Efficacy of caspofungin as salvage therapy for invasive aspergillosis compared to standard therapy in a historical cohort.

In a non-comparative study, caspofungin was effective salvage therapy for approximately half of the patients refractory to or intolerant of standard antifungal agents for invasive aspergillosis. To establish a frame of reference for these results, we compared the response to caspofungin with responses to other antifungal agents in a historical cohort of similar patients. The efficacy could be evaluated in 83 patients who received caspofungin 50 mg daily after a 70-mg loading dose. The historical control group, identified through a retrospective review of medical records, included 214 evaluable patients possibly refractory to or intolerant of ≥1 week of standard antifungal therapy. All patients had documented invasive aspergillosis. Favorable response was defined as a complete or partial response to therapy. Underlying diseases, baseline neutropenia, corticosteroid use, and sites of infection were similar in both studies. Most patients had received amphotericin B formulations and/or itraconazole, and were refractory to standard therapy. Favorable response rates were 45% with caspofungin and 16% with standard therapy. The unadjusted odds ratio for a favorable response (caspofungin/standard therapy) was 4.1 (95% confidence interval: 2.2, 7.5). After adjusting for potential imbalances in the frequency of disseminated infection, neutropenia, steroid use, and bone marrow transplantation between groups, the odds ratio remained at 4.1 (2.1, 7.9). Although only tentative conclusions about relative efficacy can be drawn from retrospective comparisons, caspofungin appeared to be at least as efficacious as an amphotericin B formulation and/or itraconazole for the treatment of invasive aspergillosis in patients refractory to or intolerant of their initial antifungal therapy.

High sustained efficacy of a prophylactic quadrivalent human papillomavirus types 6/11/16/18 L1 virus-like particle vaccine through 5 years of follow-up.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) causes cervical, vulvar, and vaginal cancers, precancerous dysplasia, and genital warts. We report data for the longest efficacy evaluation to date of a prophylactic HPV vaccine. In total, 552 women (16-23 years) were enrolled in a randomised, placebo-controlled study of a quadrivalent HPV 6/11/16/18 L1 virus-like-particle vaccine with vaccination at months 0, 2, and 6. At regular intervals through 3 years, subjects underwent gynaecologic examination, cervicovaginal sampling for HPV DNA, serum anti-HPV testing, and Pap testing, with follow-up biopsy as indicated. A subset of 241 subjects underwent two further years of follow-up. At 5 years post enrollment, the combined incidence of HPV 6/11/16/18-related persistent infection or disease was reduced in vaccine-recipients by 96% (two cases vaccine versus 46 placebo). There were no cases of HPV 6/11/16/18-related precancerous cervical dysplasia or genital warts in vaccine recipients, and six cases in placebo recipients (efficacy = 100%; 95% CI:12-100%). Through 5 years, vaccine-induced anti-HPV geometric mean titres remained at or above those following natural infection. In conclusion, a prophylactic quadrivalent HPV vaccine was effective through 5 years for prevention of persistent infection and disease caused by HPV 6/11/16/18. This duration supports vaccination of adolescents and young adults, which is expected to greatly reduce the burden of cervical and genital cancers, precancerous dysplasia, and genital warts.

Pharmacokinetic profile and tolerability of indinavir-ritonavir combinations in healthy volunteers.

This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled parallel study in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-uninfected healthy subjects to investigate the pharmacokinetic interaction between indinavir (IDV) and ritonavir (RTV). Subjects were allocated to treatment groups of IDV given with RTV in the following milligram doses twice daily: 800 mg of IDV-100 mg of RTV (800-100 mg), 800-200, 800-400, and 400-400 mg, placebo of IDV with RTV doses of 100, 200, and 400 mg, and placebo of both IDV and RTV. Doses of both drugs were administered for 14 days with a low-fat meal and one dose on day 15 with a high-fat meal. Blood was obtained for drug concentration measurements on days 14 and 15. Seventy-three volunteers enrolled in the study: 29 men and 44 women. Fifty-three volunteers completed the study. When compared to standard historical data for 800 mg of IDV every 8 h (q8h), the IDV area under the concentration-time curve for 24 h (AUC(24)) of IDV-RTV regimens 400-400, 800-100, and 800-200 mg were at least 1.4, 2.3, and 3.3 times higher, respectively, regardless of meal. The concentrations at the end of the dosing interval were 10 to 25 times higher than that observed in the standard regimen of 800 mg of IDV q8h for IDV-RTV 800-100 and 800-200 mg regimens, respectively. RTV at 200 mg maximally enhanced the IDV profile. Improved tolerability was associated with IDV-RTV 800-100 mg versus IDV-RTV 800-200, 800-400, and 400-400 mg q12h. The advantages of IDV-RTV twice daily over 800 mg of IDV q8h include no food restrictions and twice-daily dosing. Also, the regimens achieve levels of IDV that may be helpful in suppressing strains of HIV-1 that have reduced susceptibility to IDV or other protease inhibitors.

