95% CI (0.30-0.80) P = 0.004] were less likely to be terminated prematurely. CONCLUSIONS: Slow recruitment is the most common reason for premature termination of cardiac surgery trials. Trials on left ventricular assist device, valve surgery, aortic surgery, phase 2 trials and phase 4 trials are more likely to be terminated, while trials conducted in Asia and Europe are less likely to be terminated prematurely.

Association between overweight and obesity with coronary artery bypass graft failure: an individual patient data analysis of clinical trials.

OBJECTIVES: The association between obesity and graft failure after coronary artery bypass grafting has not been previously investigated. METHODS: We pooled individual patient data from randomized clinical trials with systematic postoperative coronary imaging to evaluate the association between obesity and graft failure at the individual graft and patient levels. Penalized cubic regression splines and mixed-effects multivariable logistic regression models were performed. RESULTS: Six trials comprising 3928 patients and 12 048 grafts were included. The median time to imaging was 1.03 (interquartile range 1.00-1.09) years. By body mass index (BMI) category, 800 (20.4%) patients were normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9), 1668 (42.5%) were overweight (BMI 25-29.9), 983 (25.0%) were obesity class 1 (BMI 30-34.9), 344 (8.8%) were obesity class 2 (BMI 35-39.9) and 116 (2.9%) were obesity class 3 (BMI 40+). As a continuous variable, BMI was associated with reduced graft failure [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.98 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.97-0.99)] at the individual graft level. Compared to normal weight patients, graft failure at the individual graft level was reduced in overweight [aOR 0.79 (95% CI 0.64-0.96)], obesity class 1 [aOR 0.81 (95% CI 0.64-1.01)] and obesity class 2 [aOR 0.61 (95% CI 0.45-0.83)] patients, but not different compared to obesity class 3 [aOR 0.94 (95% CI 0.62-1.42)] patients. Findings were similar, but did not reach significance, at the patient level. CONCLUSIONS: In a pooled individual patient data analysis of randomized clinical trials, BMI and obesity appear to be associated with reduced graft failure at 1 year after coronary artery bypass grafting.

Subclinical hypothyroidism and clinical outcomes after cardiac surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) is associated with major adverse cardiovascular events. Despite the recognized negative impact of SCH on cardiovascular health, research on cardiac postoperative outcomes with SCH has yielded conflicting results, and patients are not currently treated for SCH before cardiac surgery procedures. Methods: We performed a study-level meta-analysis on the impact of SCH on patients undergoing nonurgent cardiac surgery, including coronary artery bypass grafting and valve and aortic surgery. The primary outcome was operative mortality. Secondary outcomes were hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) stay, postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, renal complications, and long-term all-cause mortality. Results: Seven observational studies, with a total of 3445 patients, including 851 [24.7%] diagnosed with SCH and 2594 [75.3%] euthyroid patients) were identified. Compared to euthyroid patients, the patients with SCH had higher rates of operative mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-6.04; P = .03), prolonged hospital LOS (standardized mean difference, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.02-0.62; P = .04), a higher rate of renal complications (OR, 2.53; 95% CI, 1.74-3.69; P < .0001), but no significant differences in ICU stay, POAF, or IABP use. At mean follow-up of 49.3 months, the presence of SCH was associated with a higher rate of all-cause mortality (incidence rate ratio, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.18-2.83; P = .02). Conclusions: Patients with SCH have higher operative mortality, prolonged hospital LOS, and increased renal complications after cardiac surgery. Achieving and maintaining a euthyroid state prior to and after cardiac surgery procedures might improve outcomes in these patients.

The future of coronary artery bypass grafting.

Coronary artery bypass grafting has evolved considerably since it was introduced approximately 50 years ago, with continuously improved patient outcomes as a result of this growth. The most up-to-date evidence on topics such as graft patency, grafting strategy, approaches to graft harvesting, minimally invasive coronary artery bypass grafting, and postoperative pharmacotherapy may lead to changes in current accepted practice. In addition, several unanswered questions in the field of coronary artery bypass grafting may benefit from further investigation and, if resolved, might advance the field and change practice. Current or upcoming clinical trials seek to answer these unanswered questions and may generate data that yields improved outcomes and quality of life for all patients after coronary artery bypass grafting. In addition, cutting edge clinical trials designed specifically for women and racial and ethnic minorities who have had poorer outcomes and have traditionally been underrepresented in cardiovascular surgery research, have recently been launched that may change the way that a large portion of the coronary artery bypass grafting population is treated in the future.