Factors affecting the benefit of glasses alone in treating childhood amblyopia: an analysis of PEDIG data.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate factors associated with better outcomes from optical treatment alone in amblyopic children from 3 up to 7 years. METHODS: Data extracted from two studies with similar protocols, Amblyopic Treatment Studies 5 (n = 152) and 13 (n = 128) from the Pediatric Eye Disease Investigator Group database, were used to determine by regression analysis the factors associated with improvements in visual acuity in the amblyopic eye, inter-ocular visual acuity difference and stereoacuity. Input variables were aetiology of amblyopia (anisometropic, strabismic and combined-mechanism amblyopia), treatment compliance, visual acuity, interocular visual acuity difference, stereoacuity, tropia size at distance and near, age and refractive error at baseline. RESULTS: Despite the range of clinical factors considered, our models explain only a modest proportion of the variance in optical treatment outcomes. The better predictors of the degree of optical treatment success in amblyopic children are visual acuity of the amblyopic eye, interocular visual acuity difference, stereoacuity, treatment compliance and the amblyopic eye spherical-equivalent refractive error. While the aetiology of the amblyopia does not exert a major influence upon treatment outcome, combined-mechanism amblyopes experience the smallest improvement in visual acuity, tropia and stereoacuity and may need longer optical treatment periods. CONCLUSIONS: While results identify the factors influencing optical treatment outcome in amblyopic children, clinicians will be unable to predict accurately the benefits of optical treatment in individual patients. Whether this is because relevant clinical or non-clinical factors (e.g. nature and volume of daily activities undertaken) influences the outcomes from optical treatment has not yet been identified and remains to be discovered.

A Survey of Breastfeeding Attitudes and Health Locus of Control in the Nigerian Population.

OBJECTIVES: Breastfeeding is important to infant health and survival in sub-Saharan Africa. To promote breastfeeding effectively, understanding of psychological factors associated with infant feeding choices is required. This study investigated breastfeeding attitudes and health locus of control (HLoC) in a Nigerian community sample. METHODS: Men and women (N = 400) (71% female; mean age 34.2 years/ range 18-86 years) were recruited through community groups in Nigeria. Self-report survey by questionnaire measured breastfeeding attitudes using the Iowa Infant Feeding Attitude Scale (IIFAS) and health locus of control using the Multidimensional Health Locus of Control Scale (MHLoCs). RESULTS MEAN: IIFAS scores (mean = 57.7; sd = 7.8) became less favourable with increasing age (p = 0.02). Men had higher IIFAS scores (mean = 58.6; sd = 7.6) than women (mean = 56.6; sd = 8.0) indicating more favourable attitudes toward breastfeeding (p = 0.02). Women scored higher than men on external chance HLoC (ECHLoC) (p = 0.003) and external powerful others HLoC (EPHLoC) (p = 0.02). Increasing age was associated with higher scores on ECHLoC (p < 0.01) and EPHLoC (p < 0.01). Multiple linear regression analysis was significant (p < 0.001) and explained 7.8% of variance in breastfeeding attitude. Lower IIFAS scores, reflecting more negative attitudes to breastfeeding, were associated with higher ECHLoC (p < 0.01) and EPOHLoC (p < 0.05). Higher IIFAS scores, reflecting more positive attitudes to breastfeeding, were associated with greater IHLoC (p < 0.01). Neither age nor gender were associated with IIFAS scores in the final model. CONCLUSIONS: This implies a need to explore health locus of control when promoting positive attitudes to breastfeeding and supporting families in breastfeeding advocacy.

SIGNIFICANCE: What is already known? Infant feeding decisions are made in a social context and influenced by significant others. Yet, most studies of breastfeeding attitudes have exclusively considered women of childbearing age and mostly in Western cultures. What this study adds? This study meets a need to understand societal attitudes to breastfeeding in diverse cultures. The research also tests the theory that health-related locus of control (H-RLoC) will be related to breastfeeding attitudes. Knowledge of societal attitudes toward breastfeeding and of HRLoC will help to inform effective breastfeeding promotions that are tailored to the specific needs of Nigerian people.

A Longitudinal Evaluation of Computed Tomography Radiation Incidents Within a Multisite NHS Trust.