HIV-1 IgA specific serum antibodies and disease progression during HIV-1 infection.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the role of serum human immunodeficiency virus type 1 immunoglobulin A (HIV-1 IgA) antibodies in the progression of HIV-1 infection in relation to viral load and CD4 cell counts. METHODS: Sequential serum specimens were obtained from 218 homosexual men: 123 HIV-1 seropositives, 24 HIV-1 seroconverters, and 71 HIV-1 seronegatives. HIV-1 IgA antibodies were tested blindly by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and Western blot. T-lymphocyte subsets were measured by flow cytometry. Viral plasma load was determined by a sensitive branched DNA assay. RESULTS: HIV-1 IgA antibodies with a titer greater than or equal to 50 were detected among 50% of the seroconverters, 27% of the HIV-1-seropositive asymptomatic subjects, 25% of lymphadenopathy, and 23% of HIV-1-related symptomatic subjects. Among patients with the acquired immune deficiency syndrome, the prevalence of virus-specific IgA antibodies (55%) was significantly higher (p < 0.03) as compared with the HIV-1-seropositive asymptomatic subjects, lymphadenopathy and HIV-1-related symptomatic patients, but not versus the seroconverters (p = 0.8). IgA antibodies to HIV-1 gP160 were the most prevalent among all subjects tested. A significant decrease in CD4 cell counts was observed after HIV-1 seroconversion. Viral load was slightly higher among the seroconverters who demonstrated higher (> or =50) HIV-1 IgA levels. CONCLUSIONS: HIV-1 IgA serum antibodies did not predict the progression of the disease. Correlation between HIV-1 IgA antibodies titer, viral load, and CD4 cell counts was not detected.

Serum sCD23 level in patients with AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma is associated with absence of Epstein-Barr virus in tumor tissue.

The cytokine soluble CD23 (sCD23) acts as a B cell growth factor and is associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. To elucidate the role sCD23 might play in the pathogenesis of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (AIDS NHL), 101 AIDS NHL patients from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study were studied. Serum sCD23 within 18 months prior to lymphoma diagnosis was measured for all patients and EBV in tumor tissue was ascertained for 49 patients. Tumor morphology and primary site were verified from pathology reports and tumor specimens. Bivariate tests and multivariate regression were employed to determine whether serum sCD23 correlated with tumor EBV, morphology, and primary site. Higher levels of serum sCD23 were associated with the absence of tumor EBV and with small noncleaved cell morphology. Thus, the serum sCD23 level does not appear to be mediated by EBV in these patients, but could be related to a pathogenetic mechanism of small noncleaved cell lymphoma.

Serum soluble CD23 level correlates with subsequent development of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

The cytokine soluble CD23 (sCD23) has been shown to act as a B cell growth factor and to be elevated in serum prior to development of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (AIDS NHL). To further characterize the elevation of serum sCD23 in AIDS NHL patients and investigate its potential as a diagnostic test, a matched case-control study of AIDS NHL (n = 101) was nested within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. Serum sCD23 was measured in cases' and controls' serum specimens at three different time periods (0-6, 6-12, and 12-18 months) and CD4+ thresholds (0-99, 100-199, and 200-299 cells/microl) prior to the case's NHL diagnosis. Changes in serum sCD23 over time were examined in AIDS NHL cases relative to controls, and t tests were performed to determine whether cases' serum sCD23 exceeded that of controls at each time period and CD4+ threshold. Overall, cases' median serum sCD23 levels were approximately double those of controls. Serum sCD23 concentration was positively correlated with lymphocyte counts for both cases and controls. The difference in cases' and controls' serum sCD23 levels became greater as AIDS NHL diagnosis date approached: in the 18 months preceding the case's NHL diagnosis, serum sCD23 was stable in cases but dropped in controls. Although this difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05), it was not clinically significant. It is unlikely that serum sCD23 would make a useful test for AIDS NHL because the magnitude of the difference between cases and controls was small and there was no change in serum sCD23 in cases that would indicate disease.

