Analysis of age-period-cohort effects on overall mortality in Andalusia (Southern Spain).

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the age-period-cohort effects on overall mortality in Andalusia (Spain). STUDY DESIGN: An ecological study was implemented with a Lexis diagram triangle comprising each annual age group, year of death and year of birth as the unit of analysis. METHODS: In all 1,384,899 deaths from all causes were analysed for individuals between the ages of 1 and 84 years who died in Andalusia in the period 1981-2008. A non-linear regression model was estimated for each gender group and geographical area. The effects of age, year of death and birth cohort were parameterized using B-spline smoothing functions. RESULTS: There is a downward trend in mortality by age to around the age of 15 years, from which point the trend turned upwards. For cohorts born between 1945 and 1965, the rate climbed steadily. From 1965, the rate turned downwards. Death rates increased between 1995 and 2000, only to turn down again until the end of the period. Broadly, these results were similar for both men and women, in all the provinces of Andalusia and for Andalusia as a whole. CONCLUSIONS: This study points to an age-period-cohort effect on deaths from all causes in all the geographic areas studied.

Area deprivation and mortality in the provincial capital cities of Andalusia and Catalonia (Spain).

OBJECTIVE: To study the linkage between material deprivation and mortality from all causes, for men and women separately, in the capital cities of the provinces in Andalusia and Catalonia (Spain). METHODS: A small-area ecological study was devised using the census section as the unit for analysis. 188,983 Deaths occurring in the capital cities of the Andalusian provinces and 109,478 deaths recorded in the Catalan capital cities were examined. Principal components factorial analysis was used to devise a material deprivation index comprising the percentage of manual labourers, unemployment and illiteracy. A hierarchical Bayesian model was used to study the relationship between mortality and area deprivation. MAIN RESULTS: In most cities, results show an increased male mortality risk in the most deprived areas in relation to the least depressed. In Andalusia, the relative risks between the highest and lowest deprivation decile ranged from 1.24 (Malaga) to 1.40 (Granada), with 95% credibility intervals showing a significant excess risk. In Catalonia, relative risks ranged between 1.08 (Girona) and 1.50 (Tarragona). No evidence was found for an excess of female mortality in most deprived areas in either of the autonomous communities. CONCLUSIONS: Within cities, gender-related differences were revealed when deprivation was correlated geographically with mortality rates. These differences were found from an ecological perspective. Further research is needed in order to validate these results from an individual approach. The idea to be analysed is to identify those factors that explain these differences at an individual level.