OBJECTIVES: This single-center review explores trends in computed tomography "radiation incidents" and suggests strategies for improvement. METHOD: A retrospective mixed-methods approach was used in this longitudinal evaluation of radiation incidents within a multisite NHS Trust in northern England. DATIX was interrogated at the Trust level to identify all records linked to radiation incident in computed tomography departments between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2018. RESULTS: During the 4-year review period, 159,596 exams were performed at the Trust and a total of 133 incidents were recorded. This comprised 42.1% (n = 56) of radiation incidents, 43.6% (n = 58) of near-miss incidents, and 14.3% (n = 19) of repeat scans due to extravasation of contrast. The reported radiation incident rate was 0.08%. These data suggest an approximation of 1 incident per thousand cases. Most incidents were investigated using a "system approach," and the reports highlighted the relevant action that had been taken to try and prevent recurrence of the incident. Qualitative data collected from the root cause analysis minutes demonstrated themes related to the contributory factors, incident analysis performed, and overall learning. CONCLUSIONS: Computed tomography departments need to focus on a system approach instead of the "person approach" to identify areas where efficiencies can be implemented. Staff should feel open to discuss system inefficiencies that they experience and may highlight problems the management is unaware of. The reporting of all types of incidents, including near misses, should be encouraged, to foster an open culture and to expand learning.

Clinical audit comparing radiation dose metrics between WEB and coil embolisation in the treatment of intracranial aneurysms.

INTRODUCTION: Intrasaccular flow disruption is a new and effective endovascular treatment for intracranial aneurysms. While endovascular treatment is a minimally invasive procedure, it does carry a radiation risk. As radiation dose should be kept as low as reasonably achievable (ALARA), the main objective of this study was to analyse KAP (kerma area product), fluoroscopy and procedure time during the treatment of aneurysms treated with coiling and the Woven-EndoBridge (WEB) device. A secondary objective was to look at the reference air kerma (RAK) to determine if the patient receives a dose that could cause tissue effects. METHODS: KAP, fluoroscopy and procedure time were retrospectively analysed in patients who had an aneurysm treatment. Aneurysms with diameters of 4-11mm, over a four-year period, in the anterior and posterior circulation of the brain were analysed in this study. Patients were treated by coiling or WEB. RAK were summed together in the working projection to give an estimated entrance surface dose (ESD) in cases with the highest KAP. RESULTS: A total of 47 aneurysms treated with WEB and 104 aneurysms treated with coiling techniques met the inclusion criteria. The average KAP was 6884.1 ± 2774.4µGym2 with coiling techniques and 5658.7 ± 1602.5µGym2 with WEB (p=0.006; CI =363-2086µGym2). This demonstrates an 18% reduction with WEB. Mean fluoroscopy time for coiling was 63.5 ± 42.6minutes and 33.8 ± 28.8minutes for WEB (p=<0.001; CI=16-43minutes). Fluoroscopy time was reduced by nearly 50% with WEB. On average, there was a 27-minute reduction of procedure time when using WEB compared to coiling. The RAK determined for the working projections did not exceed the 2Gy threshold for tissue effects. CONCLUSION: Treatment of aneurysms using the WEB shows a reduction in KAP, fluoroscopy, and procedure time. This study further demonstrates the benefits of intrasaccular flow disruption for treatment of intracranial aneurysms.

Mortality in hip fractures: Stratifying the risk of operative delay and quantifying the benefit of early mobilisation.

INTRODUCTION: Early mortality following hip fracture surgery remains a significant issue with a much studied, multifactorial aetiology. This study designed to test the variables affecting 30 day mortality in a socially deprived cohort against national models, and secondarily aimed to uncover and quantify new risk factors. METHODS: This was a single centre retrospective study based on National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD) data for 3176 hip fracture patients from 1st May 2008 to December 31st 2017. Data was condensed into a single anonymised workbook and logistic regression used to analyse associations with 30 day mortality. Firstly, the 6 casemix variables used by the NHFD were modelled. Secondarily, a new optimised model based on our data was created. RESULTS: Gross mortality was 11.1% since May 2008 (344/3074). There were 1978 patients in our cohort with sufficient data to run the NHFD casemix model. Overall, this proved fair with a similar area under ROC curve to nationally (0.75 vs. 0.76), although the Odds Ratios (OR) of individual variables differed. The optimised casemix model suggested two powerful prognostic indicators for 30 day mortality, namely delay to theatre for clinical reasons (OR =3.98, p-value=0.02) and whether the patient was mobilised day one post op (OR=0.21, p-value=0.00). Delay to theatre for non clinical reasons conveyed only a marginal and statistically insignificant increase in risk (OR=1.15, p-value=0.77). CONCLUSION: This study has confirmed the NHFD casemix adjusted model is a fair barometer for units treating a socially deprived cohort. It also has shown a clear differentiation between risk conveyed by delay to theatre for clinical reasons and suggests delay for non-clinical reasons, although clearly not desired, may not have a significant effect on death rate. Finally, it both amplifies and prompts further investigation into the potential benefit of early mobilisation.