Cell-associated infectious HIV-1 viral load as a predictor of clinical progression and survival among HIV-1 infected injection drug users and homosexual men.

Cell-associated infectious HIV-1 viral load was measured using semi-quantitative microculture techniques to determine its predictive capability for progression to AIDS or survival among HIV-1 infected injecting drug users (IDU) and homosexual men (HM). The authors followed 296 IDU and 240 HM from February 1992 through September 1995 for: (i) death, (ii) AIDS, and (iii) AIDS or bacterial infection. At baseline, viral load was quantified using microculture techniques to determine infectious units per million peripheral blood mononuclear cells (IUPM). Data were analyzed using standard statistical methods for survival analysis. Of the 536 total participants, 106 died (20%), and 98 of the 481 AIDS-free participants developed AIDS (20%). The relative hazard of AIDS for a viral load of > or = 100 IUPM, relative to a negative culture (0 IUPM), was 6.73 (95% CI: 2.23-20.3) after adjusting for risk group, initial CD4+ count, and other covariates. The adjusted relative hazard of death for a viral load of > or = 100 IUPM vs. 0 IUPM was 2.57 (95% CI: 0.97 6.80). Viral load predicted time to death within the < 200 cells/ul CD4+ stratum. The predictive value of viral load on HIV-1 progression did not vary by risk group. These data show that cell associated infectious HIV-1 viral load was significantly predictive of progression across risk groups for AIDS and death among those severely immune compromised.

Placental membrane inflammation and risks of maternal-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Uganda.

UNLABELLED: Prospective follow-up of 172 HIV-infected pregnant women and their infants was conducted at Mulago Hospital, Kampala, Uganda during 1990 to 1992. Information was collected on maternal immune status (CD4 counts or clinical AIDS), and concurrent infections with sexually transmitted diseases. Infants were observed on a follow-up basis to determine HIV infection, using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) under 15 months of age and enzyme immunoassay/Western blot for those older than 15 months. Placental membrane inflammation (chorioamnionitis and funisitis), and placental villous inflammation (villitis, intervillitis, and deciduitis) were diagnosed by histopathology. Mother-to-child HIV transmission rates were assessed, and adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of transmission were estimated using women with no placental pathology or evidence of immune suppression as a reference group. RESULTS: The overall mother-to-child HIV transmission rate was 23.3%. Women with no placental membrane inflammation or immune suppression had a transmission rate of 11.3%; compared with 25.5% in women with placental inflammation and no immunosuppression (adjusted OR, 2.87; 95% CI, 1.04-7.90), and 37.0% in immunosuppressed women (OR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.42-6.67). We estimate that 34% of HIV transmission could be prevented by treatment of placental membrane inflammation in nonimmunocompromised women. Transmission rates were 40.9% with genital ulcer disease (OR, 3.57; 95% CI, 1.28-9.66). Placental villous inflammation and artificial rupture of membranes did not increase transmission rates and cesarean section was associated with a nonsignificant reduction of risk (OR, 0.70; 95% CI 0.24-2.06). CONCLUSION: Placental membrane inflammation increases the rate of mother-to-child HIV transmission.

Association of HLA profiles with early plasma viral load, CD4+ cell count and rate of progression to AIDS following acute HIV-1 infection. Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Host genetic factors, such as HLA alleles, play an important role in mediating the course of HIV-1 disease progression through largely undefined mechanisms. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association of HLA markers with HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load and other factors associated with course of disease progression in HIV-1 infection. DESIGN AND METHODS: A group of 139 HIV-1 seroconverters from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study had been typed for a variety of HLA markers. HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load was measured from frozen plasma specimens obtained approximately 9 months following seroconversion. CD4+ cell counts were available from the same study visit. Statistical analysis was performed using survival techniques and linear regression models to quantify the relative associations of an HLA score profile, HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load, CD4+ cell count and age with each other and with rate of progression to AIDS and death. RESULTS: Cox proportional hazards models showed statistically significant differences in time to AIDS by HLA score profile category per unit increase [relative hazard (RH), 0.64; P < 0.0001], HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load per 10-fold increase (RH, 2.04; P = 0.0003), and CD4+ cell count per 100 cell (x 10(6)/l) increase (RH, 0.90; P = 0.02). Multivariate linear regression showed that viral load was 39% lower (P = 0.0001) for each unit increase in HLA score profile and 13% lower (P = 0.002) for each 100 cell (x 10(6)/l) increase in CD4+ cell count. CONCLUSION: The means by which the HLA score profile influences the time to AIDS is probably through immunologic responses that affect the rate of HIV-1 replication, as manifested by the HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load during the first 6-12 months following acute infection.

[Sensitivity and specificity revisited: significance of the terms in analytic and diagnostic language]. / "Sensibilité" et "spécificité" réévaluées: la signification de ces termes dans les langages analytique et diagnostique.

Imprecise usage of the terms "sensitivity" and "specificity" produces confusion in the diagnostic use sophisticated laboratory test results. "Analytical sensitivity" represents the smallest amount of substance in a sample that can accurately be measured by an assay. "Analytical specificity refers to the ability of an assay to measure one particular organism or substance, rather than others, in a sample. An assay's analytical sensitivity and analytical specificity are distinct from that assay's clinical diagnostic sensitivity and diagnostic specificity. Diagnostic "sensitivity" is the percentage of persons who have a given disorder who are identified by the assay as positive for the disorder. High analytical sensitivity does not guarantee acceptable diagnostic sensitivity. "Diagnostic sensitivity" is the percentage of persons who do not have a given condition who are identified by the assay as negative for the condition. False-positive reactions occur because of sample contamination and diminish the diagnostic specificity of the assay. The terms "sensitivity" and "specificity" should be used with the requisite adjectives because the "diagnostic" and the "analytical" meanings of these terms are very different.

Human papillomavirus, anal squamous intraepithelial lesions, and human immunodeficiency virus in a cohort of gay men.

Cross-sectional associations between human papillomavirus (HPV), anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL), and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) were studied in a cohort of gay men. HPV DNA was detected by generic and type-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) probes and hybrid capture assay (HC). HPV virus load was estimated by HC relative light unit (RLU) ratio. HPV prevalence, number of HPV types detected, and HC RLU ratios were each greater in HIV-positive than HIV-negative participants. Further, among HIV-positive men, HC RLU ratio was inversely associated with CD4 cell count. SIL was more frequent in HIV-positive participants, particularly those with a CD4 cell count <200/microL and was positively associated with HPV. Men with a high HC RLU ratio were nearly 3 times more likely to have SIL than were those both PCR- and HC-negative. These data support that HIV augments HPV-associated anal disease in this population.

Relationship between human immunodeficiency virus-associated dementia and viral load in cerebrospinal fluid and brain.

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA levels were measured with the Nucleic Acid Sequence-Based Amplification (NASBA) assay to determine the relationship with neurological status; 37 subjects with HIV dementia (HIV-D) were compared with 77 with HIV with minor neurological signs (HIV-MCMD) and 93 neurologically normal HIV-seropositive individuals (HIV-NML). The NASBA assay had a lower limit of detection of 100 copies per milliliter. Mean CSF log HIV RNA levels were significantly higher in those with dementia after adjusting for CD4 count and were correlated with dementia severity. Plasma levels did not distinguish comparably immunosuppressed subjects with or without dementia. CSF and plasma RNA levels were significantly intercorrelated for subjects with CD4 counts <200/mm3 and also correlated inversely with CSF beta2-microglobulin. CSF RNA levels were independent of CSF pleocytosis or antiretroviral exposure. Brain RNA levels were consistently higher than CSF but correlated with CSF values for dementia subjects. The NASBA assay can be used reliably to determine HIV RNA levels in CSF, brain, and plasma samples. CSF HIV RNA may be a surrogate marker for brain infection, based on the observed correlation with brain levels. The association between plasma HIV RNA and CSF levels of HIV and beta2-microglobulin suggests that both viral load and CNS immune activation are important determinants of neurological disease.