Faster visual reaction times in elite athletes are not linked to better gaze stability.

The issue of whether visually-mediated, simple reaction time (VRT) is faster in elite athletes is contentious. Here, we examined if and how VRT is affected by gaze stability in groups of international cricketers (16 females, 28 males), professional rugby-league players (21 males), and non-sporting controls (20 females, 30 males). VRT was recorded via a button-press response to the sudden appearance of a stimulus (circular target-diameter 0.8°), that was presented centrally, or 7.5° to the left or right of fixation. The incidence and timing of saccades and blinks occurring from 450 ms before stimulus onset to 225 ms after onset were measured to quantify gaze stability. Our results show that (1) cricketers have faster VRT than controls; (2) blinks and, in particular, saccades are associated with slower VRT regardless of the level of sporting ability; (3) elite female cricketers had steadier gaze (fewer saccades and blinks) compared to female controls; (4) when we accounted for the presence of blinks and saccades, our group comparisons of VRT were virtually unchanged. The stability of gaze is not a factor that explains the difference between elite and control groups in VRT. Thus we conclude that better gaze stability cannot explain faster VRT in elite sports players.

Does achieving the 'Best Practice Tariff' criteria for fractured neck of femur patients improve one year outcomes?

INTRODUCTION: 'Best Practice Tariff' (BPT) criteria have been developed to improve peri-operative care for hip fracture patients. This paper aims to explore the impact of BPT criteria on 1-year outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Anonymised data were acquired from the National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD) for patients presenting to Bradford Royal Infirmary with a fractured neck of femur during the period April 2011 to December 2015. Two study groups were defined: those that achieved the BPT uplift criteria, and those that did not. Three primary outcome measures were identified: one year survival, mobility status and residential status. Further analysis was performed to ascertain whether achieving any individual BPT criterion significantly affected 1-year outcomes. RESULTS: 1414 cases were included, 784 (55%) of whom met the BPT criteria. The 1-year survival rate of the BPT-achieved group was 67.7%, compared with 61.4% in the non-BPT group (relative risk reduction 10.3%, p = 0.014). Mobility status declined by at least one grade in 50.8% of the BPT-achieved group, compared with 60.8% of the non-BPT group (risk reduction 16.4%, p = 0.003). BPT achievement had no significant effect on residential status at one year. Multivariate analysis identified that post-operative Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMTS) and falls assessment were significantly associated with reduced 1-year mortality. Similarly, both pre- and post-operative AMTS assessments resulted in greater potential to return to pre-morbid mobility level. When controlling for potential confounders (age, gender, ASA grade, pre-morbid mobility and residential status) logistic regression modelling showed that achieving the BPT criteria was associated with a 30% increase in the odds of survival at one year (p = 0.046). DISCUSSION: Achieving the BPT requirements has a significant impact on 1-year mortality and return to pre-morbid mobility level. The effect of AMTS and falls assessments on these outcomes may be due to their properties as surrogate markers for more thorough and considered peri-operative assessment. CONCLUSIONS: Few studies describe the effect of BPT criteria on 1-year outcomes; therefore the results presented here help to vindicate the investments made in the scheme. Furthermore, these results may help steer subsequent revisions to BPT requirements by encouraging greater focus on peri-operative assessment and interventions.

Computer-aided National Early Warning Score to predict the risk of sepsis following emergency medical admission to hospital: a model development and external validation study.