Solar ultraviolet radiation exposure does not appear to exacerbate HIV infection in homosexual men. The Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of sun exposure on HIV progression. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey nested within a longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: The Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1155 white HIV-seronegative and 496 white HIV-seropositive homosexual men, of whom 142 seroconverted during the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: T-helper lymphocyte decline and AIDS. RESULTS: No positive correlation was found between the development of AIDS or loss of T-helper lymphocytes and (i) phenotypic characteristics associated with enhanced ultraviolet radiation (UVR) sensitivity (hair or eye color, skin type), or (ii) reported UVR exposure (sun lamp/tanning bed use, frequency of beach vacations, sunscreen use), or (iii) composite score of UVR sensitivity and exposure history. The composite scores and individual measures of risk were not correlated with rate of T-helper lymphocyte decline (slope) based upon rank correlation (correlation coefficient, 0.04; P = 0.32). In fact, individuals purposefully seeking the sun had slower T-helper lymphocyte declines. Sensitivity to UVR was also not significantly associated with AIDS [odds ratio (OR), 1.11 per unit of higher composite score; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.66-1.88; P = 0.63]. Among individuals who were HIV-infected at baseline, those who have been purposely seeking sun exposure were less likely to have AIDS (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.39-1.11; P = 0.12). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that phenotypic characteristics of high UVR sensitivity and exposure are not highly correlated with decline in T-helper lymphocyte count or with progression to AIDS.

Hepatitis A among homosexual men and injection drug users: more evidence for vaccination.

As agencies develop guidelines for administering the newly developed hepatitis A virus (HAV) vaccine, information is needed regarding the occurrence of HAV infection in groups putatively at risk for the infection. We tested serum samples from 300 injection drug users (IDUs), 300 homosexual males, and 300 blood donors for the presence of total antibody to HAV (anti-HAV). Anti-HAV was detected in 66% of IDUs, 32% of homosexual males, and 14% of blood donors. Anti-HAV was not significantly associated (P > .10) with high-risk drug-using behaviors but was more prevalent among IDUs with annual incomes of <$5,000 (P = .018). The occurrence of anti-HAV increased among homosexual males as the number of sexual partners increased (P < .001) but was similar to the age-adjusted prevalence (30.6%) estimated for the general United States population. IDUs are at increased risk for HAV infection; however, our data suggest that factors related to low socioeconomic status contribute more to the occurrence of HAV infection among IDUs than does injection drug use. IDUs and persons at risk for injection drug use should receive HAV vaccine.

Heterozygosity for a defective gene for CC chemokine receptor 5 is not the sole determinant for the immunologic and virologic phenotype of HIV-infected long-term nonprogressors.

HIV-1-infected long-term nonprogressors are a heterogeneous group of individuals with regard to immunologic and virologic markers of HIV-1 disease. CC chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) has recently been identified as an important coreceptor for HIV-1 entry into CD4+ T cells. A mutant allele of CCR5 confers a high degree of resistance to HIV-1 infection in homozygous individuals and partial protection against HIV disease progression in heterozygotes. The frequency of CCR5 heterozygotes is increased among HIV-1- infected long-term nonprogressors compared with progressors; however, the host defense mechanisms responsible for nonprogression in CCR5 heterozygotes are unknown. We hypothesized that nonprogressors who were heterozygous for the mutant CCR5 gene might define a subgroup of nonprogressors with higher CD4+ T cell counts and lower viral load compared with CCR5 wild-type nonprogressors. However, in a cohort of 33 HIV-1-infected long-term nonprogressors, those who were heterozygous for the mutant CCR5 gene were indistinguishable from CCR5 wild-type nonprogressors with regard to all measured immunologic and virologic parameters. Although epidemiologic data support a role for the mutant CCR5 allele in the determination of the state of long-term nonprogression in some HIV-1- infected individuals, it is not the only determinant. Furthermore, long-term nonprogressors with the wild-type CCR5 genotype are indistinguishable from heterozygotes from an immunologic and virologic standpoint.