BACKGROUND: In hospitals in England, patients' vital signs are monitored and summarized into the National Early Warning Score (NEWS); this score is more accurate than the Quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score at identifying patients with sepsis. We investigated the extent to which the accuracy of the NEWS is enhanced by developing and comparing 3 computer-aided NEWS (cNEWS) models (M0 = NEWS alone, M1 = M0 + age + sex, M2 = M1 + subcomponents of NEWS + diastolic blood pressure) to predict the risk of sepsis. METHODS: We included all emergency medical admissions of patients 16 years of age and older discharged over 24 months from 2 acute care hospital centres (York Hospital [YH] for model development and a combined data set from 2 hospitals [Diana, Princess of Wales Hospital and Scunthorpe General Hospital] in the Northern Lincolnshire and Goole National Health Service Foundation Trust [NH] for external model validation). We used a validated Canadian method for defining sepsis from administrative hospital data. RESULTS: The prevalence of sepsis was lower in YH (4.5%, 1596/35 807) than in NH (8.5%, 2983/35 161). The C statistic increased across models (YH: M0 0.705, M1 0.763, M2 0.777; NH: M0 0.708, M1 0.777, M2 0.791). For NEWS of 5 or higher, sensitivity increased (YH: 47.24% v. 50.56% v. 52.69%; NH: 37.91% v. 43.35% v. 48.07%), the positive likelihood ratio increased (YH: 2.77 v. 2.99 v. 3.06; NH: 3.18 v. 3.32 v. 3.45) and the positive predictive value increased (YH: 11.44% v. 12.24% v. 12.49%; NH: 22.75% v. 23.55% v. 24.21%). INTERPRETATION: From the 3 cNEWS models, model M2 is the most accurate. Given that it places no additional burden of data collection on clinicians and can be automated, it may now be carefully introduced and evaluated in hospitals with sufficient informatics infrastructure.

Understanding and applying practitioner and patient views on the implementation of a novel automated Computer-Aided Risk Score (CARS) predicting the risk of death following emergency medical admission to hospital: qualitative study.

OBJECTIVES: The Computer-Aided Risk Score (CARS) estimates the risk of death following emergency admission to medical wards using routinely collected vital signs and blood test data. Our aim was to elicit the views of healthcare practitioners (staff) and service users and carers (SU/C) on (1) the potential value, unintended consequences and concerns associated with CARS and practitioner views on (2) the issues to consider before embedding CARS into routine practice. SETTING: This study was conducted in two National Health Service (NHS) hospital trusts in the North of England. Both had in-house information technology (IT) development teams, mature IT infrastructure with electronic National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and were capable of integrating NEWS with blood test results. The study focused on emergency medical and elderly admissions units. There were 60 and 39 acute medical/elderly admissions beds at the two NHS hospital trusts. PARTICIPANTS: We conducted eight focus groups with 45 healthcare practitioners and two with 11 SU/Cs in two NHS acute hospitals. RESULTS: Staff and SU/Cs recognised the potential of CARS but were clear that the score should not replace or undermine clinical judgments. Staff recognised that CARS could enhance clinical decision-making/judgments and aid communication with patients. They wanted to understand the components of CARS and be reassured about its accuracy but were concerned about the impact on intensive care and blood tests. CONCLUSION: Risk scores are widely used in healthcare, but their development and implementation do not usually involve input from practitioners and SU/Cs. We contributed to the development of CARS by eliciting views of staff and SU/Cs who provided important, often complex, insights to support the development and implementation of CARS to ensure successful implementation in routine clinical practice.

Factors Affecting Sound-Source Localization in Children With Simultaneous or Sequential Bilateral Cochlear Implants.

OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to determine the effect of interimplant interval and onset of profound deafness on sound localization in children with bilateral cochlear implants, controlling for cochlear implant manufacturer, age, and time since second implant. DESIGN: The authors conducted a retrospective, observational study using routinely collected clinical data. Participants were 127 bilaterally implanted children aged 4 years or older, tested at least 12 mo post- second implant. Children used implants made by one of three manufacturers. Sixty-five children were simultaneously implanted, of whom 43% were congenitally, bilaterally profoundly deaf at 2 and 4 kHz and 57% had acquired or progressive hearing loss. Sixty-two were implanted sequentially (median interimplant interval = 58 mo, range 3-143 mo) of whom 77% had congenital and 23% acquired or progressive bilateral profound deafness at 2 and 4 kHz. Children participated in a sound-source localization test with stimuli presented in a random order from five loudspeakers at -60, -30, 0, +30, and +60 degrees azimuth. Stimuli were prerecorded female voices at randomly roved levels from 65 to 75 dB(A). Root mean square (RMS) errors were calculated. Localization data were analyzed via multivariable linear regression models, one applied to the whole group and the other to just the simultaneously implanted children. RESULTS: Mean RMS error was 25.4 degrees (SD = 12.5 degrees) with results ranging from perfect accuracy to chance level (0-62.7 degrees RMS error). Compared with simultaneous implantation, an interimplant interval was associated with worse localization by 1.7 degrees RMS error per year (p < 0.001). Compared with congenital deafness, each year with hearing thresholds better than 90 dB HL at 2 and 4 kHz bilaterally before implantation led to more accurate localization by 1.3 degrees RMS error (p < 0.005). Every year post-second implant led to better accuracy by 1.6 degrees RMS error (p < 0.05). Med-El was associated with more accurate localization than Cochlear by 5.8 degrees RMS error (p < 0.01) and with more accurate localization than Advanced Bionics by 9.2 degrees RMS error (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Interimplant interval and congenital profound hearing loss both led to worse accuracy in sound-source localization for children using bilateral cochlear implants. Interimplant delay should therefore be minimized for children with bilateral profound hearing loss. Children presenting with acquired or progressive hearing loss can be expected to localize better via bilateral cochlear implants than their congenitally deaf peers.

Membrane sweeping at term to promote spontaneous labour and reduce the likelihood of a formal induction of labour for postmaturity: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and the safety of membrane sweeping in promoting spontaneous labour and reducing a formal induction of labour for postmaturity. Based on articles published between 2005 and 2016, 12 electronic databases were searched. Relative risk (RR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were used as pooled statistics. A total of seven studies consisting of 2252 participants were selected for the review and meta-analysis. The results revealed that membrane sweeping is advantageous in promoting spontaneous labour (RR = 1.205, 95% CI: 1.133-1.282, p = <.001), and reducing the formal induction of labour for postmaturity (RR = 0.523, 95% CI: 0.409-0.669, p = <.001). The studies reported several varying outcomes for both maternal and foetal morbidities; meta-analyses were performed where possible on each of these and found there to be no statistically significant differences in outcome between the intervention and control groups. Impact Statement What is already known on this subject? Research suggests that a pregnancy which exceeds 42 weeks of gestation is associated with an increased risk of perinatal morbidity and mortality (Gulmezoglu et al. 2012 ). Consequently, a formal induction of labour is usually offered to low-risk pregnant women between 41 and 42 weeks of pregnancy. However, all of the induction methods carry some degree of risk in terms of the associated morbidities and effectiveness (Cunningham 2005 ; Simpson and James 2008 ; Thomas et al. 2014 ), as well as having an impact on NHS resources (Department of Health 2015 ), and the birth experience of women (Gatward et al. 2010 ). For these reasons, it is currently recommended by The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE 2008 ) that women are offered a membrane sweep to promote spontaneous labour prior to arranging a formal induction of labour. What the results of this study add? The results from this meta-analysis add to the body of existing evidence around membrane sweeping. This study clearly demonstrates that membrane sweeping is effective in promoting a spontaneous labour and thereby reducing the need for a formal induction of labour. However, the results of this review suggest that this effect is significant from 38 weeks of gestation, and is not dependent upon the number or timing of membrane sweeps performed. What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? There is no evidence supporting any increase in maternal or foetal morbidity suggesting that membrane sweeping is a safe procedure to offer to all low risk pregnant women. We recommend therefore that there could be a reduction in the gestation at which membrane sweeping is offered from 40 weeks for primiparous women and 41 weeks for multiparous women to 38 weeks onwards for all low risk women without any increased risk of maternal or foetal morbidity. This may result in a decreased risk of requiring a formal induction of labour for postmaturity.

Using a Modified Lymphocyte Genome Sensitivity (LGS) test or TumorScan test to detect cancer at an early stage in each individual.

Our previous case-control study observed isolated lymphocytes from 208 individuals and determined the differences in the sensitivity to genomic damage of lymphocytes derived from cancer patients, pre/suspect cancer patients and healthy volunteers using the Comet assay (Anderson et al, 2014). We adapted the LGS technique using a slightly different method and examined 700 more blood samples from 598 patients with cancer or suspected cancer and 102 healthy individuals. To help increase the sensitivity of the test and detect cancer at the level of each individual, we joined with the IMSTAR team who analysed our cells with their fully automated Pathfinder™ cell reader-analyser system. With this reading and analysis system 4,000 to 10,000 cells were able to be read per slide. The new test which is called TumorScan is a highly sensitive test to detect any cancer at an early stage through the response of the white blood cells to UV treatment. These patient blood samples have also been collected at the stage before confirming diagnosis and treatment. There were four of these individuals with cancer who had received anti-cancer treatment. The results from these patients showed a reverse pattern compared to non-treated cancer patients and followed the pattern seen in healthy individuals. The results are consistent with the early results as reported in the above 2014 paper. Given the results from these samples were in a particularly challenging subgroup, whose cancer status was difficult to distinguish, the data suggest that the technique using the TumorScan system could exceed the area under the ROC curve >93% obtained in the earlier study on a group basis, whereas this present study was to detect cancer at an early stage in each individual.