Helper T-lymphocyte count. TRAx CD4 test kit versus conventional flow cytometry.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated a newly developed enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay system for measuring helper T-lymphocyte count. METHODS: Data from 111 human immunodeficiency virus-infected injection drug users in a cohort study were analyzed by flow cytometry and independent duplicate runs of the TRAx enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: The mean helper T-cell counts were 470, 480, and 506 per microliter by flow cytometry and TRAx runs 1 and 2, respectively. The correlation coefficients for TRAx runs 1 and 2 with the flow cytometry results as the dependent variable were .93 and .91, respectively. A cross-tabulation of the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay helper T-lymphocyte counts with flow cytometry counts showed agreement of 71% and 76% when the flow count was between 201 and 500, and 88% and 90% when it was greater than 500 cells per microliter. In those samples with 200 or fewer helper T cells, agreement was 73% and 41% for each TRAx run. CONCLUSIONS: The TRAx enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay system is an acceptable method for measuring helper T-lymphocyte count, but should be recalibrated for better performance at helper T-cell counts below 200 per microliter.

Plasma viral load and CD4+ lymphocytes as prognostic markers of HIV-1 infection.

BACKGROUND: The rate of disease progression among persons infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) varies widely, and the relative prognostic value of markers of disease activity has not been defined. OBJECTIVE: To compare clinical, serologic, cellular, and virologic markers for their ability to predict progression to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and death during a 10-year period. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter cohort study. SETTING: Four university-based clinical centers participating in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. PATIENTS: 1604 men infected with HIV-1. MEASUREMENTS: The markers compared were oral candidiasis (thrush) or fever; serum neopterin levels; serum beta 2-microglobulin levels; number and percentage of CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ lymphocytes; and plasma viral load, which was measured as the concentration of HIV-1 RNA found using a sensitive branched-DNA signal-amplification assay. RESULTS: Plasma viral load was the single best predictor of progression to AIDS and death, followed (in order of predictive strength) by CD4+ lymphocyte count and serum neopterin levels, serum beta 2-microglobulin levels, and thrush or fever. Plasma viral load discriminated risk at all levels of CD4+ lymphocyte counts and predicted their subsequent rate of decline. Five risk categories were defined by plasma HIV-1 RNA concentrations: 500 copies/mL or less, 501 to 3000 copies/mL, 3001 to 10000 copies/mL, 10001 to 30000 copies/mL, and more than 30000 copies/mL. Highly significant (P < 0.001) differences in the percentages of participants who progressed to AIDS within 6 years were seen in the five risk categories: 5.4%, 16.6%, 31.7%, 55.2%, and 80.0%, respectively. Highly significant (P < 0.001) differences in the percentages of participants who died of AIDS within 6 years were also seen in the five risk categories: 0.9%, 6.3%, 18.1%, 34.9%, and 69.5%, respectively. A regression tree incorporating both HIV-1 RNA measurements and CD4+ lymphocyte counts provided better discrimination of outcome than did either marker alone; use of both variables defined categories of risk for AIDS within 6 years that ranged from less than 2% to 98%. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma viral load strongly predicts the rate of decrease in CD4+ lymphocyte count and progression to AIDS and death, but the prognosis of HIV-infected persons is more accurately defined by combined measurement of plasma HIV-1 RNA and CD4+ lymphocytes.

Seroreactivity to hepatitis E virus in areas where the disease is not endemic.

If the occurrence of hepatitis E virus antibody (anti-HEV) in regions where the disease is not endemic represents infection, rates may be greater in high-risk populations and behavioral correlates may reflect recognized transmission modes. Serum samples from 300 homosexual males, 300 injection drug users (IDUs), and 300 blood donors from Baltimore, Md., were tested for anti-HEV by enzyme immunoassay. Anti-HEV was found in an unexpectedly high percentage of homosexual men (15.9%) and IDUs (23.0%). However, anti-HEV was present in a similar proportion of blood donors (21.3%) (P > 0.05), while hepatitis A, B, and C virus antibodies were more prevalent in the high-risk groups (P < 0.001). Among homosexual men, anti-HEV was not significantly correlated with a history of hepatitis, high-risk sexual practices, or sexually transmitted infections, in contrast to hepatitis A and B antibodies. Among IDUs, anti-HEV was not significantly associated with a history of hepatitis or high-risk drug-using practices, as was found with hepatitis C antibodies. In a setting without endemic hepatitis E disease, there was no evidence that anti-HEV reflected subclinical infection. Until the basis for HEV seroreactivity in such areas is elucidated, anti-HEV results should be interpreted with caution.