Development and validation of a novel computer-aided score to predict the risk of in-hospital mortality for acutely ill medical admissions in two acute hospitals using their first electronically recorded blood test results and vital signs: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: There are no established mortality risk equations specifically for emergency medical patients who are admitted to a general hospital ward. Such risk equations may be useful in supporting the clinical decision-making process. We aim to develop and externally validate a computer-aided risk of mortality (CARM) score by combining the first electronically recorded vital signs and blood test results for emergency medical admissions. DESIGN: Logistic regression model development and external validation study. SETTING: Two acute hospitals (Northern Lincolnshire and Goole NHS Foundation Trust Hospital (NH)-model development data; York Hospital (YH)-external validation data). PARTICIPANTS: Adult (aged ≥16 years) medical admissions discharged over a 24-month period with electronic National Early Warning Score(s) and blood test results recorded on admission. RESULTS: The risk of in-hospital mortality following emergency medical admission was 5.7% (NH: 1766/30 996) and 6.5% (YH: 1703/26 247). The C-statistic for the CARM score in NH was 0.87 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.88) and was similar in an external hospital setting YH (0.86, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.87) and the calibration slope included 1 (0.97, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.00). CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a novel, externally validated CARM score with good performance characteristics for estimating the risk of in-hospital mortality following an emergency medical admission using the patient's first, electronically recorded, vital signs and blood test results. Since the CARM score places no additional data collection burden on clinicians and is readily automated, it may now be carefully introduced and evaluated in hospitals with sufficient informatics infrastructure.

Reducing emergency hospital admissions: a population health complex intervention of an enhanced model of primary care and compassionate communities.

BACKGROUND: Reducing emergency admissions to hospital has been a cornerstone of healthcare policy. Little evidence exists to show that systematic interventions across a population have achieved this aim. The authors report the impact of a complex intervention over a 44-month period in Frome, Somerset, on unplanned admissions to hospital. AIM: To evaluate a population health complex intervention of an enhanced model of primary care and compassionate communities on population health improvement and reduction of emergency admissions to hospital. DESIGN AND SETTING: A cohort retrospective study of a complex intervention on all emergency admissions in Frome Medical Practice, Somerset, compared with the remainder of Somerset, from April 2013 to December 2017. METHOD: Patients were identified using broad criteria, including anyone giving cause for concern. Patient-centred goal setting and care planning combined with a compassionate community social approach was implemented broadly across the population of Frome. RESULTS: There was a progressive reduction, by 7.9 cases per quarter (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.8 to 13.1, P = 0.006), in unplanned hospital admissions across the whole population of Frome during the study period from April 2013 to December 2017, a decrease of 14.0%. At the same time, there was a 28.5% increase in admissions per quarter within Somerset, with a rise in the number of unplanned admissions of 236 per quarter (95% CI = 152 to 320, P<0.001). CONCLUSION: The complex intervention in Frome was associated with highly significant reductions in unplanned admissions to hospital, with a decrease in healthcare costs across the whole population of Frome.

Test-retest reproducibility of accommodative facility measures in primary school children.

BACKGROUND: To determine the test-retest reproducibility of accommodative facility (AF) measures in an unselected sample of UK primary school children. METHODS: Using ±2.00 DS flippers and a viewing distance of 40 cm, AF was measured in 136 children (range 4-12 years, average 8.1 ± 2.1) by five testers on three occasions (average interval between successive tests: eight days, range 1-21 days). On each occasion, AF was measured monocularly and binocularly, for two minutes. Full datasets were obtained in 111 children (81.6 per cent). RESULTS: Intra-individual variation in AF was large (standard deviation [SD] = 3.8 cycles per minute [cpm]) and there was variation due to the identity of the tester (SD = 1.6 cpm). On average, AF was greater: (i) in monocular compared to binocular testing (by 1.4 cpm, p < 0.001); (ii) in the second minute of testing compared to the first (by 1.3 cpm, p < 0.001); (iii) in older compared to younger children (for example, AF for 4/5-year-olds was 3.3 cpm lower than in children ≥ 10 years old, p = 0.009); and (iv) on subsequent testing occasions (for example, visit-2 AF was 2.0 cpm higher than visit-1 AF, p < 0.001). After the first minute of testing at visit-1, only 36.9 per cent of children exceeded published normative values for AF (≥ 11 cpm monocularly and ≥ 8 cpm binocularly), but this rose to 83.8 per cent after the third test. Using less stringent pass criteria (≥ 6 cpm monocularly and ≥ 3 cpm binocularly), the equivalent figures were 82.9 and 96.4 per cent, respectively. Reduced AF did not co-exist with abnormal near point of accommodation or reduced visual acuity. CONCLUSIONS: The results reveal considerable intra-individual variability in raw AF measures in children. When the results are considered as pass/fail, children who initially exhibit normal AF continued to do so on repeat testing. Conversely, the vast majority of children with initially reduced AF exhibit normal performance on repeat testing. Using established pass/fail criteria, the prevalence of persistently reduced AF in this sample is 3.6 per cent.

Temporal estimation in prediction motion tasks is biased by a moving destination.

An ability to predict the time-to-contact (TTC) of moving objects that become momentarily hidden is advantageous in everyday life and could be particularly so in fast-ball sports. Prediction motion (PM) experiments have sought to test this ability using tasks where a disappearing target moves toward a stationary destination. Here, we developed two novel versions of the PM task in which the destination either moved away from (Chase) or toward (Attract) the moving target. The target and destination moved with different speeds such that collision occurred 750, 1,000 or 1,250 ms after target occlusion. To determine if domain-specific experience conveys an advantage in PM tasks, we compared the performance of different sporting groups ranging from internationally competing athletes to non-sporting controls. There was no difference in performance between sporting groups and non-sporting controls but there were significant and independent effects on response error by target speed, destination speed, and occlusion period. We simulated these findings using a revised version of the linear TTC model of response timing for PM tasks (Yakimoff, Bocheva, & Mitrania, 1987; Yakimoff, Mateeff, Ehrenstein, & Hohnsbein, 1993) in which retinal input from the moving destination biases the internal representation of the occluded target. This revision closely reproduced the observed patterns of response error and thus describes a means by which the brain might estimate TTC when the target and destination are in motion.

The use of history to identify anterior cruciate ligament injuries in the acute trauma setting: the 'LIMP index'.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the injury history features reported by patients with anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries and determine whether history may be used to identify patients requiring follow-up appointments from acute trauma services. METHODS: Multisite cross-sectional service evaluation using a survey questionnaire design conducted in the UK. The four injury history features investigated were 'leg giving way at the time of injury', 'inability to continue activity immediately following injury', 'marked effusion' and 'pop (heard or felt) at the time of injury'(LIMP). RESULTS: 194 patients with ACL injury were identified, of which 165 (85.5%) attended an acute trauma service. Data on delay was available for 163 (98.8%) of these patients of which 120 (73.6%) had a follow-up appointment arranged. Patients who had a follow-up appointment arranged waited significantly less time for a correct diagnosis (geometric mean 29 vs 198 days; p<0.001) and to see a specialist consultant (geometric mean 61 vs 328 days; p<0.001). Using a referral threshold of any two of the four LIMP injury history features investigated, 95.8% of patients would have had a follow-up appointment arranged. CONCLUSIONS: Findings support the value of questioning patients on specific injury history features in identifying patients who may have suffered ACL injury. Using a threshold of two or more of the four LIMP history features investigated would have reduced the percentage of patients inappropriately discharged by 22.2%. Evidence presented suggests that this would significantly reduce the time to diagnosis and specialist consultation minimising the chance of secondary complications.

Factors influencing accuracy of referral and the likelihood of false positive referral by optometrists in Bradford, United Kingdom / Factores que influyen en la precisión de las derivaciones y en la probabilidad de falsos positivos por parte de los optometristas en Bradford, Reino Unido

Aims: Levels of false positive referral to ophthalmology departments can be high. This study aimed to evaluate commonality between false positive referrals in order to find the factors which may influence referral accuracy. Methods: In 2007/08, a sample of 431 new Ophthalmology referrals from the catchment area of Bradford Royal Infirmary were retrospectively analysed. Results: The proportion of false positive referrals generated by optometrists decreases with experience at a rate of 6.2% per year since registration (p<0.0001). Community services which involved further investigation done by the optometrist before directly referring to the hospital were 2.7 times less likely to refer false positively than other referral formats (p=0.007). Male optometrists were about half as likely to generate a false positive referral than females (OR=0.51, p=0.008) and as multiple/corporate practices in the Bradford area employ less experienced and more female staff, independent practices generate about half the number of false positive referrals (OR=0.52, p=0.005). Conclusions: Clinician experience has the greatest effect on referral accuracy although there is also a significant effect of gender with women tending to refer more false positives. This may be due to a different approach to patient care and possibly a greater sensitivity to litigation. The improved accuracy of community services (which often refer directly after further investigation) supports further growth of these schemes (AU)

Objetivos: Los niveles de falsos positivos en las derivaciones a los departamentos de oftalmología pueden ser elevados. Este estudio trató de evaluar los elementos comunes de las derivaciones falso positivas, para hallar los factores que pueden influir en la precisión de dichas derivaciones. Métodos: En 2007/08, se analizó retrospectivamente una muestra de 431 nuevas derivaciones oftalmológicas procedentes de la zona de actuación de Bradford Royal Infirmary. Resultados: La proporción de falsos positivos en las derivaciones generadas por los optometristas desciende con la experiencia a una tasa del 6,2% anual desde la fecha de registro (p<0,0001). Los servicios comunitarios que implicaron una investigación más amplia por parte del optometrista, antes de la derivación directa al hospital, reflejaron un índice 2,7 veces menor de probabilidades de derivación de falsos positivos que otras formas de derivación (p=0,007). Los optometristas varones reflejaron la mitad de probabilidad de generar un falso positivo que las mujeres (OR=0,51, p=0,008), y dado que las consultas de optometría corporativas en la zona de Bradford emplean a personal menos experimentado y femenino, las consultas de optometría independientes generan alrededor de la mitad de derivaciones falso positivas (OR=0,52, p=0,005). Conclusiones: La experiencia clínica tiene un mayor efecto sobre la precisión de las derivaciones, aunque el sexo tiene también un efecto significativo, ya que las mujeres tienden a derivar más falso positivos. Esto puede deberse a un diferente enfoque sobre los cuidados al paciente, y posiblemente a una mayor sensibilidad hacia los litigios. La mejora de la precisión en los servicios comunitarios (que realizan a menudo una derivación directa, tras una investigación más amplia) respalda el crecimiento adicional de estos programas (AU)

A Comparison of Spectacles Purchased Online and in UK Optometry Practice.

PURPOSE: To compare spectacles bought online with spectacles from optometry practices. METHODS: Thirty-three participants consisting of single vision spectacle wearers with either a low (N = 12, mean age 34 ± 14 years) or high prescription (N = 11, mean age 28 ± 9 years) and 10 presbyopic participants (mean age 59 ± 4 years) wearing progressive addition lenses (PALs) purchased 154 pairs of spectacles online and 154 from UK optometry practices. The spectacles were compared via participant-reported preference, acceptability, and safety; the assessment of lens, frame, and fit quality; and the accuracy of the lens prescriptions to international standard ISO 21987:2009. RESULTS: Participants preferred the practice spectacles (median ranking 4th, IQR 1-6) more than online (6th, IQR 4-8; Mann-Whitney U = 7345, p < 0.001) and practice PALs (median ranking 2nd, IQR 1-4) were particularly preferred (online 6.5th, IQR 4-9, Mann-Whitney U = 455, p < 0.001). Of those deemed unacceptable and unsafe, significantly more were bought online (unacceptable: online 43/154 vs. practice 15/154, Fisher's exact p = 0.0001; unsafe: online 14/154 vs. practice 5/154, Fisher's exact p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Participants preferred spectacles from optometry practice rather than those bought online, despite lens quality and prescription accuracy being similar. A greater number of online spectacles were deemed unsafe or unacceptable because of poor spectacle frame fit, poor cosmetic appearance, and inaccurate optical centration. This seems particularly pertinent to PAL lenses, which are known to increase falls risk. Recommendations are made to improve both forms of spectacle provision.